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Re: 9-20-09
NSA
20*-Patriots, Lions
NSA
20*-Patriots, Lions
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Re: 9-20-09
Sid Paradise 9/20
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Steelers @ Bears, 4pm Et
The loss of Polamalu will have a much greater impact on the Steelers defense than the loss of Urlacher to the Bears. Now that Cutler has a game under his belt he should play much better this week. The Bears could have still won last week despite the turnovers. The Steelers had one of the worst offensive lines last year giving up the 4th most sacks in the league. Look for the Bears defense to pressure Big Ben, while limiting their already slow running game. With Polamalu out, I see Greg Olsen having a nice day in the middle of the field. Cutler finally arrives as the Bears take down the Super Bowl champs.
Pick- Bears +3 (-110) 4* play
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Ravens @ Chargers, 4pm Et
I feel like the Ravens are being way over valued in this one. They won their opener vs a terrible Chiefs team but scored two TD's late to break a 24-24 tie. Their aging defense could sorely miss Rex Ryan this season. The Chargers didn't look that great either but also got the job done when it mattered. The Ravens have historically not traveled to SD well going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 trips. I think San Diego got the rust out last week and the Chargers will come out ahead in this one. The Chargers also play very well at Qualcomm going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games. The Chargers are the best team in a weak division, while the Ravens might have been the fluke team of last year.
Pick- Chargers -3 (+115) 8* play
Buccaneers @ Bills, 4pm Et
The Bills looked very solid for 58 minutes last week vs NE but fell apart in the end. This is understandable with Tom Brady on the other side of the field. TB is just plain no good this season. They got beat up pretty bad at home last week vs Dallas and now take their show on the road. They have played well in Buffalo but this year the Bills defense will get the best of them. The Bills are not totally sound on offense and will also struggle to score points. They usually win games at home with defense going 4 of their last 6 at home under the number. Today should be the same.
Pick- Under 42 (-110) 2* play
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Saints @ Eagles, 1pm Et
Both teams are coming off big wins but the Eagles suffered greatly, losing QB Donovan McNabb to a rib injury. The line for this one opened at pick'em but has since moved to favor the visiting Saints. People seem to forget that even with McNabb out, Philly's defense is still tough. The Saints usually don't play as well outdoors, especially when traveling to Philly, where they have lost 4 of the last 5. Kevin Kolb is a 3rd year backup and should have no problems running the team vs the Saints defense. Lions rookie Matt Stafford looked decent last week vs this unit so there should be no reason why Kolb can't get the job done. Getting 2 points at home is a gift! Take full advantage!
Pick- Eagles +2 (-110) 6* play
Panthers @ Falcons, 1pm Et
After last weeks embarrassing loss to the Eagles the Panthers will look to bounce back. This line is way too big because of last week and people are still on the Falcons. The Panthers went 12-4 last season and still have one of the best ground games in the league. If it weren't for Jake Delhomme completely imploding they would have been right in it vs the Eagles. Take the 6.5 and thank me and Vegas later!
Pick- Panthers +6.5 (-115) 4* playComment
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Re: 9-20-09
SuperSportsGroup - 9/20
MLB
Sunday Sept 20th
Cleveland v. Oakland 4pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 -105 (8*) Best Bet
Washington v. NY 1pm
PICK: Nats ML +135 (7*)
Houston v. Milwaukee 2pm
PICK: Astros ML +160 (6*)
2 team parlay for $200 pays $580
Giants ML ev
Rockies ML evComment
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Re: 9-20-09
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
*200 Milwaukee Brewers -181
I am taking the Brewers for another win today. I have the Brewers as 12-0 Since 2006 as a home 140+ favorite after a win they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series. I also, have the Brewers as 21-5 SU since 2005 as a home 140+ favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher. Finally, I have the Astros as 2-15 SU since 2007 as a 140+ dog when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start. Take the Astros for the winComment
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Re: 9-20-09
ace-ace / allan eastman
$2000.00 Take #221 Arizona (+3) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
A lot of people are jumping off Arizona and actually backing Jacksonville in this game. I think the wrong team is favored and that our live dog will win outright. Jacksonville simply doesn’t have the offense to put enough pressure on the Cardinals, whose defense has looked great so far. Arizona shot themselves in the foot last week with penalties and turnovers. I think they will clean up their act and come out with a strong effort.
$400.00 Take #234 Dallas (-3) over N.Y. Giants (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
A lot of square money is coming in on the Giants in this one. But I think that the Cowboys are going to have a big edge with the home field advantage. They cleaned out most of their locker room problems in the offseason and I think that they will be much better because of it. The favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings and the Cowboys have gotten off to fast starts the last few years, going 8-2 ATS in September. I like the Cowboys to handle this one.
$500.00 Take #215 New Orleans (+1) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
Donovan McNabb is one of the most important players to his team in the NFL. And if he doesn’t play then I think that the Eagles will have a lot of trouble moving the ball. Kevin Kolb is not a proven quarterback and I don’t think that he can trade touchdowns with Drew Brees. New Orleans is 11-5-1 ATS on the road against nondivisional teams and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in this series.
$2200.00Take #218 Atlanta (-6) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
This is my Game of the Week. Jake Delhomme has lost it and Carolina just is not the same team that went 13-3 last year. Atlanta looked great in their dismantling of Miami and I think that they will be way up for this key divisional clash. Carolina simply could not stop Philadelphia from scoring last week and I think that Atlanta’s offense can be even better than the Eagles. And Carolina was at home last week! This play is rated at the highest value by my newest NFL handicapping system and I think it will be another blowout. The Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and they are 8-3-2 ATS at home against the Panthers.
$700.00 Take #231 Pittsburgh (-3) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
I hit my NFL Game of the Month last week going against Chicago and I’m going right back against them this week. They lost their defensive leader, Brian Urlacher, and I think that Jay Cutler’s struggles will continue against the best defense in football. The Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.Comment
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Re: 9-20-09
Chris Jordans play for today..
300? TENNESSEE TITANS - I don't know what to talk about first: the Titans' much better team, or the brutal offensive play calling of the Texans.
Either intangible works for me, cause I don't see the Texans having much of a chance today.
Let's start with the bad news for Texans fans ...
Houston's offense did not score any points last Sunday, and it is highlighted byarguably the most dangerous receiver in the game in Andre Johnson and an exciting complement at running back, Steve Slaton. I know Rex Ryan is in New York now and the Jets have a revamped defense, but this was the home and season opener for the Texans.
And they didn't show up in the least.
Not good.
So what happens in Tennessee, against a defense that has had an extra few days to rest since it opened the season two Thursdays back and lost a heartbreaker in Pittsburgh? Well, let's not forget that Houston signal-caller Matt Schaub was knocked out of the 2007 game in Knoxville, and was sacked three times and intercepted three times last year during his visit.
Again, not good; especially since the Texans have lost four straight in Nashville and are 1-6 overall. In the series - both home and away - the Titans lead 11-3.
Even better, the Titans are 10-2 after losing straight-up and have covered nine straight in the month of September.Comment
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Re: 9-20-09
Stephen Nover
Sunday Winners
50-Dime Ravens -
NOTE - Buy UP the 1/2 point on Baltimore. If you have the Ravens at +3, buy them up to +3 1/2 so you get the win should they lose by a field goal.
If you have Baltimore at +2 1/2, buy up to +3 so you get the push should they lose by a field goal.
The Chargers are going to have problems running the ball and protecting Philip Rivers with center Nick Hardwick and guard Louis Vasquez not expected to play. It doesn't help San Diego's cause that LaDainian Tomlinson is out, too, even though the 30-year former great isn't what he used to be.
The Ravens' defense remains top-notch. Baltimore had eight tackles for losses in its opening-week victory against Kansas City. Ed Reed, Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs remain among the best at their position with Reed probably being the No. 1 safety in the NFL.
San Diego's defense isn't that good. A healthy Shawne Merriman was expected to pick up the Chargers' defense, but he's been a distraction and didn't have his old burst back during Game 1 following reconstructive knee surgery.
Baltimore's offense is more diversified and explosive with the improvement of second-year quarterback Joe Flacco. The Chargers ranked second-from-the-bottom in pass defense last year. Flacco threw for more than 300 yards in Baltimore's opening win. The Ravens have three good running backs and with the offense gaining more confidence in Flacco, they definitely should be able to put up points against San Diego's defense.
The Chargers are on a short week having been extended in a narrow road division win Monday night against Oakland. Norv Turner is one of the worst head coaches in the league. His Chargers have failed to cover six of the past eight times they've been favored. The Chargers constantly failed when stepping up in class during the regular season last year losing to Atlanta at home, Indianapolis at home, Pittsburgh on the road, Miami on the road and Carolina at home.
The Ravens have covered 16 of their past 21 games. They are 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 AFC matchups. The Ravens are 6-1 against the number under John Harbaugh as a regular-season underdog, including 5-2 last season as a road underdog.Comment
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Re: 9-20-09
Ferrrringo 9-20-09
1.5-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-160) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Florida at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Cleveland at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 20)Comment
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Re: 9-20-09
Al DeMarco
Sunday's Play
15 Dime - New Orleans
Clarifying a point: With a healthy Donovan McNabb, the Eagles would have been laying at least 3 points and this selection would have still been New Orleans.
The Eagles' signal-caller, who suffered a broken rib in last week's road win at Carolina, is officially listed as "doubtful" for this contest as of Saturday, and he had not practiced all week. Kevin Kolb, who has seen nothing but mop-up duty since being drafted in the second round out of Houston a few years back, has run the first-team offense all week while former Eagle, Jeff Garcia - re-signed earlier this week after McNabb's injury - ran the scout team. This will be Kolb's first start, if published reports are to be believed and McNabb doesn't try to take the field with a flak jacket and pain-numbing injections. Even with an injured McNabb rather than an inexperienced Kolb, the play remains New Orleans.
The Saints, as expected, rolled over Detroit last Sunday at home, 45-27, as Drew Brees completed 26-of-34 passes for 358 yards and 6 TDs to guide an offense that enjoyed a 515-231 edge in total yards. More importantly, with Pierre Thomas sidelined, former Bronco Mike Bell carried the ball 28 times for 143 yards to key the ground game.
The Eagles are coming off a game at Carolina in which their defense forced 7 turnovers and sacked Jake Delhomme five times. But in three previous meetings against New Orleans, their pass rush nailed Brees only four times total because of his quick release. That's one reason New Orleans has averaged 26 points in the last three series showdowns.
With Thomas questionable for this contest, the bulk of the ball-carrying duties are expected to go to Bell again as Reggie Bush (7 carries, 14 yards) was virtually non-existent against the Lions. But the big key to the offense might be the tight end combo of Jeremy Shockey and Billy Miller, who combined for 95 receptions a year ago. Shockey had four catches and his first two TDs since joining the Saints last week. Opposing tight ends constantly found seams in the Philadelphia defense last year, and that coverage has been weakened with the absence of starting middle linebacker Stewart Bradley, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in training camp.
Philadelphia put 38 points on the board at Carolina last week, but the defense and special teams were either directly responsible or contributed mightily to 21 of those points before the game was out of reach. Otherwise, even with McNabb at the helm, the Eagles managed a pedestrian 267 total yards in offense against a porous Panther stop unit that had allowed 29.5 points in its previous seven games dating back to last season.
New Orleans has not fielded a good defense in recent years; thus the reason behind the hiring of renowned veteran defensive coordinator Gregg Williams, who when serving in the same capacity with the Eagles NFC East rival Washington from 2004-07, helped hold potent Philadelphia offenses to an average of 21 points in eight meetings.
In terms of technical trends, New Orleans is 11-5-1 ATS in its last 17 road outings against non-division foes. Plus, the Saints are on a 15-9-1 overall pointspread tear on the highway since the 2006 season.Comment
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Re: 9-20-09
Andre Gomes 9/20
OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY
I like the Raiders in here to get their first win of the season, a win that should have happened last week against the Chargers, but a late Phillips Rivers' Touchdown prevented them for a well deserved win. I understand that this isn't a good spot for them, as they made a huge effort (especially their defense) in their last game and had also one less day to rest and prepare this game but despite having one more day to rest, the Chiefs defense are also pretty beaten up. Let's not forget that the Ravens had 40 minutes of the full possession time (66.7 %!) and the Chiefs were overexposed to the powerful and physical Ravens' offensive line.
Kansas City's biggest problem last week was a familiar one: It couldn't get to the quarterback often enough. That was a constant problem last season, when the Chiefs ended the season with 10 sacks, the worst number in NFL history for a 16-game schedule. QB Joe Flacco had all the room to operate and in some flashes, he looked like one of the best QBs of the league with 3 touchdowns and 307 yards due to the time he had to prepare the plays. The Chiefs couldn't stop as well the Ravens running game, as they ended with 198 yards with almost 5 yds per carry! So globally the Chiefs defense remained in the same level from last season: a total disaster! With just 188 total yards how in the hell the Chiefs were able to score 24 points against the top defensive Raven's team? Well...they got lucky! They scored a touchdown by recovering a blocked punt in the end zone and later they scored another touchdown in the third quarter by picking off a Flacco's pass and ran 70 yards before scoring the touchdown, so in normal conditions the Chiefs wouldn't score 24 points.
For this contest QB Matt Cassell is probable and he will start for the Chiefs. However let's not forget that Cassell didn't play since the second week of the preseason and not only there is the chance of him being rusty today, but also being in a new team and system, you don't want to miss the chance to practice and play and Cassell didn't make both. The Raiders defense made a terrific job in their last game against the Chargers behind the leadership of Richard Seymour and they won't havee much problems to handle this less than average Chief's offensive unit.
The Raiders are a run oriented team and they only really need JaMarcus Russell to be assertive and accurate in his passes to be a better than average offensive unit. Against the Chargers, McFadden and Bush rushed 68 and 55 yards respectively and for this contest with the third RB Justin Fargas probable the Raiders will have a trio of RB's that will explore the weakness defensive unit of the Chiefs in stopping the run.
In my opinion, the Raiders are the better team in here and the typical home court advantage of 3 points shouldn't apply in here and that's why I see enough value in the Raiders today
Single Dime Play on Oakland Raiders +3Comment
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