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Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns
Game: Montreal Alouettes at Saskatchewan Roughriders Jul 18 2009 3:00PM
Prediction: under
*TOM
Game: Montreal Alouettes at Saskatchewan Roughriders Jul 18 2009 3:00PM
Prediction: under
*TOM
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Re: 7-18-09
Ben Burns
*BIG TICKET* #1 TOTAL OF THE WEEK! (EARLY!)
UNDER 8.5 RUNS,OAKLAND ATHLETICS (Mazzaro)-vs- Los Angeles Angels(Weaver)
Reason: I'm playing on the A's and Angels to finish UNDER the total. Last night's game slipped 'over' the total in the late innings. I expect a lower-scoring contest this afternoon. Weaver had a very solid first half. He finished with a 10-3 record and an excellent 3.22 ERA and 1.122 WHIP. The UNDER was 9-7-2 in his starts and he averaged nearly seven innings an outing. Weaver should be happy to see Oakland. In seven starts vs. the A's, he has an outstanding 2.56 ERA and 0.985 WHIP. His last three starts against them finished with scores of 3-2, 2-1 and 3-2. Note that Weaver is also 3-1 with a stellar 1.80 ERA in four afternoon starts this year. While Weaver will have the advantage of facing Oakland for the first time this season, Mazzaro will have the advantage of facing LA for the first time in his career. The A's rookie has made eight starts (3.59 ERA) and ALL eight of them have stayed below the total. Note that the A's rookie has an excellent 2.19 ERA in his two daytime starts, recording 12 K's in 12 1/3 innings. With the A's currently a slight underdog, note that they've seen the UNDER go 28-12-2 the last 42 times that they have been listed as home underdogs in the +100 to +125 range. I expect those numbers to improve with the final combined score staying below the total.Comment
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