9-26-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 99936

    #16
    Re: 9-26-09

    WUNDERDOG
    Picks and Analysis
    Game: Pittsburgh at N C State (Saturday 9/26 3:30 PM Eastern)
    Pick: Pittsburgh +1 (-110)
    North Carolina State came out of nowhere last season to turn a 2-6 start into a Bowl bid by running the table in their last four games. They covered the spread in nine of their last ten games. The expectations have followed those results into this season. They have whipped up on two cupcakes, but found the going tough at home vs. South Carolina where the Wolfpack offense generated just three points. They put up an anemic 133 yards for the game. Pittsburgh on the other hand, comes in 3-0 after an impressive win over a Navy team that is better than NC State, at least at this point of the season as Navy previously went into Ohio State and lost by just four points. The impressive part for the Panthers is that they held a Navy rushing attack, which always generates major yardage, to just 129 yards on 46 carries (2.8 ypc). The Panthers are getting great QB play from Bill Stull who has completed 70% of his passes for six TDs and just one interception. And, Dion Lewis has been sensationalon the ground with 398 yards on 67 attempts getting 6 yards per carry. The problem for NC State is they are paper thin on both the offensive and defensive line where the games are ultimately won or lost. Pitt is 13-5 ATS on the road the past four seasons and NC State is on a 12-22 ATS run as a home favorite. In their last 15 games as a home favorite of 3 or fewer points, the Wolfpack are just 3-12 ATS. I like the Panthers to win this game.
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99936

      #17
      Re: 9-26-09

      Mark Lawrence

      Penn St. 5 Star
      Kentucky 4 Star
      Rice 3 Star
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      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99936

        #18
        Re: 9-26-09

        Jeff Scott


        SATURDAY
        5 UNIT PLAYS
        Totals Play Of The Month
        Miami/ Virginia Tech Under 47: Since 2003 this series has averaged just 35.5 ppg. I consider the Canes the best team in the ACC and not just because of their high powered offenes, but also cause this defense is now rounding into form, especially after holding a strong Tech Offense to just 228 total yards last week. Defense has always been a staple of the techsters and even though they have struggled abit yard wise they have still allowed just 19.7 ppg on the year. They do come in ranked 5th in pass efficiency, allowing just 164 ypg on 45.2% completions. Thier problem has been more vs the run this year, but Miami is more of a passing team. Still look for the Canes to test that run defense enough to keep the clock moving, while Tech will rely more on the run as they look to keep the ball away from that high powered offense and shorten the game. I see this game finishing in the 30's.

        Teaser Of The Month
        3 Team 10 Point Teaser--- Fresno State +27, Boston College +8.5 & Georgia -1.5

        4 UNIT PLAY
        Fresno State +17 over CINCINNATI: 2 Weeks ago the Bulldogs were 9 point dogs at Wisconsin, so your telling me that the Bearcats are over a TD better than the Badgers. I don't think so. Fresno did nearly win that game and they are 7-7 in their last 14 BCS road games with for of those 7 losses being by 9 total points. Pat hill lives for these games as evidenced by his 15-3 ATS mark as non-conf road dogs of 5 or more. Cincy is a very good team, but frenso has more than enough abilty to keep this one close.

        3 UNIT PLAYS
        BYU -16 over Colorado State: What a bad spot the Rams are in here after BYU is off their worst home loss since '04. CSU is of to a solid 3-0 start, but havent played anyone with the caliber offense of the Cougars yet. They are off a 35-20 win over a good Nevada team, but were aided by 5 Wolfpack turnovers and were outgained by 51 yards in the contest. BYU was shreded BYU the Noles offense last week and in last years contest they did allow 42 points to these Rams so I look for an angry bunch of BYU defenders to come up big here, while the offense drops a ton of points on the Rams. BYU by 24+.
        BOSTON COLLEGE -1.5 over Wake Forest: The Eagles were held to just 54 total yards last week vs Clemson, so you can expect a more spirited effort from this offense. This is wakes 1st roda game of the year and they are 5-15 SU in road openers s/89. BC by a TD here.
        MICHIGAN -20 ver Indiana: The Hosiers are just 7-20 ATS in Big 10 road games. Michigan is 30-1 SU in this series and has won the last 5 vs Indiana by 30 ppg. Michigan is on a mission this year, after last years disaster and will take great pleasure in pounding opponents that they should. Indiana is off a good win at Akron, but were facing a team that had suspended their QB a day before the game and the backup had 4 INT's. Michigan again by 30+ here.

        2 UNIT PLAYS
        Miami -3 over VA TECH: I have been saying it since the start of the year, the Canes are best team in the ACC this year and they will take another step towards proving it with a big win in Blacksburg.
        CLEMSON -3 over TCU: Tigers may be second best in ACC and will take care of non-BCS Forned Frogs here, by at least 7 points.
        UNLV/ Wyoming Under 45.5
        California -5.5 over OREGON

        1 UNIT PLAYS
        San Diego State +16.5 over AIR FORCE
        Notre Dame/ Purdue Under 60.5
        Army +9.5 over IOWA STATE
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99936

          #19
          Re: 9-26-09

          handzelek sat 9/26

          Saturday, September 26, 2009 Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Minnesota U vs. NorthWestern (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-115 Minnesota U Play Title: Our Mighty Big Ten Wizardry
          Click Here to View Pick Analysis
          The Golden Gophers showed a lot of class in hanging with powerful California last week (tied in the 4th Qtr.) before some costly INT's. On the other hand, the Wildcats gave up an alarmingly high dose of yardage to Syracuse yielding 471. Remaining in the minds of Minnesota is last season's loss to the Wildcats. They hovered @ 7-1 before that game and went into a downward spiral shortly thereafter. Revenge is in order here. The Golden Gophers were very respectable on the Big Ten road last year. I look for QB Weber to keep his composure this week as he should have easier pickings with 2 cornerbacks & a linebacker hurt for Northwestern. This series has been dominated by the road team ATS as 13 of the last 14 has been covered by the visitor. The dog has also dominated covering 5 of 7. We say to buy the point to + 3 1/2 and take the Minnesota Golden Gophers for $200.


          Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Fresno State vs. Cincinnati U (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 16.5/100 Fresno State Play Title: Live Saturday Barking Loud Dog!
          Click Here to View Pick Analysis
          This is a scheduling advantage for Fresno State as they played home last Friday night posting 34 on Boise and won't play again til' October 10th @ Hawaii. Cincinnati is coming back from the West Coast trip to Oregon State. The Bulldogs made the last trip to Big East land a happy one when they beat Rutgers 24-7. One thing that has Fresno State buzzing is their ground attack averaging 270 yards a game. That tells us ball control and clock management gets us under the number here. With only 1 defensive starter returning for the Bearcats, it's time for the dog to sneak up and bite them in the end ATS. Cincy QB Tony Pike may be talented enough to get the SU win, but we'll be on the Fresno State Bulldogs who should let it all hang out with 2 weeks off following this one. Buy the point to + 17 1/2 for the line value and take Pat Hill's crew for $200.



          Handicapper: Mike Handzelek North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -135 Georgia Tech Play Title: NC-Ga Tech Showdown
          Click Here to View Pick Analysis
          North Carolina has a 3-0 record coming in & should continue their assault on their opponents in this ACC matchup, right? Not so fast! Are Citadel, Connecticut & East Carolina amongst the best teams in college football? Last season saw the Tar Heels knock off the Ramblin' Wreck 28-7 but 3 series started in Tech territory for a big advantage. GT Coach Johnson knows his team put up 423 yards versus NC last season but unfortunately self-destructed. I'm sure his troops will be more opportunistic on the other end this time around @ Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta. The good news hard facts state that Georgia Tech was a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS off a loss last season. These games were @ home like this week and the average scoring was in GT's favor 36-19. Paul Johnson has his team ready after a loss and revenge is in definite order here. Other numbers we cannot ignore are Tech's PERFECT 7-0 mark ATS at home before back-to-back road games & a convincing 9-3 ATS off a double-digit conference road loss. Take the Yellow Jackets outright for $200.




          Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Marshall vs. Memphis (NCAAF) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -3/-105 Memphis Play Title: Weak Roadie
          Click Here to View Pick Analysis
          Memphis got their first win last week versus UT-Martin 41-14 and is blistering with confidence against a Marshall squad who invade Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. The former Maryland Terrapin QB Tyler Bass looked sharp in his first start (4 TD passes, 21-27 for 293 yards) after taking over for Arkelon Hall. Marshall is more like the Blundering Herd in this situation going 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of less than a touchdown. Head Coach Mark Snyder has not has success in competitive games (-7 to +7) versus the spread going just 5-12. Marshall is also 2-5 ATS on the road off a SU dog win. The Thundering Herd hasn'e held opponents down on the orad the last 27 going 3-24 SU when travelling. Their ATS record during this stretch is laso miserable @ 6-19-2. The home team has won all 4 SU in this series so we're seeing the weak roadie Marshall biting the dust here. Take the Memphis Tigers but buy to - 2 1/2 for $200.




          Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Rutgers vs. Maryland (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/100 Rutgers Play Title: Weak Sister Going Nowhere Play
          Click Here to View Pick Analysis
          Sometimes doom and gloom follows a team and it's real tough to get the monkey off their back. Maryland is one of those teams. They go up against a much better defense than they saw from the Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee State last week. This is a Maryland team that needed OT to beat Div. I-AA James Madison in Week 2. Giving up an average of over 200 yards raises the red flag even @ Byrd Stadium in College Park. Losing 116 career starts across the front lines suggests that the Terrapins' struggles will continue until some experience re-surfaces. Even though the Terps have been a pesky home dog in the past, they haven't put out a product like this in quite some time. One more thing you must realize. Revenge is BIG on Rutgers & their Coach Greg Schiano's mind. It was visiting Maryland who upset them in 2007 knocking them from the unbeaten ranks. Our Weak Sister Going Nowhere is to play against Ralph Friedgen's Terps and lay the -2 1/2 with the Scarlet Knights for $200.
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          Comment

          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 99936

            #20
            Re: 9-26-09

            Strike Point Sports
            Saturday's College Football Plays

            3-Unit Play. #360 Take Georiga Tech -2.5 over North Carolina (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)

            Tech at home is a tough out, especially with their option attack. UNC has yet to click on offense this year, and this is not defense to face with a struggling offense. I see a low scoring game, but in the end enough big plays made from both sides of the ball from the Yellow Jackets.

            3-Unit Play. #309 Take Minnesota +1.5 over Northwestern (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)

            I think Minnesota has shown more this year, notably their well played game last weekend against Cal. Northwestern allowed too many points and yards to a Syracuse team that lost to these Gophers. Minnesota is a notch or two above the Wildcats in the Big Ten, and it will show here. The road underdog wins.

            3-Unit Play. #399 Take Toledo -2 over FIU (9/26 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)

            54 points posted two weeks ago against Colorado and then shutout last Saturday against Ohio State, but Toledo will find a balance between those two efforts this week. Florida International doesn't have the offense to score with the Rockets, at least if the Toledo defense makes a modest effort. I think the winner could have at least 30 here, but the more liklier of the two of scoring that much is the MAC team. We back the better offensive side.

            8-Unit Play. Game of the Year. #388 Take Oregon State -2.5 over Arizona (9/26 Saturday - 7:35 p.m. EST)

            The Beavers have dominated this series. Oregon State is 9-1 ATS in the last ten meetings and have also covered nine of their last eleven home games overall. And Corvallis is not an easy place to play for opposing teams. And even more so, Arizona has not shown a consistent ability to win on the road in the Mike Stoops Era. 9-18 overall away from Tuscon and 8-13 in Pac-10 play under the former Oklahoma assistent. Mike Riley will have his team ready after a competitive loss to a very good Cincy team last time out. Personnel wise, speed is big for the Rodgers brothers. Jacquizz at tailback and James at wide receiver are touchdown threats every time they touch the ball. Arizona hasn't shown they can stop the ground game, and they face their toughest test with the weapons that the Beavers have on the outside. You also combine the fact that Arizona has not gotten much production from the quarterback position so far and are switching it up and giving sophomore Nick Foles his first college start. That bodes well for the Oregon State defense and the team as a whole at home. Beavers control this game and come through with a cover as our College Football Game of the Year.

            3-Unit Play. #367 Take Washington +7.5 over Stanford (9/26 Saturday - 9 p.m. EST)

            Several factors make this game not a letdown spot for Washington. Not only does having a first year head coach not wanting to get caught in a trap spot, but Jake Locker also missed this game last year as well. Stanford beat UW in Seattle last year, so Locker and the Huskies will want to seek out another Pac-10 victory and make up for their awful 2008. And with the line moving over a touchdown, more value is on Washington. But I do think there is a good chance for an outright win, and more likely that than a Cardinal double digit win. Stanford is a good team, but the line is off. Linesmakers are expecting a letdown, but I do not forsee one coming in another crucial conference game for Washington. Take the points.

            3-Unit Play. #382 Take Houston -1.5 over Texas Tech (9/26 Saturday - 9:15 p.m. EST)

            We've been on the Cougars all year, notably having our top futures wager on them with 'Over' 7 wins on the year. Looking really good after their upset win over Oklahoma State, and now we expect it to look golden after knocking off the Red Raiders as well. Offense will dominant this game and by no surprise. But we'll take Case Keenum under center and Byrce Beall with him in the backfield. Houston has so many weapons on offense and an optimistic defense to boot. Cougars win at home in a shootout.

            2-Unit Play. Take North Carolina/Georgia Tech 'Under' 47 (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
            2-Unit Play. Take Miami/Virginia Tech 'Under' 47.5 (9/26 Saturday - 3:30 p.m. EST)
            2-Unit Play. Take Western Kentucky/Navy 'Under' 50.5 (9/26 Saturday - 3:30 p.m. EST)
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            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 99936

              #21
              Re: 9-26-09

              Doc Sports


              “The Magnificent 7” Saturday, September 26th, 2009

              6 Unit Play. #67 Take California -5 ½ over Oregon (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Game of the Week. Not always excited about laying points on the road, especially with our top choice; however, this one has the logic to justify the pick. This Bears team is for real and could win the National Championship before this season is over. Their defense is the unit that really stands out, as they return eight starters. The defensive line is not only deep and but very talented. This does not sit well if you are an Oregon fan, as the talent at the skill positions for the Ducks is not what it used to be. QB Jeremiah Masoli has had problems and his receiving core was hit had by graduation.

              As for California, the skill positions are loaded with talent behind RB Jahvid Best and QB Kevin Riley. Expect them to pick apart a defense that returns just four starters. The Ducks allowed more total yards to Purdue and Utah then their offense gained and if that happens here, they will be on the wrong side of the pole. Certainly have to give the edge to Coach Tedford over rookie Coach Kelly. Granted the Bears host USC next week; however, I see no look ahead here, as Tedford will assure that does not happen. No hibernation for the Bears in Berkley! Cal 35, Oregon 14.

              5 Unit Play. #89 Take Iowa +9 ½ over Penn State (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Top Big 10 Play. This is the fourth straight home game for the Nittany Lions and they will be looking for revenge after losing last year, 24-23. One would think that the home team should be the call here, but not so fast! This Iowa team is not Akron, Temple, or Syracuse for that matter. The Hawks are loaded on defense with a solid defensive line and linebackers that are as good as anyone in the country. This core should give QB Clarke and RB Royster a real challenge. When one talks about defense, the Nittany Lions linebackers are always mentioned among the best. But this year’s group has been hit hard by injuries.Navorro Bowman is probable with a groin injury, Michael Mauti is out with a torn ACL, and Sean Lee is questionable with a sprained knee. With only four starters back, this unit was very thin already.

              As for the Hawks offense, the OL is solid and the QB is in good hands with Ricky Stanzi. The real concern for the Hawks is the running back, with Shonn Greene in the NFL and Jewel Hampton lost due to injury. RB’s Wagher and Robinson have stepped in well and looked very impressive thus far. Always tough to go against the Lions at Happy Valley; however, I think this game will go to the wire. The Hawks have the coaching and the talent to make this a thriller. Iowa won last year with a thriller and Penn State will return the favor in 2009. Penn State 24, Iowa 23.

              5 Unit Play. #65 Take Illinois +14 over Ohio State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. The Illini opened the season with an embarrassing performance against Missouri and now one has to wonder if this team will stay on the path or throw in the towel? Coming off a bye week and a roster full of talent I expect them to play to their potential this week. Illinois has played the Buckeyes tough the past two seasons winning in Columbus, 28-21 in 2007 and losing, 30-20 in 2008. The game last year was misleading, as Illinois outgained Ohio State by over 100 yards.

              As for the Buckeyes, this is not the same team as the past couple of seasons. Their offense is in disarray and they have yet to replace RB Beanie Wells. They have a talented QB in Terrelle Pryor but QB Juice Williams has more ability and leadership then him at the moment. What this really boils down to is that this is just too many points to be laying if you think Ohio State will win the game. Both sides are equal in talent and playing in Columbus certainly does not give the Buckeyes a two touchdown advantage. Would like to call the upset; however, I feel the Buckeyes will pull it out by a field goal. Ohio State 27, Illinois 24.

              4 Unit Play. #40 Take Over 48 in Minnesota @ Northwestern (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network) Top Totals Play. Neither team has been able to establish a strong running attack and have had to rely on the pass in order to move the football. Passing slows down the clock and gives each team more possessions and more time to light up the scoreboard. Look for a lot of that in this game, especially since no team has an outstanding defense. This is a very tough game to pick a winner and I would wager that whoever has the ball last will emerge victorious in what will be a high scoring affair. Have no real choice in who will come out on top, but this game will go way over the number. Northwestern 31, Minnesota 30.

              4 Unit Play. #7 Take Wake Forest +1 ½ over Boston College (Saturday 2 pm ESPN Gameplan) Went against BC last week as one of our top plays and easily won and will ride the horse against this week. As I previously mentioned, the Eagles lost most of their defensive firepower to graduation and this season’s linebackers have been hit really hard by injuries. BC has still not named a quarterback for this game and the offense is really sputtering. They got just four first downs and 54 yards last week vs. Clemson.

              I do not see things getting any better here facing Coach Jim Grobe’s team with a veteran offense and a defense that has been much better then predicted. The Demon Deacons have a major edge at quarterback here with Riley Skinner and look for him to put up big numbers. Wake Forest also have revenge on their minds losing to BC in 2007 & 2008. Coach Grobe and company will be ready for the first road game of 2009. Wake Forest 24, Boston College 10.

              4 Unit Play. #30 Take Kentucky +21 ½ over Florida (Saturday 6 pm ESPN 2) No question the Gators are the best team in the land; however, even the powers have their days in the sun and a day in the rain. I totally respect Coach Brooks and although Kentucky does not have the talent of Florida, you can be sure he will have his team ready to play. Kentucky was crushed last year, 63-5 and thus no emotional speech will be needed since pride is at stake. One must remember that Kentucky entered that game last year off of three close encounters with Alabama, South Carolina, and a 1-point victory over Arkansas. The Florida game was the 2nd biggest loss in Coach Brook’s career.

              Florida is coming off a victory over Tennessee, but it did not turn out to be the whipping that everyone thought it would be. Throw in the fact that the Gators have some key injuries and some problems with the flu, a cakewalk on Saturday is not in the cards. An angry Wildcat team is nothing to mess around with. Florida 34, Kentucky 24.

              4 Unit Play. #45 Take Michigan State +3 over Wisconsin (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) This is a do or die game for the Spartans, as this team enters the conference opener having lost two straight games. I am sure that Coach Dantonio has pointed out the fact that the real season starts now and they still have a chance to achieve greatness in the Big 10. I felt since the start of the season, this team has a good chance to win the Big 10 since they do not play Ohio State and have Penn State in East Lansing. The QB position is in good hands with Kirk Cousins, who leads the conference in passing rating. They have talented wide receivers that should give a weak Badger secondary trouble all day long. MSU is solid on defense with 8 starters returning and remember that the Spartans did win 3 of 4 road conference games in 2008.

              As for Wisconsin, QB Tolzien has looked outstanding and is ranked just behind Cousins in passer rating; however, the Badgers have had problems moving the football on the ground. This will hurt them dearly in the Big Ten, especially with a suspect defense that has trouble getting off the field. Wisconsin has not been behind all season and this game will tell us if they are for real or just pretenders. Look for the Badgers winning streak to end here, as the Spartans are up against the wall and need this win. Michigan State 31, Wisconsin 20.


              Strong opinion plays:
              #76 Take Clemson -2 ½ over TCU
              #91 Take Notre Dame -7 over Purdue
              #102 Take Stanford -7 ½ over Washington
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              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99936

                #22
                Re: 9-26-09

                B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
                3* on Southern Miss +14

                Southern Miss is one of the better teams in the country that nobody knows about. Kansas is about to find that out Saturday. The Golden Eagles (3-0) are sixth in the FBS in run defense, allowing 51.7 yards per game. They have held their opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing in their last eight games, all victories. Southern Miss limited Virginia to 78 yards on the ground Saturday in a 37-34 win. The Golden Eagles are tied with Mississippi for the nation's second-longest win streak behind Florida (13). "We feel like our kids understand what we expect and they have higher expectations for themselves now," coach Larry Fedora said. "We're excited about where we're going." Golden Eagles sophomore quarterback Austin Davis has not thrown an interception in his last 128 passes. Not turning the ball over will be huge in this big road game that will put Southern Miss on the map if they win. The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Southern Miss and the points.
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                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99936

                  #23
                  Re: 9-26-09

                  B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
                  5* Wiseguy ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Georgia Tech -2

                  Georgia Tech is down in the public eye right now and folks are starting to forget about them. But don't sleep on the Yellow Jackets, because this team is still one of the best teams in the ACC and they will make a run at the conference title before it's all said and done. They face North Carolina Saturday, a team that has committed 7 turnovers already through 3 games. The Yellow Jackets thrive off of turnovers, and they'll be very hungry defensively after getting torched by Miami last week. Georgia Tech has also has 2 extra days to prepare after playing last Thursday, which will be a big factor because the Yellow Jackets were clearly tired last week against Miami, having played 3 games in 13 days. Georgia Tech is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 8 days rest since 1992. The Yellow Jackets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Take Georgia Tech and lay the points.
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                  Comment

                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 99936

                    #24
                    Re: 9-26-09

                    B l a c k W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
                    6* Widow Wiseguy SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Mississippi State +13.5

                    BIG LETDOWN SPOT FOR LSU. The Florida Gators are coming to town next week, and it's only human nature for teams to look ahead when they are about to face the defending National Champions. Mississippi State is certainly improved this year, and they have a great shot to pull off the upset Saturday. The Bulldogs won at Vanderbilt 15-3 last week by holding the Commodores to only 33 rushing yards on 29 carries and 124 passing yards on 12-of-32 attempts. So for the game, the Bulldogs gave up just 157 total yards. LSU's offense is not explosive this season, but their defense is solid. We don't feel the Tigers can score enough points to win by two touchdowns, let alone with the game outright. LSU's highest rushing total in 3 games is 178 and their highest passing total in 3 games is 172. Mississippi State is averaging 222 rushing yards per game, and that's come against good competition other than Jackson State. LSU has given up over 100 yards rushing in all 3 games so far, so the Bulldogs will be able to move the ball on the ground and win the time of possession battle. LSU is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a 2 game home stand over the last 3 seasons. LSU is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons. That's a 24-1 (96%) ATS Angle backing the Bulldogs. Their ability to move the ball on the ground will be the difference in this game, especially with LSU looking ahead to the Gators. Take Mississippi State and the points.
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                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 99936

                      #25
                      Re: 9-26-09

                      apache
                      9 troy
                      12 georgia
                      14 lsu,unlv
                      16 army over
                      17 temple,ul monroe,usc
                      20 auburn
                      22 idaho,uab,penn st under
                      23 tcu
                      25 texas under,vandy,houston over
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                      Comment

                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 99936

                        #26
                        Re: 9-26-09

                        CKO- The Gold Sheet
                        11* Michigan State +2.5
                        10* Buffalo +3.5
                        10* Auburn -33
                        10* MiamiFL -3
                        10* Chargers -6
                        10* ATL/NE O 45
                        10* CAR/DAL O 45

                        KEY RELEASES

                        Vikings (-7) by 17
                        Broncos (-1.5) by 12
                        NO/BUF (O51.5) 62
                        Rice (+7) by 2
                        Purdue (+6.5) by 3
                        USC (-45.5) by 56
                        Org. St. (-3) by 13

                        Tech Plays

                        Army +10
                        N. Mexico St. +10
                        MTSU +10
                        Ravens -13.5
                        DEN/OAK U36.5
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                        Comment

                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 99936

                          #27
                          Re: 9-26-09

                          Alex Smart
                          GOM = Iowa
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                          Comment

                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 99936

                            #28
                            Re: 9-26-09

                            Trushel

                            20* Rice
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                            Comment

                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 99936

                              #29
                              Re: 9-26-09

                              Kelso:

                              100 unit UNLV
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                              Comment

                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 99936

                                #30
                                Re: 9-26-09

                                FRANK PATRON 20000 UNIT NON CONFERENCE LOCK

                                FRANK PATRON

                                20000 UNIT NON CONFERENCE LOCK

                                BOISE STATE BRONCOS -16.5
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