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Chris Jordans 3 small picks for today
9-14-1 recently...
100? OVER Vikings/Texans - Something tells me we’re in store for a barn burner tonight in Houston, where Brett Favre will make his second start as the Vikings’ quarterback and the Texans will be looking to avenge a terrible showing last week against the Saints. And knowing how competitive Favre is, he’ll be looking to avenge that 1-for-4 performance in his team debut.
Knowing Favre has had some time to adjust to the Vikings’ system, I think he’ll be putting the pressure on the Texans to perform offensively, especially on their own field. And let’s not forget backup Sage Rosenfels was traded to the Vikings this offseason with hopes he’d become the team’s. Rosenfels spent three years as Houston's backup and is now competing with Tarvaris Jackson for the No. 2 spot. If he gets in for substantial time, he’ll have reason to drive the Vikes into the end zone.
As for Houston’s Matt Schaub, let’s not forget it was this same Vikings team that knocked him from the game thanks to Jared Allen. Don’t think for a second the offensive linemen haven’t forgotten that incident. He’ll get plenty of protection tonight, and he’ll be looking for all-everything receiver Andre Johnson. His number will be called a couple times tonight.
High-scoring game here, mid-40s, maybe even close to 50.
100? RANGERS RUN LINE - The Rangers will be looking to avenge a weekend set in Minnesota with what could turn out to be a four-game rout of the Blue Jays. Texas lost two of three in Minnesota, but will enjoy the comforts of home, where it has won 13 of its last 18. The Rangers are 41-24 at home this season and should be just fine with Derek Holland heading to the rubber. Prior to getting knocked around by the red-hot Yankees, he was 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his previous three starts.
Tonight he gets a Blue Jays team that is struggling terribly at the plate right now. Toronto has scored three or fewer runs nine times in its last 14 games, and the team has gone 3-11 during that span. The Jays are also struggling from the mound, including tonight’s starter Brett Cecil, who has allowed 12 runs – nine of them earned – over 7-2/3 innings of work in his last two starts.
I know the Jays have won four of six against Texas this season, but they’re mired in losing skids of 17-35 on the road and 11-23 in Texas. On the other hand, the Rangers are on a 14-5 run as the installed chalk.
Laying the run line in this one, as the Rangers should smoke this team with ease.
100? TWINS - Minnesota surged past the Chicago in the American League Central and will further the White Sox’s demise by opening this series with an easy win over a very weary team. The South Siders, who are 2-13 in their last 15 in Minnesota, will be playing their eighth straight road game in as many days and 11th straight overall.
Chicago comes in after being outscored 23-5 in a three-game sweep by the Yankees, in the Bronx. The Pale Hose are also on losing streaks of 1-7 overall, 7-19 on the highway and 1-6 overall in this series.
Minnesota is coming in off a solid showing against Texas, winning two of three. The Twins’ starters produced three straight quality starts against the hard-hitting Rangers, so what do you think is going to take place against a tired team like Chicago?
This is easy value chalk, as the Twins steamroll their visiting rivals.
26*
Ny Yankees {A.Pettitte} (-185) over Orioles {J.Guthrie}
7:05 PM -- Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Clear. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
24*
Marlins {J.Johnson} (-155) over Braves {K.Kawakami}
7:10 PM -- Dolphin Stadium
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.
25*
La Angels {J.Saunders} (-140) over Mariners {L.French}
10:10 PM -- SAFECO Field
Clear. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
Take the White Sox in Minnesota with Gavin Floyd pitching for Chicago and Nick Blackburn throwing for the Twins. Floyd is 10-8 on the season with a 3.95 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, and over his last 3 starts he has a 3.10 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Blackburn has struggled over his last 3 appearances, going 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The White Sox are on a three-game slide, but I like them to come out and grab a victory behind a strong outing from Gavin Floyd tonight.
20* No Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -137
The Angels get the job done with their bats tonight against the Mariners and their starter, Luke French. French has had an ok season for the Mariners so far, starting 10 games and earning 4 wins and a 4.14 ERA. Tonight, however, he will be facing one of the most productive line ups in baseball. The Angels hit .289 as a team and score 5.7 runs per game. In comparison, the Mariners hit about .259 as a team and average just under 4.0 runs per game. I also like the fact that Angels' starter Joe Saunders has a good showing against the Mariners in his career, going 6-1 against them with a 3.60 ERA. Saunders has had some bad starts this season, but two of his 10 wins have come over the Mariners in 2009.
Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, August 31, 2009
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LAA -134: Great value and way too much to pass up on a very good LAA team. They have been struggling lately but won on Sunday and look to put a streak together to get ready for the playoffs. Today they turn to Saunders who won his last start looking very good over 5 innings only giving up 2 ER's. He has dominated SEA in his career, with a 0.64 ERA to win both of his starts against the Mariners this season, and is 5-0 with a 2.40 ERA in six games against them since the start of 2008. On the other hand French goes for SEA trying to improve his control He has given up 13 walks over his last 4 starts and usually costs him victories. The LAA are a team that really take advantage of walks and this lineup is so dangerous. They are the highest scoring team in the majors and will show why tonight. Saunders will be good enough to slow down SEA and LAA will blow up young starter French. SCORE LAA 7 - SEA 3
The Texans have a very good QB rotation and will want a home victory on MNF to prove to the nation that they are turning the corner as a contender in the NFL. Minnesota clearly has QB problems if they had to signup Brett Favre out of retirement at almost 40 years old. I am not sold on Favre being a super star QB for the Vikings. This deal was done more so to sell tickets and we wont see Favre throwing the ball like a gunslinger until the regular season so tonight will be mostly for his timing and game speed. Houston could be a surprise team in the NFL if they stay healthy this season. Take the Texans at home.
10* Take Minnesota (+3) over Houston (NFL Power Play)
Minnesota
• 3-1 SU & ATS in pre-season as a road underdog of 7 points or less
• 2-0 SU & ATS in pre-season when the line is between -3 to +3
• 4-1 SU in pre-season non-conference games
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