8-5-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take #913 Chicago Cubs -170 over Cincinnati Reds (7:10p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #917 New York Yankees -120 over Toronto Blue Jays (7:05p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #920 Tampa Bay Rays -130 over Boston Red Sox (7:05p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Red Dog Sports

4 Unit Play Under 8 Runs

Arizona Diamondbacks/Pittsburgh Pirates

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Alatex

Over 9.5 LAD

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Fairway Jay

CWS -130

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Rob Veno

Under 9 Philly

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

5 Unit Play. Take the Boston Redsox +120 over the Tampa Bay Rays (Wed @ 7pm est). The Redsox are getting a good price here coming off the loss to the Rays and with Penny on the mound coming off one of his worst losses of the year giving up six runs to Oakland at home on July 29th over the course of five innings. This came off his start against the Orioles when he pitched a shutout through six innings. Usually when Penny gets shelled he comes back with a quality start and we are going to bank on that once again. Keep in mind that David Price is quite a talent, but certainly taking the Boston Redsox off a loss and Penny off a loss is worth the dog price here. Folks, this is a 62-43 team that is capable of defeating any pitcher on any given night - and we get them once again off a loss and Penny on a bounce-back. Price could have a let down today as he pitched brilliantly against Kansas City giving up just 1 run in his last start. In fact, I've noticed a trend with Price, over his last seven starts, check out his earned run tabulations with most recent to most latest: 1, 6, 4, 1, 6, 1, 5. The Redsox are 4-0 when they face a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and the Rays are 4-11 when Randazzos behind home plate.

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

SquarePicks

5* Minnesota/Cleveland Over 9.5
5* Boston/Tampa Bay Over 9.5
5* NY Yankees/Toronto Under 9.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #917 N.Y. Yankees (-110) over Toronto (7 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)
Just like with the Mets, Toronto has to be a bit down after watching its ace come up short last night. The Yankees are playing great baseball and are just really tough to handle. The Yankees keep rolling against lefties. The Blue Jays keep rolling over.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #905 Atlanta (-135) over San Diego (3:30 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)
I’ll throw my lot in with young Tommy Hanson here. San Diego has been playing really well but they still just aren’t a very good team. Atlanta has had their number recently and I give Hanson the nod over Chad Gaudin.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #923 Minnesota (-110) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)
Aaron Laffey sucks. Just two teams that are going in different directions lately. And if you look at the Twins’ schedule over the past month they have been playing nothing but good teams – Yankees, Angels, White Sox, Tigers, at Rangers – so they are undervalued.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #913 Chicago Cubs (-175) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)
Really don’t think that this one needs much explanation. I am a moron for not being on this sooner. A moron.

1-Unit Play. Take #916 L.A. Dodgers (-135) over Milwaukee (10 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)
The Dodgers didn’t win 17-4 last night because they had to make some statement. They did so because they are that much better than the Brewers. Braden Looper has a 5.60 ERA on the road this year and has gotten lit up for 11 runs in 11 innings in his last two outings. Plenty of bad blood from last night’s game and I’d rather have Jason Schmidt on the hill than Looper.

1-Unit Play. Take #907 Florida (+105) over Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)
Really can’t believe that the Marlins blew that game last night, but I think that they will bounce back and get a big ‘W’ today. The Marlins have dominated the series, going 10-2 in the last 12 meetings, and also 37-15 in the last 52 matchups. I really like how Rich Vanden Hurk has been throwing since he’s been back from the D.L.

Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Milwaukee at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Florida at Washington (7 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 San Francisco at Houston (2 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 N.Y. Yankees at Toronto (7 p.m., Wednesday, Aug. 5)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Alex Smart
5* MLB Game Of The Week
Los Angeles Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Bob Balfe

Members Play

Colorado Rockies/Philadelphia Phillies Over 9

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

KBHoops
5* Cleveland +100 **POD**
5* Angels +125
5* Milwaukee +124

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Bob Valentino 30 DIME MLB WINNER #3 IN A ROW ... 30 DIME -- TAMPA BAY RAYS with David Price (vs. Red Sox with Brad Penny)

List both Price and Penny when making your wager. If either pitcher does NOT start, this will be a "no play"

NOTE: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Half Bets

SSG picks;
Boston v. Tampa Bay 7pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 -110 (7*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

Trace Adams
1000* - NY Yankees w/Mitre over Rzepczynski, 500* - Tampa Bay w/Price over Penny Sergio Mitre has struggled in the Yankees rotation, and while I am not crazy about laying road wood with him on the hill, I think the Yankees proved last night by beating Roy Halladay that they can certainly beat Toronto rookie Marc Rzepczynski.

New York has won 6 of the 8 season series meetings with Toronto, and they know Boston is battling Tampa Bay again tonight before the Sox come to the Bronx for a crucial 4 game set tomorrow.

The Yanks MUST win this game even with Mitre's shortcomings as a starer, and Joe Girardi has already let his bullpen know to be ready early tonight.

The Blue Jays have dropped 7 of their last 11, and while they may get a few runs off of Mitre, expect New York to get a few more over Rzepczynski.

1000? - NY Yankees w/Mitre over Rzepczynski

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??

Tampa has Boston's number, plain-and-simple!

Last night the Rays battled from 2-0 down to win a 4-2 extra-innings decision, as Tampa Bay is now 4-1 at home against Boston this season, and 12-2 at home during the regular season at home against the Beantowners since last year.

All 4 of David Price's wins this season have come at home where he is 4-1 with an ERA of 2.67. Compare that to his road mark which stands at 0-3 with an over 8 ERA, and you can see "there is no place like home" for the southpaw.

Brad Penny has been very inconsistent for Boston, and in 2 of his last 3 starts, he has allowed 13 runs in 10 innings for a pair of losses.

Critical game once again for Tampa, as Boston in the next team in front of them in the standings, and with a 35-18 home mark, I will take my chances once again with the Rays to win out.

500? - Tampa Bay w/Price over Penny

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-5-09

EDDIEROMAN
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row

$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row
LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS +155 W/ SCHMIDT
over MILWAUKEE W/ LOOPER

$5000 AL East Game of the Week
NEW YORK YANKEES -105 W/ MITRE
over TORONTO W/ RZEPCZYNSKI

Really like this Dodgers run line play tonight. I'l llay the run and a half gladly even though they were only -135 to begin with. To get this team, coming off a 17 run effort last night against a Milwaukee team that has been struggling lately at +155 just because we lay the run and a half is a score in my book.
Schmidt is under valued. This guy was one of the better pitchers in baseball before dealing with injuries that forced him to miss all of last season and half of this season however, he hasn't forgotten how to pitch and he is off a nice confidence building effort against Atlanta where he went 6 and allowed 1 hit and no earned runs. Milwaukee is batting just .213 in their last 10 games and has lost 10 of their last 16 games with 9 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs so I am confident Schmidt can give us a quality start here.
If we do indeed get that quality start from Schmidt, this game should be easy because I do feel the Dodgers will hit Looper. The last time they saw him they scored 5 earned runs in his 6 innings of work plus Looper has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work and those outings came against San Diego and Atlanta, two teams not known for hitting the ball.
The Dodgers have scored 31 runs in their last 3 games so they are in a groove when it comes to offense. They have been great at home all season long and Milwaukee hasn't played well on the road so look for an easy 4 to 6 run winner tonight by the Dodgers.

As for the Yankees, I know Mitre strikes fear in some of you because he hadn't pitched in a while and hasn't been overly good since coming back but here's the way I looked at this game. At this price, which is the Yankees -105 now, I'd rather be on the better team, New York, then be on the worse team. This isn't a bad pitching match-up for us as the Yankees hit left handed pitching very well and Rzepczynski isn't a stud. It could be a high scoring affair but in the end, we're on the team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Mitre will do enough and the Yankees bats will do the rest. Secondary play on NY.



$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row

$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #3 in a Row
LA DODGERS -1.5 RUNS +155 W/ SCHMIDT
over MILWAUKEE W/ LOOPER

$5000 AL East Game of the Week
NEW YORK YANKEES -105 W/ MITRE
over TORONTO W/ RZEPCZYNSKI

Really like this Dodgers run line play tonight. I'l llay the run and a half gladly even though they were only -135 to begin with. To get this team, coming off a 17 run effort last night against a Milwaukee team that has been struggling lately at +155 just because we lay the run and a half is a score in my book.
Schmidt is under valued. This guy was one of the better pitchers in baseball before dealing with injuries that forced him to miss all of last season and half of this season however, he hasn't forgotten how to pitch and he is off a nice confidence building effort against Atlanta where he went 6 and allowed 1 hit and no earned runs. Milwaukee is batting just .213 in their last 10 games and has lost 10 of their last 16 games with 9 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs so I am confident Schmidt can give us a quality start here.
If we do indeed get that quality start from Schmidt, this game should be easy because I do feel the Dodgers will hit Looper. The last time they saw him they scored 5 earned runs in his 6 innings of work plus Looper has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 11 innings of work and those outings came against San Diego and Atlanta, two teams not known for hitting the ball.
The Dodgers have scored 31 runs in their last 3 games so they are in a groove when it comes to offense. They have been great at home all season long and Milwaukee hasn't played well on the road so look for an easy 4 to 6 run winner tonight by the Dodgers.

As for the Yankees, I know Mitre strikes fear in some of you because he hadn't pitched in a while and hasn't been overly good since coming back but here's the way I looked at this game. At this price, which is the Yankees -105 now, I'd rather be on the better team, New York, then be on the worse team. This isn't a bad pitching match-up for us as the Yankees hit left handed pitching very well and Rzepczynski isn't a stud. It could be a high scoring affair but in the end, we're on the team with the better lineup and the better bullpen. Mitre will do enough and the Yankees bats will do the rest. Secondary play on NY.