9-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Bob Valentino 30 DIME Monday Night Football winner ... 30 DIME: Colts-Dolphins UNDER the total

NOTE: Keep an eye on this number, which is at 42 across the board as I publish this. However, 90 percent of the time, the public hammers the "over" on Monday Night Football, so it might be wise to wait and make your wager late to get the best of the number. But if you see it start to drop below 42, immediately find a place that still has 42 and grab it!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Randall the Handle




Baltimore +1.20 over TORONTO PINNACLE
Both these squads are laboring down the stretch but the Orioles remain the more enthusiastic bunch with a slew of young talent that still look forward to coming to the park everyday. The Jays meanwhile, look completely disinterested. They scored one run in the final two games of its series with the Rays over the weekend and they return home from a 10-day trip tonight. October can’t come soon enough for the Blue Jays. David Purcey is a guy that really has good stuff but he throws a ton of pitches and walks too many. His record at the Rogers Center is shaky at best, as it would appear that he’s feeling a lot more pressure throwing at home. Chris Tillman is coming off three games against Tampa, Texas and the Yanks and he’ll be taking a huge step down in class after facing that aforementioned trio. He threw a gem in his last start against the Rays and picked up a win in the process. The O’s definitely have a good chance to get off the mattress against this very ripe host. Play: Baltimore +1.20 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Marc Lawrence

MLB GAME OF THE YEAR

Houston Astros

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

FRANK PATRON

10000 UNIT NFL LOCK

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Cajun-Sports NFL Executive Club- Monday

6* CFB Sept GOM Wins w/Auburn
5* CFB Thurs GOM Wins w/ Miami-Fl
NFL Executive 4-2 ATS L2 Sundays (5* Wins 2-0ATS)
Handicapper: Cajun Sports
Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins (NFL) - 8:35 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -3/-111 Indianapolis Colts Play Title: Cajun NFL MNF “Matters” Play of the Week 22-0 ATS
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Monday Night Football on ESPN heads south to Landshark Stadium for an AFC matchup between the host Miami Dolphins and the visiting Indianapolis Colts. Miami is coming off an opening week loss to the Atlanta Falcons 19 to 7 in ATL while the Colts won at home 14 to 12 over the Jaguars.

The Dolphins turned the ball over four times and the Falcons turned those into ten points. That’s a far cry from what the Fins accomplished last season in that department with a +17 margin in turnovers. Turnovers are a big problem for the Dolphins because they can ill afford giving the opposition any easy scores knowing they have only topped 17 points three times in their last nine games. The Dolphins are 0-9-1 ATS after scoring 14 or fewer points and turning the ball over at least three times in their previous game since 2001 and 7-23-2 since 1989.

The Colts use a Cover-2 defensive scheme and this lends itself to the short passing game if you have a QB that is accurate and the Dolphins do in Chad Pennington. The key for the Colts will be Dwight Freeney and Company getting pressure up front and not allowing the Dolphins to peck away at the yardsticks. Even with success at that type of offensive game plan they are certainly not a threat to put up a ton of points against anyone as evidenced by their inability to score more than 17 points per game recently.

The Colts opener appeared closer than it really was they dominated the Jags with 365 total yards of offense compared to only 228 by Jacksonville. With Manning calling the shots there is no reason to believe this Colts offense cannot score against the Dolphins “D”. The Colts were not only dealing with the first game of the season they were also adjusting to their new coaching staff which should be much more fluid this week with the first one under their belts.

The Dolphins opened the season as an underdog and are now installed as a home underdog after winning 11 games last season and pulling off a miraculous turnaround in 2008. Miami is 10-29-2 ATS when installed as an underdog coming off a game in which the total was at least 40.5.

Oddsmakers are not giving them a ton of respect to start the season and it appears that is a valid assessment of the Fins at this time. If the Dolphins were installed as a 3 or more point underdog in their previous game they are 14-32-3 ATS.

They led the league in turnover differential with a +17 but were only seventeenth in the league in yardage differential which means that they were very lucky in 08 and the oddsmakers do not expect a repeat performance this season.

Miami has struggled at home outside their division posting a record of 8-21 ATS their last 29. In fact they have struggled at home against pretty much anyone going 3-13-1 ATS overall and 0-3 both SU and ATS in their last three home openers. Last season even while they were winning SU they could not cover the number going 2-7 ATS at home in 2008. The Dolphins are 0-9 ATS at home when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week and 0-9 ATS at home off one or more consecutive unders.

Indy on the other hand finds themselves in several winning situations this week. Indy is 16-8-2 ATS as road favorites of 3.5 points or less, 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 road openers and 20-11-2 ATS in September. They are 13-4 ATS as September road favorites, 7-0 ATS as non-division road favorites, 5-0 ATS playing on MNF off a SU win, 5-0 ATS as MNF favorite of two or more points, 6-0 ATS on the road facing a team that has averaged fewer than 275 yards of offense per game season-to-date and 10-0 ATS as a road favorite when their opponents season-to-date rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25. The Colts coming off a game in which they punted 3 or fewer times during the first four games of the season are 15-0 SU winning by an average of 15.6 points per game and 13-0-2 ATS covering the spread by 9.6 points per game.

A check of the database reveals two powerful NFL league-wide systems that support our selection. The first says to Play ON an undefeated Monday non-division conference favorite of less than 20 points with a TOTAL over 40 points. These favorites have posted a record of 11-0 both SU and ATS and they average covering the spread by a whopping 16.7 points per game. Secondly; In Week 2, play AGAINST a non-division team (not a favorite of more than 3 points) with a TOTAL over 37 points off a road underdog SU loss in its last game and before a road contest in its next game. These Play AGAINST teams are 0-11 both SU and ATS failing to cover the spread by an enormous 17.3 points per game.

With significant technical, situational and fundamental support for the visitor we will lay the short price with the Colts as they move to 2-0 on the season and put another “L” on the host Dolphins in Landshark Stadium on Monday night.

Graded Selection: 3* Indianapolis Colts 23 Miami Dolphins 16

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Indian Cowboy


5 Unit Play. Game of the week. Take Under 8.5 between the St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros (Monday @ 8pm est).


4 Unit Play. Take Under 182.5 between San Antonio vs. Phoenix (Monday @ 10pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

3 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Indy/ Miami Under 42: The Dolphin offense was not that good in the preseason, putting up just 14.8 ppg and it didn't get better in the ist game of the regular season as they put up just 7 points vs the Falcons. Miami's defense was very good in the preseason (9.8 ppg) and it has carried over as they allowed just 279 yards and 19 points to the Falcons in the opener. The Colt defense played very well last week allowing just 228 yards and 12 points to the Jags, while thier offense remains stuck in the mud for now as they put up just 14 points, after averaging just 12.8 ppg in the preseason. I see a tough defensive battle in Miami tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

kevin kavith / gamebreaker

Monday, September 21, 2009


8:30 PM
Miami
Indianapolis

Spread Pick
Picked Miami with spread of +3 (+102)
100 units were wagered.


Nice home dog situation. A solid team and defense vs a public-loved team. Add in a proven NFL system that goes against road favs that won but failed to cover the previous week. Almost 80% of the public is hitting this one and it will probably increase on Monday as usual. But the line has moved DOWN from -3.5. Hmmm. We've seen this movie before and guess where the sharp money is landing. Take Miami +3 for a 3* play.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

The Nevada Boys

Underdog MLB Destroyer!!!

15* NY Yankees +100 MLB

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Robert Ferringo

Play On: Miami (+3) over Indianapolis

I am not particularly thrilled with this side. However, the strongest consensus NFL pick on the board from Doc's Sports this weekend is the home underdog on Monday Night Football. The general consensus was that after watching both home dogs come out strong last Monday the trend should continue. The Dolphins are 8-3 ATS as a home dog on Monday Night Football and they should be set for a bounceback performance after getting worked over by Atlanta last week. Miami shot itself in the foot with four turnovers last week and I'm sure they have cleaned that up. Indianapolis, on the other hand, looked uninspiring in its home win over a pretty weak Jacksonville club. This Colts team just does not look as good as ones in the past and I think that they are ripe for an upset. Miami is a physical team that should be able to run the ball, control the clock, and keep this one low scoring. Again, the Doc's consensus pick is that Miami and the points are good!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Sid Paradise 9/21
NFL

After a huge day in NFL yesterday with our 9* winner on the Baltimore OVER and a 10** winner last night on the Giants OVER, here are your plays to start the MNF GUARANTEED!! GL and thanks for purchasing our plays.

Indianapolis v. Miami 8:35pm
PICK: Miami +3.5 Game (8*)
PICK: UNDER 41.5 Game (3*)
PICK: Miami +2 1H (4*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Payne Sports 9/21
Another winning day in NFL with our 8* Giants winner last night. Here are your picks today

Miami +3 for 6 units and Under 42.5 for 8 units


Both of these sides have had reverse linemovement with the public pounding the over and the Colts of course. Miami will do one thing all night and that is run run run. They want to keep Peyton off the field and who can blame them. They have had a nasty taste in their mouth since last week as the should of beat Atlanta in Atlanta if it wasnt for all the turnovers. Under dog is 8-1 the last 9 in the series and the Under is 7-2 the last 9 on grass and 10-2 the last 12 week 2 football games for Miami. Look for a slow start and a possible 7 points total first quarter as the clock ticks the game away.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence Triple Perfect Monday Night Key Play! - Monday 9/21

Colts

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-21-09

1.5-Unit Play. Take #953 Atlanta (-145) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Monday, Sept. 21)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #970 Oakland (+105) over Texas (10 p.m., Monday, Sept. 21)


Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 San Francisco at Arizona (9:30 p.m., Monday, Sept. 21)

3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 St. Louis at Houston (8 p.m., Monday, Sept. 21)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Monday, Sept. 21)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Texas at Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, Sept. 21)

Ferringo