9-1-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

MR EAST

Red Sox at Rays
Pick: Rays +145

Taking the Tampa Bay Rays at home is always loaded with value, especially when you take a look at what they have done here over the last 2 years. The Rays are currently 42-21 at home on the season, and are now 69-28 at home in their last 97 vs a team with a losing road record. Andy Sonnenstine has not had a great year, but at the same time, the Rays are 10-2 in his last 12 home starts vs a team with a winning record. The Red Sox aren't meant for field turf, as they are 0-8 in their last 8 played on it, and they are also 1-12 in their last 13 on the road vs a team with a winning record. The Red Sox now, just 5-16 in their last 21 played in Tampa dropping their last 5. I'll go with Tampa Bay here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

ASA

3* royals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

Jack Jones

20* No-Brainer on San Diego Padres -138

The Nationals are horrible on the road this season, coming into tonight's game against the Padres with a 19-47 road record. The Padres aren't great at home, but they are .500 in San Diego, and a bargain at this price against the worst team in baseball. The Nationals don't have a terrible offense, but their pitching, specifically their relief pitching, has been terrible this season. On the road this season the Nationals' bullpen has a 6.02 ERA, a 5-17 record and a save-conversion rate of just 54.5%. That means even if they can get a lead going into the later innings, they are more likely to blow that lead than any other team in baseball. The Padres have won 5 of their last 7 games over all and are hitting .290 as a team and scoring 5.4 runs per game over that stretch. Ride them tonight.

15* on Angels/Mariners Under 9 (-117)

Jump on the under in the Angels/Mariners game on Tuesday night. Ervin Santana has been up and down this year for LA, but has four straight quality starts. The under has hit in eight of his 11 starts against the Mariners. Seattle has been a solid under team all year long and I think that this number is inflated due to the fact that the Angels have great offensive numbers this season. The fact is that they won't score as much in this pitcher-friendly park.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

ATS LOCK

3 Angels
3 Rangers 2nd game

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

Teddy Covers

Royals/A's Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. Take Over 162 Atlanta Dream @ LA Sparks

The last time these two teams met, the total was set at 153 .5 in Atlanta. The game closed at 178 as LA was an active 3 point dog and pushed the total over. That will be the same case today as Atlanta will likely be the active 4.5 dog. Atlanta is solid off bounce-backs as this is one of the reasons why this team has surged in the very competitive east. Atlanta comes off back to back tight losses to Detroit and most recently to Seattle in overtime on the road. Tack on their revenge to LA and I expect them to be very competitive today. I also expect LA to continue to play well as they have been putting up quite a bit of points on the board lately including 91 against Connecticut adn 90 against Phoenix. In fact, I believe Atlanta likely wins this game Outright today but we will indirectly take Atlanta by taking the Over - bear in mind that 70% of the public is likely to get buried in this game as well. The Over is 7-0 in the Dream's last 7 road games and the Over is 6-0 when the Dream plays the Western Conference.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

Seabass

400 * Arizona/Dodgers over

100* LA Angels
100* Texas GM 2
100* Colorado -1.5 runs

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-1-09

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