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Re: 9-28-09
Tony Weston MONDAY'S PLAYS 20 Dime Panthers
5 Dime Panthers-Cowboys Under
Tony Weston MONDAY'S PLAYS 20 Dime Panthers
5 Dime Panthers-Cowboys Under
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Re: 9-28-09
Dave Malinsky 9/28
Top of the Ticket - Total
4* #906 PHILADELPHIA/HOUSTON Over
With a lame-duck interim manager and nothing to shoot for in the final week of the 2009 season it is not a surprise that the Astros hand the ball to Yorman Bazardo again, and that works out well for us tonight. Bazardo had already thrown 135 pitches in the Minors before being called up in early against, and the experiment of seeing how he would far as a starter has been a complete disaster ? he has worked to a 12.20 tune over 15.1 innings of four tries, with 27 hits and 11 walks allowed vs. only five strikeouts. There just is not much there, and with both physical and mental fatigue as issues this is the wrong lineup to face, particularly in this ballpark on a night that will bring a favorable hitter?s wind. It also means this Total is too low. Cole Hamels brings the appearance of ?form? right now, but that is what happens when face the Mets twice, the Pirates, Nationals and Giants within a span of five weeks. The Astros read him well in Houston four starts back, scoring four runs on eight hits over six innings, he has had particular problems with Lance Berkman (3.53 lifetime in 17 at-bats) and Miguel Tejada (an impressive 6-8, with three doubles). And while Carlos Lee may only sport a .214 average over his 14 at-bats, those trips to the plate have produced seven rbi?s. There is also that matter of the Phillie bullpen for the latter stages, with Charlie Manuel still not set with his closer situation despite the playoffs being only a week away, which means ample opportunities can be available in the latter stages.Comment
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Re: 9-28-09
Trace Adams
1000* - Carolina Panthers, 500* - Detroit w/Porcello over Blackburn If you ask me, both QB's have issues with the dreaded turnover, and when you have such a case, you must look to the "value" in the line the oddsmakers put out there, and tonight I see that line "value" resting with the underdog.
I just get the feeling this line is a little too high, and it is a little high because of the fact the Cowboys are playing in their new stadium once again under the prime time lights.
Let's face facts, if Carolina drops this one, they move to 0-3 heading into their bye week, and while they may very well be 0-3 after this game, I have to believe that the "desperate" Panthers will muster an effort that keeps this one close.
The Panthers are 28-15-1 under John Fox as the road dog, and the Cowboys are just 4-5 their last 9 as a home favorite.
Dallas guts it out, and gets the win, but Carolina takes it where it counts, at the ticket window.
Take the points.
1000? - Carolina Panthers
Big baseball series gets underway in the Motor City tonight, as Minnesota and Detroit go out for the AL Central title.
Rick Porcello just lost at Minnesota 2 starts ago, but this time around he gets to face the Twins in the comfort of his home park where the righty is 8-3 for the season.
Nick Blackburn gets the counter for Minny, and Blackburn has won his last pair of starts, but is just 4-7 away from home this season.
Blackburn tossed a complete game win at the Tigers back in July, but my money tonight will be on Detroit to take the critical 1st game, especially in their home park where they are 48-26 for the year.
Minnesota is still below .500 for the year on the road, at 36-40, and I think they will be on the shortside of this one tonight.
500? - Detroit w/Porcello over Blackbun
???NOTE: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the release!???Comment
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Re: 9-28-09
Tony Salinas Baseball
Monday, September 28, 2009
25*
Indians {A.Laffey} (+120) over Whitesox {J.Danks}
7:05 PM -- Progressive Field
Cloudy with a 60-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 25-30 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.
24*
Bluejays {S.Richmond} (+260) over Redsox {J.Beckett}
7:10 PM -- Fenway Park
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 15-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
25*
La Angels {E.Santana} (-165) over Rangers {T.Hunter}
10:05 PM -- Angel Stadium of Anaheim
Mostly clear. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.Comment
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Re: 9-28-09
ANDY ISKOE
Matchup: Panthers at Cowboys
Time: 8:35pm ET
Pick: PANTHERS +9 (-110)
Analysis: This is a critical early season game for 0-2 Carolina. Dallas’ debut in their new digs resulted in a disappointing loss as the Giants rallied for a final drive that led to the winning FG. The Cowboys clearly have the better talent but Carolina has a clear edge in coaching with John Fox having a better grasp of what‘s taking place on the field than does Dallas‘ Wade Phillips. That makes getting nearly double digits an attractive take for a team that can run the ball. The Panthers have lost all 6 meetings with Dallas this decade but 5 of them have been by a TD or less. And at 0-2 a repeat of their Playoff appearance from last season is in jeopardy so expect an all out effort against a team that repeatedly shows an inability to close out games. Carolina QB Delhomme had a much better effort against Atlanta than in the opener vs Atlanta providing a much needed confidence boost. Dallas wins but by just 3 or 4 points.Comment
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Re: 9-28-09
O.C. Dooley 9/28
1 UNIT” NFL SIDE (Cowboys -8’ at home versus Panthers in a 8:35 eastern kickoff on ESPN):
Even though one of the league’s most popular teams are involved, the line on tonight’s game has actually dropped from an opening figure of 9’ points which gives us a little value with Dallas. Of course the Cowboys brand new billion-dollar pleasure palace was unveiled last Sunday Night on National-TV and the home team ended up losing outright. One of the main reasons why tonight’s line has dropped is because this is basically a make-or-break game for Carolina who was a divisional champion just one year ago. The Panthers once proud defense has taken a serious hit as a pair of tackles have already been lost for the entire season with Leonard Lewis (broken ankle) being the latest casualty. Basically the lack of pressure delivered by the defensive line has exposed the secondary which is one of the reasons why the Panthers have allowed on average a whopping 33 points per game so far. Of course matters are not helped with all of the TURNOVERS (9) that have been committed by the offense which right now is the most in the entire NFL. Dating back to that fateful home playoff loss of a year ago, Panthers quarterback Jake Delhomme alone has accounted for 12 turnovers with most of them being critical interceptions at inopportune times. My database research indicates that Carolina’s sluggish 0-2 start is actually critical to handicapping this particular contest. In the past 12 years Dallas has cost bettors a lot of money (30-45 SU/29-51-4 ATS) when facing opponents with a “winning” record. That pattern so far in 2009 has held true as the Cowboys covered the spread against a struggling team (Tampa) and lost the spot a week ago (Giants) on National-TV against a winning opponent. There have already been rumors floating that if Carolina decides at some point to fire head coach John Fox that current CBS broadcaster and former Steelers coach Bill Cowher is anxious to take over the team. Cowher lives in the state of North Carolina and it appears that he has been willing to wait until the Panthers make a head coaching move. I want all of you to be aware that there is some statistical risk with the Cowboys this evening as they have actually “failed” to cover the spread (0-7) the last seven times they have been cast as a Monday home favorite. But Dallas can ill afford to lose consecutive home games and there will actually not be as much pressure as a week ago when they opened a brand new facility which in turn brings a lot of expectations attached. Yesterday we saw a Tennessee squad off a sensational 2008 campaign fall to 0-3 and tonight we have a similar scenario involving Carolina despite all of their talent.Comment
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