9-30-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

FantasySportsGametime

Wednesday MLB Plays


MLB Baseball


25* Play LA Angels (-175) over Texas (MLB PLAY)

Derek Holland has lost 4 of the last 5 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he is 1-5 in road games this season with an ERA of 5.44. Jered Weaver has won 6 of the last 7 games as a home favorite of -150 to -200 and he is 9-3 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.90.



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25* Play San Francisco (-180) over Arizona (MLB PLAY)



Arizona has lost 18 of the last 20 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and Kevin Mulvey is 0-2 in all starts this season with an ERA of 8.36.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Doc's Sports

Baseball

4-Unit Play Take #921 Minnesota Twins -115 over Detroit Tigers (7:05p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #908 Cincinnati Reds -110 over St. Louis Cardinals (7:10p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #919 Kansas City Royals +180 over New York Yankees (7:05p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Tony Salinas Baseball
Wednesday, September 30, 2009

24*
Twins {C.Pavano} (-110) over Tigers {E.Bonine}
7:05 PM -- Comerica Park
Clear. Winds blowing out to center field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.

23*
Brewers {J.Suppan} (+180) over Rockies {J.Hammel}
8:40 PM -- Coors Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 20-25 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Dave Malinsky



Top of the Ticket - Night

3* #925 TORONTO over BOSTON

The oddsmakers were forced to swing at a knuckleball in this one, perhaps appropriate on a night in which Tim Wakefield takes the mound, and they whiffed badly. That gives us the chance to back one of the best pitchers in the game, and one of the hottest teams in the Majors down the stretch, at a more than fair price against an opponent that will likely field a make-shift lineup. That gets us in the game. Roy Halladay has worked through trade rumors and some physical issues to have another Roy Hallday season. His 16-10/2.90 only tells part of the story ? of the 104 pitchers that have worked at least 120 innings he rates #3 in difficulty of batters faced, which makes those numbers even more impressive. His last nine starts have all come against teams with winning records, yet he has held up brilliantly, including a 1.80 ERA over five September starts in which he has worked three complete games. His pride will show here in a chance to close the season in style, even if it will be a nondescript lineup that he will be facing, and we can count on him to get plenty of support ? in a current 8-1 run the Blue Jays have only lost to Felix Hernandez, scoring 60 runs in the process. That Toronto offensive form is unlikely to be stopped by Tim Wakefield. Wakefield has only worked three times since the All Star break, and only once in that last three weeks, that being a laborious five innings at Kansas City in which he allowed five runs (four earned), and needed 102 pitches to merely get that far. He did not have any control of his knuckler that night, with seven walks vs. only two strikeouts, and that was vs. a young lineup that has rarely seen his stuff. Tonight Toronto can counter with seven starters that have at least 12 career at-bats against him, and with 19 runs on 25 hits already in the series, despite only coming to the plate in 16 innings, there is plenty of momentum to work with. We expect Terry Francona to treat this like an exhibition, especially since his Red Sox have a four-game series vs. Cleveland before going to the playoffs. That makes this at least a 2:1 game in our books, but because of the uniforms involved the oddsmakers can not take it to that level.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Ferringo

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Florida at Atlanta (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Milwaukee at Colorado (8:40 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 L.A. Dodgers at San Diego (10 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Houston at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Minnesota at Detroit (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 St. Louis at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘over’ 8.5 Oakland at Seattle (10 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 30)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Steve Merril has a powerful Daytime MLB Grand Slam for Wednesday afternoon - Guaranteed Over/Under that will CRUSH THE LINE!
Nationals/Mets Under 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Anthony Redd

15 Dime Louisiana Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Rob Vinciletti

NCAA-F | Sep 30
Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech-4
On Wednesday the free football play is on La. Tech. Game 102 at 8:00 eastern. Both teams come into this one off a bye week. La.Tech has revenge from a 24-14 loss to Hawaii. La.Tech brings back 16 starters from last years squad compared to just 9 for Hawaii. They are 8-0 as favorites,while Hawaii is just 1-9 straight up and 2-8 ats as a road dog in this range. La.Tech likes to run the ball and could keep the Hawaii pass offense on the side lines most of the game. Hawwaii is 2-1 this year but has beaten C.Arkansas and Washington St. La.Tech has played much tougher teams losing at Auburn and Navy. La.Tech is a better team this year and I never like taking Hawaii on the main land against teams that have revenge. On Wednesday night I have a huge power pitching angle play on the card. This game is fully guranteed and will get you the cash. Jump on this big mid-week special.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Sammy Jankus



Reverse Barometer
I rate my plays 3, 4 and 5 stars. Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeups.

4* (907) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (-102)

They don't get much easier than this! With the pressure off after clinching the NL Central, St. Louis went through the motions last night and got scalded 7-2 by an inferior Cincinnati team. Why should tonight be any different? The Cards sent a better pitcher to the mound yesterday with Pineiro compared to tonight's starter, a washed-up John Smoltz, while the Reds counter with the ol' pill-popper himself, Bronson "better living through chemistry" Arroyo. With Arroyo fortified by an array of performance-enhancing substances and the Redbirds looking ahead to the playoffs, I'm convinced Cincinnati will take a second straight game from the Cardinals – so your play is on ST. LOUIS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Chris Jordan 100

Hawaii +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Freddy Wills

September 30th Plays:

Cubs Run Line Game #1 Action (Morton/Lilly) (-125) (5-Dime POD)
I'm going with the Cubs in game 1 they are 4-0 in their last 4 game 1's! They will be sending their ace to the mound in Ted Lilly who has been a different creature at home and during the day. Also as we know the Cubs are simply a day team this year they have scored more runs per 9 during the day than at night. Pittsburgh on the other hand is the opposite with -0.77 runs created per 27 outs during the day than at night. The same is for their pitcher Charlie Morton who struggles on the road and even more during the day. Pirates have also lost 10 games to the Cubs this year and all 10 including last nights 6-0 defeat by 1+ run! 78% of the Pirates road losses have been by 1 run.

Let's go over the starting pitchers!

Charlie Morton, I have been right on him a lot this year. A former opponent of mine I know him a little bit better than many others. He's just not been the same on the road. He is still a growing pitcher and struggles with his control and locating his pitches around the plate. On the road this year he has a 1-5 record and 7.45 ERA compared to his home ERA of 3.10. He's been significantly worse against LH hitters and during the day where he posts an 11.65 ERA. In his 2 career starts against the Cubs he has not gotten out of the third inning and has given up 14 ER. I expect that to improve, but it won't be nearly enough against the Cubs LHP Ted Lilly.

Lilly has just been amazing at home this year with a 1.60 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP. During the day is his best time to pitch where he has an 8-3 record with a 2.55 ERA and 0.98 ERA. He has two starts vs. the Priates this year and had 14 K"s in 13 IP giving up 4 ER this year. I expect an even more dominating performance on Wednesday as this will be his last start of the 2009 season. September has been his best month for pitching over the last three years with a 10-4 record and a 3.05 ERA. It has been no different this year as he has a 1.54 ERA in his last 5 starts with a 0.86 WHIP. Pirates are 12=39 in their last 51 road games vs. LH starter and 2-8 in their last 10 with Morton as a dog. Pirates are also 3-14 their last 17 in Chicago and Cubs are 21-5 at home when Lilly starts L26. I love the run line in this situation especially with the Pirates bullpen struggles over the last 10 games they have a 6.68 ERA while the Cubs have a 2.15 ERA. Along with that is the Pirates struggles to get on base vs. LH pitching with a .207 average.

Take Hawaii +4.5 (3-Dime National Stage Showdon)(1-5 scale)
I understand it may be hard to over look how much traveling Hawaii has had to do so far this season with their third road game in 4. However, it appears Hawaii is back to their old tricks with their passing game returning to what it was under Colt Brenan, but this time it's under Greg Alexander.

Alexander leads the nation in passing offense with 423 yards per game and they are also first in pass efficiency. They will face a LA Tech secondary that has a lot of question marks. Even their head coach, Derek Dooley, is doubting their abilities "I'm still concerned about our secondary, especially the corner." They are moving a few guys around, from safety to corner, but overall it will be the pass rush that will have to make the difference in this one. However, LA Tech that does feature a stronger pass rush than it has statistically (2 sacks this season), should not be able to get to Alexander mainly because this is an offense that splits 4 WR out and is designed to make quick decisions before a rush can get to Alexander. LA Tech should have it's hands full after allowing 287 yards through air per game in 2008. Granted they have only given up 156/game this year, but that is definitely a mirage as LA Tech has faced two teams that only run in Nichols State, and Navy followed by Auburn who is a run first team as well.

So how else can LA Tech limit the passing game from Hawaii? Well they can definitely run the ball and occupy the time of possession. However, RB Daniel Porter has not been effective only averaging 44.7 yards rushing a game. He will likely have a little more success here against Hawaii than he did against Navy and Auburn, but Hawaii has a solid front 7 that does not allow big running plays and on the season is allowing 126.7 rushing yards per game. Hawaii should be able to do both running and passing on LA Tech and I do not think La Tech can keep up with Hawaii's offense in the end. If Hawaii can keep the ball away from LA Tech's Phil Livas on special teams, who is ranked 7th in punt returns last season and returned one for 85 yards against Navy, then they should win this game outright!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Ats

3 la tech - 4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

Steve Merril
Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech (NCAAF)
Point Spread: -4.5/-110 Louisiana Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-30-09

C-Stars Sports

5000 Units Hawaii at Louisiana Tech over the total
1000 Units Cincinnati/ST Louis under the total
50 units Hawaii plus the points over Louisiana Tech
50 units Philadelphia over Houston