9-3-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

NSA

20* CFB Boise State -3
20* NFL Jets -3
10* MLB Yankees -130
10* CFB Utah State +21
10* CFB South Carolina +5
10* MLB Rays -120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Ron Raymond | MLB Total Thu, 09/03/09 - 10:05 PM
triple-dime bet 967 SEA / 968 OAK Under 8.5 Bodog


Ron Raymond | CFB Total Thu, 09/03/09 - 7:00 PM
double-dime bet 127 South Carolina / 128 N.C. State Under 46.0 Bodog

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Northcoast

3 Miami +3 -120 (play of the week)
3 Carolina -3 -120
3 Denver +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

PowerSweep by NC Sports

4* Texas A&M
3* UTEP
3* Illinois
2* Georgia
2* Wisky
2* Navy

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NFL Preseason
3 (***) Green Bay +3.5
NCAA Football
3 (***) Troy -7

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) Florida -120
3 (***) NY Yankees -130

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Bob Valentino THURSDAY'S 30 DIME COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER ... 30 DIME -- UTAH STATE plus the points over Utah

NOTE: As of Thursday afternoon, this number was sitting at 20 1/2. If that number holds, I want you to buy the 1/2-point with Utah State and grab the 21 as insurance. No sense getting beat by the hook when you can get a key number like 21.

Also, as always, shop around to get the best of the number. Never lay more on a favorite than you have to, or take back more on an underdog than you can.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Northcoast College Plays
3 * Boise St

Small College Plays
3* North Texas
2 * Troy

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Stan Sharp GOY

Oakland Raiders +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Trace Adams

1500* - NC State Wolfpack, 500* - Tampa Bay w/Price over Buchholz
The luster has worn off the legend of Steve Spurrier, as his Gamecock career has been a bit streaky at best the last few years.



No issue laying the home lumber with the Wolfpack, as NC State was humiliated last year on opening night in Columbia, 34-0! Do note that starting QB Russell Wilson left that game with an injury, and while I don't think it made a shits worth of difference, it is a fact.



That game came well before head coach Tom O'Brien found his rhythm with his players, and it certainly showed.



The same may be true for South Carolina early this year, as Spurrier has brought in 6 new coaches to help mold this year's team that has already seen a pair of QB's leave for other schools!



NC State begins the campaign with a ton of promise, as Russell Wilson came into his own last season under center, and were it not for an injury in the Wolfpack's bowl game, they very well could have closed the season with 5 wins in a row.



Sure, that was last year, but with 14 starters returning from last year's team, I expect the Pack to howl in their home opener.



Lay the points, as this is a solid TD win for State.



1000? - NC State Wolfpack



Lone baseball release this Thursday is to go with Tampa over Boston.



You saw the Red Sox take the 6-5 lead into the bottom of the 8th last night, only to see the pen cough up 3 runs to the Rays in an 8-5 loss.



That makes it a 3-14 regular season mark at the Trop for Boston since last season.



I don't expect that mark to improve, as Tampa starter David Price has been a different hurler at home this year. Price is just 1-4 with a 6.81 road ERA this year, but at home he is 6-2 with a 2.96 ERA! That includes an August 5th win over Boston in which he went 6 innings, and allowed 2 runs to cross.



Nothing against Clay Buchholz, as he has been on the up-and-up for the most part for Tito Francona's club, but if he can't deliver a complete game, then I have my doubts about Boston's bullpen, and I certainly can't go with the Sox in this critical rubber game on the road.



500? - Tampa Bay w/Price over Buchholz

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Sid Paradise - 9/3
**NEW to the scene**

South Carolina vs. North Carolina St -5 (-105) (700pm et)


NCST will be looking for a bit of revenge after last years season opening beat down at the hands of these same Gamecocks. 5 points is a lot to give an SEC opponent even on the road but picking a side in the one is a bit of a crap shoot. The play to take in this one is UNDER 47. USC plays tough defense and their offense may be sloppy after losing many key skill players to go along with erratic but talented QB Stephen Garcia. NCST should have sound QB play from Russell Wilson. Wilson had 17 TD to 1 INT last season and will look to continue that success. Early season matchups of this kind tend to be more on the low scoring end so the under looks nice for a small play.
Pick- UNDER 47 (-115) 3* play

Utah St vs. Utah -21 (-110) (900pm et)
This game should be a breeze for Utah. They year after year beat up on their lesser state rival winning 11 straight at this point. Laying the points is a tough thing to do however. Utah isn't sure of their QB situation, which could make for some unforced errors. You can guarantee that Utah St will play from whistle to whistle and could catch back door cover late vs the 2nd stringers. My angle on this one is take the OVER 52. Utah will undoubtedly put up some points and may even score enough to cover the total by themselves as seen last year with their 58-10 stomping. I feel that this one will play out more like 2 years ago, the last time Utah St visited. Utah won by a healthy margin but no where near the expected outcome. Utah went OVER 10 of 12 times last year and they will surely be looking to put points on the board in this rivalry game.
Pick- OVER 52 (-110) 4* play

Oregon vs. Boise St -3.5 (+105) (1015pm et)
Injuries took their toll on the Ducks in last seasons match-up vs. Boise. This years game posses a different threat... Playing on the blue turf of Broncos Stadium! Boise is very tough at home and has won 18 of their last 20 SU (12-6 ATS). Broncos QB, Kellen Moore, should be able to pick apart the Ducks defense despite losing most of his receivers from a year ago. He boasted a 69.4 completion percentage as a freshman throwing mostly short to intermediate routes so the lack of experienced receivers shouldn't be that big of a concern. Boise also returns their entire secondary, which should be able to contain a streaky thrower in Ducks QB JeremiahMasoli. Masoli is also a threat to run but Boise is well coached and should be able to limit the big plays.
Pick- Boise St -3.5 (+105) 5* play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Street Rosenthal of Handicappingtrends

*200 Utah State +21
Take Utah State to cover in this heated rivalary tonight. Most will remember Utah whiping Bama in the Sugar Bowl. That wasn't the Bama seen earlier in the season. Utah St will have their hands full tonight, but will keep it within the 21 needed to cover.

*300 Oregon Ducks +3.5
I am taking Oregon with the points tonight. I have Oregon as 13-1 ATS as an Away Dog in games 1-3. We can tighten that down if Oregon is an Away Dog in games 1-3 and line less than 8 they are 9-0 ATS. I think the Ducks come out fighting tonight to get their first win of the season.

200* Carolina Panthers -3
Write ups to be posted later

200* Denver Broncos +3
Write ups to be posted later

*300 Tampa Bay Rays -128
I am taking the Rays at Home tonight. I have the Red Sox as 5-19 SU since 2005 as a road dog after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits. I also have the Red Sox as 0-12 SU since 2007 as a road dog after a loss and it is the last game of a series. Finally, I have the Rays as 36-8 SU since 2005 as a home favorite after a win in which they had fewer team left on base than their opponent. Take the Rays for the Win.

*200 St. Louis Cardinals -180
I am taking the Cardinals for another win today. I have a nice starter trend on Cardinals Starter John Smoltz that is 14-0 SU and several starter trends against Manny Para that total 3-20 SU for his team when he starts. I also have the Brewers as 3-23 SU since 2004 as a road 170+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Finally, I have the Cardinals as 25-4 SU since 2004 as a home favorite after a win in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Cardinals for the Win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

6 Unit Play. # 128. Take NC State -5 over South Carolina (Thursday @ 7pm est). NC State was a team that came a long way at the end of last year. This team started off the season rough by getting spanked to South Carolina 0-34 on August 28th of last year. It was their first game of the season and undoubtedly this team still has sour memories of that contest. NC State has come a long way since the beginning of last season including going 9-1 ATS over their last 10 ten games. Heck, this team took Rutgers to the limit when Rutgers was finishing the season strong and lost 23-29. This team led that game 17-6 at the break before Rutgers had to make a huge comeback just to win the contest. O'Brien has done a great job of coaching this team and I believe this team will pick up right where they left off. O'Brien can coach a little league team to victory as his coaching style is solid and his players have bought into. This team went into UNC last year and won 41-10 covering outright as 11 point underdogs. This team lost to Maryland by just a field goal on the road and once again, closed the year defeating Miami 38-28, UNC 41-10, Wake Forrest 21-17 and Duke 27-17 on the road. With South Carolina still having uncertainties at quarterback, I like NC State to make a quick statement on national television right out of the gates here. Revenge can be sweet especially for a team that was not in sync at the beginning of last year, but came into sync at the end of last year.



4 Unit Play. # 177. Take Louisiana Tech +13.5 over Auburn (Saturday @ 7pm est). I know that Auburn is looking to rebuild from last year's disappointment - but I expect them to struggle in this game. The Tigers were a dismal 2-9 ATS last year. I just don’t see the Tigers magically improving this year. After all, there are still questions regarding the quarterback situation of this team as both Burns and Todd have their faults. First year coach Malzahn has a lot of pressure to produce results as if the Tigers are willing to get rid of a coach who went 75-27, certainly, they will can the new guy if he has subpart performance early. Louisiana Tech returns quite a bit of starters from last year and this team moved the ball well last year. In fact, La Tech should be able to move the ball very effectively as this team is familiar with the system they run as compared to Auburn who is trying to get used Malzahn's way of doing things. I expect La Tech to be in sync earlier in the game and consequently to fall within the spread and even have a shot at winning this game outright.



4 Unit Play. # 156. Take Oklahoma State -5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). I just don't buy into the University of Georgia - yet. With a new quarterback and running attack, this team will find it tough in Oklahoma State. OSU is extremely well coached and this is a big game for their program. By handling the Bulldogs, this team can pave the way for what looks to be a very promising season. This team had a tough loss against Oregon in their last contest that they would like to forget and certainly this team has wonderful new facilities at their disposal. Heck, when Boone Pickens throws money down on your school, he expects a return. The Cowboys ended last season 6-0 ATS as a home favorite and are 15-6-1 ATS as favorites by this margin. I'm a fan of Coach Mark, but I just don't see his team being in sync this early on as I feel like they simply have too many holes to fill.



1 Unit Play. Baltimore vs. Atlanta Over 38 (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). If you saw Chris Redman close out last week’s game, you would have thought this team had won the Super Bowl as they defeated San Diego 27-24. With a nice mix of young and veteran receivers, the Falcons are doing very well as it relates to the flow of their offense scoring 26 points against Detroit, 20 on the road at St. Louis and most recently 24 points against San Diego. I expect Baltimore to continue their winning ways this preseason as they are 3-0 currently and for them to be an active dog likely sending this game over the posted total. I expect this game to have a regular season type atmosphere similar to the San Diego game which went over near the end of the contest.



1 Unit Play. Oakland vs. Seattle Over 36 (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). Oakland has suprisingly put up some points this offseason. This team put up 31 points against the Cowboys at home, 20 points against San Fran losing by 1 point and come off getting spanked at the hands of the Saints 7-45 at home. I suspect this team will have some pride despite this game being a preseason contest as this team looks to head into the regular season on a positive note. Mora's team has done well early on as he has complete control of the reins this year. This team has won all of its preseason games and certainly with two experienced quarterbacks at his disposal the offense has a nice sync to it. I expect Seattle to put up some points on the porous defense of Oakland and Oakland to keep relative pace as this game likely goes over 40 points.



1 Unit Play. #137. Take Houston Texans +3 against the Tampa Bay Bucs (Friday @ 7pm est). I cannot believe the Bucs are likely to start the bum known as Byron Leftwich. The guy is a has been and this team actually thinks he has talent. Good luck and good riddance. Houston is extremely well coached and usually and I expect their coaching staff to have this team ready to go as they come off back to back losses to New Orleans and Minnesota. Schaub and Orlovsky have looked this good preseason thus far and with a steady dose of Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels while Steve Slaton and Chris Brown run the ball, I believe the Texans have a likely shot at winning this game outright.


Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-3-09

Paul Leiner:

500* CFB Over 63.5 Oregon/Boise

50* MLB Braves -125

25* MLB Tigers -140