9-4-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

Brandon Lang

Friday's Selections ...
Note:

Feels good to be home.



Yes, the trip was spectacular to say the least, but now it is time to really buckle down and turn all my attention and energies to this football season.



Troy imploded. Utah State got there. Switch those around and the tone of today is a whole lot different than it is right now.



The big picture is my opinion, and how I have rated that opinion since the all star break has been unmatched by anyone on this website, and arguably any handicapper on the internet.



7 straight winning weeks. The drive for # 8 in a row is right there within my grasp.



The next 4 days will decide that.



I haven't had a losing week coming out of the all star break. I'm talking about 7 winning weeks in a row based on the adjustments I have made in approaching the day-to-day life of handicapping and releasing games.



My record since then speaks for itself.



Let's get the winning Friday and roll into a juicy Saturday of College football baby.



5 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS - I will roll the dice with the red-hot Barry Zito, and a Giants team battling for the wild card spot.



After struggling a bit in the first half, he has been as hot as I have after the all-star break going 4-2 with a 1.92 ERA in nine starts allowing more than 2 earned runs only once in this run.



Mr. Zito is also 1-0 his last 3 starts, allowing just 2 earned over 20 1/3 innings giving up just 2 earned. Absolutely rock solid!



Wish I could say the same about Jeff Suppan, who despite beating the Pirates his last start 4-1, has still been getting lit lately.



Prior to beating the light-hitting Pirates, he was 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA in his previous nine starts, and I feel a lot of that is due to his time on the DL recently due to a strained oblique muscle.



Suppan is 3-6 with a 5.86 ERA in 10 starts against the Giants, and 0-2 with a 10.24 ERA against them this year.



He escaped bases-loaded jams in Pittsburgh, but won't be able to escape them tonight as the Giants get a much needed win in this NL Wild card race.



Zito over Suppan is the play.



SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (Zito over Suppan)



5 DIMER - TEXAS RANGERS - Feldman is on fire on the road!



No other way around it.



He hasn't surrendered a run in his last two road starts, and in getting a pair of road wins against the Rays and the Twins, he allowed just 8 hits over 12 2-3 shutout innings.



Feldman is 6-0 with a 1.60 ERA in his previous six road outings, and I think the world is aware he is trying to become the first Ranger pitcher to win seven straight on the road since Bobby Witt did it in 1990.



An even more astounding number is the fact Feldman is 10-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 12 road starts overall this year. Unreal just how hot he has been on the highway all year long.



Even more in his favor is his first road win of the season was against the Orioles back in April allowing a run and four hits over five innings of a 6-5 victory.



This Baltimore team is imploding right before our very eyes. They have truly mailed it in as evidenced by their performance on Wednesday.



Trailing 3-2 in the top of the 9th they proceeded to give up a 7-spot to the Yankees and lose 10-3. Their team ERA is the worst in the American League.



Tillman goes for the Orioles but at this point it really doesn't matter what the starter does, the O's have no bullpen. NONE.



This game, much like the Giants above is about one team going in one direction and the other going the opposite way.



Rangers and Feldman get it done.



TEXAS RANGERS (Feldman over Tillman)



5 DIMER - TULSA-TULANE UNDER - I just don't see how these two are going to combine to get over this number tonight?!?!?



Not once did Tulane combine with anyone on their schedule last year to get over this number they have posted tonight and under Bob Toledo, their defense has always started off the year solidly.



In his previous 3 years, Toledo and his Tulane defense never sniffed 64 combined points, and last year at Alabama in their season opener they lost 20-6 as his defense played spectacular.



On the other side of the coin, Tulsa has huge question marks on their offensive line and a brand new QB. On the road against a Tulane defensive line ready to go, they will struggle on offense.



Sometimes the linemaker in Vegas can put up a number based on past performance, and/or reputation, and I really feel that is the case here with Tulsa.



They come into Tulane with just 5 starters back on offense, but 8 on the defensive side, a defense that really improved the last 3 games of the year.



Tulane will try to establish the run, while I really feel on the road with a new QB, and an inexperienced offensive line Tulsa will just not be able to open it up like they have before.



On the college football card last night you had 5 games with a posted total, and 4 of those 5 held UNDER, and I mean way UNDER, while the Utah St/Utah game fell right on the number.



For me, Tulane at home, first game of the year, UNDER is the way to go, just like the ball games last night.



TULSA-TULANE UNDER THE TOTAL



FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA-COLORADO UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

Dr. Bob

Friday Strong Opinion
TULANE 28 Tulsa (-14) 37

Tulsa's offense has led the NCAA rankings in each of the last two seasons, although I ranked them 9th both seasons after compensating for strength of opposing defenses. That ranking is likely to go down this season, but not because quarterback David Johnson has moved on. After all, Johnson was a new starting quarterback last season and the 3 quarterbacks battling for the starting job this season are all at least as talented as Johnson was. The reason for the slip in the offensive numbers is the departure of big play receiver Brennan Marion, who caught 82 passes the last two seasons for an amazing 28.7 yards per catch. It's impossible to replace numbers like that and the new quarterback isn't likely to be as well protected as Johnson was last season behind an experienced line. This years line has just 2 returning starters and the 3 that graduated were all multiple year starters, so the sack percentage should go up a bit while the yards per catch numbers go down. Tulsa will still have a very good pass attack, but averaging 9.2 yards per pass play like last season is not going to happen. The rushing attack should be nearly as good even without leading rusher Tarrion Adams, who ran for 1523 yards at 6.2 ypr in 2008. The 3 backups last season ran for a combined 1224 yards at 6.7 ypr so the only drop-off in run production will come from the less experienced offensive line. Tulsa will still be very good offensively (about 20th best in the nation), so expect them to score plenty of points against the weak CUSA defenses that they'll face.

The Golden Hurricane defense has been bad in both of Todd Graham's seasons as head coach and that unit allowed 5.8 yppl last season to teams that would average just 5.2 yppl against an average stop unit. The defense should be better this season with 8 returning starters but they'll probably still be below average (although average by CUSA standards).

The Green Wave started last season with an impressive showing against Alabama, out-gaining the Tide 3.9 yards per play to 3.6 yppl but losing 6-20 because of two special teams touchdowns allowed. Tulane's offense had a tough time in that game against a stout Bama defense, but the Green Wave started to blossom offensively in the weeks that followed and were a better than average offensive team prior to losing star WR Jeremy Williams in their 5th game and then losing star RB Andre' Anderson early in game 7. The Tulane quarterbacks averaged 6.8 yards per pass play before the injury to Williams, who racked up 437 receiving yards on 42 passes intended for him (he caught 27), but the Green Wave managed just 5.3 yppp in the 7 1/2 games without Williams. Freshman Joe Kemp did a better job throwing the ball than starter Kevin Moore and Kemp is the starter heading into this season. Williams is back from his broken hand and ready to be an All-CUSA receiver. The rushing attack also was night and day different without Anderson, who ran for 864 yards at 5.0 ypr while the other backs combined for 3.6 ypr. Tulane was just 0.1 yards per rushing play worse than an average team with Anderson and they were a horrific 2.0 yprp worse than average without him last season. Overall, the Green Wave offense finished the 2008 season with an average of just 5.1 yards per play (against teams that would allow 5.8 yppl to an average team), but they were better than average with Anderson and Williams in the lineup and they are both back this season. I expect Tulane to be a good offensive team this season as long as Anderson and Williams are healthy.

Tulane's defense started last season well, allowing just 4.8 yppl in their first 4 games (against teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average team), but the Wave fell apart defensively after that and ended the season with a 6.4 yppl average and a rating of 0.9 yppl worse than average. There will be improvement from the defense this season but it may not come until after star DT Reggie Scott and S Corey Sonnier (last year's leading tackler) return from 2 games suspensions.

Tulsa beat Tulane 56-7 late last season when the Green Wave offense was rudderless without Williams and Anderson and when the defense was worn down. The Golden Hurricane will certainly be able to move the ball on Tulane, but the Green Wave should score around 30 points themselves against a sub-par Tulsa defense. My ratings favor Tulsa by only 9 1/2 points in this game and it is clear that Tulane's offensive collapse without their two stars has skewed the perception of just how good Tulane's offense can be. I'd consider Tulane a Strong Opinion at +14 or more.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

BIG AL McMordie

DALLAS + THE POINTS

Our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys plus the points over
Minnesota. This will be a tough game for the Vikings, who are working
on an awfully short work week. Minnesota played Monday night down in
Houston, and then had to travel back home for this game -- just four
days later. After starting the preseason with three wins, there's
little to prove here, and the primary focus for the Vikings' coaches
will be to come out of this game healthy. Dallas, on the other hand,
last played on Saturday, so it will have had six days between its last
game and Friday -- a 2-day work advantage. The Cowboys also check in
off a 7-point home loss, and now fall into a 37-17 ATS system of mine
that plays on certain teams off a 7-point loss, who are matched up
against a foe off a win. Look for an upset here. Take the points.
Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

wayne root

vegas legend tulsa golden hurricanes

millionaire minnesota twins

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

PPP Gavazzi

5* TEXAS AM

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

PPP Opinion

Tulsa

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

big play club from swami group

tampa bay in football

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-4-09

Scott Spreitzer

Tampa Bay
Dallas
Tulsa