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Re: 9-12-09
Randizzle
2* USC -6.5
1.5* UNC -4
1* UCLA +10
2* Oklahoma St. -15
Randizzle
2* USC -6.5
1.5* UNC -4
1* UCLA +10
2* Oklahoma St. -15
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Re: 9-12-09
MR EAST
NCAAF SATURDAY SLEEPER
#337 LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS @ NAVY MIDSHIPMEN 3:30PM EDT
PLAY ON #337 LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS +7.5 -110 FOR 3 UNITS
I'm out of the gate 7-1 in NCAAF and this is off an 86-63 finish a year ago. The Naval Academy came within an eyelash of pulling off what would of been the biggest upset of the week last week, when a botched 2 point conversion, kept them from getting into OT vs Ohio St. So looking at this line of just 7 makes it very tempting to grab them here, afterall they just played one of the best teams in the country almost dead even. Not so fast. Think of the circumstances here. Ohio St. has USC this week, and you can bet they had USC on their minds, and were not very amped up to play Navy, while for Navy, this was a huge motivational spot, to come into Big-10 country and spring the upset. Now they face a BCS sandwich, as they play Pittsburgh next week. I expect Navy to be flat as a pancake here. This is a team that closed 5-1 a year ago. The strength of the LA Tech team is running the ball, and stopping the run, which puts them right in the thick of things here. This is a team that has a punishing running game, and an OL that returns in tact. They also have a bigtime running back in Daniel Porter, who will likely finish this season as the all-time rushing leader at Tech. The defense is vulnerable in the secondary, but Navy does not throw the ball but 10-15 times a game, so they will stack against the run, and will have success. Tech was down at Auburn by just 10 into the 4th quarter, so they are definately capeable of winning here. Navy has no homefield advantage and are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 at home. The public is all over Navy in this one, as 82% have sided with the service academy here, yet lines have moved the opposite way, as 7.5 is still available, but 7's are popping up now. Why with 82% on one side, would the line be going the other way? That means that 18% are wagering bigger money on LA Tech than the 82% are on Navy. I'm part of that 18%, and I'm going with LA Tech here, with a chance to win this one straight up.Comment
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Re: 9-12-09
Dominic Fazzini
Saturday's play
20 Dime -- TCU (minus points vs. VIRGINIA)
TCU
TCU might be the most underrated team in the nation.
Yes, I know the Horned Frogs are ranked 16th in both polls right now, but they allowed the fewest points per game (11.3) last season, and their two losses were to Oklahoma and Utah, who went a combined 25-2 and finished the season in the top five in both polls.
Virginia was awful in its opener last week, losing 26-14 at home to William & Mary. The Cavaliers gained just 268 yards of offense in that game and committed seven turnovers, including three interceptions by quarterback Jameel Sewell.
TCU is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games, 25-10 as a favorite, 8-4 in nonconference games and 6-1 as a favorite of more than 10 points. The Frogs also are 4-0 ATS in season openers.
While Virginia coach Al Groh desperately needs a win here to keep the wolves away from his door, TCU wants to show that the Mountain West is the most underrated conference in college football and belongs in the BCS discussion.
There's no way the Horned Frogs let down here, and I just can't see Virginia scoring very many points today. Take TCU to get the cover.Comment
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Re: 9-12-09
Street Rosenthal
*300 Central Michigan +14.5
This is a perect trap game scenario. Mich St has Notre Dame next week. The number one thing I like about Central Michigan is that they play hard. They play with a lever of intensity that is seen at many schools. Hardly taking a play off will get this cover today. Let's look at some promising trends on this game. I have CMU as 7-1 ATS in game 2 and when the previous points scored was less than 19. Michigan State 1-8 ATS in game 2 and opponent previous points less than 18. CMU is 7-0 ATS in game 2 and when the previous margin was greater than -3. Take CMU and the points in what I figure to be a very close and hard fought game. Western Mich could get caught looking ahead to Notre Dame next week.Comment
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Re: 9-12-09
Street Rosenthal
*500 Air Force +3.5
Air Force just may be the better team in this matchup. After laying the hammer down on Nicholls State they proved they are hungry for the end zone. This is an Air Force team that every year puts together a good offensive unit. Minnesota barely snuck by Syracuse, and I wasn't at all impressed with the play calling or performance of the entire Minnesota team.
Let's look at some trends, and by the way they all point to a Air Force cover. Air force is 12-2 ATS in game 2 after a game where they scored greater than 33 points. Air force is 8-0 ATS in games 1-3 away and when the next opponent conference is MWC. Air Force is 8-1 ATS in game 2 as dog and when the line less than 15. Air force is 8-0 ATS in game 2 and when the previous against the spread margin was greater than 3. Air Force is 11-0 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. Air Force is 8-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons.
Don't be suprised here if Air Force wins this game by 10. Air force may be worth betting SU also. I have them as 10-0 SU since 1999 and game 2 and next conference is MWC. I am suggesting Air Force plus the points as an easy cover and I am giving them my highest rating of *500.Comment
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Re: 9-12-09
Street Rosenthal
*300 Central Michigan +14.5
This is a perect trap game scenario. Mich St has Notre Dame next week. The number one thing I like about Central Michigan is that they play hard. They play with a lever of intensity that is seen at many schools. Hardly taking a play off will get this cover today. Let's look at some promising trends on this game. I have CMU as 7-1 ATS in game 2 and when the previous points scored was less than 19. Michigan State 1-8 ATS in game 2 and opponent previous points less than 18. CMU is 7-0 ATS in game 2 and when the previous margin was greater than -3. Take CMU and the points in what I figure to be a very close and hard fought game. Western Mich could get caught looking ahead to Notre Dame next week.
*200 Oklahoma State -15
The faithful Cowboy fans will get every chance to see how well thier team can handle a potent offense. Houston is a very good team, but so is Georgia and the Cowboys could very well be the last team standing this year. Houston is 0-7 ATS in game 2 and when the previous against the spread margin greater than 4, also Houston 2-10 ATS in game 2 and opponents previous margin greater than 7. Houston is 0-6 ATS (-16.3 ppg) since October 27, 2007 on the road after a win. OKST is 6-0 ATS (+9.8 ppg) since September 18, 2004 as a home favorite after a win at home. Ok St will prove to be to much offense for Houston, take the Cowboys laying the points for an impressive margin of victory.
*300 Virginia +11
Yes, I know the Cavs lost against William & Mary last week. However, TCU has yet to take the field and that means they are unproven. I do believe we have found some value with this line. Virginia is 6-0 ATS (+11.0 ppg) since October 23, 1982 as a home dog after a loss at home. Virgina is 11-0 ATS since 1980 as a Home Dog and previous lost and line less than 12 in games 1-11. Virginia has gone 5-3 ATS the last eight times it was getting points, TCU has gone 3-5 ATS the last eight times it was laying points on the road. TCU is 3-7 ATS since 1985 as Away Favorite in games 1-3 and line greater than 7.
It will take some effort if the Cavs plan on pulling off an upset. Yet, I do expect the Cavs to keep this game within the number. The Cavs had 7 turnovers against a very Movitated William and Mary team. TCU has yet to play a game and I expect to come out of the gate slow. Take Virginia and the points for the cover.Comment
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