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Re: 8-14-09
Seabass. 100* steam vikings. 50* angels run line. 50* marlins run line 50* giants. 50* oakland. 20* atl.
Seabass. 100* steam vikings. 50* angels run line. 50* marlins run line 50* giants. 50* oakland. 20* atl.
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Re: 8-14-09
Wunderdog 08/14/2009
Game: San Diego at St. Louis (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on St. Louis -225 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.8)
Game: San Diego at St. Louis (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Louis -1.5 runs -105 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.9)
Game: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Oakland -150 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.7)
Game: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Oakland -1.5 runs +130 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)Comment
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Re: 8-14-09
Greg Shaker AAA Sports Handicapping (COMP)
NFL: St. Louis Rams at New York Jets - Rams +3 -110
Game Date: 8/14/2009
Note: It just does not seem right backing a team that is 5-27 over the last 2 regular seasons in the NFL. But that is what I am doing and we have a similar situation tonight as we did with last night's win with the Raiders. Similar but different that is. The Jets come into tonight's contest already banged up in preseason. It should be noted that two of those injuries are on the offensive line including center Nick Mangold, one of the best, with a knee ailment. They also will not go tonight with a couple of defensive starters. In addition to that, they will be shorthanded in the kicking department as Jay Feely is not expected to go. What we do have here is a Rams team that is headed by a new coach who wants to win. We also have a much better QB Rotation with Marc Bulger, Kyle Boller, and Brock Berlin. Bulger might very well go 2 quarters tonight as I have heard and all starters will play at least one quarter. The Jets have a new Head Guy too, but Ryan has already hinted that 3rd Stringer Erik Ainge will play the majority of the game tonight. He just does not want to play his best QB's too much tonight with the offensive line banged up. It does appear that Erik might be the scapegoat tonight and perhaps we will see him run for his life often. I will gladly take the 3 points here, but I think that we have a great chance of an outright for sure.Comment
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Re: 8-14-09
Freddy Wills POD
4-DIME MLB POD & 1.5 Dime Bonus
MLB Play of the Days (POD's):
78-39 (66.7%) +103.47 units of profit! (+$103,467)
The Bottom Line:
Take Red Sox/Rangers Under 8.5 Runs -110 & Red Sox -138 1.5 Dimes
We are going with the under in this one. Millwood has yet to give up a run this season to the Red Sox and despite the Red Sox with excellent numbers against him over his career they will be without Youkilis again and it will be a hole in their lineup. Which is why I'm liking the under here. My main cause for concern with Millwood is he has not gone into 7th inning in his last 7 starts meaning the game will fall to the bullpen in a close game. Good for Texas is their bullpen has been solid all year long with the 7th best bullpen behind the Mets. They are behind 2 AL teams one being Boston with the 2nd best bullpen.
Red Sox might not need their bullpen with Lester on the mound. He's coming off two solid performances on the road at TB and NYY, but did not get the win which should make him more motivated going here tonight against a team he gave up 2H and 11k's in a complete game win this year. Actually I think it is the perfect match up for Lester as the Rangers lead the league in K's and when Lester throws more than 8K's he is 7-0 and the Red Sox are 9-1 overall. I expect a similar performance and it will be a pitchers duel. Rangers get Kinsler back, but he's 1-12 against Lester. Rangers Nelson Cruz a HR threat is questionable and even if he plays I like Lester who has a 1.67 ERA over his last 4 road starts.
The Under trends. Rangers are under 37-15-2 against left handed starters and are under 37-14-2 at home. The under is 10-1-3 in Lesters last game 1 starts and for good reason as he is ready to make a solid start and he'll need one here tonight in what should be a "playoff like" atmosphere with Boston leading the Rangers by 1/2 game in the Wild Card.
Red Sox -138 as a bonus because of the numbers they have against Millwood over their career they will have some of their players back in the lineup and although Youkilis leaves a big hole in the lineup with his 7-15 against Millwood his replacements Lowell (20-59 vs. Millwood) Varitek (12-29 vs. Millwood), Kotchman (5-15 vs. Millwood) and Martinez (6-14).Comment
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Re: 8-14-09
st bernadine's sports cappers plays for today
lillefty(42-19 run since all star break)
MLB -1* bos/tex u-8.5
1* san fran -110
1* toronto +115
1* dodgers 1st 5 inn -1/2 run +125
NFL -1* jets -3
abats computer simulator
3* san francisco
2* angels
2* washington
big time
2* st louis RL
1* washington
crystal ball
2* florida
good luck to all tonight!!Comment
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Re: 8-14-09
John Ryan
Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
Pick: Oakland Athletics -152
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Oakland as they host the CWS set to start at 10:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 79-32 making 37.2 units since 2003. Play on all AL favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season and after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games. Oakland is a strong 11-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 this season. Oakland also has an outstanding bullpen that is nearly lights out in home games posting a 2.73 ERA spanning 181.3 innings. Brett Anderson will be starting and he has posted a 3.66 ERA and 1.22 WHIP allowing just 16 hits and 1 home run while recording 21 K’s in 19.7 innings pitched. Take Oakland.
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Pick: Boston Red Sox -141
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Boston as they face Texas set to start at 8:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 42-9 for 82% winners making 28.4 units since 1997. Play against AL home dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are below average AL hitting teams batting <=.265 facing a team with a good bullpen sporting an ERA <=3.75 and playing on Friday. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 67-20 for 77% winners since 1997. Play against AL home dogs in August games with a money line of +125 to +175 and is a below average hitting team batting <=.265 facing a team with a good bullpen sporting an ERA <=3.75. Boston is a very strong 24-4 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -118
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Tampa Bay as they face Toronto set to start at 7:38 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 57-25 making 33.1 units for 69% winners since 1997. Play on AL home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that is a below average hitting team batting <=.265 facing an excellent starting pitcher and is a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. Halladay is certainly one of the best Al pitchers in the game, but he is also just 8-28 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. TB is a solid 32-14 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus excellent fielding teams averaging <=0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons. Take TB.Comment
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