8-3-09

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 07:21 AM

Re: 8-3-09

Chris Jordan Monday night winner ...
300? TIGERS RUN LINE (LIST Verlander over Tillman) - Yep, I know, the biggest favorite on the board. But sometimes you have to simply say what the hell, and lay a price and the run line. The oddsmakers are telling you who the favorite is, and who should win this game, nd quite frankly, when you have a team coming in after giving up 18 runs, and now hve to travel to play a team hungry to keep pace in an always competitive American League Central ... well, you get the point.

Eight different players had multiple hits for the Red Sox, who pummeled the Orioles 18-10 on Sunday, as Boston pounded out 23 hits and led 14-6 after four innings. The Red Sox outscored Baltimore 28-15 in completing their first three-game sweep on the road since June 2-4, ironically, right here in Detroit. The O’s are now 2-11 against the Red Sox this season, and they’re going to be so dejected after a loss like that, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the O’s give up another double-digit figure.

Even if the beat-down is coming from Detroit, which was humiliated yesterday, 11-1, by the lowly Indians. That loss makes me love this one even more. The loss dropped Detroit to 23-33 on the road, the worst mark of any first-place team, but since it’s playing 13 of its next 17 at home, this is the perfect jumping-off point to gain some momentum.

Let’s get to the biggest culprit tonight, that being Justin Verlander. To help his Tigers maintain and possibly increase that 1-1/2-game edge over the White Sox, Verlander comes into this one on a 4-1 run and with a 2.00 ERA in his last five starts, in which he’s recorded 42 strikeouts over 36 innings.

The right-hander is sporting an American League-best 172 strikeouts and needs just 12 to surpass his career high set in 2007. Don’t be surprised if he gets it against the Orioles, who hve lost 12 of 16 after being swept by the Crimson Hose.

Verlander is 4-0 and has a 1.85 ERA against the Orioles, who are the junior circuit’s worst road team at 16-34 and have lost seven of their last nine away from Camden Yards.

Lay the run line here and bank on Verlander over Chris Tillman, who made his major league debut Wednesday, when he gave up three runs - all on solo homers – in a 7-3 win over Kansas City. This one won’t be so easy. All Tigers.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 09:00 AM

Re: 8-3-09

Dominic Fazzini Monday's plays 20 Dime -- TIGERS (Verlander) -1 1/2 runs over Orioles (Tillman)
15 Dime -- DODGERS (Kershaw) -1 1/2 runs over Brewers (Parra)

TIGERS
NOTE: List only Verlander as Detroit's starting pitcher

Tigers starter Justin Verlander (12-5, 3.16 ERA) has been unreal at home this season, going 7-0 with a 1.15 ERA in nine starts at Comerica Park.

But Verlander has been sharp just about everywhere he's pitched recently, having gone 4-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 36 innings over his last five outings.

The hard-throwing right-hander, who allowed four runs (three earned) and six hits in seven innings Wednesday at Texas, also has dominated the Orioles in his career. Verlander is 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA in five career starts against Baltimore.

Orioles starter Chris Tillman (0-0, 5.79) will be making his second major league appearance today. The right-hander gave up three runs -- all on solo homers -- and seven hits in 4 2/3 innings Wednesday against Kansas City.

Not only has Verlander been sharp at home, but Detroit plays exceptionally well at Comerica, with a 31-16 record. This is not a good spot for Baltimore today. Take the Tigers on the run line.

DODGERS
NOTE: List only Kershaw as Los Angeles' starting pitcher

Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.76 ERA) is coming into his own.

The left-hander is 5-0 with a 0.79 ERA over his last nine starts, and he pitched eight scoreless innings Wednesday at St. Louis. It was the fifth time in nine outings he has held the opposition scoreless.

Brewers starter Manny Parra (5-8, 6.50) has been anything but sharp this year. The lefty gave up five runs and nine hits in six innings against Washington in his last outing, and gave up four runs and 10 hits in five innings vs. Cincinnati in the start before that.

Milwaukee is 3-10 in Parra's last 13 road starts, 7-19 in its last 26 games in Los Angeles and 0-4 in its last four games against southpaws. Meanwhile the Dodgers at 18-11 against lefties this year, and 34-17 at home. Those numbers don't add up very well for the Brewers. Take the Dodgers on the run line in this one.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 09:00 AM

Re: 8-3-09

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS:Chicago Cubs / R Wells - R vs Cincinnati Reds / A Harang - R

PLAY: Chicago Cubs -138 (POD)
Comments:

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: San Francisco Giants / M Cain - R vs Houston Astros / M Hampton - L

PLAY: San Francisco Giants -134
Comments:

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: Kansas City Royals / Z Greinke - R vs Tampa Bay Rays /S Kazmir - L

PLAY: Kansas City Royals +125
Comments:

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 09:56 AM

Re: 8-3-09

igz1 sports

Monday Card
Sunday Recap: 3-1 MLB

MLB
3* Chicago Cubs RL -1.5 (+110) (Wells)
3* San Francisco RL -1.5 (+115) (Cain)
3* LA Dodgers RL -1.5 (+100) (Kershaw)
3* Under 8 (-115) Kansas City (Greinke) vs Tampa Bay (Kazmir)

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 10:23 AM

Re: 8-3-09

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Kansas City (+125) over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City has won 16 of the last 22 games when playing on a Monday and they have also won 27 of the last 44 games as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Zack Greinke has won 7 of the last 9 games as a road underdog of +100 to +125 and he has an ERA of 1.80 over the last 3 starts. Scott Kazmir has an ERA of 8.16 in home games this season.

100* Play Pittsburgh (-140) over Washington (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 23 of the last 30 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Washington has lost 29 of the last 38 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and Garret Mock is 0-4 in all games this season with an ERA of 7.09.

100* Play Arizona (-185) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Arizona has won 3 of the last 4 games and they have also won 12 of the last 16 games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Dan Haren has won 7 of the last 9 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 points and he is 5-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.22.

50* Play Chicago Cubs (-135) over Cincinnati (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 12 of the last 13 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 28 games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Aaron Harang has lost 10 of the last 14 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.30.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 12:08 PM

Re: 8-3-09

Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
40 DIME ---- TIGERS (With Verlander) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over ORIOLES (With Tillman)

I will be back by 4:00 pm with my analysis.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 12:08 PM

Re: 8-3-09

Ferringo

**. Take #912 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5) over Milwaukee (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take #909 Atlanta over an Diego (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Today's Totals

**Take ‘Over’ 8.0 Milwaukee at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Atlanta at San Diego (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Texas at Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 3)

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 12:08 PM

Re: 8-3-09

Jake Timlin
Monday's Action
400? Chicago Cubs (Action)

Back by 4 PM eastern with analysis.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 12:08 PM

Re: 8-3-09

Charlie

mlb. cubs @ reds under 8' runs & arizona @ mets under 7' runs( 500* 2 team parlay).
mlb. oakland-125 (30*)
mlb. kc @ tampa bay under 8 runs (20*)
mlb. astros+135 (20*)
mlb. atlanta-125 (10*)

mlb. kansas city+130 (10*) free play

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 12:09 PM

Re: 8-3-09

IC

4 Unit Play.

Take Under 7.5 between the Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres (Monday @ 10:05pm est).

Kenshin Kawakami got shelled against Florida in his last contest as he gave up six runs in less than five innings. As the Braves are still in the playoff hunt, he will look to rebound and have a positive start today. Kenshin had pitched seveeral quality starts in a row prior to this as bear in mind he had given up a total of just 4 runs in less than about 18 innings prior to his start in Florida - a divsion rival he fail to produce a quality start against. Latos is a young kid from Alexandria, Virginia that has pitched very well thus far giving up five runs in less than seventeen innings. He consequently possesses a 2-1 record with a 2.7era. He went 2-0 on the road at Colorado and at Washington but did not win his contest at home. I look for him to have a quality start today at home in San Diego - and bear in mind, this is the Braves first look at him as well which works to his favor. The Under is 4-1 when Kenshin gives up five or more runs in his previous game and the Under is 7-0 for the Padres when the total is set this low.

Good luck,

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 12:57 PM

Re: 8-3-09

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Pittsburgh over Washington

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 01:21 PM

Re: 8-3-09

Tony Salinas Baseball

Monday, August 03, 2009

22* Pirates {C.Morton} (-145) over Nationals {G.Mock}
7:05 PM -- PNC Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

26* Chicago Cubs {R.Wells} (-135) over Reds {A.Harang}
7:10 PM -- Great American Ball Park
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

23* Padres {M.Latos} (+100) over Braves {K.Kawakami}
10:05 PM -- Petco Park
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

25* Diamondbacks {D.Haren}/Ny Mets {N.Figueroa} UNDER 7½ Runs
7:10 PM -- Citi Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 01:59 PM

Re: 8-3-09

SAM CLAYTON

**4-0 this year with 30 dime selections, going for No. 5 tonight!**

30 dime - Cubs

Losing a game the way Kevin Gregg and the Cubs did last night is a swift kick to the teeth. Those dramatic, last inning losses are bitter and they warrant revenge -- and the North Siders will be fired up to come out tonight and kick some Cincinnati ass. Knowing full well that a victory places the Cubs in a first place tie with the hated Cardinals, you have to believe Lou Piniella's bunch will be determined and the offense will be amped to put runs on the board to try and prevent a close game for the bullpen. Sometimes, it's losses like Sunday's that prove what your team is all about. I'm extremely confident that the Cubs will bounce back strong and take care of business.

Chicago is 8-3 their last 11 games and they've beaten the Reds 6 of 9 games so far this season, including a three-game sweep July 24-26. Cincinnati is mirrored in its worst slump of the season having dropped 12 of their last 13 games. These two ball clubs are going in completely different directions what with the Cubbies playing for first place and Cincinnati wallowing in the cellar of the division. The Cubs will have an added boost offensively as Fukudome, Bradley and Ramirez (all who DNP Sunday) will be in the lineup, fresh and rested for tonight's game.

Lucky for the Cubs, they face a struggling pitcher that has had a mediocre past against them. Aaron Harang (9-7, 4.61 lifetime vs. Chicago) is fresh off an atrocious July, where he posted a 0-4 record with a 6.00 ERA. Since the All-Star break, Harang is 0-3 with a 6.30 marker and a 1.60 WHIP. The right-hander hasn't won a start since May 25 and the Reds have lost 6 of the last 8 times he's taken the mound. Randy Wells gets the call for the Cubs and he's been taking care of business all year long. Wells is 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA on the highway this season and he's undefeated (3-0, 3.32) in the second half.

In this divisional mismatch, we're siding with the hotter team, hotter pitcher and better offense. Play the Cubs as your Monday top play and fifth 30 dime winner in five chances.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-03-2009, 02:06 PM

Re: 8-3-09

Analyst: Eddie Rom
$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Month

$10,000 MLB Near Even Money Lock of the Week
SAN DIEGO PADRES +100 W/ MATOS over ATLANTA W/ KAWAKAMI
When I released this play early in the morning, San Diego was +115, even +120 in some places. As of 1:30 pm est the line has moved dramatically and now they are +100 to -105 so I apologize to all for naming this my underdog of the month, however, I cannot control line shifts of this magnitude. It's also why I changed the name of the game because I didn't want to hear anyone crying that I stiffed them.
And as for the line shift, it's probably right because they valued Atlanta way to high today. Here's a team that played the late ESPN game last night, a game which didn't end until 11:30 pm est and then they had to catch a charter for a 5 to 6 hour flight to the West Coast without the benefit of a day off plus they have to deal with Jet Lag.
Matos has been very good for the Padres and the Braves aren't familiar with this kids stuff so they could struggle against him tonight. It's not like Atlanta is a good hitting team to begin with them coming off a 3 game series in which they had just 18 hits.
I haven't like Kawakami all year long and on the road he has had some struggles as he sports a 5.70 ERA on the highway as opposed to a 3.28 ERA at home. Look for him to struggle tonight against a San Diego team that is coming around. I did go against them yesterday as I used Milwaukee but going into that game Sunday they had won 5 straight. In this spot, I think San Diego is a great play.

$5000 AL West Game of the Week
OAKLAND A'S -120 W/ ANDERSON over TEXAS W/ NIPPERT
Oakland is a team that is 15 games worse then Texas is and this pitching match-up today isn't a huge advantage because the last time Texas saw Anderson they lit him up, yet, despite this Oakland is -120 today. Sounds like a dead giveaway to me. Oakland has to be the right side of this game as I expect Texas to struggle with the loss of Kinsler. Sometimes things are unexplainable and sometimes we have to listen to the oddsmakers, as crazy as it seems. They tell me Oakland should win this game tonight, I'm going to listen. Oakland is my secondary play.