10-2-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-09

BRANDON LANG

15 DIMER - WHITE SOX - It's the Jake Peavy show tonight.

Since coming off the DL he has been stellar in his first two starts for the White Sox.

He went 5 innings in his first start at home against the Royals allowing 3 runs on 5 hits of a 13-3 Chicago win throwing 79 pitches total.

His last start against these same Tigers was even better going 7 shutout innings, allowing 6 hits with a pair of walks and 8 strikeouts and throwing just under 100 pitches. To state the obvious, he is back.

Going back to his last 7 starts overall with the Padres and the White Sox, he is on a 6-1 run.

The Tigers have lost 3 of Edwin Jackson's last 4 starts mainly because Jackson has gotten rocked to the tune of 5 earned in all 3 losses. Pressure does weird things to a man.

In fact, in his last 10 starts he has given up 4 earned or more in 6 of those starts.

He was hit hard last time out by the White Sox giving up 5 earned on 7 hits in 7 innings throwing 111 pitches. Not exactly getting the bang out of your buck now are you Edwin.

I will back Peavy to shut down this Tigers team that is feeling the pressure of a 2 game lead over the Twins and knowing Minnesota has the Royals this weekend.

Riding the White Sox tonight.

WHITE SOX (Peavy over Jackson)

15 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS - This team has been competitive and I like what they showed me at Utah last week.

Always a tough place to play in the altitude, they battled to a 23-14 game with 8:51 to go in the 4th but couldn't get the defensive stop allowing Utah to go on a 7 play 80 yard drive for the frontdoor cover on a 33 yard touchdown on a 3rd and 13 screen pass.

This team should have knocked off Kentucky on the road but let that game get away from them.

I am a fan of Steve Kragthorpe and I really feel he is turning this program around and seeing how competitive they have been this year so far has me on the points here.

Pitt comes off a meltdown at NC State which saw them get rocked in the 4th quarter blowing a 31-14 lead giving up the last 21 points to lose 38-31.

NC State dominated the statistics with 27 first downs to 11 for Pitt, 530 yards total offense to 300 and 208 yards of that was on the ground. Pitt shouldn't be laying this kind of number tonight.

I'm on the Louisville bandwagon tonight.

15 DIMER - UTAH STATE AGGIES - This team is a quality dog tonight.

They have covered both their lined games this year at Utah and at Texas A&M and I really feel they will stay well within the number tonight.

First and foremost, I love their coaching staff. Their head coach Gary Anderson was the defensive coordinator and assistant head coach at Utah the last 5 years and his new offensive coordinator was the head coach of San Jose State from 1997-2000.

This is as solid a coaching staff as you can ask for and you can see just how good from their 2 competitive games at Utah losing by 18 as a 20 point dog and at A&M losing by 8 as a 20 point dog.

The change for this team is their offense, which has put up 342 total yards at Utah, 521 yards total offense at A&M and 604 yards total offense at home to Southern Utah.

This Byu team is good but they are not great and they are facing a coaching staff that is as familiar with them and what they do on every level. Asking them to cover this kind of number is just a bit too much.

Don't know if Utah State can play well enough to pull off the upset but as good as their offense is playing, I don't see them losing by more than the 24 number vegas has thrown out there for Byu to cover.

I am riding the big dog Aggies tonight.

FREE SELECTION - UTAH STATE-BYU OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-09

WAYNE ROOT

2009 Football Upset Club

Friday, October 02, 2009

3*Louisville (+6½) over Pittsburgh

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-09

Ben Burns

**9** BEST BET!!

OVER 63.5,BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS -vs-Utah State Aggies 9:00:00 PM

Reason: I'm playing on BYU and Utah State to finish OVER the total. At first glance, this o/u number seems very high. However, there's good reason for it being that way and I actually don't think that it's high enough. Let's take a look. The heavily favored Cougars are almost certain to score big points. Since their opening defensive battle vs. Oklahoma, the Cougars have averaged greater than 40 points per game, including 54 and 42 in the two games where they were favored by greater than two touchdowns. They'll face a Utah State defense which has given up 34 or more points every game. While we know the Cougars will score, the Aggies should also be able to help out. They scored 17 against a very good Utah defense, 30 against Texas A&M and then a whopping 53 vs. S. Utah last week. While that was obviously a lower tier opponent, the Aggies still did gain more than 600 yards of total offense (most since 2001) which can only be good for their confidence. QB Diondre Borel has topped 300 yards passing in back to back games, the first Aggie to do so since 2002. Both the Aggies lined games finished above the total. Meanwhile, BYU has seen three straight finish above the number. I expect the Cougars come in with a chip on their shoulder - they won by 19 last week but dropped in the AP rankings - and expect that they'll be happy to run up the score. With the Aggies doing their part, look for that to be enough and for the final combined score to finish above the total. *9 Best Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-09

BEN BURNS:

Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-102
I'm taking the points with LOUISVILLE. I successfully played against the Panthers at NC State last week. For awhile it looked like I might lose that one, as Pittsburgh had a lead. However, in the end, the Panthers defense couldn't get a stop and the Wolfpack rallied for a 7-point victory. Those are the type of losses that can be tough to bounce back from, particularly when playing the second of back to back road games and playing on a short week. The Cardinals are also coming off a loss. In fact, they've lost two in a row. However, those losses both came on the road. They lost (but covered) by only four at Kentucky before losing by 16 vs. an angry Utah team last time out - a situation where they were the ones playing the second of back to back road games. Naturally, this is a very big game for both teams. With it being at home, playing with 'revenge' from an embarrassing loss, and due to the fact that the Cards have a losing record, I feel that they'll be the team playing with a little more sense of urgency. Note that Louisville is 5-3 ATS the last eight times it was a home underdog in the +3.5 to +7 range. The Panthers have long had a tendency to struggle against teams with a losing record. In fact, they're just 15-30 ATS their last 45 against teams which were below .500. Not surprisingly, they're just 5-12 ATS the last 17 times that they were laying points. Prior to last year, the Cardinals had long dominated the Panthers. I expect a highly motivated effort and look for them to earn at leas the cover. *9 Friday Main Event

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-2-09

PPP

3% utah st