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Re: 7-18-09
Craig Davis
Saturday's Lineup
40 Dime ---- MARINERS (With Washburn and Ohka as listed pitchers)
SEATTLE MARINERS (with Washburn and Ohka as listed pitchers) --- One play, one big winner today. We will ride the small momentum from last night's winning performance with a fairly big win this afternoon. Look back at my history... when I release just one play, I win more often than not. I've looked up and down this card and I just can't justify asking you to pay me to give you a selection that I don't have 100% confidence in. There was one play, however, that I feel you should step out on with absolute certainty... and that's the Seattle Mariners over Cleveland with Jarrod Washburn on the hill.
These two teams have met just twice so far this year, with each earning a win over the last two days. The difference? Starting pitching. Cliff Lee dominated the Mariners for seven innings Thursday as the Indians had no trouble earning a 4-1 home win. On Friday night, Felix Hernandez turned the tables, tossing 8 innings of 5-hit ball, striking out 8 in a 6-2 win for the Mariners.
Today the M's have a chance to keep pace in the AL West if they can get by Tomo Ohka and the Indians. Yes, the Indians. Aside from Lee, Cleveland is really struggling to find some solid starting pitching... and that doesn't even take into account how poorly the bullpen has performed. This afternoon, the Indians throw Tomo Ohka back out on the hill in an attempt to stop the bleeding, but it's simply not going to happen. Ohka has been flat out awful this year, posting a 6.40 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in four game started. The funny thing about Ohka is that he's gone back and forth from the bullpen to the rotation and back and forth again. The Indians can't figure out what to do with him because they are so thin in the starting five. Ohka does better out of the 'pen, but they can't afford NOT to have him in the rotation. Ohka's ERA vs. Seattle (after only facing them twice in his career) is 5.73 (7 ERs in 11 IP) and he hasn't beaten them in either try. Nothing whatsoever tells me that's going to change today.
Washburn, on the other hand, has been absolutely sizzling hot recently and might actually be pitching better than Felix Hernandez. Washburn has allowed just one earned run in his last 16 innings of work and has pushed his record up to 6-6 after a very slow start to the season. For the season, Washburn 2.96 ERA
th a WHIP barely above 1.00 and his strikeout to walk ratio is nearly 3:1. No matter if he was facing the Indians at home or on the road, they just don't have enough firepower on offense to put a scare into anyone.
Seattle is 5-1 in Washburn's last 6 starts and 5-2 in their last seven vs. a right-handed starter on the road. The Indians, meanwhile, are 1-4 in their last five vs. a lefty, 1-5 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-4 in Ohka's last four starts. This one's easy... it's Washburn and the Mariners in an easy win. -
Re: 7-18-09
Jake Timlin
Jake Timlin Saturday's action
800? Boston Red Sox
Easiest call of the day, take the Red Sox as they continue to dominate Toronto.
Winner of 9 of the last 12 series meetings, including last night’s 4-1 win I love the Red Sox to continue their magic over the Bluejays today. Helping pave the way will be Penny who despite being winless in his last four starts the righty has been has given his club good innings posting a 3.71 ERA over his last three starts. Plus, let’s not overlook that Boston has won 6 of their last 7 games to quietly build the best record in the American League.
Meanwhile helping out will be the Bluejays who have lost 13 of their last 16 games and 5 of the last 6 games started by Tallet who is fresh off a 3 inning 8 earned run loss last start out.
Let’s face it if Buckholz was able to dominate the Bluejays in his season debut last night then I don’t see Penny have much of a problem keeping Toronto down.
Take the Red Sox big today north of the boarder.
All Boston!Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball
PHILLIES @ MARLINS 7:10 ET
PHILLIES ARE ON A ROLL 6 STRAIGHT WINS, 9-1 THEIR LAST 10, AND 27-15 ON THE ROAD. THEY HAVE OPENED UP A 5 GAME LEAD ON FLORIDA AND LOOK TO EXTEND THAT TONIGHT. THE WORLD CHAMPS HAVE SHAKEN OFF A FIRST HALF MALIASE AND LOOK TO REPEAT. RIGHTY BLANTON WILL GET THE ROAD "W" TONIGHT. HE OWNS FLORIDA 3-0 LIFETIME AND 1-0 THIS YEAR. IN HIS LAST 19 INNINGS HE HAS BEEN LIGHTS OUT, 2-0 WITH AN ERA OF 1.89. ALL PHILLIES TONIGHT AS THEY BEAT THE MARLIN'S ACE.
PHILLIES +120 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTIONComment
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Re: 7-18-09
Matt Rivers
MONSTER 100,000* NO-BRAINER Plus Bonus Lock Your winners here are on:
1. 100,000? Mets
2. 50,000? Cubs (???possible pitching change???, stay with play as always!)
1. Johan, Johan, Johan!
Yes the Mets are too banged up to compete right now and are rather awful. I also know that Santana was lit up at Yankee Stadium and hit hard in Milwaukee a few weeks ago so there have been some issues on the road. There are also random rumors about the lefty not being 100%. But if you are going to give me a guy who is still a total stud and arguably the best hurler on the planet at this ridiculous dirt cheap price against a good but not great Braves squad then I am all for it, no matter how pathetic Jerry Manuel's club has been at times.
Kenshin Kawakami is pretty good and I don't see him getting blasted today but I do believe that David Wright and the fellas will rise up for their ace as they did in that last start when they crossed the plate four times in shutting out the Reds, 4-0. I am not thinking that New York will roll and all of a sudden just bust out because frankly the talent is not really there for that. Bu there is enough with Wright, Castillo, Francouer and a few others to score enough and watch Santana do his usual seven innings and one or two earned run outings.
Look for another quality start from Johan and for K-Rod to notch another save as the New Yorkers pitch well enough to take care of business in a well pitched and well played 4-2 type fo a victory.
2. Jordan Zimmerman has the potential to be a future stud and as I have been saying for awhile now, the Nationals have more talent than their record indicates but to get the former All-Star in Ted Lilly and the far superior Cubs at this cheap price is too good to not give it a go.
Washington does have talent with Ryan Zimmerman, Dunn, Guzman and a few others but all in all they are not up to par with Lee, Ramirez, Soriano, Fukudome and these visitors. Plus after Zimmerman is out of gas who comes in? The Washington bullpen is not good at all and even with Chicago's issues at times with guys like Marmol and Gregg it's the Cubbies who are still far superior with the relievers.
The Nats have the upside to win this single random game, I will admit that, but they don't do it about half the time as the oddsmaker seems to believe constituting a bargain and a semi steal for us.Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA (Blanton over Johnson)....10 DIMER - TORONTO (Rzepczynski over Penny)
20 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (Blanton over Johnson)
Cole Hamels was crusing last night against Florida before the rains came and the Marlins caught a huge break. Even with that break the Phillies still won, and have now won their last 7, and 11 of 12. They have also dumped the Marlins in 6 of the 8 meetings this year, and 8 of the last 10 dating back to last season.
Josh Johnson may be Florida's "stopper", but Joe Blanton has actually been just as tough of late, as both hurlers have gone 2-1 their last 3, Blanton's ERA at 1.83, while Johnson's a tad higher at 2.65.
The way the Phillies went to the break, and picked right back up where they left off to start this week, G-Man thinks the value is all on the side of the visitor.
Take Philly once again to hand Florida with another loss.
10 DIMER - TORONTO BLUE JAYS (Rzepczynski over Penny) - 1:05 PM
I can't say his name too well, but I like what I have seen from Toronto's Marc Rzepczynski through his first couple of big league starts, and I will give him a shot this afternoon against Boston and Brad Penny.
Penny has cooled off, as his is 0-1 over his last 3 starts, and the Sox have lost all 3 of those assignments. In fact, Penny is now 1-2 over his last 7 starts, and I have a feeling the struggling Blue Jays will get something going against the burly Boston hurler today.
Boston has won their last 4, and they are 5-2 in this year's season series with Toronto. Penny did win his last start against the Jays back on May 20th, so turnabout is fair play in this one, go with the slumping Blue Jays to cool off the Red Sox.Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
Scott Delaney
Saturday ...
20 DIME DODGERS -1' RUNS (WITH Kershaw and Hampton) - Enough is enough with this losing, and just when everyone will think it’s time to jump on the Astros, er, on the against-Los Angeles bandwagon, I’m getting on the Dodgers in blowout fashion. I have to, as this is still the team with the best record in baseball, and this is a team that is in quintuple revenge at home against the Astros, after last night’s shellacking at Chavez Ravine.
Tonight I am banking on Clayton Kershaw over Mike Hampton, who is making his first start against the Dodgers since May 14, 2005. He has a 4.59 ERA in 19 careers starts against the Dodgers and after watching that dismal display last night, I believe the men in blue will rock the southpaw from the game early. Houston has outscored the Dodgers 11-1 in the series while Los Angeles has gone 0-for-9 with runners in scoring position – trust me, they’re more than ready to explode for this one.
I know I’m in good shape pitching-wise, as Kershaw has gone 4-0 with a 0.76 ERA over his last six outings. The Dodgers have won each time he’s been toed the slab, including last Sunday’s 7-4 victory in Milwaukee, where he allowed one run and two hits over six innings.Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
MR EAST
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES @ FLORIDA MARLINS
PLAY: FLORIDA MARLINS -120 FOR 3 UNITS
Josh Johnson is one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball, and he has led the Florida Marlins to a 14-5 mark in his 19 starts, while pitching to a 2.65 ERA. The Marlins are also 8-2 in his 10 home starts. Johnson has allowed more than 3 earned runs just 1 time, and not a single time at home has he allowed more than 3, and his ERA is 2.06 over the 10 home starts. Joe Blanton has pitched well of late, but on the season has a 4.21 ERA in 8 road starts, and the Phillies have dropped his last 4 starts as an underdog, while the Marlins are now 7-0 when Johnson takes the mound at home vs a team with a winning record.
I'm going with the Marlins here.Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
Ferringo
2.5-Unit Play. Take #923 L.A. Angels (-115) over Oakland (4 p.m., Saturday, July 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #922 Chicago White Sox (-140) over Baltimore (4 p.m., Saturday, July 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #903 San Francisco (+110) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, July 18)
2-Unit Play. Take #913 Colorado (-115) over San Diego (10 p.m., Saturday, July 18)
Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Tampa Bay at Kansas City (7 p.m., Saturday, July 18)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 San Francisco at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Saturday, July 18)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 Houston at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Saturday, July 18)Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
Tom Stryker's MLB Blowout of the Week - 17-6 Run!
Counting last night's victory on Tampa Bay, Tom has quietly nailed 17 of his last 23 MLB selections. The winning won't stop there either. Stryker has isolated a golden arm in a money-making spot and this solid late phone play comes with the support of one awesome team trend that will get there. Grab Tom's MLB Blowout of the Week for $20.
texas rangersComment
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Re: 7-18-09
SSG
Minnesota v. Texas 8pm
PICK: Twins ML ev (8*)
Here is one of the plays from PremierCappers who were 4-0 yesterday and on a 5-0 run since the All Star break
Dodgers RL +110 for 4 units-
Well the Dodgers have lost their first two games of the series and I believe that is going to provide some motivation for them to win and win big today. The Pitching matchup in this game is Kershaw (7-5 3.16 ERA) vs. Hampton (5-6 4.52 ERA). Kershaw has been lights out this season and has had 10 quality starts his last 10 games and in his last 6 games he has given up 3 ER in 35.2 innings. Hampton has been hot and cold all season long and pretty much when he does not start against Pittsburgh he has been terrible. He gave up 5 runs to Washington his last game and I believe he has faced a lot of easy competition. Kershaw did struggle his last game against Houston having his worst outing this season. But that was in Houston in April and Kershaw will be looking to pitch a gem today. The Dodgers are still 13 games over .500 at home this season and I think that they will show up today.Comment
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Re: 7-18-09
Randall the Handle
Colorado –1.09 over SAN DIEGO PINNACLE
The Rockies have come in here and have beaten the Padres both games while outscoring them 15-4 and it sure doesn’t look like this one will be any different. Jason Hammel has outstanding credentials when he’s not pitching at Coors. He’s started seven games on the road, covering 50 innings, and has posted a 1.97 ERA in those starts. In those 50 frames the league is hitting just .227 off him and he’s allowed just two bombs. Hammel also has excellent control, as his 21 walks in 89 innings this season will attest to. The Rockies are hot and the Padres are the Padres. Kevin Correia has a 4.68 ERA at Petco and that’s equivalent to having about an ERA of 6.50 anywhere else. In three July starts his BAA is .324 and his ERA is 5.94. Lastly, the Rocks are 15-4 in its last 19 road games while the pathetic Padres have won eight of its last 31 games. This is a very cheap lay on the far superior team in a good spot. Play: Colorado –1.09 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).
CFL
SASKATCHEWAN +4½ over Montreal
It’s very tempting to play the Riders straight up, as every dog that’s covered this year has not needed the points. The Riders may not either as they come in 2-0 and have looked very impressive thus far. It’s also worth noting that Darian Durant has never lost a game as a starter in his career and as it turns out, the Als blowout win over the Eskies last week has a lot less weight after Edmonton got blown out by the Lions on Thursday. Anyway, you don’t need me to tell you that the Alouettes are a damn good football team with an explosive offense and a ton of weapons. However, the Riders are good too and this venue is as tough as any for the opposition to win at. The Roughrider defense is one that puts a ton of pressure on the QB and so far in two games that defense has caused 13 turnovers. That’s a staggering number and a significant one. Lastly, the Riders have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams and that includes all three games at Mosaic Stadium, which is just more proof of how difficult it is to win here. Play: Saskatchewan +4½ (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).Comment
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