7-31-09

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 08:20 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Craig's 5 star R/L Grand Slam Play

The Bottom Line:
TB -1.5 (+103): TB is 6-0 this year verse KC winning by more than three runs per game. If that is not enough try KC has lost 13 of last 16 games. Even better Ponson is pitching for KC and he has lost 12 of his last 13 starts with a plus 6 ERA. He is 6-3 with a 4.46 ERA in his last 13 starts against the Rays. He was 0-1 with a 6.28 ERA in three starts versus Tampa Bay last season. On the hill for TB young superstar Price goes and even though he has struggled on the road that has not been problem at home going 3-1 with a 3.04 ERA in five home starts this year. KC just can't score runs consistently and TB can put up runs with the best of them.

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 10:59 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Chris Jordan
Friday night winner ...

400? TAMPA BAY RAYS RUN LINE (WITH Price over Ponson) - Though David Price received a no-decision in his last start, he will be looking to avenge the dismal start, against Toronto, which rocked him for six runs on nine hits over three innings. Difference is, the Jays can hit the ball; the Royals can’t. And since the 23-year-old's biggest issues revolve around inconsistency with his fastball, I believe he’ll make the right adjustment in a comfort zone at Tropicana Field, where he is 3-1 with a 2.96 ERA in six career appearances.

I know he often leaves his pitches in undesirable locations, which essentially weakens the effectiveness of his slider and changeup, but need I remind everyone he looked like the best pitcher on the field at times in the postseason last year? The left-hander is 1-2 with a 9.37 ERA in his last four outings, and this is the best opportunity to shake that funk and enjoy a successful outing.

The Royals, who are mired in ruts of 3-10 as an underdog and 14-37 on Friday nights, will be playing their fifth straight road game in as many days. Plus, they’re sending one of my favorite go-against pitchers to the hill … Sidney Ponson. Kansas City has lost 12 of the 13 appearances by Ponson, who is 1-6 with a 6.79 ERA.

Tampa Bay - which has won 22 of its last 29 meetings with the Royals, including all six meetings this season – is coming in steamed after losing two of three to the Yankees in what turned out to be an emotional series.

The Royals stumble into this one on a myriad of losing streaks, including 15-36 off a loss, 2-5 on the road, 1-8 against southpaws, 7-19 against winning teams and 6-22 after giving up five or more runs their last time out (they lost 7-3 in Baltimore yesterday). And when Ponson takes the mound, Kansas City is on losing streaks of 1-4 when he’s pitching on four days rest, 0-7 as an underdog and 1-7 overall.

With Tampa Bay, the winning runs include 7-3 versus the American League Central, 28-9 on Friday nights, 89-37 at the Trop and 4-1 when Price toes the home slab.

Lay the run line here, as Tampa Bay rolls to a blowout win over the road-weary Royals.

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 10:59 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Dominic Fazzini
Friday's play 15 Dime -- Cubs (Harden) over MARLINS (Volstad)

CUBS
NOTE: List only Harden as Chicago's starting pitcher

Cubs right-hander Rich Harden (7-6, 4.55 ERA) has turned his season around.

After struggling for much of the first half, Harden is 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed one hit – a Joey Votto solo homer -- in six innings with eight strikeouts against Cincinnati on Sunday.

Harden will be opposed by Marlins right-hander Chris Volstad (8-9, 4.44), who has struggled at home this year. He is 2-6 with a 5.57 ERA in his last nine outings at Land Shark Stadium.

In his last start, Volstad allowed four runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings Sunday at Dodger Stadium. It was the third time in four outings that he has given up at least four runs.

The Cubs’ offense had trouble scoring runs much of the first half of the season, but that’s not the case anymore, as Chicago has scored in double figures four times in the last 11 games.

Harden has been solid on the road all season, going 4-1 with a 2.03 ERA in seven starts, and he has allowed just three runs over 20 innings in his last three outings away from Wrigley Field.

When Harden is on his game, he’s as good as any pitcher in baseball. Combine that with the way Chicago has been swinging the bats lately, and there’s only one way to go on this one. Take the Cubs.

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 10:59 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Scott Delaney
Friday ... 10-Dime Blue Jays (WITH Richmond and Braden) - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern

10-Dime Padres -

10-Dime Phillies -1' Runs (WITH Blanton over Sadowski) -

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 11:32 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Fantasy Sports Gametime 7 /31

MLB Baseball

100* Play Detroit (-135) over Cleveland (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cleveland has lost 8 of the last 9 games coming off four or more consecutive OVER the totals and they have also lost 9 of the last 10 games after allowing seven or more runs in two straight games. Cleveland has lost 17 of the last 26 games as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 3 consecutive games vs. Detroit at home. Fausto Carmona has lost 4 of the last 5 home games and he is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 19.65.

100* Play St. Louis (-165) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 9 of the last 12 games when playing with a day off. Houston has lost 3 consecutive games vs. St. Louis on the road and Brian Moehler has an ERA of 5.16 in all games this season. St. Louis has won 13 of the last 17 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and Mitchell Boggs has won 8 of his last 10 games.

100* Play Texas (-160) over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)

Texas has won 8 of the last 10 games and they have also won 17 of the last 23 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Texas has won 18 of the last 26 games vs. division opponents and they have also won 16 of the last 22 home games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Vicente Padilla has won 12 of the last 16 games vs. division opponents and he has also won 5 of the last 6 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs.

50* Play Colorado (-135) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 9 of the last 10 games and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games vs. Colorado at home. Cincinnati has lost 17 of the last 26 games as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 20 of the last 30 games when batting .240 or worse over the last 15 games. Aaron Cook has won 5 consecutive games as a road favorite of -125 or higher and he is also 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 3.26.

CFL Football

50* Play British Columbia (-2) over Hamilton (CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)

British Columbia has won 21 of the last 27 games vs. Hamilton and they have also won 4 of the last 5 road games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 52 points. British Columbia has won 13 of the last 17 non-conference games and they have also won 17 of the last 22 games coming off an UNDER the total.

WNBA BASKETBALL

50* Play Minnesota (+4) over Detroit (WNBA HOOPS PLAY)

Minnesota has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games vs. Detroit and they have also covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games as an underdog of 6 points or less. Minnesota has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 non-conference games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games coming off a home loss.

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 11:32 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Jake Timlin
Friday's Action
400? New York Mets

List both Hernandez & Davis as starting pitchers or this play is void

Back by 4 PM eastern with analysis.

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 11:37 AM

Re: 7-31-09

Top Rank Sports

Florida -105 over Chicago Cubs

St. Louis -145 over Houston

Cleveland +120 over Detroit

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:03 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take #972 Tampa Bay (-1.5) over Kansas City (7:30 p.m., Friday, July 31)

2-Unit Play. Take #965 Philadelphia over San Francisco (10 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1-Unit Play. Take #965 Philadelphia (-1.5) over San Francisco (10 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #967 Boston over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #953 Colorado over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #958 N.Y. Mets over Arizona (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #977 N.Y. Yankees over Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Friday, July 31)

1-Unit Play. Take #951 Washington over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)

Today’s Totals

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m., Friday, July 31)

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Arizona at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, July 31)

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:03 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Wunderdog

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates +115

It's hard to even consider backing the Nationals on the road as a favorite, under any circumstances. They have their best pitcher in John Lannon on the hill, but it begins and ends there. The Nats, even with Lannon on the mound are still just 3-6 in his nine starts on the road. The Nats have been the worst road team against righthand pitching, perhaps of all time. They come into this one with an 11-51 mark in their last 62 games - not numbers that exude confidence with a favorite. Russ Olendorf has been steadily improving for the Pirates as they have now won five straight home starts with him as a home dog. It looks like a live dog here, so I'll go with the Pirates here

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:03 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Wunderdog 2009/07/31

Game: Arizona at New York Mets (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on New York Mets -1.5 runs +180 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3.6)

Game: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Cleveland +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.6)

Game: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Pittsburgh +110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.3)

Game: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tampa Bay -210 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.9)

Game: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay -1.5 runs -110 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Seattle at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Texas -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:26 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play.

Take the Over 158.5 between the Minnesota Lynx @ Detroit Shock (Friday @ 7:30pm est).

It's Friday night WNBA action, and there is just one game on tap. You've heard me write and say that whenever there is just one game on tap, the dog usually does well. Vegas has put a small line on Minneosta at Detroit today for several reasons. For starters, Minnesota comes off a loss to the Sparks at home, this is the same team that went to San Antonio coming off a loss and won Outright by 7 points, so Vegas looks for them to bounce-back as well. Having said that, Detroit has been sound lately winning 3 of their last 5 with four of those six games going into overtime. Detroit has been much better on the offensive end, but more importantly, I beleive they will be taken to the limit today. So, in short, it is the active dog/over theory that I advocate. Plus, as this is the only game on tap in Vegas today, I expect the public to have a trap set for them so to speak as well. The Over is 8-1 for the Lynx when playing on 2 days rest, the over is 7-0 in the last two meetings between these two teams and the Over is 5-1 for the Shock following a loss.

4 Unit Play.

Take Under 10.5 between the Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (Friday @ 8pm est).

Padilla has been one of the best bounce-backs in the majors for some time and this year is no different. In fact, Vincente has pitched in 7 straight Unders and 8 of 10 Unders. The total has still yet to adjust to him as he continues to pitch in many unders as his era does not indicate his bounce-back capabilities. Vincente gave up 5 runs against the Twins in his last start and picked up a loss and I expect him to pitch well today as he bounces back and helps his squad continue to roll in the playoff chase. Vargas, an alum of Long Beach State, got ripped by Cleveland in his last start giving up 6 runs in 4 innings against the Indians. The young man was coming off 3 hits adn 5 scoreless innings against Baltimore prior to getting shelled in his last start. I feel that although he is likely to get hit by the Rangers lineup a bit, he will still pitch to the under as well as he bounces back from that terrible start. Keep in mind Seattle has many young hurlers that can take the place of this young man, so he needs a quality start today. The Under is 4-0 when Vargas pitches with 4 days of rest and the Under is 5-0 when Padilla starts with a total in this range. The Under is also 5-1in the last meetings head to head.

4 Unit Play.

Take Under 8 between the Toronto Bluejays @ Oakland A's (Friday @ 10pm est).

Scott Richmond comes off a solid outing, yet he still picked up the loss as he gave up 3 runs in 7 innings in his last start. He has pitched back to back quality starts and comes off 3 of 4 quailty starts. I expect him to pitch well today as he looks to bounce-back and albeit from a quality start, a loss nonetheless. Tack that on with the fact Braden comes off a loss at new Yankee Stadium giving up 7 runs in 5 innings, I expect him to bounce-back well today. Mind you, this is a similar situation when Braden gave up 6 runs in 5 innings against the Angels on 7/16 and came back the following start on 7/21 by giving up 2 runs in 7 innings to Minnesota. This is a similar situation and I expect him as well as Richmond to pitch quality starts today. The Under is 8-2 for the Bluejays following a loss and the Under is 10-2 when Braden starts as a favorite by this margin.

Good luck,
IC

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:34 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Adam Meyer

[ Friday, July 31 2009 at 07:05:PM ]
Boston Red Sox
vs. Baltimore Orioles

Don’t expect much from either starting pitcher tonight. Boston’s John Smoltz is 1-4 with a 7.04 ERA since joining the Red Sox and was lit up by the Orioles in his last start for six runs and nine hits over five innings. On the other side, Baltimore’s starter Jeremy Guthrie has a 7.94 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox. But you can count on Boston’s two, six and number eight hitters. The trio of Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia and Kevin Youkilis have combined for a .378 batting average with 27 RBI’s verses the Orioles. Put your money on the Red Sox -125 to win the series opener tonight.

PLAY: Boston Red Sox / -125 / 5 Units

Adam Meyer
[ Friday, July 31 2009 at 08:11:PM ]
New York Yankees
vs. Chicago White Sox

Riding last night’s ninth inning win the Chicago White Sox keep it rolling at home tonight against New York and Yankee starting pitcher Sergio Mitre who returns to the rotation for his second start since being called up from Triple-A. Mitre in for an injured Chien-Ming Wang, is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA in two career starts versus the White Sox. Chicago counters with starter Clayton Richard who is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last two starts. Put your money on the White Sox +110.

PLAY: Chicago White Sox / +110 / 2 Units

Adam Meyer
[ Friday, July 31 2009 at 10:05:PM ]
Milwaukee Brewers
vs. San Diego Padres

Well out of playoff contention, San Diego’s first three-game winning streak in more than two months is enough for me to pick the Padres in a series opening win against the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. The “brew crew” just wrapped up a series with the Reds and had to scramble to avoid losing three of four to the only team in the NL worse than the Padres! The Reds can’t patch it together and the Padres keep it going. The pick tonight is San Diego +105.

PLAY: San Diego Padres / +105 / 3 Units

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:40 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Tony Salinas Baseball

Friday, July 31, 2009

25* Nationals {J.Lannan} (-115) over Pirates {R.Ohlendorf}
7:05 PM -- PNC Park
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

24* Rockies {A.Cook} (-155) over Reds {J.Lehr}
7:10 PM -- Great American Ball Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

23* Chicago Cubs {R.Harden} (-125) over Marlins {C.Volstad}
7:10 PM -- Dolphin Stadium
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.

**Mr. IWS** · 07-31-2009, 01:40 PM

Re: 7-31-09

Kikí Sports

2* Mets

7-31-09

7-31-09

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