9-13-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Dr. Bob

Just 1 NFL Best Bet for week 1, which is Cincinnati (-4) for 2-Stars at -4 or less. The rest of the NFL analysis is on the web-site in the free analysis section.

2 Star Selection
**CINCINNATI (-4.0) 27 Denver 16
10:00 AM Pacific, 13-Sep-09
I'll take Cincinnati in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 (-1.15 odds or less) or better.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Larry Ness
Insider Seahawks
25*GOY Giants
20* Perfect Storm Packers
20* Cowboys
15* wipeout Vikings
15* oddsmaker error Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Ben Burns

Play Title **BIG GAME ALERT** Burns *10* G.O.W! (EARLY KICK!)
Play Selected Point Spread: 4/-110
I'm taking the points with CLEVELAND. Nearly everyone is pretty down on the Browns these days while many are sky-high on the Vikings. In my opinion, that public opinion has helped to provide us with excellent value with the home underdog Browns. Yes, the Vikings fans have reason to be optimistic this season. However, I'm still not convinced that signing Favre was the answer. Keep in mind that the aging veteran was brutal down the stretch. In fact, Favre's terrible play at the end of the season was one of the reasons that the Jets fired Coach Mangini. Coincidentally, Mangini just happens to be here in Cleveland now. Keep in mind that before Favre's collapse, Mangini was still considered (by many) to be a 'genius.'(He did guide the Jets to a 10-6 record in his first season there.) While it remains to be see how he'll fare here in Cleveland, I do expect Mangini to have his new team absolutely fired up for their home opener. I should also note that I like the decision to go with Quinn as the Browns starting QB. While preseason results should be taken with a grain of salt, for a team making some changes, I do pay at least a little attention to how they did in Game 3 - the game where the starters see the most time. Looking at the Browns NFLX Game 3 result and we find that the defeated the Titans by a score of 23-7. Quinn finished the game having gone 11/15 for 128 yards and a touchdown with 0 interceptions. While its been some time since the Browns won their opening game, they do have a 5-3 ATS record in September the past couple of seasons. They're also a profitable 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 times that they were listed as underdogs in the +3.5 to +9.5 range. I expect them to improve on those stats here and won't be surprised by an outright victory. *10 GOW

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Burns 10*

Play Title **HUGE** Burns' Div. TOTAL OF THE MONTH *10-0 RUN!
Play Selected Total: 46.5/-105
I'm playing on Chicago and Green Bay to finish UNDER the total. This o/u number has climbed since it first came out. The current line, which has climbed above the key number of 44, isn't the highest on the board - but its among the highest. For a Week 1 battle between a pair of bitter NFC North rivals, I believe that its too high. Granted, the Bears offense is expected to be improved this season. However, I also expect the GB defense to be better than it was last season. Looking at the history between these teams and we find that none of the last meetings have had an over/under line of greater than 44.5. Looking at last year's two games and we find that the o/u lines for those games were 43 (at GB in Nov.) and 40 (at Chi. in Dec.). Both games finished below the total. The first finished with 40 combined points, the second game had 37. While the Packers have been profitable to 'over' bettors overall in recent seasons, it should be noted that the UNDER is 3-1 the last four times that they were listed as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. As for the Bears, they've seen the UNDER go 10-6 on the road the past couple of seasons, including 3-2 when listed as road underdogs in the +3.5 to +7 range. The UNDER was 10-6 in Week 1 last season and we've already seen the Thurs. Night game of Week 1 finish below the total. The Bears and Colts combined for 42, an 'under.' The Packers were one of the few teams that did finish 'over' the total. However, that was because their game was against the Vikings and had an o/u line in the 30s. The teams still only combined for 43 points. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here. *10 NFC North TOM

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Root
10* packers -4 (perfect play)
6* Jags +6.5
4* browns +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

BIG AL's 5* MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL TOTAL OF THE YEAR

At 4:35 pm, in Game 2 of the Double Header, our MLB Total of the Year is on the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers 'under' the total. THIS IS THE SECOND GAME!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Brandon Lang Full Card
Sunday's Selections ...

30 DIMER - CAROLINA PANTHERS - Going against the big line move and coming with Carolina today.



This line opened up Panthers -1, and has moved it's way all the way to the Eagles -2 1/2 as of this writing Saturday night.



I have a Carolina Panther team that was 8-0 SU at home last year, but I guess nobody remembers that. All anyone remembers is the implosion in the playoffs versus Arizona.



Now I completely understand how that can leave a lasting effect on someone's mind, but this is a new year and new team, and in my opinion it's not Carolina with a bunch of holes, it's the Eagles.



Rookie starting in the secondary with the heart-and-soul of that secondary gone in Brian Dawkins, starting middle linebacker gone due to injury and a patch work offensive line to start your offense with.



Steve Smith and Julius Peppers take note for a monster day.



The bottom line for me is the line move in this game, and an undefeated regular season by the Panthers last year, and Jake Delhomme looking for redemption.



I feel Vegas had this number right when they first put it out at Panthers -1, and that was Vegas telling you they expected Carolina was going to win this game.



CAROLINA PANTHERS - 1 PM



10 DIMER - MIAMI DOLPHINS - DOG LOCK - Great spot to grab the Dolphins and the points in what I feel is a field goal game.



In the 43 year history of their franchise, the Falcons have never had back-to-back winning seasons, yet everyone is talking about this team being one of the teams to beat in the NFC.



The bottom line is they caught about every break in the world last year in their great run but I truly don't feel they will be as fortunate this year.



This is a Dolphins team that went 6-2 ATS on the road last year, and I love their defense and how they match up with what Atlanta wants to do on the offensive sie of the football.



I really feel this is a field goal game, and getting 4 points is a lot of points in a game between two teams I feel are evenly matched.



My dollar is on the Dolphins and it wouldn't suprise me if they went ahead and pulled off the outright upset.



Grab Miami and the points here.



MIAMI DOLPHINS - 1 PM



10 DIMER - CINCINNATI BENGALS - This is going to get ugly early.



Denver is in a lot of trouble, not only in this spot here but all year long.



I don't believe Kyle Orton is the answer, and he does come into this game banged up. Or Chris Simms, who is banged up. Or rookie Brandstater. In fact, any QB they put in here will not be the answer. The problems run deeper for this team.



Their defense was ranked in the bottom 5 of the NFL last year, and they didn't do much to get better in the off season and now they face a Bengals offense that resembles the playoff offense of a few years back.



Yes, Carson Palmer has a tender ankle, but that doesn't concern me with who he is playing against. This is a bad Denver team. Really bad.



Under Shanahan, Denver went 14-34 ATS last 48 games on the vegas board. Let's fire him and bring in a 32 year old who tries to go get Matt Cassel, angers Jay Cutler and you expect good things from this crew?



This is a huge statement game for the Bengals, and I do mean huge, and with the momentum and home crowd and return of Carson Palmer, Ochocinco and Chris Henry, I like the Bengals by double digits today.



Rolling with the Bengals.



CINCINNATI BENGALS - 1 PM



10 DIME - 6-POINT SAME GAME TEASER - SF & OVER - Numbers don't lie when these two meet in Arizona.



Not only have the Niners covered the last 4 meetings in Arizona, but the last 4 meetings, and 8 of the last 11 have gone OVER the total.



I don't know what it is but when these two get together in Arizona, you can rest assured you are going to get a San Francisco cover, and the game is going to go over the total as well.



You can't help but think about Kurt Warner and the Cardinals missing offensive coordinator Todd Haley a little bit in this game, but where the real holes lie is in their defense.



I am banking on the history of these two in Arizona today, as I tease the Niners to a double digit dog, and tease the total down, and go over in a nice same game teaser on the afternoon card.



Niners and over the way to go in a 2-team, 6-point teaser.



FREE PICK WINNER - GREEN BAY PACKERS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

Root

Wash - Legend
SF - No limit
GB - Perfect P
Clev - Mill
Jax - Bill

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-13-09

PPP
4 GB
4 Minn
3 Dall
3 SF
3 Wash Un
3 Seat Un
3 GB Ov