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Re: 7-17-09
Wunderdog
BELMONT PARK Race #2 at 3:30 PM Eastern
Top pick: #5 (SOUTH FOURTH ST.) - Claimed out of his latest by Scott Lake from the Contessa barn. Think Lake had this race in mind when he signed the slip and think he can win this from just off the lead. It's imperative that he stay as close as possible (3-4 lengths) to projected pace-setter "Ferocious Won".
2nd pick: #8 (Ferocious Won) - Has good speed to offer and goes first off a Gary Contessa claim (24%). Draws a good post to sprint clear from, and just like the top pick, believe that he was claimed with this race in mind.
3rd pick: #1 (That'srightofficer) - He's now run three straight sub-par efforts and the last pair are disturbing, as they came off a five-month layoff. Has a sharp work since his last race and Prado stays put. Should offer whatever he has left in this third "off the bench" situation.
4th pick: #2 (Stopbluffing) - Used up setting the pace last out, he's much better utilized as a one run closer. Can impact this down the stretch if those tactics are employed.Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
Tony Salinas Baseball
Friday, July 17, 2009
26*
Mariners {F.Hernandez} (-155) over Indians {T.Ohka}
7:05 PM -- Progressive Field
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 75.
24*
Rockies {U.Jimenez} (-150) over Padres {J.Geer}
10:05 PM -- Petco Park
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 75.
25*
La Angels {J.Saunders} (-115) over Athletics {T.Cahill}
10:05 PM -- Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 75.Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
Robert Ferringo
3-Unit Play. Take #L.A. Angels (-115) over Oakland
2.5-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (-1.5, +100) over Arizona
2-Unit Play. Take N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -115) over Detroit
2-Unit Play. Take Tampa Bay (-130) over Kansas City
2-Unit Play. Take Chicago Cubs (-135) over Washington
1-Unit Play. Take Colorado (-155) over San Diego
Today’s Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 L.A. Angels at Oakland
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Tampa Bay at Kansas City
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 11.0 Minnesota at Texas
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Philadelphia at Florida
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Chicago Cubs at WashingtonComment
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Re: 7-17-09
Wunderdog 2009/07/17
Game: Seattle at Cleveland (6:50 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Cleveland +140 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.8)
Game: Seattle at Cleveland (6:55 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Cleveland +1.5 runs -120 (runline) (risk 4 to win 3.3)
Game: Chicago Cubs at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Washington +120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.4)
Game: Chicago at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Washington +1.5 runs -140 (runline) (risk 4 to win 2.9)
Game: Boston at Toronto (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Toronto -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Game: San Francisco at Pittsburgh (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Pittsburgh +1.5 runs -120 (runline) (risk 4 to win 3.3)
Game: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 10.5 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)
Game: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay -140 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.1)
Game: Los Angeles Angels at Oakland (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Oakland -105 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.9)Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Seattle Storm @ Sacramento Monarchs - Friday July 17, 2009 10:05 pm
Detail: IC'S RARE 5* WNBA GOM! (8-2 LIFETIME!)
Pick: 5 units (Game of the Month) ATS: Sacramento Monarchs -3.5 (+100)
5 Unit Play. GOM Take Sacramento Monarchs -3.5 over the Seattle Storm (Friday @ 10pm est). What has gone under the radar is the firing of the Sacramento coach and now, the GM has essentially taken over the team. In his first game, his team got spanked by the Mercury by a score of 81-100. But, the line went down from -7.5 in that game to -6.5 as folks expected his presence to revitalize the team as he came down from the front office to coach this team. Essentially, he is taking the team in his own hands. So, this is his first home game with his squad at home. Tack that on with the fact that the Monarchs have MASSIVE revenge against the Strom having lost to them three times this year, and this sets up a game in which the Monarchs can get out their frustration on this team. Sacramento has the propensity to play well at home as two of their three wins come at home (including a 10 point win over Chicago). I just don't believe the coaching changes, the fact that this team has lost to Seattle three games in a row already this season and a shady line of -3.5 for a team that is 3-11 over an 8-6 team such as the Seattle Storm is a mistake. This line is purposefully set to bury the public imo as Vegas expects the Monarchs to likely crush the Storm tonight. I do feel a bit queezy that the Storm come off a couple of losses, as they are 2-4 over their last 6, but I expect the Sacramento women to have a fire lit up behind their fannies today. The Storm are 1-5 ATS when they face a team with a SU losing record. Monarchs shock the public today.Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
Jack Jones
15* on Twins/Rangers UNDER 10.5
Minnesota has really hit a stride over their last 7 games on offense, but their 5.9 runs per game over that span is a full run per game more than they've averaged all season, which means those numbers are due for a correction. Texas is averaging just 4.4 runs per game over their last 7 games, but 5.6 runs per game at home this season, giving me the impression that, at best, they will fall somewhere in between those two numbers tonight. What really stands out for this high total, however, is how well each starting pitcher has thrown in their past three starts. Glen Perkins has a 3.44 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in his last 3, while Vicente Padilla has been equally impressive, posting a 3.50 ERA over his last three starts. Small play on the UNDER tonight.
20* No Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5
Take the White Sox on the runline over the Orioles tonight with John Danks throwing for Chicago. Danks is 7-6 on the year with a 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, including a 3.33 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 8 home starts this season, and a 1.80 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 2-0 record over his three most recent starts. Meanwhile, Jason Berken has been a disaster as a starter for Balitmore this season. He's 1-6 over 9 starts with a 5.87 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Those numbers skyrocket when he pitches on the road, his ERA jumping to 9.49 and his WHIP reaching 1.95 over those three starts. The Sox have been hitting great as a team lately, averaging 6.4 runs per game and hitting .296 as a team over the last 7 days, while the Orioles have been ice-cold on offense, managing to post 4.4 runs per game, but only hitting .225 as a team. Expect the White Sox to come out very strong behind Danks in their first game back from the All-Star Break.Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Philadelphia Phillies @ Florida Marlins - Friday July 17, 2009 7:10 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 9 (-120)
4 Unit Play. Take the Under 9 between the Philadelphia Phillies @ Florida Marlins (Friday @ 7:10pm est). Let's go back to the tilt betwen the Phillies and Marlins. These two hook up this evening as they come off an under yesterday where just four runs were scored. I believe that this will be another's pitcher's duel today as these two compete for the tops in the NL East. Although Cole helped his team win 8-7 in his last contest, he picked up a no-decision and was fortunate the Phillies won given that he gave up 5 runs in 6 innings. Nolasco comes off one of his worst starts of the year where he gave up 7 runs in 6 innings in Arizona. This comes off a start where he gave up just 3 hits in 8 innings (shutout) in back to back brilliant starts against Pittsburgh and Washington (2 runs in 8 inns). I expect Nolasco to bounce-back today and actually expect the Marlins to win. After all, they come off a loss yesterday and Nolasco on the bounce-back. But, rather than going against Cole, we will take the Under as we expect both pitchers to have a strong outing today. The Under is 5-0 when the Phillies face the NL East, the Under is 4-1 when Hamel starts on the road with this margin and the Under is 4-0 when Nolasco starts as an Underdog of this margin at home.Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
Halfbets
SSG
Boston v. Toronto 7pm
PICK: Red Sox ML +110 (7*)
Texas and Twins Under 11 runs -115 for 4 units
Texas has been money to the under this season at home after years of having only mediocre pitching they finally look to have a good season with their crew. The Under has gone 27-16 this season in Texas winning at 63% rate this season so far. On the mound today for the Twins is Perkins (4-5 4.71 ERA) vs. Padilla (7-4 4.53 ERA). Both pitchers are a combined 18-10 to the under this season. Perkins went 12.1 innings pitched against Texas last season giving up only 2 ER in 2 games pitched. Padilla had 3 games against the Twins and 2 of those he went 16 innings pitched giving up 0 ER while in his other game he gave up 3 ER in 5 innings. Both pitchers have historically done good against there opposing team today. The Under is 21-7 as a road underdog for the Twins last 30 games. The Under is 14-3 as a home favorite for Texas and the Under is 10-1 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Under is also 21-7 against a lefty starter and the under is 6-0 in Padilla last 6 starts overall. In the past meeting with these two teams the games have gone 8-2 to the over last year but with two improved pitching crews I see value in a good spot for an under today in Texas.Comment
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Re: 7-17-09
IndianCowboy
Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
Selection: 4* Game of the Week Tampa Bay Rays -145
The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Kansas City Royals in the first of a three game set on Friday Night. The Tampa Bay Rays are currently 6.5 games back in the American League East as they start their second half of the season. I'm expecting the Tampa Bay Rays to put together a really strong second half of the season and make a push at winning the AL East for the second straight year. It all starts tonight.
The Tampa Bay Rays send James Shields to the mound who is 6-6 with a 3.42 ERA on the year. The Rays haven't had much success with Shields on the mound away from their hometown, but it has alot to do with their lack of run support and not so much Shields performance. He is 2-4 on the road but boasts a 3.88 ERA. That's a place where most pitchers would love to be. The good thing is that Shields should be even better tonight against a team has dominated. Shields is 5-0 in his 5 career starts against KC with a 2.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP. In 4 of his 5 starts he has allowed 2 runs or less, going 6 innings or more in all 5 starts. The Rays as a team have had plenty of success against the Royals as they are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
The Royals are hoping to stop the bleeding by sending Brian Bannister to the mound. Bannister has had a pretty decent year on a bad team going 6-7 with a 3.66 ERA. The problem here is that he is horrible against the Rays. He is 1-3 in his career with a 6.95 ERA. In reality, he had one excellent start against the Rays, which was the first time they ever seen him, and one average start in between two horrific starts. In his last start against the Rays on June 3rd, he went 3 2/3 innings giving up 9 hits and allowing 8 earned runs. The Royals are 1-8 in Bannister's last 9 starts against the American Leauge East. Look for the Rays to jump all over Bannister again tonight as they try to start their push towards the top of the AL East! Play the Rays as our 4* MLB Game of the Week!Comment
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