7-24-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Chris Jordan

100? TAMPA BAY RAYS (LIST Garza and Halladay) - Analysis due back by 1:30 p.m. eastern

100? TEXAS RANGERS (LIST Feldman and Greinke) -

100? L.A. DODGERS RUN LINE (LIST Kershaw) -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Scott Delaney
Friday night ... 5-DIME HOUSTON ASTROS (Action) - Analysis due back by 1:30 p.m. eastern

5-DIME COLORADO ROCKIES (WITH Marquis) -

5-DIME SEATTLE MARINERS (WITH Smith and Laffey) -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini Friday's play 10 Dime -- Braves (Vazquez) over BREWERS (Parra)

BRAVES
NOTE: List only Vazquez as Atlanta's starting pitcher

Brewers left-hander Manny Parra (4-8, 6.37 ERA) has been sharp in two outings since spending a month in the minors, allowing one runs and eight hits in 13 innings while striking out 13.

Parra was downright awful before that, however, and gave up five runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings on June 7 in his lone career start against the Braves.

He will be opposed by Atlanta right-hander Javier Vazquez (7-7, 2.86), who ranks in the top ten in the National League in ERA and strikeouts (141).

Vazquez has been strong over his last five starts, going 3-1 with a 1.34 ERA. He allowed one run and six hits in seven innings Sunday against the Mets in his last outing.

Vazquez is only 5-7 with a 4.87 ERA in 15 starts vs. Milwaukee, but he is 1-2 with a 2.17 ERA in his last four outings against the Brew Crew.

Milwaukee has lost 12 of its last 18, and is 1-7 in Parra’s last eight home starts.
Atlanta has won 15 of its last 22 games, and has a better record against southpaws (19-15) than against right-handers (30-32).

Look for Vazquez to continue to mow down batters today. Take the Braves in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Tony Weston
Scott Delaney Friday night ... 5-DIME HOUSTON ASTROS (Action) - Analysis due back by 1:30 p.m. eastern

5-DIME COLORADO ROCKIES (WITH Marquis) -

5-DIME SEATTLE MARINERS (WITH Smith and Laffey) -



Tony Weston FRIDAY'S PLAYS 25 Dime Rangers

Rangers at Royals
RANGERS - The Texas Rangers have won four straight games coming into tonight, while the Kansas City Royals have lost nine straight.

Yet, the Rangers come into tonight installed as an underdog. It seems a little ridiculous and we’re taking full advantage of the Plus money.

After dominating the early part of the season, Zack Greinke has turned back into his Royal self. Well, in all fairness, he has pitched decently, but he’s had no run support behind him.

After starting the season a perfect 6-0, Greinke only has four wins his last 13 starts. In that stretch the Royals have gone 4-9 and are just 2-7 Greinke’s last 9 starts, including 0-3 his last three.

On the other side, the Rangers’ Scott Feldman has been solid his last 5 outings. The Rangers are 4-1 his last five starts and have won 6 of his last 7 starts on the road.

Also keep in mind that, going back to last year, the Rangers are 8-3 their last 11 games against the Royals.

Texas will do it again tonight and get over on Kanas City as a road ’dog. Take the Rangers on the road in this one tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Tom Stryker's 5* MLB Statement Game of the Year - 21-8 Run!
#907 NY METS with Santana (-122) over Houston at 8:05 PM EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Matt Fargo's **9** A.L. RUNLINE ***GAME OF THE MONTH*** - Friday
**9** A.L. RUNLINE ***GAME OF THE MONTH*** I will be riding the Yankees once again tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

John Morrison System Play
Official Play

7/24 Toronto [A]

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Detroit (-165) over Chicago White Sox GM1 (TOP MLB PLAY)

Detroit has won 13 of the last 16 day home games and they have also won 9 of the last 12 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher. Justin Verlander has won 9 of the last 11 games when the total posted is between 8.5 to 10 runs and he is also 6-0 at home this season with an ERA of 1.34. Chicago has lost 10 of the last 15 games when playing on a Friday and Jose Contreras has lost 6 of the last 8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher.



100* Play Boston (-150) over Baltimore (TOP MLB PLAY)

Baltimore has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 15 road games vs. division opponents. Bradley Bergesen has lost 8 of the last 9 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is also 0-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 4.57. Boston has won 10 of the last 11 games when playing with a day off and they have also won 4 consecutive games vs. Baltimore at home.




50* Play Chicago Cubs (-145) over Cincinnati (BONUS MLB PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 11 of the last 15 games and they have also lost 16 of the last 25 games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Aaron Harang has lost 2 consecutive games when playing on a Friday and he is also 1-6 in road games this season with an ERA of 5.40.




50* Play LA Angels (-145) over Minnesota (BONUS MLB PLAY)

Los Angeles has won 10 of the last 11 games and they have also won 12 of the last 13 games when having an on base percentage of .360 or better over the last 15 games. John Lackey has won 12 of the last 15 games when playing in the month of July and he also has an ERA of 3.48 over the last 3 starts. Minnesota has lost 4 of the last 5 games and Francisco Liriano is 4-9 this season with an ERA of 5.33.




CFL Football


50* Play Winnipeg (-4.5) over Toronto (TOP CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)

Winnipeg has won 7 of the last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 52 points. Toronto has lost 14 of the last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 games after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Wunderdog MLB 2009/07/24

Game: San Diego at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Washington -120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 1.7)

Game: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Detroit -120 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)

Game: Texas at Kansas City (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Texas +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)

Game: Texas at Kansas City (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Texas +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 4 to win 2.4)

Game: San Francisco at Colorado (9:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +170 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.1)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball


TWINS @ ANGELS 10:05 ET
WEAVER IS HAVING A GREAT YEAR. 10-3 WITH AN ERA OF 3.48. HIS TEAM HAS WON 13 OF HIS 19 STARTS. HE IS 2-1 LIFETIME AGAINST THE TWINS AND IS 7-1 AT HOME THIS YEAR. HE HAS ALSO WON HIS LAST 2 STARTS AND WILL WIN TONIGHT. BAKER HAS BEEN 500 ALL YEAR. HIS TEAM HAS WON 9 OF HIS 18 STARTS WITH AN ERA OF 5.10. OUR EDGE HERE IS THAT BAKER IS 0-4 LIFETIME AGAINST THE ANGELS AND HE WILL GET THE ROAD L TONIGHT.
ANGELS -146 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Bobby Maxwell
Friday's winner... 400-Unit A.L. Book Buster - TEXAS RANGERS (play only with Feldman as listed pitcher for Texas)

After looking a little shaky right after the All-Star break, the Rangers have pulled it together nicely, with four straight wins as they go into Kansas City where the Royals have looked like a train wreck lately, losing nine straight.

The Rangers just swept the Red Sox and are on runs of 10-2 on Fridays, 5-2 against right-handed starters, 9-4 as underdogs and 5-1 on the road against teams with losing home records. They've got Scott Feldman (8-3, 3.87 ERA) on the mound tonight going up against Royals' ace Zack Greinke (10-5, 2.08).

With Feldman on the hill, Texas is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 4-0 when he's a road 'dog, 7-1 on the road overall, 5-0 against teams with losing records and 4-1 when he gets five days of rest. Meanwhile, the Royals are just 2-7 in Greinke's last nine starts, 0-4 in his last four at home, 5-14 when he goes on Fridays and 0-4 when he's a home favorite.

Feldman is 5-1 on the road this season and his last roadie he held the Mariners to two runs in 6.2 innings of a 6-4 victory. His only career start against the Royals came in August of 2008 when he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of a 9-4 win.

Greinke lost two 2-1 decisions to the Rangers last year but this year threw a complete-game shutout, winning 2-0. The problem is not him, the problem is the Royals' horrendous offense.

Texas has won eight of the last 11 meetings with the Royals and that will continue today. Play the Rangers.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Jeff Benton Friday's 20 Dime MLB Totals Winner ... 20 DIME: Marlins-Dodgers UNDER the total

NOTE: Josh Johnson (Florida) and Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles) MUST start this game, or this is a "no play"!


Marlins-Dodgers UNDER

I know this series between the Dodgers and Marlins features two of the best hitters in baseball, both with the surname Ramirez (Manny for L.A.; Hanley for Florida). I also understand that runs generally come in bunches when these teams get together ? they?ve combined for nine runs or more in 10 of the last 13 meetings, including all three in mid-May in Miami.

That said, this pitching matchup of Marlins ace Josh Johnson (8-2, 2.74 ERA) and Dodgers phenom Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.95 ERA) has 2-1 final written ALL over it!

Let?s start with Johnson. The hard-throwing right-hander has given up three runs or fewer in 16 consecutive starts ? a franchise record ? and 18 of his 19 outings this season, including eight straight on the road. Taking it a step further, Johnson has allowed two earned runs or fewer 12 times. Not counting his last start, which was called because of rain after two scoreless innings versus Philadelphia, Johnson has pitched at least six innings in 17 of his 19 outings this season, and he?s gone at least into the seventh inning on 14 occasions.

Johnson is barely giving up a baserunner per inning this year (1.13 WHIP), and over 128 total innings pitched, he?s got a 109-35 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and he?s yielded just seven gopher balls all year, including three in his last 10 starts.

Suffice to say, Johnson?s a stud. But as impressive as his numbers have been all season, they pale in comparison to what Kershaw has done over the past 5? weeks. Starting with a game against Oakland on June 16, the southpaw has made seven starts and gone 5-0 with a 0.63 ERA ? yes, that?s accurate: a 0.63 ERA. He?s allowed just three runs 21 hits in those seven starts covering a total of 42 2/3 innings, and in his last four starts at home, Kershaw has given up two runs (all in one start against the Mariners) on 12 hits in 23 2/3 innings.

For the season, Kershaw has a 1.62 ERA in 10 starts at Dodger Stadium, and he?s given up just one home run in 55 2/3 innings at home. In fact, nobody has taken Kershaw deep since May 27 at Coors Field ? a string of nine consecutive outings! Oh, and 10 days before yielding that home run in Colorado, Kershaw was in South Beach shutting down these Marlins, allowing just one run on one hit with nine strikeouts in seven innings.

Tonight, Kershaw faces a Marlins offense that has struggled all year against left-handed pitching, batting .247 overall, .243 on the road and .211 over the past 10 games. Meanwhile, Johnson is facing a potent Dodger lineup to be sure, but it?s one that hits 40 points better at home against left-handed pitching (.294) than right-handed pitching (.259).

Finally, because I don?t think either Kershaw or Johnson will go the distance tonight, I?m obligated to bring up the relief pitching. First off, both teams were idle Thursday, meaning all hands (er, arms) are on deck for this contests, including both closers. Secondly, these are two of the best bullpens in baseball, with Florida?s relievers posting a 3.75 ERA and the Dodgers? bully registering a scant 2.19 ERA. On the road, the Marlins? bullpen ERA drops to 2.09 (the Dodgers? to 2.59). And over the last 10 games, Florida?s relievers have a 1.46 ERA compared with 3.11 for L.A.

The Marlins enter this contest on ?under? streaks of 4-0 overall, 4-0-1 on the road, 7-1-1 against left-handed starters and 17-5-2 on the road against southpaw starters. Similarly, the ?under? is 8-3-1 in the Dodgers? last 12 home games, 5-2 in Kershaw?s last seven home starts and 8-3 when Kershaw pitches in a game with the total at 8? or lower. This is the lowest total on the board tonight for a reason, folks ? because both starters are outstanding and both bullpens are rock-solid. Play this UNDER the posted number (but again, be sure to shop around for 7? if you can find it! Don?t play this game at 7 unless you absolutely have to!).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - SEATTLE (Rowland-Smith over Laffey)...10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO (Cain over Hammel) 20 DIMER - SEATTLE MARINERS (Rowland-Smith over Laffey)

Quick turnaround for these teams, as Seattle just took 3 of 4 at Cleveland last weekend, including the last 3. The Mariners come back home having also won the last pair of their 3 game set against the Tigers, so now the M's are on a 7-2 run their last 9 games.

Better still, Seattle has won 11 of their last 15 at home, while the Indians are just 9-22 their last 31 games.

Cleveland's Aaron Laffey just pitched against Seattle, working 6 innings of 3 run ball in a no decision. I don't expect Laffey who has a near 7 road ERA in limited duty to fool the hot Mariners tonight in their park.

Rowland-Smith is back up with the big club for his first start since last September, and I look for this southpaw to perform well as he bids to stay in the rotation down the stretch.

M's still in the mix out west, and I am on them tonight.

10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (Cain over Hammel)

The Giants are making their way back west, and they were able to get out of Atlanta on Thursday by avoiding the 4-game sweep.

Big weekend set against their division-rival, and I am backing the better pitcher tonight.

Matt Cain is just 2-3 his last 5 starts against the Rockies, but I have a feeling he is game tonight. Cain is 11-2 for the year, and has allowed 1 run or less in 4 straight starts, and 5 of his last 6.

His counterpart Jason Hammel is just 1-2 in his 7 home starts this year with an ERA of 7.68. I tend to believe the Giants offensive struggles will come to an end in this one.

San Fran has won 3 of the 5 series meetings thus far this season, and I am on them tonight to open the weekend with a much-needed win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-24-09

Michael Cannon
Friday's Play...
20 Dime

BRAVES (With Vazquez as listed pitcher)

Take the Braves for the road win over the Brewers.

Atlanta is playing solid baseball right now and they are catching a Brewers team that is struggling.

The Braves have won 15 of their last 22 and have won the last three games that Javier Vazquez has started.

Vazquez ranks among the league leaders in ERA and strikeouts this year. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 1.34 ERA in his last five starts.

The Brewers have lost 12 of 18, including two of three to the last-place Pirates in their last series. Manny Parra gets the start tonight and he?s 4-8 with a 6.37 ERA on the year. I?ll admit the left-hander has pitched well in his two games since spending a month in the minors, but he doesn?t have the stuff to hang with Vazquez tonight.

Take the Braves as they grab the road win.
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