9-5-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. # 177. Take Louisiana Tech +13.5 over Auburn (Saturday @ 7pm est). I know that Auburn is looking to rebuild from last year's disappointment - but I expect them to struggle in this game. The Tigers were a dismal 2-9 ATS last year. I just don’t see the Tigers magically improving this year. After all, there are still questions regarding the quarterback situation of this team as both Burns and Todd have their faults. First year coach Malzahn has a lot of pressure to produce results as if the Tigers are willing to get rid of a coach who went 75-27, certainly, they will can the new guy if he has subpart performance early. Louisiana Tech returns quite a bit of starters from last year and this team moved the ball well last year. In fact, La Tech should be able to move the ball very effectively as this team is familiar with the system they run as compared to Auburn who is trying to get used Malzahn's way of doing things. I expect La Tech to be in sync earlier in the game and consequently to fall within the spread and even have a shot at winning this game outright.



4 Unit Play. # 156. Take Oklahoma State -5 over Georgia (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). I just don't buy into the University of Georgia - yet. With a new quarterback and running attack, this team will find it tough in Oklahoma State. OSU is extremely well coached and this is a big game for their program. By handling the Bulldogs, this team can pave the way for what looks to be a very promising season. This team had a tough loss against Oregon in their last contest that they would like to forget and certainly this team has wonderful new facilities at their disposal. Heck, when Boone Pickens throws money down on your school, he expects a return. The Cowboys ended last season 6-0 ATS as a home favorite and are 15-6-1 ATS as favorites by this margin. I'm a fan of Coach Mark, but I just don't see his team being in sync this early on as I feel like they simply have too many holes to fill

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Dave Busk


3 Unit Pick #152 Take Ohio U (+3.5) over Connecticut (September 5th, 7:00)

Year five of the Frank Solich era begins in the home doggie role vs. Connecticut and this might be the best time to face the Huskies in the opener. Connecticut has to replace their quarterback plus their star running back plus they’re installing a new offensive bringing in the no huddle. Something like that could take some time for them to run even half good. While Connecticut defense was sixth in the nation in 2008 and return six starter’s on they defensive unit they will have to face Ohio offense that had a quarterback battle in the spring and return all their wide outs and running backs. I made this game a pick by my numbers and to be able to put (3.5) points in my pocket is something I can’t pass up.

1 Unit Pick #170 Eastern Michigan (-5.5) over Army (September 5th, 7:00)

Both teams have hired new head coaches with Army bringing in Rich Ellerson a triple option expert who has coach and had great success at Cal Poly for the last eight years. Eastern Michigan brings in former Michigan and Louisville defensive coordinator Ron English who inherits 16 returning starters from last year with standout quarterback Andy Schmitt and all-Mac receiver Jacory Stone. These two teams played at West Point last year with Army coming out on top with a 17-13 win as a (2.5) point favorite, I think the second time around for Eastern Michigan defense of seeing the option and they amount of depth this team returns we have some value in the home opener.

3 Unit Pick #206 Take Memphis (+17) over Mississippi (September 6th, 3:30)

Whew, is this baby high. These two teams opened up last year in Mississippi with the oddsmaker opening the Rebels as a (10) point favorite before money betting down the closing number to (-8.5) Mississippi win. The Rebels when on to go 9-4 and win a bowl game while Memphis went 6-7 and lost a bowl game. A lot can be said about Memphis last year, they started the season 0-3 and battled back to make a bowl game. This Memphis team is a little older and better, their strong at the quarterback position and have a good returning back with Curtis Steele along with a defensive that improved last year and has seven returning starters this year. I know the Rebels are good and deep with the offense and even with no real home field advantage with these two schools so close, this line is just to high and I expect Memphis to hang around.

Thanks and Good Luck-Dave

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Vegas Sports Informer

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS


3 Unit Play. #162 Take Illinois -6 ½ over Missouri (Saturday 9/5 3:30 PM ESPN)

Expect Illinois to get its revenge on Missouri tonight as the Illini are 0-2 in their last two meetings. Juice Williams will be the difference for Illinois, as his experience and play-making ability will put the Illini over the top and finally beat the Tigers of Missouri. Illinois is 4-1 ATS in the month of September.

4 Unit Play. #180 Take Texas A&M -14 over New Mexico (Saturday 9/5 7:00 PM)

New Mexico looks to be yet in another rebuilding year as New Mexico returns only 9 starters. Last year the offense for the Lobos had issues, but the defense generally kept things interesting. Texas A&M should have no trouble on offense and defense against New Mexico and the Aggies should easily win this game by double-digits. New Mexico is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.

3 Unit Play. #181 Take Virginia Tech +6 ½ over Alabama (Saturday 9/5 8:00 PM ABC)

Defense will rule this game! With both teams flexing their muscle on defense a low scoring game we should see. With that, too many points to give Va Tech on a neutral field Saturday night. Alabama should win this game but look out for the Hokies as they can easily win this game on defense and special teams. The winner of this game wins by a field goal! Virginia Tech is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.

3 Unit Play. #208 Take Colorado -10 ½ over Colorado St (Sunday 9/6 7:00 PM FSN)

Since this game is being played in Boulder and not Denver we should see the home team taking advantage of this instate rivalry. What a shock that Colorado State is starting yet another season with an inexperienced QB. Colorado St is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

4 Unit Play. #211 Take Under 48 ½ Miami Fl at Florida St (Monday 9/7 8:00 PM ESPN)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Doc's Sports

“The Magnificent Seven” Saturday, September 5, 2009.

6 Unit Play. #57 Take Toledo +10 ½ over Purdue (Saturday 12:00 pm Big 10 Network) Top Selection of the Weekend. The Rockets were only 3-9 in 2008, however, they did upset Michigan. This club returns 16 starters and I look for this team to be much better in 2009. The Rockets have a new coach in Tim Beckman and he was Oklahoma’s defensive coordinator the last two years. The Rockets had only 10 total seniors in 2008, but they will likely start 13 seniors in 2009.

As for the Boilers, I picked them to finish last in the Big 10. Coach Tiller has retired and the cupboard is empty for the team in 2009. They must replace QB Curtis Painter and RB Kory Sheets. Both teams start with new coaches and a cat-and-mouse affair should turn this into a defensive battle. I like the points here and in fact will call the upset. Toledo 24, Purdue 21.

5 Unit Play. #69 Take Illinois -6 ½ over Missouri (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Top Big 10 Selection. The Illini have lost to the Tigers in 2007, 40-34, and in 2008, 52-42, and four straight meetings overall. Illinois has 13 starters back including a powerful offense led by QB Juice Williams and outstanding wide receivers.

Looking at Missou, they were hit hard by graduation, including the loss of QB Chase Daniels and three of their top receivers including Jeremy Maclin. Missou returns just four starters on defense and if Illinois is ever going to beat them, it will come this season. My only hesitation is that the public will be on Illinois this week. The Tigers were a disappointing 10-4 in 2008 and it appears they will regress even more in 2009, especially with all the good teams in the Big 12 South. The losses start in game one, as Illinois takes out years of frustration and emerges victorious. Illinois 35, Missouri 10.

5 Unit Play. #91 Take Northern Illinois +17 over Wisconsin (Saturday 6:00 pm Big 10 Network) Top Underdog Play. Certainly have to always respect Wisconsin at home; however, this is not a typical Badger team as in years past. No question, Wisconsin has a strong running attack with Zach Brown and John Clay. However, the talent really drops off quickly with the other skill positions. Wisconsin will likely play two quarterbacks in this game and to me this means neither is very good. The offensive line is really banged up and not as strong as in years past without an all-conference player at left tackle. Wisconsin lost six games in 2008, and I look for that total to rise in 2009.

As for Northern Illinois, the offense should be explosive with QB Chandler Harnish back. The real question will be the Huskies defense, which returns only four starters. The last two openers have been against Big 10 teams and they would have covered the line in this game in both of them, losing 31-27 in 2008 to Minnesota and losing 13-3 to Iowa in 2009. If NIU can stop the Badgers running attack, this could be a barn-burner. Call it close! Wisconsin 27, Northern Illinois 20.

4 Unit Play. #58 Take Under 50 ½ in Toledo at Purdue (Saturday 12:00 Big 10 Network) Top Over/Under Play. Purdue had a bit of a transformation last season and started playing better defense and thus this sets up for a perfect situation to play the under. Both teams have new coaches and I truly believe Toledo has a great chance to win this game straight-up. Purdue held Penn State to just 20 points, Ohio State to just 16 points, and Minnesota to just 17 points in 2008. Purdue ranked fourth in the Big 10 last year defensively and that may be their best chance for success in 2009, with a ball control offense and a strong defense.

Toledo beat Purdue back in the 1990s during Coach Joe Tiller’s first season at Purdue and I expect history to repeat itself in 2009 during Coach Danny Hope’s first season. Toledo 24, Purdue 21.

4 Unit Play. #50 Take Michigan -12 ½ over Western Michigan (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Will this be the Michigan team of old or the Michigan team of the past two years? Looks to me like the old assuming Coach Rodriguez can find a quarterback to run his offense.

The Broncos return only three starters on defense and Michigan should be able to move the ball. The Wolverines lost their openers in 2007 & 2008 and will not take this game lightly and if they have a chance, expect Michigan to run the score up! I realize that Michigan plays Notre Dame next week, but they need every win they can get and thus they will not be looking ahead. Western Michigan has been blown out in their last three openers, losing 39-20 to Indiana in 2006, 62-24 to West Virginia in 2007, and 47-24 to Nebraska in 2008. To me it looks like more of the same in 2009. Michigan 35, Western Michigan 14.

4 Unit Play. #62 Take Texas A & M -14 over New Mexico (Saturday 6 pm) Coach Mike Sherman got a taste of how strong the Big 12 South is last year and the Aggies struggled to a 4-8 record. Playing with Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, and Oklahoma State will make your own squad better and with 16 starters returning expect to see those results in 2009. New Mexico has a new coach and returns just nine starters and is in serious rebuilding mode. The Aggies have next week off and need a big blowout win to get the faithful on their side and expect them to run it up if they can. The homer gets the call and we collect big in the process. Texas A & M 42, New Mexico 10.

4 Unit Play. #73 Take Navy +22 over Ohio State (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) The Buckeyes lost some real talent to the NFL but every year they just seem to reload. That will likely be the case in 2009. However, some exclusive information tells me that their offense is not yet at the 2008 level. The line is high because of QB Terrelle Pryor; however, they lost RB Wells and three lineman off of the 2008 squad. It will take time for this year’s squad to find its identity.

Navy is always competitive and will give maximum effort regardless of the time and score. True, only 11 starters return. However, this team should be better. I like the fact that the Buckeyes have USC next week and it will be tough for Coach Tressel to keep his team focused on this game. This is the type of game where teams get upset. I will not go that far but will easily take the points. Ohio State 24, Navy 10.

Last Games left off of the Ticket:
No. 87 Middle Tennessee State +18 ½ over Clemson
No. 108 Take Memphis +17 over Mississippi
No. 32 Tennessee -3 ½ over Green Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

St.BernadineSports
PingPongFool


1st ever 4**** Star
Auburn -13.5 -110 for Game



I have had my eye on this game for several weeks. The more I study it the more I love it.
The last time Auburn took the field they lost 36-0 to Alabama. What a bad taste to live with all year. They are so ready to get on the field and hit someone, anyone, just give me someone to play. You got it. LA Tech, is coming to town. I would hate to be LA Tech. Auburn has so many new things this year. One of which is Gus Malzahn the OC. Watch out Wild Cat. Kodi Burns is the perfect QB for the Wild Cat. (Both Burns and Malzahn are from Arkansas, which is where I am also from) This game will be over in the 1st Qu and so will the spread. Watch for Auburn to burn it up (no pun intended). The SEC vrs WAC and only 13.5 points?? You can't be serious. I will give them -13.5 and jump on it.



Enjoy the game (ESPN-U)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Malinsky
6* Georgia

4* Nevada
4* Middle Tenn State
4* Auburn

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

ASA

3* Georgia
3* Minnesota Gophers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Mark Lawrence
5* LSU
4* UAB
3* Navy
Upset GOW Georgia

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Bob Valentino

30 DIME WINNER #6 IN A ROW ...
30 DIME -- NOTRE DAME (minus the points vs. Nevada)



NOTE: As of Friday afternoon, this number was sitting at 14 1/2 in most spots. If that number holds, I want you to buy the 1/2-point with Notre Dame and only lay 14 as insurance. No sense getting beat by the hook when you can get a key number like 14.



Also, as always, shop around to get the best of the number. Never lay more on a favorite than you have to, or take back less on an underdog than is available!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

EZ WINNERS

3* Nevada Wolfpack +14.5

I sure don't agree with Lou Holtz that the Irish will play for the BCS championship. They do have a weak schedule, but they better not be overlooking the Wolfpack. Nevada will treat this like a bowl game and they have a bye in week two so they will be focused for the Irish. The Nevada defense is questionable and the Irish will score, but the Wolfpack offense can control the ball and the tempo of this game. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick was the WAC offensive player of the year who led this Nevada offense to 37 points per game last season. I expect Nevada to run the ball and keep the Irish off balance with the Pistol formation. I think this will be a struggle for Notre Dame and they are only 1-8 against the spread the last nine times they have been favored at home by 10.5 or more. Take the points.



3* Auburn Tigers -13.5

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs don't fare well when they play the big boys on the road and I don’t see that changing here. LA Tech is just 3-16 as a double digit road dog since 2004 and they are facing a retooled Auburn offensive attack. The Tigers almost always have a great defense, but they have looked to fix their pedestrian offense this year with the hiring of new offensive coordinator Gux Malzahn from Tulsa. Malzahn has talent to work with on the offensive side of the ball and that talent should do some damage here. Expect another strong effort from the Tigers defense as well. LA Tech is just 1-6 against the SEC. Lay the points.


3* Texas A&M Aggies -15

The Aggies will be looking to build some confidence after last season's 4-8 campaign and they have a good opponent to do so against. New Mexico only has nine returning starters and a new head coach that is changing schemes on both sides of the ball. Needless to say it’s going to take the Lobos some time to digest all of these changes. In the second year of the Mike Sherman era the Aggies have added some much needed speed to the defense and the running back position. I expect a big confidence boosting win by the Aggies who have a bye next week. Lay the points.


2* Boston Red Sox +$103

(Action)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Special K

20* Super K Bomb Oklahoma State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Dave Cokin

10* Texas A&M
10* UTEP
10* Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

Stryker 4*
UCLA

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-5-09

ATS

8 AUBURN -13 1/2
6 WASH +18
2 parlay Aub & Wash
5 MINN -7
5 MICH -13
4 ILL -6 1/2

[CHACHI18]

Re: 9-5-09

U POSTED ATS PICKS....IS THAT ATS LOCK CLUB?