7-29-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Ferringo

**Philadelphia over Arizona (9:40 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)
Florida over Atlanta (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)
Toronto (-1.5) over Seattle (4:40 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)
Boston (-1.5) over Oakland (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)
**San Francisco over Pittsburgh (3:45 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)
N.Y. Mets over Colorado (7 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)
L.A. Angels (-1.5) over Cleveland (3:30 p.m., Wednesday, July 29)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Seabass

Vegas Steam Play

100* Florida Marlins

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Seabass

300* Chicago Cubs -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Tony Salinas Baseball

Wednesday, July 29, 2009


24* Ny Mets {J.Santana} (-140) over Rockies {J.Hammel}
7:10 PM -- Citi Field
Partly cloudy with a 50-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from right to left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.


26* Phillies {J.Happ} (-160) over Diamondbacks {Y.Petit}
9:40 PM -- Chase Field
Clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 100.


25* Ny Yankees {J.Chamberlain}/Devilrays {M.Garza} UNDER 8½ Runs
7:08 PM -- Tropicana Field

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Dominic Fazzini
Wednesday's play
10 Dime -- MARLINS (Johnson) -1 1/2 runs over Braves (Kawakami)

MARLINS
NOTE: List only Johnson as Florida's starting pitcher

Josh Johnson (9-2, 2.80 ERA) has established himself as one of the best right-handers in the National League.

The Marlins are 16-4 in Johnson’s 20 starts, and he has allowed three earned runs or less in 17 consecutive outings. Johnson gave up three runs and five hits in seven innings Friday against the Dodgers.

Braves rookie Kenshin Kawakami (5-7, 4.04) has been sharp lately, going 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA in his last three starts. In his last outing, the right-hander allowed one run and four hits in five innings Thursday against San Francisco.

Kawakami, though, was rocked by the Marlins on April 16, giving up five runs (four earned) and five hits in six innings of a 6-2 loss.

Johnson has been great at home, going 4-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 10 starts. Florida has won nine of his last 11 starts, including his last five at Land Shark Stadium.

The Florida ace will be making his first start of the season against Atlanta after going 1-0 with a 2.40 ERA in two outings against them in 2008. The way Johnson has been going this year, I think the Marlins should cruise in this one. Take Florida on the run line.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Bob Valentino
25 DIME MLB Blowout of the Month, Part 2 ...
25 DIME -- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES with J.A. Happ on the run-line (-1 1/2 runs) over ARIZONA DIAMOND BACKS with Yusmeiro Petit

NOTE: Happ and Petit must start this game or this is no "action" ... As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Matt Fargo's **8** MLB DAYTIME DELIGHT (RL) **60% YTD** - Wednesday
**8** MLB DAYTIME DELIGHT (RL) **60% YTD**
8* Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 Runs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Primetime Sports Advisors

0-2 Yesterday 42 of last 61 in MLB (69%)

Pittsburgh Pirates-Duke vs San Francisco Giants-Cain -150
Event Date: 07/29/2009
Event Time: 03:35 PM EST
Play: San Francisco Giants-Cain -150
Comments: Top Play Selection--Risking 3.00 to win 2.00
-----------------------------------------------------
Cleveland Indians-Laffey vs Los Angeles Angels-Lackey
Over/Under: 9.5 (u -120)
Event Date: 07/29/2009
Event Time: 03:35 PM EST
Play: Cleveland/L.A. Angels Under 9.5 -120
Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 1.25

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Scott Delaney
Wednesday ... 10-Dime Blue Jays -1' Runs (WITH Halladay over the M's) - Analysis due back by 2 p.m. eastern

5-Dime Pirates (WITH Duke and Cain) -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

stu fininer
Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball


COLORADO ROCKIES @ NEW YORK METS 7:10 ET
METS ARE 10-7 THE LAST THREE YEARS AGAINST COLORADO. THEY ARE 7-1 AT HOME AGAINST COLORADO AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. SANTANA GETS THE START TONIGHT FOR NEW YORK AND WILL POST HIS 12TH WIN OF THE YEAR. HE IS 7-3 AT HOME WITH AN ERA 1.86. HAMMELS LAST 3 STARTS HAVE BEEN BELOW AVERAGE. HE IS 0-1 WITH AN ERA OF 5.52. THE METS ARE 27-20 AT HOME AND WILL WIN THIS ONE GOING AWAY.
METS -140 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION





COLORADO ROCKIES @ NEW YORK METS 7:10 ET
METS ARE 10-7 THE LAST THREE YEARS AGAINST COLORADO. THEY ARE 7-1 AT HOME AGAINST COLORADO AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. SANTANA GETS THE START TONIGHT FOR NEW YORK AND WILL POST HIS 12TH WIN OF THE YEAR. HE IS 7-3 AT HOME WITH AN ERA 1.86. HAMMELS LAST 3 STARTS HAVE BEEN BELOW AVERAGE. HE IS 0-1 WITH AN ERA OF 5.52. THE METS ARE 27-20 AT HOME AND WILL WIN THIS ONE GOING AWAY.
METS -140 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Matt Rivers

150,000* UNDERDOG 3PACK
Your winners here are on:



1. 50,000? A's

2. 50,000? Indians

3. 50,000? Braves





1. Just a few weeks back Brett Anderson hurled a gem, a complete game shutout to be exact, here at Fenway and to get a number like this today is fine with me.



I'm not saying at all that the lefty will repeat that feat because the professional hitting Sox will make some adjustments but Brad Penny is far from being the Brad Penny from years ago and to get a confident Anderson today and this price back, even with the well inferior overall team in the A's, is still worth a go for sure.



Anderson is a young kid that has really good stuff. It didn't show early on but over the last month the southpaw has been great. He was hit a little in that last start at Yankee Stadium but all in all this guy is really blossoming into a top flight hurler and a guy that is a must play when getting a chunk of change back.



Obviously Boston wins this game more times than they don't as they are that much better than the now Matt Holliday-less Athletics but Oakland does have enough to plate some runs against a fairly now mediocre Penny and therefore Hairston, Cust, Cabrera and the visitors have my backing today.





2. John Lackey scares me as he is a bulldog who seems to have shaken off the rust after missing the first month on the DL. Early on the perennial All-Star struggled but the last three outings have been of the quality variety and now seems to be the Lackey of old.



But with the above said it's still a bit too steep of a price if you ask me as the Indians have finally started to play some decent baseball.



I don't love Aaron Laffey but I also do not buy into this Angel offense without Vlad or Hunter. They have been great for sure winning a bunch of games without their guys but I still do not think this is a good offense, I just don't.



Cleveland had been in a freefall mode but looked excellent in Safeco and came back nicely in that first game in the 9th against Fuentes. Are they for sure going to win this game as well? No of course not but at this price with a decent enough southpaw on the hill and talented hitters like Sizemore, Hafner, Choo and Martinez there is without a doubt a chance and at this price I'm all for it!





3. Nobody is a bigger Josh Johnson fan then I am because this kid is really really really good. he seems to hurl quality starts every time out and is clearly superior to Kenshin Kawakami. But I still believe that Bobby Cox' squad is superior to the Fish and to get such a handsome price back is a no-brainer.



Nate McClouth has really added a nice dimension to the Bravos and Chipper Jones and Brian McCann are clearly upper eschelon players. Throw in a Yunel Escobar and a few others and you can see how the boys from Hotlanta are a better team than they showed for a lot of the first half.



The Marlins bullpen is pretty poor unlike the Braves who have a guy in Soriano closing who has been great. Add in Mike Gonzalez, Peter Moylan and a few others and Atlanta's bullpen is not bad.



All in all the Braves plus anything tonight, even against a half stud in Johnson, is a very solid value. And if you know me you know how I love teams coming off of bad losses and last night's walkoff loss was just that for the Braves.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Al DeMarco
Wednesday's Play
5 Dime - New York Mets

Johan Santana was hit hard in his last start, allowing five runs and 12 hits in 6.2 innings in a loss at Houston. His last bad outing prior to that one occurred on June 30 when he was rocked for nine hits and six runs in six innings in a loss at Milwaukee. In between, he went 2-1 with a 0.86 ERA in three starts, scattering 13 hits over 21 innings.

Tonight Santana looks to rebound against a Colorado club the Mets have owned in New York, where they've won 20 of the last 22 meetings, including five in a row. And Santana has pitched his best at Citi Field this season, going 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA in 10 starts compared to a 4-6 mark and 4.48 ERA in the same number of road outings.

Colorado's Jason Hammel is the opposite of Santana; the righthander has performed much better on the road (4-2 with a 2.08 ERA) than at home (1-3 with a 7.23 ERA), but no matter the location he's struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 4.45 ERA in his last five starts. In four of those outings, the Rockies have provided him with two or fewer runs of support.

The Mets enter having won four in a row. More importantly, their injury-wrecked offense has flourished during the stretch, putting 29 runs on the board.

Colorado is 5-9 on the road this year versus lefthanders. Considering Santana's home domination, and my abundant bankroll, I'm in the position of paying the elevated price to back to Mets in this spot. Although the run line option is tempting, especially at huge plus money, considering New York's offensive woes all season, the wiser move - again considering my winning streak and bankroll - is laying the price with Santana on the moneyline.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Chris Jordan
Chris Jordan Wednesday's trifecta ...
200? BALTIMORE ORIOLES (LIST Tillman) - How many Baltimore pitchers will make their Major League debuts this season? I’ll be there every time, I can tell you that much, and tonight I’m banking on right-handed Chris Tillman. Six of the 16 players to make their first appearance with the Orioles this season also made their Major League debuts. Tillman joins pitchers Brad Bergesen, Jason Berken, Koji Uehara and David Hernandez on the list of Baltimore's rookie pitchers.

The 21-year-old has gone 8-6 with a 2.70 ERA for Triple-A Norfolk and has recorded an impressive 99 strikeouts over 96-2/3 innings. Tillman, who was acquired from the Mariners in the Erik Bedard deal, has allowed four runs or more just twice and has lasted at least six innings in seven of his past eight starts.

I’ve told you plenty of times why we make this choice, to take a pitcher making his debut in the bigs, as there is no clear-cut scouting report. That’s the case once again, especially against a Royals offense that has been horrendous throughout this season. Take the home team here.

200? TEXAS RANGERS (Action) - Not listing anyone here, just going to continue to ride the Rangers, who are playing well and should be able to keep the momentum flowing against the jungle stripes and Justin Verlander. I know Detroit’s prize pitcher is going for his 12th win of the season, but the Tigers haven’t looked like a division-leading team lately. Detroit has dropped three in a row, scoring just six runs, and come in after losing 7-3 to the Rangers last night. The loss dropped the Tigers to 4-8 since the All-Star break.

On the flip side, the Rangers have scored 19 runs in their last three games and could send Verlander to the showers early with this offense surge. Texas has been a team you can count on to erupt for a handful of games when it gets hot, and now is the time to strike.

Yes, the Tigers have won both of Verlander’s starts against the Rangers this season, as he is 1-0 in those outings with a 1.64 ERA over 11 innings pitched. And yes, he is 4-0 with a 1.16 ERA in his last five starts versus Texas. But that’s a sign it’s time for Texas to make good on the scouting report and should get to Verlander with ease based on the way it’s hitting. Take the Rangers.

200? MINNESOTA TWINS (Action) - Three straight wins, the Twins make it four in a row with a surge of momentum after knocking off Mark Buehrle and the White Sox last night. The victory was the 16th in 20 games at the Metrodome for the Twins against the South Siders, as Chicago has given up 35 runs on the road to Minnesota this season. With last night’s win, the Twins pulled into a second-place tie with Chicago in the American League Central, two games behind first-place Tigers. The White Sox have lost five of six after entering last weekend tied for first place with Detroit – actually, since the perfect game Buehrle throw – and this is bad spot to be in during a downturn.

Minnesota has always been a team that wins in the second half and factors into the division race. I’m not listing either pitcher, I’m going off of pure momentum, and the fact is the Twins have a great shot at making a nice little run to the top of the division. The Angels are coming to town, and there will be plenty of revenge on the brain after a 1-3 stint in Anaheim over the weekend. Then it’s off to Cleveland and Motown for a six-game road trip.

This is a game the Twins need, and should get tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

GoodFella

| MLB Money Line Wed, 07/29/09 - 3:45 PM ';
double-dime bet ml954 SFG (-152) vs 953 PIT

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Big Easy Total .... triple dime CWS/Twins over 9.5