8-2-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Jack Jones

20* No-Brainer on Atlanta Braves -120

Take the Braves over the Dodgers with Chad Billingsley struggling. Billingsley is no just 1-2 in his last 3 starts with a 9.45 ERA and a 2.02 WHIP. Meanwhile, Braves' starter, Jair Jurrjens has been incredible over his last 3 starts, going 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. The Dodgers might have the best record in the National League, but they are also just 2-5 over their past 7 games. The Braves play much better ball at home and should take game 3 of this series.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

MTI

4* Balt
4* S Fran
4* Under Seattle
3* Angels

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Freddy Wills


Bottom Line:
Take Marlins -125 4DIME POD
I look for the Marlins to remain hot at home here today and will try to stop this slide we've been on as of late with the POD's as we have lost 3 in a row after winning 11 in a row.

Marlins send Nolasco to the mound which on paper looks like the advantage points to the

Cubs and Ryan Dempster, but Dempster is making just his second start coming off the DL in his first start he gave up 9H in 5 innings and 5ER to the Astros so it's the perfect time to take advantage of him still gaining his strength back. Nolasco is no slouch either as he posts a 2.09 ERA in his last 6 home starts. Marlins are now 10-2 in their last 12 as home favorites and 4-0 in Nolascos last 4 times as a favorite. They are also 9-3 vs. RH starters which they will face in Dempster.

I mentioned for Dempster his second start, but the thing is he'll be making the start on a mound he's not used to which is a factor here especially when a pitcher is coming off a toe injury. He says he's 100% but who knows I'm sure he has to still build up his arm strength a bit. Either way the Cubs are just 2-12 in their last 14 games as a road dog. They are 1-11 in Dempsters last 12 road starts as the Cubbies bat just .243avg and score 4.03 runs per 9 innings vs. RHP on the road.

Cubs won't get much help from home plate umpire Wally Bell as they are 6-19 in their last 25 games with him back there

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #970 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -125) over Kansas City (1:30 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #958 Pittsburgh (-125) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #953 Colorado (-140) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #961 Philadelphia (-165) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #977 Toronto (-115) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #966 Florida (-130) over Chicago Cubs (5 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #980 Texas (-1.5, +115) over Seattle (8 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)



Today's Totals

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 N.Y. Yankees at Chicago White Sox (2 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Detroit at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Colorado at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Analyst: Eddie Roman
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #2 in a Row

$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #2 in a Row
BOSTON RED SOX -1.5 RUNS -105 W/ BUCHHOLZ
over BALTIMORE W/ BERKEN
$4000 Double Play
FLORIDA MARLINS -125 W/ NOLASCO
over CHICAGO W/ DEMPSTER
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +110 W/ VILLANUEVA
over S.D. W/ CORREIA
$2000 Three Team Parlay
RED SOX RUN LINE, FLORIDA AND MILWAUKEE
There's no sense to ruin a good thing. Great pitching match-up today, great team against a last place team and a lineup that is showing signs of breaking out. Yeah, I'll lay the run and a half with the Red Sox once again.
As I said yesterday, Boston has beaten Baltimore in 10 of their 12 meetings this season and one of the loss was one Boston blew a 10-1 lead. 7 of those wins have come by at least 2 runs.
Buchholz hasn't been spectacular since he has been back but he has been good. He's worked into the 6th inning twice out of his 3 starts and I do expect this to easily be his best start since being called up.
Berken, on the other hand is a disaster. Baltimore is 0-7 in his last 7 starts, 6 of which came by 2 runs. The only loss that didn't come by two runs was his lats one, against the Royals but losing a 1 run game to the Royals is like losing a 5 run game to anyone else. Out of his 12 starts this season, Berken has worked into the 6th inning just 4 times so don't expect him to last too long against a great Red Sox lineup. Also, the Baltimore bullpen , which sucks to begin with, is fried as their starting pitchers have only given them 31 innings in their last 6 starts. That's barely over 5 innings a start.
Boston is cruising now after the come from behind victory against the A's and with the addition of Martinez it's all systems go for their lineup. This should be an easy 5 run winner today which is why I'm laying the run and a half.
As for the Florida Marlins, I like this spot at home, at this price. They have a favorable pitching match-up, with Nolasco, who has been great in 5 of his last 7 starts against Dempster, who has been bombed in 2 of his last 3 outings. The Marlins are a scrappy little team, as they showed last night despite losing and I feel they will bounce back with an easy win today. The Cubs have lost Dempster's last 8 road starts and they are 1-9 in his 10 road starts this season. Florida has won 4 of Nolasco's last 5 home starts witht he one loss coming to then streaking Phillies. Good spot to play Florida here.
I'll finish up with Milwaukee and I know they have lost the first two games of this 3 game set but this is a game they need to win and I feel by hook or crook they will. The NL Central Division is starting to run away from them and with a series in LA starting tomorrow against the Dodgers, they can find themselves in a bunch of trouble by mid next week if they don't win a couple games here. They are a better team then San Diego and even though Villanueva is nothing special, nither is Correia. Could be a high scoring game but I feel the Brewers will find a way to pull it out.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

KBHoops
5* San Francisco UNDER 8 **POD**
5* Atlanta UNDER 8
5* Oakland OVER 8.5
5* Pittsburgh -129
5* Florida -136

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

David Banks

Sunday, August 2, 2009

PREMIUM MEMBERS SELECTIONS

MLB
1:10 NY Mets
1:10 Col Rockies
8:05 LA Dodgers ESPN
5:05 FL Marlins (BEST BET)
2:10 LA Angels
8:05 Tex Rangers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Tony George | MLB Money Line
Sun, 08/02/09 - 2:10 PM ?T dime bet

975 ANA (-118) vs 976 MIN

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

MR EAST

MLB SUNDAY PLAY OF THE DAY

WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES

The Pittsburgh Pirates have once again fielded a non-contending team, but that hasn't kept them from being a solid team at home, where they have posted a 27-19 mark on the season. The Nationals have won just 12 times on the road all season long, and lost a key cog in their offense when Nick Johnson was traded away. The Nats have had little success vs lefthand pitching as they have dropped 8 of their last 9. The Pirates have really done an exceptional job with Maholm on the hill at home logging a 19-9 mark in his last 28 starts. I'll go with the Pirates here.

PLAY: PITTSBURGH PIRATES -117 FOR 3 UNITS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

IC

Play: 4 Unit Play. Take Over 149.5 between Connecticut @ Detroit (Sunday @ 6pm est)(POD)

Play: 4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 New York Yankees @ Chic ago Whitesox (Sunday @ 2:05pm est)(POD)

Play: 4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (Sunday @ 8:05 pm est)(POD)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Doc's Sports

5 Unit Play. #958 Take Pittsburgh -125 over Washington (1:35 pm MLB.tv)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-2-09

Sam Clayton

Fresh off a Saturday sweep in which we nailed the M's and White Sox, the month of August started off on the plus side. I circled only one game on today's card and it just so happens to be nationally televised ESPN Sunday Night Baseball.

20 dime - Braves

Detroit Tigers general manager Dave Dombrowski is one of the best in baseball at what he does. I always give credit where it's rightfully due and Dombrowski has made some great deals throughout his courtship with Detroit. However, he was absolutely fleeced on October 29, 2007 when he traded star-in-the-making Jair Jurrjens to Atlanta for (chuckle) Edgar Renteria. Jurrjens has flown completely under the radar and transformed into one of the elite pitchers in all of baseball. Don't let his record (9-7, 2.61) fool you, Jair can flat out deal. He mixes his pitches better than most, his stuff is downright nasty and he's better with every single start he makes.

Let's take a look at the numbers... Jurrjens is 5-4 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.17 WHIP at Turner Field this season. His last four starts, he's 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and a jaw-dropping 0.81 WHIP. And in two career starts against the Dodgers, the Curacaon is 2-0 with a 1.30 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Love his chances tonight against L.A. especially given such a low line. Dodgers' starter Chad Billingsley has fallen into a major rut since winning his ninth game on June 14. The highly touted right-hander has won only once his last eight starts and he's posted a 6.46 ERA over that span.

Alanta is reeling right now having won 7 of 10 home games since the All-Star break. They are getting timely hitting, enough so that Jurrjens and Javier Vazquez (two of the best ERA possessors in baseball) have been able to add 'W's to their record. The Tomahawks have won 5 of 6 against the Dodgers and 6 of 8 in the confines of Turner Field. Play the Braves as your Sunday Night Baseball winner.