10-4-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

Teddy Covers
10/4/09 NFL 20* Big Ticket: New England Over 44.5 -110 (206)
10/4/09 NFL Cleveland +6 (208)
10/4/09 NFL Miami +1 (220)
10/4/09 NFL Dallas -3 (223)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

Lenny Del Genio's 25* NFC North Game of the Year.

1:00 PM
Play Detroit Lions + 10 at Chicago Bears

Break up the Lions! After 644 days, 92 weeks and 19 straight losses, Detroit finally won a game, upsetting Washington at home last week as 9.5-point favorites. After playing well for spurts in the first two games (led Minnesota at the half in Wk 2), the team finally put it all together for a full four quarters and beat a solid defensive team in the Redskins (while inept offensively). New HC Jim Schwartz, who quotes Shakespeare, has his team playing disciplined football, a foreign concept during previous seasons in the Motor City. Deciding to go with overall #1 DC Matthew Stafford at QB was a wise move as he continues to "learn on the job" and get better every week. What can the Lions possibly do for an encore? How about record their first road win since mid-'07 in the exact same place they last won on the road (current 13-game losing streak)? Yes, we're serious. Detroit has certainly performed well, from an ATS perspective that is, covering six of their past seven contests away from Ford Field. Don't think that the team won't also be motivated by the chance to end another losing skid, 10 straight division losses. Chicago, 2-1 on the season, is fairly overrated from where we sit. They have been outstatted in 25 of their last 35 games. Lost in the whole "Jay Cutler is the best QB the Bears have had in years" is the fact that RB Matt Forte has seen his production drop down to 50 YPG following a fine rookie campaign. The defense, which was mediocre at best to begin with, got a lot more mediocre with the loss of LB Urlacher. The Bears could be caught looking a~head to the bye week in Week 5. Over the last three seasons, they are 0-4 ATS when coming off BB wins and they are 1-7 ATS as double-digit favorites.
Detroit is our 25* NFC North Game of the Year.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

Doccs Sports

5 Unit Play. #101 Take Detroit +10 over Chicago (Sunday 1 pm Fox) Game of the Week. The monkey is off the back of the Detroit Lions, as they snapped their 19 game losing streak last Sunday against the Washington Redskins. They now play a familiar division foe in the Chicago Bears, a team they have covered against four of the last five meetings. I am still not sold on the Bear’s receiving core and Detroit has held up pretty good against the run, holding the Redskins last week to just 44 yards (3.6 ypc). The Bears picked up an impressive win last week in Seattle, but remember that came against a Hawks team without starting quarterback Matt Haselbeck. Just too many points to be laying in a divisional game with two defensive minded coaches. Chicago 21, Detroit 17.

4 Unit Play. #128 Take Over 45 in New York at New Orleans (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) Top Totals Play. The Saints have been an automatic over play in 2009 and I do not put too much stock into their low scoring victory last week against Buffalo. The weather conditions were not good with a lot of wind and despite that New Orleans still put up 27 points. Now the total is back under fifty and playing this game in a dome is just too good to pass up. This is the best team in the league offensively and they are playing a team that has looked great under rookie QB Mark Sanchez. We will not worry if the Saints can cover this touchdown spread in just collect with the over, as both teams reach the twenties in scoring. New Orleans 27, New York 24.

4 Unit Play. #126 Take Pittsburgh -6 ½ over San Diego (Sunday 8:15 pm NBC) The Steelers face a must win situation on Sunday night, as the defending champions cannot afford to fall to 1-3 on the season. The Steelers have had good success against the Chargers in recent years beating the them twice in 2008 including an 11-point playoff victory in the divisional round. This is also another case of west coast teams not playing well when traveling east. The Chargers have had a very easy schedule thus far that included two home games and a road game at Oakland. They have yet to look that impressive and did lose to Baltimore at home. Ladainian Tomlinson is still nursing a bad ankle and this team is just not the same without him. In the NFL, when good teams met, the team that needs is more usually gets it and Pittsburgh needs this one badly. Pittsburgh 27, San Diego 17.

4 Unit Play. #127 Take Green Bay +3 ½ over Minnesota (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) It is the game that needs no introduction and will likely be the most watched event on ESPN EVER! QB Brett Favre faces his former team in the Green Bay Packers. The Vikings are atop the standing in the NFC North with a 3-0 record that included a dramatic come from behind victory last week against the San Francisco 49ers. In that game Favre through the go ahead touchdown with just two seconds remaining. That being said, the 49ers did cover that game and we had them as a selection and will go against the Vikings again in their second straight home game. QB Aaron Rogers played well in his game last week against the Rams throwing two touchdowns and numerous deep balls. I feel that these teams are evenly matched and this one will go right down to the wire with the Packers finding a way to win it in the closing seconds. One of the things novice gamblers get caught up when betting NFL games is the carryover effect. One would think that the Vikings will be riding high, but in truth there is no carryover effect. Everybody is a paid professional and momentum just does not propel teams to victory like it does in college football. Green Bay 27, Minnesota 24.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

The Boss

500% "Untouchable DIVISION PLAY OF THE YEAR" CINCY BENGALS
300% "BOOKIE BUSTER BLOWOUT PARLAY" CINCY, NY GIANTS, SAN FRAN
200% "DOG POUND" DETROIT
100% "SILENT ASSASSINS" BUFFALO, PITT, TENNESSEE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

TONY GEORGE


Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Play: Total: 41.5/-105 Under Play Title:
Click Here to View Play Analysis
Under 41.5 Tennessee / Jax
Tough, physical, run oriented game. 13-10 type battle here..a must win for both teams, field position and ball control. Neither team offensive power.

Play 1 Unit on the Under.




2 team 6 Point Teaser..PLAY 2 UNITS..Tease Cincinanati down (pk to -.5) and Tease Indy down to -4



New York Giants vs. Kansas City Chiefs (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Play: Point Spread: -9/105 New York Giants Play Title:
Click Here to View Play Analysis
NY Giants -9 to 9.5
Not concerned about NY overlooking KC with Coughlin as head coach. Kansas Citys offensive line is the WORST in the NFL and going up against one of the best DL in the NFL, not to mention ball hawking secondary that Cassel will no dount hurry passes into, and KC is without best WR Bowe this week with injury. KC traded or waived 2 more players this week and got TE Pope from Arizona to try and get a few verticle palys going with his size, doubt he is ready to know all the plays yet, been in town 4 days! Giants 21-5 ATS their last 26 road games because they focus every game and are extremely well coached. I admit that NY is on their third straight road game, BUT they are one of the NFLs best road teams, one of the best NFL teams around right now and going up against a team who lost by 3 at home 2 weeks ago against the Raiders, a division rival with QB Russel at the helm!!!..enough said...lay it.

Play 1 Unit on NY





Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick
Play: Point Spread: 10/-109 Detroit Lions Play Title:
Click Here to View Play Analysis
Detroit +10
Not buying into the win last week for the Lions, but am buying into the fact they are cover machine against the Bear in recent times. QB Stafford playing weel, WR Calvibn Johnson best offensive player on the field that wioll make a few big plays. Having that 800 pound gorilla off their backs should give the Lions alittle swagger and actually their offense socres more points than the Bears, who looked sluggish at best against a weak Seattle team last week. Chicago skill players banged up, Forte and Clark both to play but nagging injuries have them less than 100%. Forte averaging less than 50 yards a game on the ground....Detroit 8-2 ATS last 10 meetings.

Play 1 Unit on Detroit.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

SSG
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Baltimore v. New England 1pm
PICK: Patriots -1 Game (10**) Game of the week

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Raiders/Texans O 41(-105 5dimes)

Oakland finally gets their offense going against the worst defense in the NFL this week. But Houston puts up another big number on the scoreboard as well as this one flies OVER the total by the end of the 3rd quarter. Houston has scored 58 points in their last 2 games combined, but they've given up over 24 points in all 3 games, including 31 to both Jacksonville and Tennessee the last two weeks. The Titans and Jaguars are two teams not known for having explosive offenses, kind of like Oakland. The Raiders scored 27 points on Houston last year in a 27-16 home win in December. Don't expect this Raiders' defense to limit Houston to only 16 points this time around, but they should still be able to match their offensive output of 27 points. The Raiders rushed for 139 yards and passed for 223 more in last year's meeting. Even JaMarcus Russell will look like Peyton Manning against his putrid Texans' defense. Houston is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons. The Texans are 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 17-4 in the Texans' last 21 games following a loss overall. The OVER is 9-1 in the Raiders' last 10 games during Week 4. After three straight weeks of lackluster offensive play from Oakland, this is their breakout game offensively. Take the OVER 41 points here. (Obviously big action is pouring in on the OVER and for good reason, so take the OVER all the way up to 44 as a 6* Play, 44.5 and higher is a 5* Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* Ravens/Pats AFC "Big Game" BLOOD BATH on New England Patriots -1(-114 5dimes)

Tom Brady now has three games under his belt, and the Patriots are starting to look like the old New England team that won 3 Super Bowls. New England won 26-10 at home against a very good Atlanta team last week, and they did it with sound defense and a solid running game with not much needed from Brady. He still managed to throw for 277 yards, but it was the 168 rushing yards led by 100-plus from veteran Fred Taylor that really made this offense tough to tame. The Pats held Michael Turner and the ground game to only 58 yards on 17 carries. New England's defense is giving up just 16.7 points per game this season and 88 rushing yards per contest. Baltimore has played a very easy schedule, taking care of the Browns and Chiefs and escaping with a win over San Diego. This is easily their toughest test this season, and they will fail. The Patriots are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Pats are finding their way right now, and Baltimore isn't about to get in their way Sunday. Take the Patriots and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* NFL Sunday "SLEEPER" on Bengals/Browns O 38(-103 5dimes)

Odds makers are sleeping on this Cleveland offense after a terrible start to the season. Insert Derek Anderson. This is just the move that head coach Eric Mangini needed to make after Brady Quinn simply didn't get the job done through 3 games. Anderson will give this Cleveland offense a spark, and we have no doubt this will be by far their best offensive output of they year. Cincinnati could be in a letdown spot defensively after beating the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, which will also help Cleveland's offense get going. But the Bengals are the team that will put up the majority of the points against a Browns' defense that is giving up a ridiculous 31.7 points per game. You can chalk up Cincinnati for 28 or more points in this one, and Cleveland will score enough points to get the OVER. Carson Palmer has led this Cincinnati offense to 27.0 points per game over their last 2 games, coming against good Pittsburgh and Green Bay defenses. Cincinnati is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog since 1992. The average score in these games is Bengals 24.4 and their opponents 28.5 for nearly 53 points per contest. Cincinnati's defense will take a step back here, but their offense will pick up the slack. Take the OVER 38 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

Tim Trushel
Cleveland / 20*
Miami/Reg
Patriots/Reg
K.City/Reg
Oakland/Reg

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

Private Members Area

10/4

2 unit Detroit +10
2 unit New Orleans -7
3 unit Tennessee -3 (best bet)
3 unit Denver +3 (best bet)
3 unit Pittsburgh -6.5 (best bet)
5 unit Miami-Buffalo OVER 37 (Wise Guy) Wiseguy Total of the year

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

NSA

NFL Baltimore @ New England 1:00 PM EST 20* New England -1
NFL Dallas @ Denver 4:15 PM EST 20* Dallas -2.5
NFL Tennessee @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM EST 10* Tennessee -3
NFL NY Giants @ Kansas City 1:00 PM EST 10* NY Giants -8.5
NFL Oakland @ Washington 1:00 PM EST 10* Oakland +9
NFL Tampa Bay @ Washington 1:00 PM EST 10* Washington -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

ATS

6 Dallas -2 1/2
5 Buffalo +1
5 New England -1

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-4-09

Mike Lineback
4* Titans -2.5 -125 (1/2 pt buy)
4* Cowboys -2.5 -130 (1/2 pt buy)
4* 49ers UNDER 37.5 -120 (1/2 pt buy)
4* Teaser 7 pts -130 New York Giants -1.5/Colts -3
4* Vikings -3 -130 (1/2 pt buy)