9-4-09

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 07:25 AM

Re: 9-4-09

WUNDERDOG NCAAF PICKS

Game: Tulsa at Tulane (Friday 9/04 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tulsa -13.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Green Wave have now completed their sixth-consecutive losing season, and last year was perhaps their worst at 2-10. What made it worse was the way that they finished the season with eight straight losses. The offense has some key components back from last year, but how much better is this team going to get? They gained just 221.2 yards a game last year, scoring just 16.7 points per game. In their final two games they were outscored 101-13. The Green Wave defense remains in turmoil after allowing 40+ in six of their last eight games. For the third straight year, this team will have a new defensive coordinator, so anyone that has been around here for three years must be completely confused. Tulane is just 54-78 ATS as an underdog over the past fifteen years. Tulsa has become a constant figure in the Bowls with four straight appearances and 38 wins in the last four years. The Golden Hurricane have led the NCAA in total offense the last two years with their hurry-up tactics and no huddle offense. Despite a different offensive coordinator, I don't expect things to change much. All three of their talented wideouts are back, so expect this team to score again. Tulsa has the potential for a third straight Conference USA Title, and should be the better team by far on both sides of the ball and they'll get it done on the road here.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 07:25 AM

Re: 9-4-09

ALATEX NFLX

9/4/09 NFL Superplay: Minnesota -3

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 07:26 AM

Re: 9-4-09

Marc Lawernce Play Book
Friday, September 4

Tulsa over TULANE by 14

You would think Tulsa’s 4-0 SU and ATS series mark, in which they
have outscored the Green Wave, 181-49, would send us straight to
the window. Throw in the fact that Tulane is a Phyllis Diller-like 2-32
ATS in their last 34 home games when they allow 35 or more points
and you can see why we might not even pass go. But the truth of
the matter is there are better games on the board. While there’s no
denying the Golden Hurricane can light it up (44 PPG under Todd
Graham), they did lose OC Gus Malzahn to Auburn and are breaking
in a new QB in Jacon Bower. Yes, the hosts are just 5-13 ATS as doubledigit
HD’s, but we’ll counter that with Tulsa’s 3-10-1 ATS log in its fi rst
lined game. Like the last pick in gym class, we’ll be riding the bench
this afternoon in the Superdome.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 10:07 AM

Re: 9-4-09

w dog
Game: Tulsa at Tulane (Friday 9/04 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tulsa -13.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Green Wave have now completed their sixth-consecutive losing season, and last year was perhaps their worst at 2-10. What made it worse was the way that they finished the season with eight straight losses. The offense has some key components back from last year, but how much better is this team going to get? They gained just 221.2 yards a game last year, scoring just 16.7 points per game. In their final two games they were outscored 101-13. The Green Wave defense remains in turmoil after allowing 40+ in six of their last eight games. For the third straight year, this team will have a new defensive coordinator, so anyone that has been around here for three years must be completely confused. Tulane is just 54-78 ATS as an underdog over the past fifteen years. Tulsa has become a constant figure in the Bowls with four straight appearances and 38 wins in the last four years. The Golden Hurricane have led the NCAA in total offense the last two years with their hurry-up tactics and no huddle offense. Despite a different offensive coordinator, I don't expect things to change much. All three of their talented wideouts are back, so expect this team to score again. Tulsa has the potential for a third straight Conference USA Title, and should be the better team by far on both sides of the ball and they'll get it done on the road here.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 10:51 AM

Re: 9-4-09

SuperSportsGroup - 9/4
Big night last night for these guys. Here are their plays today

MLB

Chicago v. NY 7pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 -110 (8*) Best Bet
Phillies v. Astros 8pm
PICK: UNDER 7.5 -105 (7*)

NFL

Tampa Bay v. Houston 7pm
PICK: UNDER 34 Game (4*)
San Fran v. San Diego 10pm
PICK: Chargers -3.5 Game (4*)

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:25 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Dave Malinsky

Top of the Ticket - Side

San Francisco Giants (Zito)-105 over MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Suppan)

4* #911 SAN FRANCISCO over MILWAUKEE

The last time Barry Zito took the mound we cashed a 6* ticket behind him, noting that the markets had not caught up with a run that now sees him at 4-2/1.92 since the All Star break. Now we again have a game that is not priced properly, with Zito not only under-valued, but with Jeff Suppan?s awful form not being recognized for what it is. Suppan began to fall off the table late last season, with an 0-3/8.44 September a sign that the best of his career was behind him, and in going 6-8/5.20 so far this season he does not show the stuff to stay in a Major League rotation, especially with only strikeouts in 124.2 innings, to go along with 61 walks. But in terms of current form the clouds are even darker. After a stint on the DL he was sent to the Minors for a couple of rehab starts, and they were awful ? he allowed nine runs on 13 hits over seven innings, not showing anything either time. Yet he was called back up anyway, and had the great luck of the draw to get home games against feeble Pittsburgh and Cincinnati offenses. But there is still nothing there. He may have sported a 1-0/4.35 for those two games but take a closer look ? he allowed 17 hits in 10.1 innings, with a horrific ratio of eight walks vs. only one strikeout. To turn a 2.42 WHIP into a 4.35 allowance is pure sleight of hand, but it is also something that you can get away with against weak competition, and in truth the level of competition faced by Suppan all season has been awful ? of the 112 pitchers that have worked at least 112 innings, his difficulty of batters faced is #106. To sport a 5.20 ERA against that class speaks volumes for just how little he has left in the tank.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:25 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Randall the Handle

Cincinnati +1.65 over ATLANTA
Bronson Arroyo has thrown seven full innings or more in six straight starts and he seems to be doing it with relative ease. Since July 10 he's been one of the best pitchers in the game, as he's thrown three shutouts over that span and has eight quality starts in nine attempts. Arroyo has not had success against Atlanta but that was then and this is now. Something has clicked with this guy, as he's completed dialed in and feeling it. Over his last three starts covering 22 frames, Arroyo has an ERA of 1.61. It also doesn't hurt that the Reds have won nine of 11 and are currently one of the hotter team's in the league. Atlanta is coming off a huge series against the Fish and had a chance to bury them after winning the first two. However, they lost the final two games and their bullpen was brutally awful. Not only were they battered in the final two but a little mental and physical fatigue could set in as well. Derek Lowe can be tough as shoe leather when he's on but when he's not he becomes extremely hittable. Lowe is pretty much a one-pitch pitcher ands he's only lasted 14.1 innings over his last three starts. The Mets ripped him apart three starts ago and he wasn't sharp against the Marlins two starts back. So, at this price and with both the Reds and Arroyo very warm at the moment, this pup looks to be a solid investment. Play: Cincinnati +1.65 (Risking 2 units).

Boston/CHICAGO over 9½ -1.05
Two broken down old dogs will face one another here, as Paul Byrd will oppose Freddy Garcia. It's hard to imagine that this game could possibly stay under this total, as both these starters are complete and utter stiffs. Garcia has pitched in just 17 games over the last three years and in his only start at home this year the Royals tagged him for five runs in four innings. He did pitch decent against the Yanks and Red Sox but don't put much into that. The Red Sox have seen him already this year and he won't catch them off guard again. Paul Byrd was a stiff when he was healthy and now he's making his second start of the year. Byrd actually retired this year and was throwing batting practice to a 13 and under team when the Red Sox called and said they needed help. So, Byrd starting throwing on Aug 5 and the Red Sox purchased his contract and here he is. He threw a seven-inning shutout in his first game back against the Jays but that was an aberration only. This guy is making a bigger comeback than Rocky and even Chris Angel would have a hard time making this illusion work. Play Chicago/Boston over 9½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

Seattle +1.02 over OAKLAND
For the second time in two days the A's are favored over the M's and that is all you need to know about this game. The Mariners have beaten the A's five straight and 10 of 13 this season and this one should not be any different. Vin Mazzaro has started six games at home and has one win and four losses. His ERA at home is 5.46 and his BAA is .333. That's in a pitcher's park and his numbers on the road are about the same. In other words, Mazzaro is a consistent stiff. Ryan Rowland-Smith pitched eight strong innings, but lost to Kansas City 3-0 on Sunday. Rowland-Smith only allowed five hits, one walk and three earned runs. He struck out seven on 113 pitches and now has a 3.95 ERA. So, what we get here is the better pitcher, the better team, a big psychological edge and a small tag. Get in line. Play: Seattle +1.02 (Risking 2 units).

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:26 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Bryan Leonard's
American League Total Domination

New York at Toronto

After cashing with the Yankees yesterday we return to the scene of the crime once again on Friday for another best bet selection. Both teams are throwing powerful right-handed starters but it's the offenses that could be in for a big day.
The Yankees send Joba Chamberlain to the hill and he has been pitiful since the team decided to install the Joba rules. In order to save his arm and limit his innings the youngster has really struggled to get in a rhythm. In his last five starts he has allowed 21 earned runs in only 23 innings of work. Just as telling is his strikeout to walk ratio of 18 to 15. That's 18 strikeouts in 23 innings from this young fireballer. He's faced the Jays twice this season allowing 7 earned runs in 9.2 innings of work. Toronto has scored 31 runs in their last five games so Chamberlain could once again be in for a short night.

Roy Halladay takes the hill for Toronto and he has really struggled since coming off the trade market. In his last three starts he's allowed 15 earned runs in just 17 innings of work. In his last two starts against the Yankees he's allowed 9 earned runs in 16 innings. In a major coincidence he faced New York on July 4th, August 4th and today is September 4th. While it doesn't have anything to do with today's handicap we just thought it was kind of strange.

Simply put the Yankees are knocking the cover off the ball right now. In their last 13 games they have scored 106 runs, an average of 8.2 runs per game. With Doc not at his best we can see that Yankee offensive steamroller continuing. This game is being priced based on starting pitcher history and neither of these hurlers are in good form. The offenses dominate here as this one flies over the posted total.

PLAY OVER

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:26 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Stan Lisowski

4star # 917 TEXAS -125 7:05PM

Baltimore is just 18-25 in game 1 of a series. The visitor has taken 5 of the 7 meetings this year.

Rangers like Feldman on the mound, as they have won 17 of his 24 starts overall, and an awesome 11 of 12 outings on the road! In those away starts, he has a 2.92 ERA. O’s meanwhile have dropped Tillman’s last 3 appearances and are only 2-5 in his 7 starts this season.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:26 PM

Re: 9-4-09

FantasySportsGametime
NCAA Football

100* Play Tulsa (-13.5) over Tulane (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Tulsa has won 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 63.5 and 70 points and they have also won 3 consecutive games when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season. Tulsa has won 18 of the last 21 games when playing on artificial turf and they averaged over 47 points a game on offense last season.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:28 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NCAA Football
3 (***) Tulane +14

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) Florida -125
3 (***) Philadelphia -120

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:28 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Kelso Highrollers Baseball

Friday, September 04, 2009
15 UnitsLa Angels {J.Weaver} (-155) over Royals {G.Meche}
8:10 PM -- Kauffman Stadium
Los Angles Angels (78-54) -155 over KANSAS CITY ROYALS (51-82) Pitching for Los Angeles: RH Jered Weaver (13-5, 3.89) Pitching for Kansas City: RH Gil Meche (6-10, 5.09) Starting Time: 8:10 TV: Fox Sports West, Fox Sports Kansas City
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:29 PM

Re: 9-4-09

Robert Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #903 St. Louis (-1.5, -125) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #909 Philadelphia (-125) over Houston (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #925 L.A. Angels (-145) over Kansas City (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #901 Florida (-115) over Washington (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #914 Colorado (-105) over Arizona (10 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #905 Chicago Cubs (-150) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #930 Oakland (+100) over Seattle (10 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take #921 Minnesota (-105) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

Today’s Totals
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Chicago Cubs at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Texas at Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Boston at Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Arizona at Colorado (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)

**Mr. IWS** · 09-04-2009, 12:29 PM

Re: 9-4-09

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles (Friday @ 7:05pm). I have a belief in what I call the 70% and -130 line. What that means essentially is in games in which the public is on a team to a tune of 70%, and the line still remains -130 or less, Vegas expects the dog to do well in the game. In this case, the Orioles. Typically this means the pitcher who is the dog is expected to pitch well and compete in the contest. Feldman is a solid pitcher as he is 5-0 with a 2.89 era in August and he is 2-0 with a 3.93 era in six starts vs. the Os. But, Tillman, one of the Orioles top pitching prospects is coming into this own in the Majors. After a bit of a rough start, he is beginning to settle in. He has pitched five straight quality starts and his last three have gone under consequently. I expect this game to be a pitcher's battle as both pitchers are likely to keep the opposing offenses at bay. I rode this under in a similar fashion with the Dbacks/Dodgers earlier in one of the few wins recently and it panned out so I am doing it again here. Otherwise, we will stick to sides as it has worked better for us prior to this rut we are currently in baseball.

Good luck,

IC

9-4-09

9-4-09

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