7-28-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98648

    #16
    Re: 7-28-09

    Sam Clayton
    25 DIME - ROCKIES

    Vegas is completely overrating the Mets' three-game winning streak, despite the fact that New York beat three average pitchers that are either barely above .500 or slightly under. You really have you ask yourself if the Mets can keep this streak alive with a depleted lineup sans Delgado, Beltran, Reyes and Sheffield. Jason Marquis (12-6, 3.43) gets the call tonight for Colorado, who tries to avoid losing two straight for only the third time this month. Marquis has actually been better on the highway this year, he's 7-3 with a 3.23 ERA away from Coors Field. He's won three of his last four starts and posts an outstanding 1.16 ERA over that span. And given the lack of power in the Metropolitans' lineup, you have to understand that a sinkerballer of Marquis caliber will see continued success. Marquis goes up against Mike Pelfrey, who continues to fail to live up to expectations in Queens. Pelfrey is 0-2 with a 9.53 ERA his last two starts and his WHIP is a horrid 1.58 over the same duration. This means he's allowing way too many runners on base -- something you just cannot do with the way Colorado drives the ball into the gaps. This low line is an absolute gift as the Rockies will get to Pelfrey early and add another tally to their win column. Play Colorado as your Tuesday top play winner.
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    • zags
      Junior Member
      • Jul 2009
      • 4

      #17
      Re: 7-28-09

      stbernadinesports

      lillefty 17-1 +20.14 units last 18 plays
      det/tex under 10
      cle/laa over 9.5
      st louis -115

      abats computer simulator
      Colorado -140 rating 7.3
      Seattle -117 rating 6.7
      SF -135 rating 6.2
      CWS +118 rating 6.2

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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98648

        #18
        Re: 7-28-09

        Jake Timlin
        Tuesday's Action
        400? Philadelphia Phillies

        List both Hamels & Haren as starting pitchers or this play is void

        No passing up on the Phillies plus money tonight. Not when the Phillies are absolutely red hot having won 16 of their last 18 games and still an MLB best 30-15 on the road this year. Now keeping the Phillies rolling will be Hamels who is pitching better as of late going 2-0 in his last 4 starts and who is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts against Arizona.

        Countering for the Diamondbacks will be Dan Haren who despite his amazing ERA he is just 5-4 at home this year due to an Arizona offense that is 27th in the league in hitting.

        Simple, if old man Moyer can shut down the Diamondbacks so too will Hamels who unlike Haren will enjoy an explosive offense behind him.

        All Philadelphia!
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98648

          #19
          Re: 7-28-09

          Seabass
          Steam Play 100 Tigers
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98648

            #20
            Re: 7-28-09

            TONY BRUNO WINS

            50x TWINS
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98648

              #21
              Re: 7-28-09

              Yankee Capper

              Chicago Cubs -110
              Kansas City Royals +110
              Chicago White Sox +115
              Pittsburgh/San Francisco Over 8
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98648

                #22
                Re: 7-28-09

                charlie sports

                mlb. atlanta @ florida under 8' runs & dodgers @ cards under 7' runs ( 500* 2 team parlay ).
                mlb. seattle-120 (30*)
                mlb. tampa bay+140 (20*)
                mlb. giants-145(20*)
                mlb. dodgers+115 (10*)
                mlb. atlanta-125 (10*) free play
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98648

                  #23
                  Re: 7-28-09

                  Wunderdog MLB 2009/07/28

                  Game: Oakland at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 4 units on Boston -240 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.7)

                  Game: Oakland at Boston (7:05 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Boston -1.5 runs -115 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

                  Game: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Florida +1.5 runs -160 (runline) (risk 3 to win 1.9)

                  Game: New York Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:15 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay +125 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)

                  Game: New York Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:20 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 5 units on Tampa Bay +1.5 runs -130 (runline) (risk 5 to win 3.9)

                  Game: Houston at Chicago Cubs (8:10 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs +190 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.7)

                  Game: Washington at Milwaukee (8:20 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Washington +1.5 runs -120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)

                  Game: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:35 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Arizona -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

                  Game: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 3 units on Arizona -1.5 runs +185 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.6)

                  Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
                  Pick: 4 units on Toronto +100 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4)
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98648

                    #24
                    Re: 7-28-09

                    Sportbook Guru

                    MLB
                    10 units Chicago Cubs -122
                    5 units Philadelphia +110
                    4 units LA Dodgers +115
                    3 units San Fran -140
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98648

                      #25
                      Re: 7-28-09

                      seabass 300*houston, 100* yankees, 50* phillies
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98648

                        #26
                        Re: 7-28-09

                        Unlocked - Sports

                        1) Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
                        Pick: Atlanta -112 (3 units)
                        This will be an exciting divisional matchup featuring two teams who are tied for 2nd place in the NL East. The Marlins have been hot as of late winning 5 of their last 6. The Braves have been just as impressive winning 6 of their last 8. I like the Braves as a small favourite in this one for a few reasons. Atlanta has a significant advantage on the mound in this matchup featuring Jair Jurrjens (9-7, 2.67) and Ricky Nolasco (10-7, 5.42). Each pitcher has been strong as of late, but Jurrjens has been incredibly dominant going 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last three starts. Atlanta’s offense has been on fire as of late, averaging 6.1 runs per game in its last 10 contests and averaging 0.319 versus right handed pitchers during that stretch. The Marlins on the other hand have been averaging 4.2 runs in their last 10 and batting 0.257 versus right handed pitchers down that stretch. Additionally, there are a few trends that heavily favour Atlanta in this one. Florida is 3-12 in its last 15 starts as a home underdog and 0-5 in Nolasco’s last 5 starts versus the Braves.

                        2) Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
                        Pick: Under 10 -120 (4 units)
                        There is a substantial amount of value playing the UNDER in this matchup. The total at 9.5 or 10 is inflated. Detroit sends rookie lefty Lucas French (1-1, 2.22) to the mound. He has been faring rather well recently with an ERA of only 2.17 in his last 3 starts. This works in our favour since UNDER is 8-2 in Texas’ last 10 home games versus left handed pitchers. Vincente Padilla (7-5, 4.67) will start for the Rangers. Padilla’s numbers haven’t been fantastic but the UNDER trends related to Padilla are heavily one sided. UNDER is 6-0 in Padilla’s last 6 home starts and 7-0 in Padilla’s last 7 overall. Overall, the Tigers and Rangers have been UNDER machines as of late. UNDER is 10-1 in Detroit’s last 11 and 10-0-1 in the Rangers last 11. UNDER is 22-5 in Texas’ last 27 when the total is set at 9 to 10.5.
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98648

                          #27
                          Re: 7-28-09

                          JACK JONES

                          15* on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 9.5

                          These two teams simply aren't scoring runs like you would expect them to. The Tigers have been terrible on offense of late, scoring just 2.6 runs per game and hitting only .228 as a team over the past week. Meanwhile, the Rangers have been winning, but haven't been hitting that well, scoring 4.3 runs per game and batting .251 as a team. Luke Scott starts for the Tigers and has been very effective in his 4 starts so far. He's just 1-1, but has a 2.16 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rangers' starter, Vicente Padilla's numbers are very average at a 4.67 ERA and 1.51 WHIP on the year, but the under is 11-5 in his 16 starts for Texas this season. After last night's under hit, the under in Tigers' games improved to 61-36 on the year, and the under in Rangers' games moved to 61-33 on the year. We will keep sticking with the under until some major line adjustments are made.
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98648

                            #28
                            Re: 7-28-09

                            Teddy Covers

                            Braves/Marlins Under Big Ticket
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98648

                              #29
                              Re: 7-28-09

                              VR

                              4* DET/TEX O9.5
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                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 98648

                                #30
                                Re: 7-28-09

                                Jack Jones

                                20* No Doubt Rout on NY Yankees -138

                                The Yankees rolled on the Rays last night and I'm expecting more of the same tonight, especially with these two starters on the mound. Yankees' starter C.C. Sabathia hasn't been completely dominant, but he continues to pitch very well, particularly on the road. Sabathia is 10-6 on the season with a 3.67 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 21 starts, including 6-4 on the road with a 3.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Scott Kazmir gets the call for the Rays and while he was once one of their most reliable starters, he has fallen on hard times this season. Kazmir is just 4-6 on the year with a 6.69 ERA and 1.72 WHIP and that includes a 1-3 record with a 9.50 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 7 starts in Tampa Bay this season. Offensively the Yankees are hitting as well as any team in baseball over the last 7 days, going 6-1 with a team batting average of .308 while scoring 6.9 runs per game. The Rays' bats, on the other hand, have been ice cold over the past week, where they are 3-4 as a team while hitting just .201 and scoring only 3.6 runs per game. The Yankees are making a strong push since the All-Star break and should continue to roll Tuesday night in Tampa.
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