8-10-09

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 10:36 AM

Re: 8-10-09

John Morrison

Official bets on August 10th:

Baltimore [A]
Oakland

Detroit [A]
Boston
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Unofficial bets on August 11th:

Cleveland [A]
Texas

Pittsburgh [A]
Colorado

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 10:37 AM

Re: 8-10-09

RatedPicks

MLB:

MLB 08/10 Cincinnati Reds at St Louis Cardinals pick: St Louis Cardinals pts: -165 3 units
MLB 08/10 Toronto Blue Jays at NY Yankees pick: NY Yankees pts: -1.5 (+140) 3 units
MLB 08/10 Toronto Blue Jays at NY Yankees pick: NY Yankees pts: -150 5 units

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 10:37 AM

Re: 8-10-09

The Sports Investing Professional - Monday

Sunday Recap -Ugly. I guess I tip my hat.....2 real ugly losses this week and we're
back on the wrong side of the total but we are going to go on a major run here and start
picking up winners 2 units at a time

Todays Play(s) - Today we have only 1. St. Louis is the only investment that looks
solid. They are at home against the Reds who are in road free fall compared to early in the year.

Like the price as it stands now.

MLB - St. Louis Cardinals -160[LISTED] Cueto / Lohse 1600.00 / 1000.00

May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 11:23 AM

Re: 8-10-09

EZ Winners

3* TB -118 Garza v O'Sullivan
2* Flor -143 Vanderkurk v Moehler
2* CWS -123 Floyd v French

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 01:24 PM

Re: 8-10-09

Wunderdog

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Total 9 ov-105

Looking at this Mets’ offense, there’s nothing scary about it. They were a team that went through a stretch of 30 games where they were shutout eight times. What has gone unnoticed is the fact that the Mets have been finding quite a bit of offense lately, and have not been shutout since July 21 in Washington. Their last 17 games shows a team scoring at an above-average clip for any team as the Mets have produced 5.1 runs a game. The Diamondbacks are the lowest-scoring team against lefthand pitching at 3.8 runs per game, but do far better against righthanders where the offense is a full run better at 4.8 per game. It is one of the reasons why they have played 15-7-2 to the OVER in their last 24 against righthand pitching. The Mets’ pitching has been very inconsistent, and after allowing two runs or less, they have played OVER in their next game to a record of 30-14-3. I like this one to go OVER the total.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 01:24 PM

Re: 8-10-09

KELSO STURGEON

HIGHROLLERS MLB PICK for TODAY

Monday, August 10, 2009

15 Units Tigers {E.Jackson} (-105) over Redsox {B.Penny}7:10 PM -- Fenway Park

Detroit Tigers (59-51) -115 over BOSTON RED SOX (62-48) Pitching for Detroit: RH Edwin Jackson (8-5, 2.62) Pitching for Boston: RH Brad Penny (7-6, 5.20) Tigers Trend Profile: Last 10: 6-4, Streak: Won 1, Road Record: 23-33, Against RHP: 39-37. Red Sox Trend Profile: Last 10: 4-6, Streak: Lost 6, Home Record: 35-17, Against RHP: 40-32. Starting Time: 7:10 TV: ESPN, New England Sports Network Comments: After opening their recent road trip 3-0 at Baltimore, the Red Sox went 0-2 at Tampa Bay and 0-4 against the Yankees and just were not hitting the ball. Boston is better than that but the numbers say it will have difficulty not losing its seventh straight tonight against a Detroit club that sends to the mound Edwin Jackson who is in top form. The second half of the pitching equation is even more tell-tale. Boston starter Brad Penny seems to just not have it. While Penny is 5-2 with an E.R.A of 4.72 at home this season, he is 0-2 in his last two starts, with an E.R.A. of 9.82 and gave up three home runs against Tampa Bay in his last start.
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Near 90.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 01:24 PM

Re: 8-10-09

Billy Coleman

4* Mets
4* Dodgers
3* Col

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 03:22 PM

Re: 8-10-09

Chris Jordans pick for today...
Monday night winner ...
100? FLORIDA MARLINS (Action) - When I first ear-marked this play last night, the overnight line was sitting at -145. I see the sharpies have moved this roughly .20 cents. No problem, lay the run line anyway. The Fish are home for a week after sweeping the defending World Series champion Phillies, and are now back in the National League East race; tonight Florida is in search of its sixth straight victory at home over the Astros on Monday night.

I know the Astros are coming in after winning two of three against the Brewers, but prior to that series they lost nine of 12. And, yes, they’re hungry in the NL Central sitting six back of the Cardinals in the division, but they can’t seem to escape Florida’s bite inside Land Shark Stadium – not the past two years.

I am not listing anyone in this one but for the record, the Fish will face former teammate Brian Moehler, who pitched for the Marlins in 2005 and 2006 before moving over to Houston. He comes in off one of most dismal starts, as he gave up nine hits and seven runs over six innings against the surging Giants last Wednesday in Houston. That’s nothing shocking, as the righty has been brutal at home and much better on the road. But that doesn’t scare me, as the Marlins won a mediocre seven of 13 at home in July and will be motivated to do much better this month.

Lay the run line here, as the wiseguys are moving the line high enough to tell me this is a blowout made in heaven.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 04:04 PM

Re: 8-10-09

FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball

100* Play Florida (-155) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Florida has won 5 of the last 6 games vs. Houston and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games coming off six or more consecutive games vs. division opponents. Florida has won 7 of the last 10 games when playing on a Monday and they have also won 7 of the last 10 games when playing as a home favorite of -150 to -175. Brian Moehler has lost 5 of the last 7 games when playing on a Monday and he is 0-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.75.

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50* Play St. Louis (-160) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 15 of the last 19 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 19 games vs. St. Louis on the road. Johnny Cueto has lost 6 consecutive games as a road underdog of +150 or higher and he is 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 8.10.

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50* Play Arizona (-150) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

New York has lost 19 of the last 27 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 22 of the last 34 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Mike Pelfrey has lost 4 of the last 5 games vs. NL West Division Opponents and he has also lost 3 consecutive games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Arizona has won 9 of the last 12 games coming off 3 or more losses and Doug Davis is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.89.

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WNBA HOOPS

50* Play Los Angeles (-1) over Indiana (WNBA Hoops Play)

Los Angeles has covered the spread 14 of the last 15 games when revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent and they have also covered the spread in 17 of the last 25 home games. Indiana has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread vs. Los Angeles on the road and they have also lost 21 of the last 27 road games coming off a road win.

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 04:05 PM

Re: 8-10-09

Sam Clayton
[COLOR=#000000 !important]20 dime - White Sox

Fresh off a rare home series loss against the Tribe, the White Sox head out west to take out their anger against a team they've dominated the past two seasons. Chicago is 7-2 their last 9 games against Seattle and seeing that they aren't facing King Felix, I'm loving their chances especially with such a low line. The South Siders have won 6 of 10 and they face a Mariners ball club that has struggled immensely against the AL Central this season, posting a 14-17 record and failing to have a winning mark against any of the five ALC teams... even the Royals. Luke French gets the call for the M's and he's been shelled his last two outings (1-1, 8.10 ERA). It gets worse though as the Detroit outcast has a collective 2.00 WHIP over that span meaning he's clogging the bases at an alarming rate. The last thing you want to do is jam the bases against Dye, Konerko and/or Thome because they will make you pay. French has gone deeper than 5 innings only once all season and if the Sox can get into the mediocre Seattle middle relief core, forget about it. Gavin Floyd starts for the South Siders and he's been one of baseball's hottest pitchers lately, posting a 2-0 mark with a 1.84 ERA and insane 0.89 WHIP -- and this coming against the likes of the Angels, Yankees, Tigers and Rays. Floyd has thrown three consecutive one-run games and will look to ride that momentum into tonight's contest against Seattle. The Sox will be focused and ready knowing full well that this series is an excellent opportunity to make up ground on Detroit as the Tigers face a Red Sox team that is looking to unload after getting swept by the Yankees. Play the South Siders as your Monday top play winner.

15 dime - DET/BOS Under 9.5

I'm a strong advocate of the ol' "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" adage. And after collecting 55 dimes the past three days on Red Sox UNDER plays, I'm going right back to the drawing board for another low-scoring affair tonight. The Red Sox have went under the posted total 4 of their last 6 games and they've scored an abysmal 2 runs their last 3 games. Watching the past six Red Sox games though, Terry Francona's squad has been purposely trying to slow down the pace of the game as they know their offense is stuck in a rut. Their style of play has most definitely changed the past week and I don't expect them to have an offensive outburst by any means, especially considering who they're going up against. Boston's tough stretch continues Monday against Edwin Jackson (8-5, 2.62) and the flame-throwing right-hander boasts a 2.47 ERA and 1.16 WHIP away from Comerica Park. And he's allowed more than three earned runs only twice in 22 starts this season. So why is Jackson 8-5 this year and 3-4 on the road with such impressive numbers? Because Detroit doesn't score runs when he's on the rubber -- but hey we'll take it, because we don't want to light up the scoreboard. Brad Penny returns to his comfort zone at Fenway Park where he'll have the added confidence of pitching in front of the riled up Red Sox Nation. Penny hasn't had three consecutive poor outings all season long and I don't expect that to change on Monday Night Baseball. As reference, I go back to Detroit's three-game series last month at Yankee Stadium. The Tigers were swept, they averaged 1.6 runs per game and every single contest sailed under the posted total. I'm forecasting much of the same tonight in the upper northeast.[/color]

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 04:24 PM

Re: 8-10-09

charlie

mlb. reds @ cards under 8' runs, white sox @ seattle under 8' runs & dodgers @ giants under 8' runs ( 500*'s 2 of 3 must win).
mlb. dodgers-120 (30*)
mlb. florida-150 (20*)
mlb. oakland+140 (20*)
mlb. tampa bay-125 (10*)
mlb. white sox-130 (10*) free play

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 04:24 PM

Re: 8-10-09

scott rickenbach

top play

seattle / whitesox over 8.5

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 04:25 PM

Re: 8-10-09

2.5-Unit Play. Take #954 St. Louis (-160) over Cincinnati (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 St. Louis (-1.5, +125) over Cincinnati (8 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. Take #962 N.Y. Yankees (-140) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #962 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, +135) over Toronto (7 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Colorado (-135) over Chicago Cubs (8:40 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take #969 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Seattle (10 p.m.)

Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 L.A. Dodgers at San Francisco (10 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Houston at Florida (7 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Detroit at Boston (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Cincinnati at St. Louis (8 p.m.)

That's it for today. Good luck. Ferringo

**Mr. IWS** · 08-10-2009, 04:25 PM

Re: 8-10-09

4 Unit Play. Take the St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+129) over the Cincinatti Reds (Monday @ 8:15pm est). Kyle Lohse comes off one of his worst starts of his career giving up 7 runs in less than 3 innings in an 0-9 loss to the Mets on the road. He returns home where he has given up just 2 runs over his last 16 innings. Tack that on with the fact he gave up 7 runs to the Reds on the road on May 9th and lost 3-8 in that contest, he has revenge so to speak coming into today - as well as on the bounce-back. Cueto has struggled of late as he is 0-5 in his last six starts with a 9.85era. He was dominant in the first half of the season but has struggled lately. He has defeated the Cardinals twice this year and it is very difficult for a pitcher to defeat a team three times in one year. I look for a solid outing from Lohse and the Cardinals to have a beat on Cueto's pitches this evening. The Reds are 2-12 when they are an underdog by this margin and the Cardinals are 8-1 when the total is set at this range.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.