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Re: 7-22-09
Lenny Del Genio's 15* AL Game of the Week
SEA Mariners
Lenny Del Genio's 15* AL Game of the Week
SEA Mariners
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Re: 7-22-09
Tom Stryker's MLB Power Pitching Shocker- 21-7 RUN
Counting last night's two wins on Milwaukee and Tampa Bay, Tom has quietly cashed 21 of his last 28 MLB selections. The winning won't stop there either. On Wednesday evening, Stryker has isolated one of MLB's best arms in a phenomenal money-making spot and this strong late phone play is absolutely loaded with technical support! Grab Tom's MLB Power Pitching Shocker for $20.
ST.LOUISComment
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Re: 7-22-09
Jack Jones
15* on Arizona Diamondbacks +195
Take the hot starter here with Jon Garland and the Diamondbacks. Garland's record on the season is just 5-9, but he's 1-1 (the D-Backs are 2-1) in his last 3 starts and has a 2.70 ERA over that stretch. Garland will be countered by Ubaldo Jimenez tonight, a strikeout pitcher who sometimes gets into trouble with his control. Jimenez is 1-2 in his last 3 starts with a 4.19 ERA with most of those runs coming as the expense of allowing too many walks. The Rockies have also had problems with their bullpen this season. As a unit they have a 4.92 ERA and just a 10-14 record this season. The Diamondbacks' pen has only been slightly better, but they have enough factors going their way tonight to warrant a play as such a huge underdog.
15* on Indians/Blue Jays UNDER 8.5
Typically you probably think of these two teams as strong offensive units, but that hasn't been the case for the Indians or the Blue Jays over the past week. In their last 7 games, the Indians have hit just .245 as a team and have scored an average of only 2.6 runs per game. The Blue Jays are also averaging a mere 2.6 runs per game over their last 7 games, and they are hitting even worse than Cleveland, coming into tonight's game with a team batting average of .221 over the past week of play. Ricky Romero is the Toronto starter and he has been extremely effective when he pitches at home this season. His record at home is 5-2 and he's earned a 2.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 7 appearances in Toronto. Meanwhile, Carl Pavano has stepped up his game of late, going 2-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his last 3 starts, never allowing more than 2 earned runs in any one of those appearances.
20* No-Brainer on Giants/Braves UNDER 7
This is a game where it's hard for books to set the line low enough. You have Tim Lincecum, the reigning Cy Young Award winner from last year, who has picked up right where he left off last season earning a 10-2 record, 2.27 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 19 starts for the Giants. Linececum has showed no signs of slowing down either, he's undefeated in his last 3 starts, posting a 1.74 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Atlanta's Jair Jurrjens doesn't get the fanfare of Lincecum, but he's been nearly as effective this season, earning a 2.77 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 20 starts. You should also factor in that the Braves have not hit right handed starters well this season, batting .258 as a team and scoring just 3.8 runs and, of course, tonight they are facing one of the best righties in the game. San Francisco, on the other hand have struggled to produce runs on the road this year, scoring 3.4 runs per game and hitting .244 as the visitor. Looking over San Fran's last 7 games, you'll see they've managed to put up just over 2 runs per game and are hitting a collective .211 over that span.
15* on Cardinals/Astros UNDER 7
After an old fashioned slug-fest last night between the Cardinals and Astros, I like them to stay under the total tonight with two of the hottest pitchers in baseball on the mound. Chris Carpenter has been money this year, going 8-3 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 14 starts, he's also 3-0 over his last 3 appearances with a 1.71 ERA and 1.10 WHIP and has a 2.50 ERA on the road this season. Roy Oswalt has been a workhorse for the Astros for several years, and despite a slow start, he's pitching as good as any one in baseball lately. Over his last 3 starts he has earned a 1.96 ERA and 0.61 WHIP, where the Astros are 3-0 over that stretch. Expect an old fashioned pitcher's duel tonight.Comment
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Re: 7-22-09
Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year in Baseball we were 79-42 for PLUS 33.6 UNITS and that was playing just ONE UNIT PER GAME! We are already 51-25 for PLUS 25.2 UNITS this year in Baseball! Today we have isolated another STRONG BASEBALL WINNER that can only be rated as a PREFERRED PLAYERS CLUB BASEBALL ROCKER! Get this GUARANTEED WINNER NOW for just $25! We are currently on a 202-102 run! 7/22/2009
PREFERRED PLAYERS CLUB BASEBALL ROCKER
Toronto w/Romero -143 7:05 ESTComment
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Re: 7-22-09
Tony Salinas Baseball
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
25* Marlins {R.Nolasco} (-140) over Padres {J.Geer}
3:35 PM -- Petco Park
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
24* Rangers {V.Padilla} (+120) over Redsox {C.Buchholz}
8:05 PM -- Rangers Ballpark in Arlington
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from left to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.
26* La Angels {J.Saunders} (-115) over Royals {B.Bannister}
8:10 PM -- Kauffman StadiumComment
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Re: 7-22-09
Chris Jordan Wednesday's winners ...
200? WASHINGTON NATIONALS (LIST Stammen and Pelfrey) - So much for a trip to the nation’s capital being a cakewalk and possible tour of Pennsylvania Avenue. While the Mets won for just the seventh time in 21 games in Monday night’s series-opener against their NL East rivals, they could only muster one base runner to second base last night en route to a 4-0 loss. Two things to note there: the whole base-running issue is obvious, but how about the fact the lowly, league-worst Nationals shut the Mets out. More notably, it was the seventh time this beleaguered offense has been shut out since June 22.
Quite simply, while the Mets are dinged up, and the Nats are playing with a “nothing-to-lose” attitude, I find it value to take the home team with a cheap price like this, while most of you would think it’d be value to play the underdog here. It’s a trap, trust me.
To wit: right-hander Craig Stammen might be 2-5 on the year, but he’s coming in after posting his third straight quality start, last Friday against the Cubs. Though he absorbed the loss because of a couple of mistakes, he labored through six hard-fought innings. Tonight I believe he’s in the right spot for a win, as the Mets are mired in a 2-7 funk on the road, while their right-handed starter, Michael Pelfrey, is 1-2 in his last three starts with a 10.05 ERA; Stammen’s ERA in his last three starts is 2.45. Value, it’s why we play baseball. Tonight it’s with Washington.
200? TEXAS RANGERS (Action) - Not sure where Boston’s offense has disappeared to, but after losing on the run line with the Crimson Hose, I need to jump ship and take the home dog tonight. All-Star Timmy Wakefield is headed to the disabled list, so that means Clay Buchholz is on the bump tonight, and that means the Rangers have a good chance at dismantling the Wild Card-leading Sox with that occasionally explosive lineup that leads the majors in home runs. I’m not listing pitchers in this one, as I’m basing this play on pure momentum, but Vicente Padilla’s work could be pretty easy since Boston is batting .195 (25 for 128) and has plated just eight runs during this four-game slide.
Red Sox captain Jason Varitek, who is .091 in his last eight games, said it best after last night’s loss: “We’ve hit our worst spot of the year as a team swinging the bats.” And since the Rangers are 4-1 against Boston this season, this seems to me like the sharp play tonight as far as the dogs are concerned.
Delving into the numbers, the Sox are mired in losing streaks of 5-11 against the American League West and a dismal 2-10 with Buchholz toeing the slab with a suitcase in hand. On the flipside, the Rangers come in riding win streaks of 8-2 at home, 6-0 against the East, 21-7 when Padilla throws on four days rest and 20-8 when he’s installed as a pup.
With Boston playing its sixth road game in as many days – all since the start of the second half, I’ll take the Rangers in an easy win over the road-weary Hose.
200? L.A. DODGERS RUN LINE (WITH Billingsley over Arroyo) - We’re going to ride the Dodgers for a third straight night, end of story.
Once again the Dodgers found a way to build a lead and ride out the win over a dismal Reds team that is now five games under .500. It was the blowout I once again anticipated. And after watching the Dodgers break out with a solid offensive surge two straight nights, I’m looking for another dominating performance.
Once again, based on the price of this game, it’s easy to see what the oddsmakers are telling us about the Dodgers – they’re deservedly steep favorites. For the second straight night we’re going to lay the run line, which I don’t mind laying with a team that continues to defy all naysayers by winning ball games however it can.
After last night’s setback, Cincinnati has lost 12 of 16 since July 3. And as I said the past two nights, things are heating up in the National League, and this is the exact type of time frame Dodgers need to take advantage of every single night.
I’ve got the momentum on my side with L.A., the team boasting the best record in baseball, as it’s now won nine of 10 meetings going back to last season. Going back even further, the Dodgers have won 23 of the last 29 meetings, while the Reds are on a 3-10 slide in their last 13 as an underdog and have lost 11 straight at Chavez Ravine. Lay the run line tonight, as the Dodgers dismantle the visiting Reds.Comment
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Re: 7-22-09
Sam Clayton Picks
Wednesday, July 22
20 dime - Angels
Much has been made about the recent struggles of Joe Saunders. The Angels' lefty is winless in his last four starts and you'd have to go all the way back to June 24 against Colorado for his last 'W'. However, the stars have aligned for him today as he's going to beat the lowly Royals, losers of 10 of their last 11 games. Saunders is the type of pitcher that thrives against Kansas City, he pitches to contact and challenges them to hit the longball. That's the key to beating him -- driving the ball into the alleys and out of the yard, something Kansas City's hitters don't do nearly enough. The Royals are 25th in the big leagues in home runs and have a glaring lack of power in the lineup. Saunders also has history on his side as he's 21-10 with a 3.95 ERA in 37 career road starts. And earlier in the season in the highly anticipated pitcher's duel between Saunders and Zach Greinke, it was the Halos' southpaw that won the battle, throwing a complete game shutout while scattering only five hits. The Angels have won 8 of 9 games and as witnessed yesterday, they are having no problem putting runs on the board. L.A. is 8-2 against Kansas City since Opening Day 2008 and with these teams going in completely different directions, I'm playing the Halos as Wednesday's top play winner.
10 dime - Mariners
Love the value we're getting today on Seattle with perhaps the best young pitcher in baseball on the mound. Felix Hernandez (10-3, 2.51) seems to be a shoe-in for the AL Cy Young award and the 23-year-old phenom hasn't allowed more than three runs in his last 10 starts. The King is 6-0 with a 1.30 ERA over that span and the M's have won the last seven times he's toed the rubber. As if his numbers couldn't get any more astounding, Hernandez has been incredible on the highway this year, posting a (6-1, 1.97) road marker. And tonight, he aims to silence a Detroit offense that he's beaten four times in a row dating back to 2007. Tigers' starter Armando Galarraga has seen better days as he's mirrored in the middle of an ugly sophomore slump. Since May 1, he's 2-8 with an ERA in the high sixes. King Felix will be on top of his game tonight and he'll only need a couple runs to bring home a win for the M's.Comment
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Re: 7-22-09
Premier cappers
Toronto ML –145 for 3 units
Today I believe we are getting Toronto in a good spot to get a win against a bad Cleveland Indians ball club whom is 8-21 their last 29 games overall. The Indians are 17-29 away from home this season while Toronto is 7 games over .500 at home. Ricky Romero (7-4 3.25 ERA) will be taking the hill against Carl Pavano (8-7 5.13 ERA) of Cleveland. Pavano has not started since July 11th which is 11 days off between starts. I believe this is going to effect his control today against Toronto who is coming off a 2-1 loss yesterday. Romero just got done pitching against 3 AL East teams in which he struggled some but I believe we are getting him in a good spot today after pitching against stiffer competition than Cleveland. Romero is 5-2 at home with a 2.91 ERA and Pavano is 5-4 away 4.50 ERA. Cleveland is 2-8 in their last 10 games as road underdogs. We are also getting a big home umpire today that is 20-7 for the home team his last 27 games he has called. I see this as a good spot for Toronto team that is 18-10 against the AL Central with Cleveland being a respectable 13-14 against the AL East.Comment
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Re: 7-22-09
Scott Delaney
Wednesday night ... 10-DIME ATLANTA BRAVES (Action) - Nice winning run by the Giants right now, and we’re going to take advantage of them on this three-game streak to make it four in a row over the struggling Giants. I know Frisco has the perfect pitcher headed to the mound, to halt this skid, but this is the Giants’ sixth straight road game in as many days, while they’ve lost five of their last six.
On the flipside, the Braves are on a 5-1 run and have been on fire offensively, scoring a minimum of seven runs in four of their last five games and averaging more than 7 runs per game during the streak. They’re also hitting a major league-best .300 this month.
I’m not listing either pitcher here, as this is all about momentum and taking the hotter team at this point. After all, you have relatively even teams – Frisco has 50 wins and Atlanta has 48 – and the Braves are simply playing better baseball at this point. Take the home team.
5-DIME SEATTLE MARINERS (WITH Hernandez) - I was impressed with Felix Hernandez in his most recent start, as he dominated the Indians most of the night, striking out eight and allowing two runs on five hits over eight innings in earning his 10th victory of 2009. Against the Tigers, who actually beat Felix the Cat in his 2005 debut, he’s won four straight. In his first appearance against the jungle stripes this season, back in April, Hernandez scattered seven hits and a walk over six innings of work, while he allowed three runs and earned the win. Hernandez, who is 4-2 lifetime against the Tigers, will chalk up the easy winComment
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