8-8-09

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 09:59 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Mike Neri
*****SINGLE PLAY*****
Colorado w/Marquis -145 8:10 EST
Risk 1 Unit to make .69 Units

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:07 AM

Re: 8-8-09

FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball

100* Play Toronto (-175) over Baltimore (MLB TOP PLAY)

Baltimore has lost 23 of the last 29 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 80 of the last 128 day games. Baltimore has lost 15 of the last 22 games vs. Toronto on the road and Chris Tillman has an ERA of 7.50 in road games this season. Brett Cecil is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.14.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

100* Play LA Dodgers (-165) over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)

Los Angeles has won 36 of the last 51 games as a home favorite of -110 or higher and they have also won 49 of the last 79 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Clayton Kershaw has won 5 consecutive games as a home favorite of -150 to -200 and he also has an ERA of 2.06 in all home games this season. Kenshin Kawakami has lost 4 consecutive games vs. NL West Division Opponents and he has also lost 7 of the last 9 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

50* Play LA Angels (-160) over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Los Angeles has won 20 of the last 25 games when their on base percentage is .360 or higher over the last 15 games and they have also won 23 of the last 31 day games. Jered Weaver has won 6 of the last 7 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has also won 6 of the last 7 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher. Jered Weaver has won 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he is also 7-1 in all home games this season with an ERA of 2.79.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

50* Play Tampa Bay (-140) over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Tampa Bay has won 29 of the last 40 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have also won 25 of the last 33 games when playing in the month of August. Ian Snell has won 11 of the last 13 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 2-8 in all starts this season with an ERA of 5.19.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WNBA HOOPS

50* Play Indiana (+4) over Phoenix (WNBA Hoops Play)

Indiana has won 4 consecutive games and they have won 16 of their 20 games overall this season. Indiana won both meetings in Phoenix last season and they are only allowing an average of 71 points a game on defense this season.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CFL FOOTBALL

50* Play Calgary (-14.5) over Winnipeg (CFL Football Play)

Calgary has covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games coming off two consecutive division games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games coming off a home loss by 3 points or less. Calgary has won 11 of the last 13 games vs. Winnipeg and they are averaging over 38 points a game on offense over the last 3 games.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:08 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Ron Raymond
triple dime:
texas under 9,5

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:19 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Steven Budin-CEO

SATURDAY'S PICK
NEW YORK CREW

25 DIME RUN LINE RELEASE

New York Yankees (Sabathia) - 1 1/2 Runs over Boston (Buchholz)

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:39 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Seabass

300 NYY -1.5; Minn/DET under
100 MIL, TX, COL (Steam), EDM (CFL)
50 CLE

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:39 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Premier cappers

LAA and Texas Over 9 –115 for 4 units

Just like Friday I believe we are getting another great spot for an over with both of these teams. Weaver last 9 games have gone over the total with him giving up on average 4.5 runs in his last 7 overall. Millwood is coming off the DL and has not pitched in over 10 days and I see him being rusty and that is a bad sign against an Angels team whom has been on fire. Millwood last 3 starts against the Angels it has not gone as good for him giving up 9 runs and 4 runs with both games flying over the total. Weaver last 2 games against Texas both as well flew over the total as well. The Angels are on a run 22-5-1 as a home favorite and 41-14-4 last 69 games 41 have gone over. The Over is also 5-1 in their last 6 match ups together. I believe we are getting a good value on names alone but looking at the numbers I believe 9 is way two low for both of these teams.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:39 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Craig Davis
Saturday's Lineup
30 DIME ---- TIGERS (With Verlander) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over TWINS (With Perkins or Pavano)

10 DIME ---- PADRES (With Latos) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over METS (With Parnell)

DETROIT TIGERS (with Verlander) -1 1/2 runs over MINNESOTA (with Perkins/Pavano) --- Second verse, same as the first. Whatever cliche you want to use here, it all comes back to the same thing... Justin Verlander, at home, is nearly un-hittable. Yes, I know he's had a few "Comerica outings" in which he wasn't on his game, but for the most part you can count on at least seven innings and around one or two earned runs --- if not zero. It doesn't seem to matter who the opponent is, Verlander just gets the job done and I see no reason why today should be any different.

Verlander's home ERA is a sizzling 1.66 and he has yet to lose a home start in 10 tries (7-0), despite not pitching his best in the last game there vs. Baltimore. However, if you remember, we had the Tigers on the run line in that game and if it weren't for a 5-run first inning, the Orioles would have NEVER been in that game. Verlander completely shut them down the following seven innings and they never even advanced a baserunner past second base. But for whatever reason, he decided not to have his best stuff in the first inning. Either way, he ended the game the way I expect him to start this one... on fire. Those final seven innings did nothing but build confidence for him and it's going to carry over to tonight's game against Minnesota... a game in which he should get plenty of run support.

Glen Perkins is the scheduled starter, though I have seen a few sources mention Carl Pavano (who was acquired yesterday). Perkins, who could actually be demoted to the bullpen if his next start (tonight) isn't up to snuff. His season ERA is basically 6.00 and his last start vs. Detroit is definitely forgettable. He lasted just 5.1 innings, allowing five hits and five earned runs in a 7-3 Twins loss. Perkins now not only has the pressure of facing Detroit on the road again, but now he has to worry about losing his spot in the rotation. Too much pressure for this lefty on this night as the Tigers are starting to play better and should carry the momentum of last night's 10-8 win over to tonight.

SAN DIEGO PADRES (with Latos) -1 1/2 runs over NY Mets (with Parnell) --- This play is quite simple. Though the Padres are one of the worst teams in baseball, they have played the Mets quite well and have taken the first two games of this four-game set. They've hit the ball well and gotten some really good pitching. The funny thing is, in my opinion, they haven't even thrown their best pitcher. I believe their best pitcher is going tonight in the form of Mat Latos. Though virtually an unknown at the beginning of the season, Latos has turned out to be a very solid pitcher and hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in any of his four starts. Since taking a weird loss in his first career game, Latos has won three straight and looks to make it four tonight.

The Mets, in a huge funk right now, turn to Bobby Parnell to try and stop the bleeding. Parnell makes his first career major league start tonight after being in the bullpen all season. His record is 2-3 and his ERA is a respectable 3.74, but he hasn't pitched more than 3 innings in any game, and I can't imagine him being effective after he reaches around 50 pitches this evening. San Diego might not be the best hitting team in baseball, but they have scored a bunch of runs in the first two games of this series and they do hit better at home than on the road. Believe it or not, the Mets have won only three of the last 13 meetings with the Padres and they've won just 4 of their last 14 on the road. I'll take my chances with one young pitcher (at home) over another.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:54 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Freddy Wills POD

MATCH UP STARTS 10:05-10:10pm et
5-DIME MLB POD

The Bottom Line:
Take Dodgers -168 5-DIME POD

Tonight's POD which is on the Dodgers a steep money line to play I know, but it falls under my rule of -170 or better. The only reason I'm having such a high favorite is I"m really not liking today's card at all so we are going with it. Dodgers will send Kershaw to the mound who we followed last time. Unfortunately for us he had 6 BB in 4 IP and was bounced for the game. If he finds his control he's that pitcher who has a 2.06 ERA at home. He has been solid on the bounce back. The two other times where he had 5 or more walks he bounced back with a 2BB performance and if he does that here today he can go deep into the game against the Braves who have yet to see Kershaw in their career. He'll face a lineup without Chipper Jones and their leaders or who I consider to be their most important players Escobar/Mcclouth/McCann all have trouble with LHP. Escobar who is their X-factor and quickly or is already the best SS in the NL East is batting just .259 vs. LHP, McClouth and McCann are both below .200 at .197 and .189 so I see them having trouble getting things started at least the 1st time around the lineup which should provide Kershaw with enough confidence to finish a solid performance.

Dodgers will face Kawakami the 34 year old Japanese rookie is 1-5 in his last 6 with 4 days rest and he's got a 5.57 ERA on the road this year. He has also not seen the Dodgers so I can see the Dodger hitters struggling also, but I'll take the Dodgers at home with that lineup vs. Atlanta's lineup minus Chipper any day. Dodgers are hitting .309 vs. RHP scoring 6.03 runs per 9 innings in their last 5 vs. RHP and their bullpen at home has been solid this year with a 2.91 ERA.

Dodgers are 22-10 in Game 3's their best record of any game of the series and they are 12-4 in Kershaws last 16 as home favorites with Kershaw on the mound.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:54 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Fazzini
Saturday's play 10 Dime -- Diamondbacks (Haren) -1 1/2 runs over NATIONALS (Mock)

DIAMONDBACKS
NOTE: List only Haren as Arizona's starting pitcher

The Nationals have won six straight games coming into today, and are 12-11 since Jim Riggleman replaced Manny Acta as manager. They'll have their work cut out for them today, however, in facing Diamondbacks ace Dan Haren (11-6, 2.38 ERA).

Haren has struggled in his last three outings, going 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA. The All-Star right-hander was 7-1 with a 1.44 ERA in his 10 starts before that, however.

Haren has thrived in 11 road starts this season, going 6-1 with a 2.61 ERA. He allowed five runs and eight hits in seven innings Monday in a 6-5 victory at New York.

Right-hander Garrett Mock (0-4, 6.75) will take the mound for Washington. He will be making his fifth start of the season after 13 relief appearances.

Mock is 0-2 with a 6.62 ERA in his four starts. He allowed three runs (two earned) on seven hits and four walks in four-plus innings Monday at Pittsburgh. The damage could have been worse, as he left the game with the bases loaded and no outs, but reliever Tyler Clippard prevented any more runs from scoring.

Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight games in Washington, and 6-0 in Haren's last six road starts. Mark Reynolds, who has homered nine times in his last 11 games for the Diamondbacks, should help make things painful for Mock today. Take the Diamondbacks on the run line.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:54 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Tony Weston
SATURDAY'S PLAYS 35 Dime Athletics

Athletics at Royals
ATHLETICS - Almost unbeknownst to the rest of world the Oakland Athletics have been playing decent baseball lately. The team’s won 4 of its last 5 games and will get over tonight as an underdog at the Kansas City Royals.

The A’s have played the Royals three times this season and are a perfect 3-0 against Kansas City, including last night’s 9-4 win in Game 1 of this series.

With that loss the Royals have now gone 5-19 their last 24 games and are just 2-11 their last 13 games at home.

Consider, too, the Royals have not fared well with scheduled starter Zack Greinke on the mound. In fact, Kansas City is just 2-10 his last 12 starts and has lost each of his last six starts.

On the other side, Oakland has won 6 of its last 8 games with scheduled starter Brett Anderson on the mound.

The A’s have won each of Anderson’s last two starts and will make it three in a row tonight. Take Oakland on the road in this one.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 11:54 AM

Re: 8-8-09

Trushel

8/8/09 MLB Featured Play: Seattle Under 8.5 -120 (980)

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 12:20 PM

Re: 8-8-09

Scott Delaney
Saturday ... 30-Dime Yankees -1' Runs (WITH Sabathia over Buchholz) - After last night’s dagger in the heart, I don’t know if the Red Sox will ever recover this season. Seriously, the offense is too inconsistent and in their last series with the Rays and Yankees, their confidence is slowly dwindling.

But forget about the rest of the campaign, let’s talk about today. The bullpen is shot, the momentum is not on their side and they have struggling right-hander Clay Buchholz toeing the rubber today. I smell blowout beyond explanation today. There’s no way he outpitches C.C. Sabathia.

Buchholz has literally looked terrified when stepping to the hill, as evidenced by his ERA that is above 6.00. When he is starting, the Sox are on a bevy of losing streaks, including 3-10 overall, 3-11 on the road, 3-7 against A.L. East foes and 0-5 versus teams with a winning record. Last Sunday in Baltimore he was staked to a 7-0 lead, and though the Red Sox ended up winning 18-10, Buchholz couldn’t get an out in the fifth inning and finished up allowing seven runs on nine hits in four innings. Now he is going to step on the rubber in Yankee Stadium, after the Bombers won big Thursday, in dramatic fashion last night and hours after Big Papi addressed the media?

Buchholz does not have a quality outing in any of his last 14 big-league starts dating to last April, and is 1-1 with a 7.24 ERA in three road efforts this season. He also has a 7.45 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees

Ready for more intangibles … the Yankees now own the best record in baseball. New York has won six in a row overall and are on additional streaks of 52-25 overall, 45-18 at home, 20-7 against A.L. East opponents and 19-4 against right-handed starters. On the other hand, Boston has lost four in a row - all on the road - dropping to 3-9 in its last 12 as a visitor. On top of that, the Red Sox have lost seven straight to teams with a winning record.

I’ll side with Sabathia, who will be ready to shake a pair of sketchy starts on the road, where he allowed a combined 11 runs (10 earned) on 19 hits (three home runs) over 12-2/3 innings (7.11 ERA). But the Yanks are 5-1 in Sabathia’s last six starts when he comes off five days of rest, and there’s no doubt he knows like everyone else, this is the game he proves once and for all he was worth the big contract during the off-season. This is why they went out and got him.

The big, burly southpaw is 4-2 with a 4.02 ERA in 10 home starts this year, and I’ll bank on him to win this Run Line play over Buchholz and the weary Red Sox, whose bullpen will be tanked.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 12:20 PM

Re: 8-8-09

Jake Timlin
Saturday's Action
400? Colorado Rockies (Action)

Go with the Rockies at home tonight.

Glad to be home the Rockies took advantage of the Cubs pitching change to upend Chicago last night for their 15th straight win over the NL Central. Well thanks to being 42-21 over their last 63 games and winners of 10 of their last 14 games at home I look for the Rockies to continue their winning ways tonight.

Paving the way for the Rockies will be Marquis who not only looks to become the first 13 game winner in the national league, but the righty will be doing so against his former team.

Countering for the Cubs will be Dempster who I bet wishes he would be scratched due to going 4-3 with an 8.06 ERA in his last eight starts against Colorado, including an eye popping 0-2 with a 22.00 ERA in three starts at Coors Field.

Simple, with the Rockies going with Marquis who is due for a win and playing at home I see nothing but a Colorado win tonight.

All Colorado!

100? Texas Rangers (Action)

In bonus action, I say go with the underdog Rangers as they continue to own the Angels this year. Blasting the Angels last night 11-6 it’s the Rangers who have now won 8 of the 10 series meeting this year, including the last three games which have been in Los Angeles. Now to make it four straight over their rivals the Rangers turn to Millwood who will be well rested for tonight’s game as they righty has lead his team to a pair of wins over Los Angeles in two starts this season. Countering for the Angels will be Weaver who carries a 5.75 ERA in three starts this season against the Rangers this season. So behind another offensive explosion go with the Rangers as they make it 9 of 11 over their AL west rivals today.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-08-2009, 12:27 PM

Re: 8-8-09

KELSO STURGEON HIGHROLLERS MLB PICK for TODAY
Saturday, August 08, 2009
15 UnitsLa Angels {J.Weaver} (-160) over Rangers {K.Millwood}
4:10 PM -- Angel Stadium of Anaheim
LOS ANGELES ANGELS (64-43) -160 over Texas Rangers (61-47) Pitching for Los Angeles: RH Jered Weaver (11-3, 3.79) Pitching for Texas: RH Kevin Millwood (9-7, 3.39) Angels Trend Profile: 6-4, Streak: Lost 1, Home Record: 32-21, Against RHP: 40-33. Rangers Trend Profile: Last 10: 5-5, Streak: Won 2, Road Record: 24-26, Against RHP 38-31. Starting Time: 4:10 TV: FOX Comments: It’s time for the Angels to get the Dallas monkey off their backs. Texas, the team Los Angeles has to beat for the American League West title, stands 8-2 in its last 10 games against the Angels and have averaged 6.9 runs while hitting a team .295 in those games. There is no better Los Angeles pitcher than Weaver to put the stopper on this run—and he is at his best right now. In Weaver’s last 12 home starts he is 7-1 with an E.R.A. of 2.79. The Rangers Millwood is having an excellent season but may not be at his best for this. He was scratched from his last three starts with a strained muscle.