9-3-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

RAS College FB - Thursday

#136 Ball St. UNDER 59'... 1 Unit

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

MR EAST

MLB THURSDAY 5 UNIT BOMB

#961 CLEVELAND INDIANS @ #962 DETROIT TIGERS 1:05PM EDT

PLAY ON #961 CLEVELAND INDIANS @ DETROIT TIGERS OVER 9.5 -110 FOR 5 UNITS

The Cleveland Indians have been a terror against lefthand pitching, and the Tigers Nate Robertson is ripe to be had. The Indians are scoring 5.8 runs a game against lefthanders, while their starting pitcher, Fausto Carmona is struggling in a big way himself, entering here with an ERA of 6.20 on the season. To top that off, Cleveland is 36-14 to the over as a road dog, that is 72% to the over. They are also 10-1 to the over when Carmona starts with a total of 9-10.5, and 23-7 in his last 30 starts with the same posted total range, and 30 of his last 42 starts overall have resulted in games going over the total. Nate Robertson has pitched to the over to an 11-1 mark in his last 12 starts vs the AL Central. This one goes over the total.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Bryan Leonard's NCAA Opening Night Gridiron Gold

135/136 North Texas at Ball State

A popular theory in handicapping the first week of the college football season is to back teams with a significant edge in returning starters. Our old friend Mike Lee who has since passed was the originator of this theory. Despite it's common thought process in these days the theory continues to make sense and money, especially if you jump on it early. While this game opened higher it's still a value at plus 17 or more as we expect this line to close in the 15 range.

North Texas returns 16 starters from a football team that won just once a season ago. But now coach Todd Dodge is in his key third year in the program and his son who also happens to be the signal caller has a firm grasp on it's intricacies. Riley Dodge grew up under his dad's tutelage as his father was a coaching legend in the high school ranks. Leading rusher Cam Montgomery from a season ago really came on at the end of the year to give this team a terrific run/pass combination.

Ball State had a breakout season a year ago under coach Brady Hoke but the losses are huge. Three year starting quarterback Nate Davis was drafted, four starting offensive linemen have departed as well as the top four receivers including Darius Hill who was outstanding. This team brings back just 11 starters and a completely new coaching staff as Hoke took advantage of the career year to go to San Diego State. His parallel move tells us all we need to know about this Cardinal program. Hoke knew the writing was on the wall as this Ball State team is in for a terrible fall this season. This now becomes a young team without any proven leaders. Not only must they win this game but they must do so by close to a three touchdown margin. The differences from the MAC and the Sun Belt are not nearly that large as we take advantage of new coach Stan Parrish and his young overrated squad in the season opener.

PLAY NORTH TEXAS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd

College Football Premium Picks
NCAA-F | Sep 03 '09 (7:00p)
South Carolina vs NC State NC State
-5-109 at 5dimes
3* 2009 NCAAF Season Opener (ESPN) on N.C. State -5
This one has revenge written all over it for the Wolfpack after getting thumped 34-0 at South Carolina last season. I expect 1st-Team All-ACC QB Russell Wilson to be the difference maker. The Pack return plenty of fire power with wide receivers Owen Spencer and Jarvis Williams as well. This core group of guys gives NC State the edge against an S.C. team that lost a lot on both sides of the football. SC's defense carried the team last season and I don't expect it to be as good. While QB Stephen Garcia should be better, he has less to work with. Last season we saw the offense put up the worst numbers in the Spurrier era; 20.9 points per game, 94.1 rushing yards per game, 27 interceptions, and it could be worse this season. The Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games while the Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Lay the points.

-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Akron vs Penn State Penn State
-26-108 at 5dimes
5* NCAAF Non-Conference GOTY on Penn State -26
The Nittany Lions dominated their non-conference schedule last season and I fully expect that to be the case again. They started off the year with a 66-10 win over Coastal Carolina and they'll be looking to send a message right out of the gate that they are every bit as good as last year's team. Quarterback Daryll Clark and running back Evan Royster lead the offense, but I expect Penn State's defense to be the key here. The Nittany Lions ranked 8th in the nation last year in both total and scoring defense and I expect them to be even better this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MAC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Lay the points.

NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (12:00p)
Toledo vs Purdue Toledo
+10½-110 at 5dimes
4* Major Week 1 Underdog Shocker on Toledo +10.5
Toledo beat a Michigan team last season that was better than the Purdue team they will face Saturday. Plus, this Toledo team, which returns 16 starters is expected to be greatly improved as well. The Boilermakers will be a bottom of the barrel type team in the Big Ten this season. No Curtis Painter and no Kory Sheets equals no offense. The Boilermakers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the MAC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.


NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (4:00p)
Rice vs UAB UAB
-5-110 at bodog
4* Major Conference USA Game of the Month on UAB -5
UAB returns all 11 offensive starters, and I expect this unit, led by QB Joe Webb to torch a Rice defense which allowed 33.0 ppg last season. The Owls won 10 games last year but lost all of their offense and won't be able to answer the call. The Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Blazers are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. UAB finished the season with 3 wins in its last 5 games, and nearly beat Conference USA champ East Carolina. Look for UAB to be jacked up to start the year at home and in conference play.

NCAA-F | Sep 05 '09 (7:00p)
Ul Monroe vs Texas Texas
-40½-102 at 5dimes
3* SMASH on Texas -40.5
IL Monroe is one of the worst football teams in the country. The Longhorns opened up last football season with a 42-point win over a much better FAU squad. They then posted 42-point wins in their next two home non-conference games. The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the S-Belt. Plus, UL Monroe is 7-21 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992. Texas will win by as much as they want to and that should be good enough for a cover here.


[ back to top ]

NFL Football Premium Picks
-= TOP PLAY =-
NFL | Sep 03 '09 (8:00p)
Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
-3-110 at bodog
5* NFLX Blowout of the Year on Titans -3
Green Bay (3-0) has nothing left to prove this preseason and because of that Aaron Rodgers is only expected to play one series. Backup QB Matt Flynn is not 100% and that means Brian Brohm, who has looked horrible, should see most of the snaps. The Titans are coming of back-to-back losses on the road and I expect them to bounce back at home here to build some momentum for the regular season. Tennessee has the superior QB depth with Vince Young and Patrick Ramsey. Green Bay's defense gave up 37 points on the road last week and cornerbacks Al Harris and Charles Woodson may not even make the trip, and certainly won't play much, if at all, if they do. Lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

ALATEX NFLX

9/3/09 NFL Philadelphia +3

9/3/09 NFL Cleveland +3

9/3/09 NFL 20* Superplay: Kansas City -1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Wunderdog

Game: Detroit at Buffalo (Thursday 9/03 6:30 PM Eastern)

Pick: Detroit +3.5 (-120)

The Lions did not win a game last year in the regular season. But, they did run the table in the preseason. They have already won two games this preseason and it's becoming evident that this team is about winning in the NFLX. The Lions may have an advantage in this game thanks to the continuing QB battle between rookie Matthew Stafford and veteran Dante Culpepper. In a game that usually sees starters rested, each of these top two QBs will likely see more time than the typical game four. The Bills coach Dick Juaron has never had a winning preseason as coach of the Bills and he will likely just run the clock and let the game pass. Juaron is just 13-22 in his 35 preseason coached games and that number is even worse in game four as he is just 2-6. I look for the Lions to at the very least cover this one, if not come away with the outright win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Tony Bruno Wins

Nc State 20x

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Randall the Handle

Chicago (A.L) +1.62 over CHICAGO

The South Side came out with a miracle win yesterday after they rallied for four runs after two outs and none on in the ninth inning. That was a huge momentum win and a win like that could definitely carry over here. Then we have the AL vs NL angle and it’s not like they’re playing the Phillies or Rockies. No, they’re playing a team that is a huge risk at this big price. The Cubbies just don’t win enough and they lose to so many bad pitchers that it would be extremely foolish to put any faith in them here. Yeah, they have an edge on the hill but that’s where any edge they have ends. Besides, Carlos Torres hasn’t looked bad at all in two starts. He walks too many but he can also strike out hitters and in those two starts against Cleveland and Tampa Bay his BAA was just .257. No doubt he has the ability, he just has to throw strikes and he and the South Side have a great chance to win. Note the 2:20 PM start time. Play: Chicago +1.62 (Risking 2 units).


Seattle +1.19 over OAKLAND

The M’s are still eight games out of a wild card spot but they just beat the Angels twice in a row and their record against the A’s is a good one. In fact, the Mariners have won four straight in this series and overall this season they’ve beaten Oakland nine times in 12 games. Furthermore, Ichiro is back in the line-up and all he’s done is hit .448 against the A’s this year. Meanwhile, the A’s seldom win two in a row and after beating KC last night they’ll find the going much tougher against a team they have trouble against. Brett (Suitcase) Tomko has put up some nice numbers since coming over from the Yanks but you know that’s not going to last. Tomko has played for 11 teams in 12 years and it would appear that each team couldn’t get rid of him fast enough. The Mariners hitters have seen plenty of him and if past performance means anything he could be in for a rough outing. The M’s players have had a combined 120 AB’s against Tomko and they’re a solid 40-121 against him for a .331 batting average. In any case, the M’s are 10½ games better than the A’s, they’ve owned them this season and as a pooch, they sure offer up some decent value. Play: Seattle +1.19 (Risking 2 units).


San Francisco -½ +1.02 over PHILADELPHIA (1st 5 innings)

Based solely on the starters here, the Giants have a big edge in the first half of the game with Cy Young candidate, Tim Lincecum going up against Pedro Martinez. The Phillies have won all four of Pedro’s starts but two of those starts were rain-shortened, (five innings combined) thus, he really hasn’t been exposed yet. He faced the D-Backs once and in another outing the Mets got to him for four runs in six frames. Pedro is hittable and he’s pitched just 16 innings in four starts after being off for more then a year. This park certainly can’t help his cause. Meanwhile, Lincecum is the straight goods. He’s allowed two runs in 22 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies and his 2.33 ERA is the league’s second best mark. He’s lost just four times this season and the chances of the Giants taking a lead into the sixth are great. Play: San Francisco -½ +1.02 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take # 965 New York Yankees -125 over Toronto Blue Jays (7:05p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

ALATEX MLB PICK for TODAY

MLB Superplay: St. Louis Under 9 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

charlie

college football. oregon @ boise st under 64', north texas @ ball st over 58 & boise st-3. (500* triple play).
college football. nc st-5 (30*)
college football. utah @ utah st over 52 (20*)
college football. troy-7 (20*)
college football. ball st-16' (10*)
college football. utah-20' (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Tony Salinas Baseball
Thursday, September 03, 2009

26*
Ny Yankees {C.Gaudin} (-125) over Bluejays {R.Romero}
7:07 PM -- Rogers Centre
Mostly clear. Winds blowing in from right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

25*
Mariners {I.Snell} (+125) over Athletics {B.Tomko}
10:05 PM -- Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

* All times Eastern

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

ATS Lock Club

4 Utah St
3 Boise St
3 Bears

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #954 Colorado (-1.5, -125) over N.Y. Mets (3 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 3)


1-Unit Play. Take #960 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, -120) over Arizona (10 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 3)


1-Unit Play. Take #952 St. Louis (-1.5, +115) over Milwaukee (2 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 3)


Today’s Totals

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 3)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 N.Y. Mets at Colorado (3 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 3)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 San Francisco at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 3)