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I am taking the Braves for the win today. I have the Braves starter Tim Hudson as 6-0 SU when he starts on Sundays. I also have the Reds Starter Johnny Cueto as 1-10 SU when he starts away and the line in less than -120 and their previous starter allowed less than 4 runs. I also have the Reds as 4-18 since 2005 as a 140+ dog after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is nor the first game of a series. Finally, I have the Braves as 17-6 SU since April 2009 vs a team that has won at least their last two games. Take the Braves for the win.
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the Phillies as they play against Houston set to start at 2:05 EST. Lidge is truly a big problem for the Phillies as he blew his 10th save of the year and moved his record to an imperfect 0-7 on the season. Based on the AiS, he will not be needed today and Cole Hamels will dominate again. Hamels is coming off his 4 complete game shutout of his career allowing just 2 hits and 1 BB while recording 9 K's against SF. Over his last 3 starts he has posted a 1.64 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Houston starter Bud Norris is in a horrid stretch sporting a 13.11 ERA over his last 3 starts. Hamels has never lost to Houston and his team record is a perfect 5-0. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 40-7 making 22.3 units sin profits since 2003. Play on road teams revenging a one run loss to opponent and is a good team sporting a 54% to 62% winning percentage playing a marginal losing team sporting a win percentage of 46% to 49%. Take the Phillies.
Whew, is this baby high. These two teams opened up last year in Mississippi with the oddsmaker opening the Rebels as a (10) point favorite before money betting down the closing number to (-8.5) Mississippi win. The Rebels when on to go 9-4 and win a bowl game while Memphis went 6-7 and lost a bowl game. A lot can be said about Memphis last year, they started the season 0-3 and battled back to make a bowl game. This Memphis team is a little older and better, their strong at the quarterback position and have a good returning back with Curtis Steele along with a defensive that improved last year and has seven returning starters this year. I know the Rebels are good and deep with the offense and even with no real home field advantage with these two schools so close, this line is just to high and I expect Memphis to hang around.
Since this game is being played in Boulder and not Denver we should see the home team taking advantage of this instate rivalry. What a shock that Colorado State is starting yet another season with an inexperienced QB. Colorado St is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
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