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200? STANFORD CARDINAL - Not sure how much I'm geared toward playing on Stanford, or against the Demon Deacons. Most certainly, it's a little bit of both. I like this redshirt freshman quarterback for Stanford, Andrew Luck, who was eerily effective in his first college start, throwing for 193 yards and a touchdown last week at Washington State.
Now, first thing I might think is this his first game outside the Pacific Time Zone against a rugged ACC team; but Wake Forest's defense returns only one starter in its back seven, and I'm not so sure the rather soft defensive line can pressure Luck. With enough time on the majority of his drives, this kid will pick apart the Demon Deacons' inexperienced secondary. He has plenty of talent to turn to, as his skill-position players are all upperclassmen.
Honestly, the Cardinal could make it to its first bowl game since the 2001 season, and this is a game that would weigh heavy in certain bowl committee members' eyes. I'm grabbing the field goal or then some, and looking for the Cardinal to aim for the outright win.
200? EAST CAROLINA PIRATES - Revenge, I know. But you know what, East Carolina is going to do everything possible to not let the Mountaineers use that revenge factor from last season's 24-3 thumping that ended WVU's 14-game non-conference win streak.
ECU, the defending Conference USA champion, beat Appalachian State, 29-24, last week and has nine starters back on offense and eight on defense from that team that stymied West Virginia. And all due respect, while the Pirates eked out their win over Appy State - which is always a tough team in non-conference play - the Mountaineers let Liberty put 20 points on the board last week in a 33-20 win.
The Pirates are going to bring the heat against a newly built offensive line and pressure Jarrett Brown the entire game. And in case you were unaware, that loss to East Carolina a year ago, West Virginia allowed the Pirates to tackle them 11 times for a loss for minus-32 yards. I see a lot of that taking place all over again. Add in a bit of lookahead with a trip to Auburn on deck for the Mounties, and it's easy to see why I like the Pirates to pull off another upset.
200? UNDER Tcu/Virginia - Don't be surprised to see a 13-10 ball game here. Who wins? I don't know, and that don't mean to take th underdog. But the fact is Virginia is as defensively sound as the Horned Frogs. I was quite surprised by the point spread the oddsmakers made on this one.
So why not take the Cavaliers? Well, there's gotta be a reason TCU is laying the price it's laying, right? I'd much rather count on a defensive tussle, as the Cavs boast the best secondary during Al Groh's tenure at Virginia, and have an experienced and talented front line to apply the pressure. The only question mark, admittedly, will be the new faces at linebacker in this 3-4 front. But once this game gets physical, the linebacking crew will catch on quickly.
As for Texas Christian, we're talking about the reigning No. 1 stop unit in the nation. And while just about everyone else started last week, the aggressive Horned Frogs start their season tonight. The 16th-ranked Frogs should be able to take advantage of a Virginia offense that struggled against William & Mary's defense in its opener. Gary Patterson's infamous 4-2-5 defensive alignment uses three safeties, and shuts down spread offenses. It allows him to utilize speed in the secondary, and get this, he still has defensive end Jerry Hughes putting O-Lines on blast; the 6-foot-3, 255 pound senior led the nation in sacks last season with 15. Stay away from the side in this one, it comes down to defense.
SquaresWanted.com Sharp - Xavier Singleton
Saturday, September 12, 2009
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2 TRIFECTA
Central Michigan vs Michigan St.
----5 Units----
ANALYSIS:
The battle of Michigan certainly goes through East Lansing. The Spartans have lost a lot during the off season in offensive production, but the residual taste of success has only added more drive for this Spartan team to build upon. Central Michigan is not a team Michigan State can take lightly. Central Michigan has Dan LeFevour, a dynamic senior quarterback who is a true competitor. CMU was picked as a MAC favorite by the media for good reason. CMU went 8-5 last season with a heartbreaking defeat against Florida Atlantic in the Motor City Bowl. Nonetheless, CMU is coming off a road loss to Arizona in which the wildcats were able to contain LeFevour to 6 points and 182 total yards. CMU also gave up 448 yards to Arizona along with 19 points. Considering the Spartans approach of two quarterbacks, a commitment to running the ball, and a established defense, CMU will need much more than just LeFevour to show up if this game is going to be remotely close to a 14 point spread. As such, the first play of the Week 2 Trifecta is:
5 units Michigan St. (-14)
@ 5Dimes
Notre Dame vs U. Michigan
----5 Units----
ANALYSIS:
As much as the Michigan faithful would like to believe, the hiring of Head Coach Rich Rodriguez was not made by consensus. The heat that Michigan has taken since the beginning of his reign has rocked this team’s confidence to its core. A previous season record of 3-9 and alleged NCAA violations have not helped the UofM cause. Nevertheless, Michigan’s home opener win against Western Michigan is the exact thing the wolverines need to rebuild their confidence. Michigan’s performance against Western Michigan was much improvement over last season. Michigan easily gained 439 total yards of offense and only had one turnover the entire game. However, this game will be much more of a true test of how far Michigan has come since their dismal 3-9 season. Notre Dame has had their fair share of critics, in which Michigan knows all too well. Notre Dame started this season by routing Nevada 35-0 at home. Weiss understands all too well what Rodriguez has been dealing with in quieting such critics. The advantage Notre Dame possesses coming into this matchup is experience. Michigan will be using their true freshmen Tate Forcier to lead the way. As much as freshmen are unpredictable, Forcier was very much composed during his first start as quarterback. While Michigan remains unproven under the tutelage of Rodriguez, the talent, drive, and heart of the Wolverines cannot be ignored. That and the fact that Notre Dame is dramatically overrated, Michigan will make this match up of determination not to repeat last year’s embarrassment. Besides the fact the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games played between these teams, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games played. This old rivalry is on its way to be renewed. As such, the second play of this WEEK 2 Trifecta is:
5 Units U.Michigan (+3)
@ 5Dimes
USC vs Ohio State
----5 Units----
ANALYSIS:
The implications of this match up has National Championship contender written all over it. For those that are not as savvy in deciphering the hype surrounding this game, do not be fooled by the exclusive coverage of USC Quarterback Matt Barkley versus Ohio State Quarterback Terrelle Pryor. The reality of this game will come down to the little things. While there is always anticipation of big plays to be made by dynamic players, the game changing factors of this game will be solely on the shoulders of each team’s defense. This is not to negate the ability of either team’s offense, but rather to understand the importance that the defense will allow the offense to do what it does best. Yet, in order to do that, each team must be focused enough to minimize errors and useless penalties. Evidently, both USC and Ohio State had strong showings in their season opener. Ohio State did survive a slight scare from Navy, and it could even be concluded that Navy did more to give away the game than Ohio State did to win the game. Consequently, a win is a win and each team is set to do battle on the grandest of scales.
As such, here are the cold hard facts of why Ohio State has not gotten over their inability to compete in big games: In the last three years, Ohio State has only won one game against marquee opponent. In the same time, Ohio State has lost to Florida, LSU, Texas, and of course USC. Ohio State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played at home. Ohio State is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. An interesting note about this current Ohio State team is that many of the starters either were not around or did not have significant roles in any of the losses to such marquee teams. Thus, the level of experience that would naturally be an advantage has become much more even.
USC is starting a true freshman with Barkley as quarterback. Yet, USC is not been known to have incompetent quarterbacks no matter how fresh they are. Barkley has the added advantage that he is surround by teammate that have not only played but also have won in big games. This certainly will be a factor contributing to why USC is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against BigTen opponents. Even with playing on the road, one cannot say enough in the mental preparation that Pete Carroll has his team go through to prep for such big games. Yet, as much as the media and the critics want you to believe that this game is a battle of untested talented quarterbacks, the winner of this game will be the team that comes out with the full package. As such, given the defenses and mental lapses shown by Ohio State against Navy, it is safe to conclude USC is the much better prepared team to lay another beat down to this young Buckeyes team. Hence, the Top Play of the Trifecta is:
Eddie Roman
$15,000 College Football 5 TD Human Mortal Burial
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
$15,000 College Football 5 TD Human Mortal Burial
BYU Cougars -18 over TULANE
There will be no letdown with BYU today. None at all. First of all, letdown's generally happen when a team that won a big game the week before, like BYU did last week, play a team that is just as talented as they are the week after and instead of preparing hard, they have a bad week of practice and they get caught.
Letdowns do not happen against teams with inferior talent like Tulane has. It simply can't happen. That's how much more talented BYU is over the Green Wave. Remember this now, BYU was right in that game with Oklahoma last week before Bradford got hurt. He went out of the game last in the 2nd quarter and the score was 10-7. This team was step for step with the Sooners. There's no doubt in my mind they can't go to Tulane and win 48-13.
BYU's defense held Oklahoma down. The same team that was scoring 60 points a game last year at will couldn't move the ball against BYU. You mean to tell me Tulane, who couldn't move on Tulsa is going to score enough points to cover this one today, please now.
Tulsa destroyed this team and Tulsa isn't even that good plus I think we have tremendous value here. Tulsa, who is no where near the team BYU is, was laying 14 points lats week vs. Tulane. Now we get the 9th ranked team in the country and we only have to lay four points more, that's a mistake right there. This line should be higher and you'll see why today. Max Hall will have a stellar day and the BYU defense will make life miserable for Tulane's young signal caller. I'll lay the wood here because this is simply a 5 td win for BYU.
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