8-4-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-4-09

The Hammer
Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, August 04, 2009
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NY METS with Santana -107 7:10 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-4-09

Half Bets

SSG:

Colorado vs Philadelphia - 7pm
PICK: Over 10 -120 (7*)


Premier:

Florida RL –110 for 4 units

Florida has a big edge in this game against Washington Nationals being 9-0 this season against them and they are in the midst of a wild card chase. This team is coming off of a day of rest while the Nationals had to play against the Pirates last night so Florida should be the more rested team in this game. Florida will put Josh Johnson on the hill and he has been the ace of the staff by far this year. Johnson is 10-2 on the year with a 2.87 ERA and has faced Washington 3 times already this season and his team won all 3 games by more than 2 runs. Washington will counter with rookie pitcher Martin and this kid did not impress at all in his last start giving up 5 ER to the Brewers and 5 ER to the Mets in his 2 true starts this year. Florida is 6-1 in their last 7 road games and 9-3 in their last 12 games overall. The Marlins are 14-3 when Johnson is a favorite and 21-5 when Johnson pitches against the NL East. Washington is 1-5 in their last 6 as underdogs at home and with a winning percentage for the year of under 30% I see this as a big pitching mismatch and with a easy Florida win today.