8-15-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-15-09

vegas runner

2 LAD -135
2 CHIEFS -2
4 HOU/KC O37- (buy half pt. to 37 if you can)

7pt teaser for 2 units
BUFF. +4
GB +4.5

WNBA
3 SAN ANTONIO -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-15-09

SMOOTH TALK SPORTS

NFLx

DETROIT VS. ATLANTA

Atlanta enters this game coming off a season that surprised many, including myself, while the Lions – well we know what happened to them! The Falcons pretty much kept their unit in tact while making some moves in the offseason to try and firm up a defense that proved vulnerable at times. Meanwhile, Coach Schwartz makes his debut for Detroit along with highly touted QB Stafford. Making things interesting for Stafford is a Dante Culpepper who showed up to camp 30 pounds lighter and in terrific shape suggesting he wants a shot at the starting role. Schwartz has made it clear that nobody is safe and all must earn their starting spots. This creates urgency for all players and they should clearly be the more motivated team as a result. Additionally, in an attempt to reverse their fortunes from a year ago Schwartz has made it clear that this team is going show up and to play to win. It is worth noting the Falcons are just 2-4 in their L6 preseason road openers while the Lions are 5-1 in their L6 preseason home openers.

PREDICTION: DETROIT 20 ATLANTA 16

(DETROIT -3)



BUFFALO VS. CHICAGO

The Bills look to rebound at home off last week’s loss in the Hall of Fame opener. Edwards and the starting unit will be without the services of T.O. and are only expected to see limited action once again. Meanwhile, tonight is the debut of Bears QB Jay Cutler who was acquired from Denver in the controversial trade in April. The Bears believe they are a legitimate contender but need Cutler to build the chemistry with his starting unit and perhaps tonight they will give him a few more looks than normal for an opening game as a result. Dick Jauron remains on the hot seat but as he proved last week he simply lacks the talent and depth to be a contender. Jauron is just 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS in his L10 at home. Meanwhile, the Bears are an impressive 8-2 in their L10 preseason road openers and 6-1 L7 under Coach Smith as a dog of 3 or more.

PREDICTION: BEARS 27 BUFFALO 13

(BEARS +3 AND OVER 32)



GREEN BAY VS. CLEVELAND

Dom Capers makes his debut tonight as the Packers new defensive coordinator. Capers will attempt to implement a 3-4 scheme to improve against the run. He is relying on the highly touted first round draft pick, Clay Matthews, out of USC to help make it happen. Meanwhile, Eric Mangini makes his debut as the Browns new head coach. Mangini will be taking a hard look at QBs Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson. Anderson had a stellar rookie campaign in 2007 only to suffer the classic sophomore jinx last year. This has opened the door up for Quinn and has created a very competitive campaign for the starting role. It is worth noting that Green Bay has really struggled during the preseason against AFC opponents going 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS in their L12.

PREDICTION: CLEVELAND 23 GREEN BAY 20

(CLEVELAND +3 AND OVER 35)



KANSAS CITY VS. HOUSTON

QB Matt Cassel makes his debut tonight for the Chiefs. Although his playing time will be limited the question that remains is whether, or not, Cassel was as good as his numbers indicated last year when he filled in for the injured Tom Brady or if he is simply a product of a great system. The Chiefs also have a new head coach in Todd Haley and Haley is left with challenge of turning around a program that has gone 6-26 over the last 2 years. The Chiefs are relying heavily of Cassel but also made some key moves on defense when they acquired veteran linebacker Vrabel and rookie end Tyson Jackson out of LSU. Meanwhile, Houston kept their offensive unit in tact so should be effective. Defensively, they made some offseason moves to make the unit deeper and more consistent. The Texans enjoy a huge edge in their QB rotation and should be effective in moving the ball against a Chiefs defense that is still trying to find itself.

PREDICTION: HOUSTON 27 KANSAS CITY 10

(HOUSTON +2)


TENNESSEE VS. TAMPA BAY

Raheem Morris makes his head coaching debut for Tampa Bay and at just 33 years old is currently the youngest coach in the league. Morris wasted no time in the offseason beefing up his offense with the acquisitions of RB Derrick Ward and TE Winslow. One of Morris’ biggest challenges will be finding a QB that can get the job done. As a result, expect Luke McCown and Byron Leftwich to get a lot of reps and to give coach Morris a good look. Meanwhile, the Titans are coming off an impressive opening week win over the Bills in the Hall of Fame game. History has shown that when a team does well in a preseason game complacency may set in the next time out, therefore, creating opportunity or value in their opponent. With their first win under their belts is Tampa that will be the hungrier team. It is worth noting that Tampa Bay is a perfect 6-0 SU in their L6 preseason openers while Tennessee is just 1-3 SU and ATS in their L4 home preseason openers.

PREDICTION: TAMPA BAY 19 TENNESSEE 16

(TAMPA BAY +4.5)


SAN DIEGO VS. SEATTLE

Many have the Chargers already labels as the team to beat in the West. However, for the Chargers to have any chance they must stay healthy. Because health is a concern I don’t see coach Turner taking any chances with his key players. He will more than likely stick to a very strict preseason formula with a bigger focus on staying healthy than winning games. Meanwhile, Jim Mora makes his debut as the head coach for the Seahawks. Mora inherits a team that finished a disappointing 4-12 last year. Their lack of success was a direct result of the many injuries they suffered and, at times, was difficult to even field a defensive unit that could compete. The team appears healthy and should be the more motivated team to start the season off with a win. Seattle is 5-0 in their L5 preseason road games while the Chargers are just 2-5 in preseason home openers with Turner at the helm.

PREDICTION: SEATTLE 21 SAN DIEGO 17

(SEATTLE +3)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-15-09

GoodFella | MLB RunLine Sat, 08/15/09 - 7:05 PM (

double-dime bet 926 TAM -1.5 (+115) SportBet vs 925 TOR
Analysis:
-Both Kamir and Tallet must start or no action-

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-15-09

Craig Davis
Saturday's Lineup



50 DIME ---- RANGERS (With Holland and Penny as listed pitchers)



10 DIME ---- SEAHAWKS