8-7-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Matt Rivers
1ST 200,000* OF THE BASEBALL SEASON Your winner here is on the Tampa Bay Rays!


Talk about getting the better team plus money!!!! WOW!

Sure Felix Hernandez is an absolute stud and a guy that can be lights out but Jeff Nieman has really come into his own and is no slouch at all. Then when you factor in how much better the Rays are in terms of pretty much everything else including the far superior lineup than I am all about the visitors today at Safeco.

Tampa may not be as good away from the Trop but this team is far from a club that is like the Twins who literally wet the bed outside of their dome. Joe Maddon's club can for sure win games on the highway and this will be another indication of just that. They just outclassed the Red Sox at home and are ready to do the same here to a clear inferior Seattle squad away from home.

Sure Seattle has had a nice little overachieving season and without a doubt Ichiro is a sick sick hitter. But besides the Japanese lefty and Russell Branyan who has had a career season the Mariners are sooo outclassed in this game. Adrian Beltre is back but so what, the guy really has not been all that good in a few years and now just getting healthy again makes him even less dangerous than the mediocre player he has become.

Crawford, Upton, Pena, Longoria and others form a lineup that is flat out nasty. The Rays may not crush Hernandez as the righthander can be filthy and should at least be good here but Tampa has a much better shot to plate runs then the fairly weak Seattle lineup has against a solid and definitely good enough Niemann.

If this game was a pick I would still love the Rays and that pretty much tells me all I need to know!

Plus money? Um, ok!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Tony Weston
FRIDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Red Sox

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Bob Valentino
FRIDAY'S 25 DIME MLB WINNER ... 25 DIME -- Red Sox-Yankees UNDER the total (with Beckett and Burnett as the starting pitchers).

NOTE #1: This is a play on the TOTAL in this game, and we're playing it UNDER the posted number, which should be no lower than 9 runs.

NOTE #2: Both Josh Beckett (Boston) and A.J. Burnett (New York) must start this game or this will be a "no play"

NOTE #3: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

HELMUT free play

653 Connecticut +2.5

The Lynx come into this game losing five out of their last six home games with the only win during this span coming in overtime against Washington. After the injury to Seimone Augustus the team needed someone to step in and replace her scoring and Candice Wiggens did just that scoring 20+ in three straight games and winning the WNBA player of the week honors. However in her last ten games she is shooting 33% from the field and averaging just 10.2 ppg. Part of the drop in scoring from her is due to a knee injury she is playing with which has seen her minutes reduced. I heard assistant coach Jim Peterson saying that the Lynx are using the reserves much more than the rest of the WNBA teams. My thinking is that if I’m in the middle of a playoff race I want my best players in there as much as possible. Last night Seattle played Cash, Jackson, Wright and Bird 40 minutes. I just have to wonder what is going on with this team when a player like Charde Houston who played in the all star game has not played more than 20 minutes in the last three games. The Lynx have also added Humphrey and Montanana that were cut from other teams and given these players’ significant minutes. Connecticut should start to play better now that the team is intact and at full strength and I believe they have shown that with a 5-3 record in their last eight games. The Sun are currently the WNBA’s worst shooting team but have shown improvement on offense in the last eight games shooting 42.6% from the field and averaged a offensive efficiency of 1.01. They should have success against this Lynx team that has struggled with the defense all season. The Sun are also the 2nd best team in the league on defense and have the best three point FG% defense in the league which should bode well against the Lynx who rely on a great deal of their point production from the three point shot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Premier Cappers

Toronto RL +125 for 3 units

The home team has dominated this series with Toronto and Baltimore with 8 of 9 going to the home team. The Pitching match up in this game is Romero (10-4 3.53 ERA) vs. Berken (1-9 6.93 ERA). I have been fading this Berken rookie for a while now he has been pitching bad and losing his games by an average of 3.5 runs a game. Romero has been the opposite for Toronto. His team has won 8 out of his last 10 starts and the important factor they are winning by more than a 2 run average in his starts. Baltimore has struggled on the road this season being 17-37 away from home and with Baltimore being 1-11 in Berken’s starts I see this as a great spot for Toronto. Baltimore is 1-5 last 6 starts vs. a left handed pitcher. Baltimore is 3-14 in their last 17 game 1 of a series and being 17-50 against the AL East their last 67 games. Toronto has not been playing great ball either but they are coming 11-5 their last 16 as favorites of –150 to –200. Baltimore is hitting .221 on the road against left handed pitchers and I see them taking advantage of a

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Wunderdog MLB 2009/08/07

Game: St Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 7 +110 (risk 4 to win 4.4)

Game: Milwaukee at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

Game: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Seattle -125 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 3.2)

Game: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle -1.5 runs +175 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.3)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

St Bernadines Sports
Crystal Ball on a 6-3 run

LOS ANGELES ANGELS -125 (3 Star ***)

Last night saw John Smoltz ruin what had been a very sweet run for Crystal Ball. Poor old guy really is done. As I told you, it was a pretty thin slate to choose from yesterday, which is why I stressed the importance of discipline. If there isn't a game that I REALLY like, I'm not going to send my partners into action.
Speaking of really liking............I've been as hot as this beautiful Canadian girl that just passed me in the lobby. My run has almost been as perfect as her hair, but I digress.............
As much as I can't get her out of my mind, which would lead me to take the Blue Jays, I owe my loyal legions some easy money tonight. I'm taking the LOS ANGELES ANGELS -125 to stop TEXAS at home for THREE STARS. That's right my friends, I like this one a whole bunch. Take it to the bank, this is too much to stuff under the mattress.
Remember: I don't say it, unless I play it.
Crystal Ball is out!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Charlie

St. Louis @ Pitt under 7, Atlanta @ Dodgers under 7' & Tampa Bay @ Seattle under 7' ( 500* 3 team rd robin)
Yankees -120 (30*)
Atlanta +130 (20*)
Angles -135 (20*)
Detroit -120 (10*)

settle -140 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Doc's Sports

4 Unit Play. #918 Take New York (-1 ½ RL) +180 over Boston (7:05 pm MLB.tv)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Great Lake Sports

3 Unit Play

LA Angels with Joe Saunders -130

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take #904 St. Louis (-1.5, -135) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #916 San Francisco (-1.5, -140) over Cincinnati (10 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #924 Chicago White Sox (-1.5, +100) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)


2-Unit Play. N.Y. Yankees (-120) over Boston (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)


1-Unit Play. Take #923 Detroit (-110) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)


Today's Totals

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Oakland at Kansas City (8 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Minnesota at Detroit (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Boston at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 7)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Craig Davis
Friday's Lineup

100 DIME ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over REDS (With Bailey)

Guys, I absolutely love today's play on the SF Giants to rout the Reds at home. You saw how strong my 30-dimer on the Yankees was last night, so just imagine what I expect the Giants to do to the Reds with Lincecum on the hill. This game could virtually be over by the 5th inning because I don't expect the Reds to score more than one run by the time this game reaches its latter stages. Tim Lincecum is, once again, on top of his game and gets an offense batting just .240 for the season. Shoot, when your best hitter is batting .267 (Brandon Phillips), you know you're in for a long night. The Reds don't hit the ball in the first place, but when they travel away from Cincinnati, they're even worse. So consider this... a team that doesn't hit the ball well in the first place goes on the road (where they hit 16 points worse) to face the defending NL Cy Young Award winner... a guy who has an ERA under 2 when pitching at AT&T Park.

I just don't smell a lot of offense from the Reds tonight, and considering that Cincy is one of the few teams that has yet to ever face Lincecum, it makes matters even worse. The first time Lincecum faces any team, he dominates them. There are only two teams from the NL remaining that Lincecum hasn't faced and one of them is Cincinnati. The other, according to my calculations, is Milwaukee... another team from the NL Central. And if you look at what Lincecum has done within that division, you'd be impressed. His career ERA vs. the Cubs is 2.55 in five starts, vs. the Cardinals it's 1.61 in four starts, vs. Houston it's 1.67 in five starts and vs. Pittsburgh it's 2.86 in three starts. I'd call that dominating a division, wouldn't you? Since the Reds don't hit the ball with a ton of power and their team average is well below the league average, I think it's safe to say Cincy is going to struggle scoring runs tonight.

Furthermore, Lincecum's ERA in August so far is 0.00 (based on his last start) and his career August ERA is 2.33. And one other startling factoid... Lincecum's ERA is 1.84 when pitching under the lights as opposed to 3.04 during the day... a full run (plus) better when pitching at night. This guy has been absolute "money" since the All Star break and I see no reason for him to slow down now. His last two outings (both at home) have seen him dominate for 17 straight innings, allowing no earned runs, 11 hits, 4 walks and 23 strikeouts. There's absolutely nothing anyone can say to me that would convince me the Reds have a chance of scoring more than a couple of runs tonight, if that.

So, do I have confidence enough in the Giants offense that they'll be able to win by at least two runs? You bet I do. Aside from the fact they hit better than Cincy and their team average is a respectable .275 at home, they have one guy (Pablo Sandoval) who could change the game all by himself. He leads the Giants in batting average (.334), home runs (17) and RBIs (67) and with one swing of the bat could put the Giants up by two or three runs. So, who does this Giants offense get to face? Does Cincy have a pitcher who is capable of shutting down this Giants offense tonight? To be honest, I don't think so.

The team ERA is a respectable 4.45, but the guy they are trotting out there tonight has been far from spectacular. Homer Bailey (2-3 7.02 ERA) has allowed 14 earned runs in his last three starts (15 innings) and hasn't really had a quality start since early July. The biggest problem for Bailey has been his road WHIP (1.98). For whatever reason, Bailey struggles to keep baserunners off the bases (nearly two per inning) and if that continues tonight, the Giants are going to score runs in bunches. Look at it this way... even if Bailey does put together a quality start tonight, the Giants will still get to him for a couple of runs and that should be more than enough for Lincecum.

The Reds are just 9-26 in their last 35 games overall and have fallen on hard times, dropping to last place in the NL Central division. They are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. teams from the NL West, 1-11 in their last 12 vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 5-17 in Bailey's last 22 starts. The Giants, meanwhile, are 19-7 in Lincecum's last 26 starts at home, 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record and 14-6 in their last 20 Friday night games. The writing is on the wall folks, as this one won't even be close. Take the Giants on the run line as my top play of the day.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

Chris Jordan Friday night sweep ...
100? BLUE JAYS RUN LINE (WITH Romero and Berken) - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern

100? ROYALS (WITH Bannister and Mazzaro) -

100? CUBS (WITH Zambrano) -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-7-09

MTI

5* Yanks
4* Florida
4* Under T Bay
4* Under Cubs
3* Over Atl