10-4-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98649

    #31
    Re: 10-4-09

    Malinsky

    mlb
    3* Wsox
    3* Kcity
    3* Mariners
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98649

      #32
      Re: 10-4-09

      Al DeMarco Sunday's Play 15 Dime Play - New Orleans

      Note: This line is fluctuating between 7 and 7 1/2 points. In either case, I urge you to buy down the 1/2 point, reducing New Orleans to either a -6' or -7 favorite. I don't think I have to explain the implications of doing so in the even of the Saints winning the contest by just a touchdown.


      New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games, a stretch in which Drew Brees has completed 68% of his passes, averaged 332 yards per game, and fired 29 TD strikes. After consecutive double-digit road routs of Philadelphia and Buffalo, the Saints find themselves hosting a New York squad that's 2-7 ATS in its last nine road outings versus the NFC.

      Like New Orleans, the Jets carry a 3-0 record into this contest following an opening-week road win at Houston and consecutive home victories against New England and Tennessee. But New York's defense has yet to be tested by an offense as productive or diversified as the one it faces today as the Saints are averaging 40 points and 438 total yards a game. Rex Ryan's stop unit has played well, but today it takes the field with a banged-up secondary against Brees and his outstanding corps of receivers.

      Although Brees gets the bulk of publicity for his team's offensive exploits, the key to its success this season has been a strong ground game. Mike Bell, the former Bronco castoff, powered the rushing attack in the season's first two games (143 yards vs. Detroit; 86 yards at Philly). In his absence last week at Buffalo, former starter Pierre Thomas returned from injury and carried the ball 14 times for 126 yards and two touchdowns in his season debut. Their contributions have limited Reggie Bush's workload, making him more effective as a situational contributor (13 carries/64 yards rushing plus 3 receptions vs. Buffalo).

      New York's 24-7 season-opening road rout of Houston is less impressive in hindsight considering how awful the Texans have played defensively. The 16-9 home upset of New England was a solid win, despite rookie Mark Sanchez's struggles for most of the game, but it came against a foe missing numerous defensive contributors. Last Sunday's 24-17 win versus visiting Tennessee was less than inspiring considering the Jets managed just 11 first downs and 229 total yards as 14 of their points resulted from two costly turnovers committed by the Titans.

      This is a statement game for the Saints, one where they can announce to the nation and league they're a serious playoff contender with a solid double-digit rout of the undefeated Jets and their rookie field general Rex Ryan, who is easily the early leader in the Coach of the Year derby.

      This is not the Saints of years gone by, a team that relied on Brees exclusively to move the chains because of its unproductive ground game and porous defense. Bell and Thomas have given Brees the ground support he lacked, while new defensive coordinator Gregg Williams has instilled a toughness and bite missing in years past with his unit responding with nine takeaways in three games.

      New Orleans has covered five of its last six versus the AFC.
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      • shaq1200
        Junior Member
        • Oct 2008
        • 2

        #33
        Re: 10-4-09

        Miller sports investers

        Jacksonville jags +3
        This is are top money pick for the day.

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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98649

          #34
          Re: 10-4-09

          lenny stevens

          20 ravens
          20 broncos
          10 bengals
          10 bills
          10 steelers
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98649

            #35
            Re: 10-4-09

            Karl Garrett 50 DIMER - NEW ORLEANS SAINTS.....10 DIMER - TENNESSEE TITANS 50 DIMER - NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - 4:05 PM

            I looked at this line and thought, "gee, the Jets are getting a ton of points for an undefeated team!" But that is exactly what the linesmakers are hoping you will say, and they are hoping that you will get sucked into backing the Jets plus the points.

            The problem is the Jets have a big divisional Monday night game in Miami on-deck, and at the end of the day, Mark Sanchez is still a ROOKIE on the road.

            The Superdome ain't exactly an easy place to deliver for the opposition, and the Saints have covered 7 of their last 9 in the Dome, including routing Detroit on opening Sunday.

            New Orleans has played their last pair away from home, and they do have a bye week on-deck. Drew Brees is on a mission this season, you can just sense it.

            You watch, this game will not be close. It will not be close at all, as the Saints pull away from the Flyboys in the Big Easy, and make it look easy the way a One-and-Only 50 Dimer should be!

            Take the Saints.

            10 DIMER - TENNESSEE TITANS - 1:00 PM

            Just just have to wonder how a 13-3 regular season team last year is off to an 0-3 start this year?

            I gotta believe the "law of averages" will be in Tennessee's favor this afternoon, and it doesn't hurt that they are playing a team that I don't happen to feel is very good anymore.

            Oh yeah, sure, the Jags came up big at Houston last week, but that only gives us some added line value with the Titans today.

            Jacksonville has covered just once in their last 9 home games, and were swept at the hands of the Titans last year both straight up, and against the spread.

            Tennessee went 5-2 against the spread as a road favorite last year, and I don't see any way in the world they are losing this game.

            Have to "remember the Titans" today.

            Take them!
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98649

              #36
              Re: 10-4-09

              Rocketman

              3 OAKLAND
              3 TENN
              3 CLEVELAND
              3 MIAMI
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98649

                #37
                Re: 10-4-09

                Savannah Sports

                Todays Selections
                NCAA Football
                4 (****) New England Under 45
                3 (***) New York Jets +7.5
                3 (***) San Francisco -9.5
                3 (***) Denver +3

                Professional Plays
                Eric Degarde
                NFL Football
                3 (***) Oakland +8.5
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98649

                  #38
                  Re: 10-4-09

                  Mike Rose

                  5*BEST BET - REDSINS
                  3* CHIEFS
                  3* TITANS
                  3* OVER PATS
                  3* SAINTS
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98649

                    #39
                    Re: 10-4-09

                    Psychic

                    2 unit Detroit +10
                    2 unit New Orleans -7
                    3 unit Tennessee -3 (best bet)
                    3 unit Denver +3 (best bet)
                    3 unit Pittsburgh -6.5 (best bet)
                    5 unit Miami-Buffalo OVER 37 (Wise Guy) Wiseguy Total of the year
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98649

                      #40
                      Re: 10-4-09

                      Bob Balfe

                      Mets -135 over Astros
                      Figueroa/Lopez
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98649

                        #41
                        Re: 10-4-09

                        Evan Altemus

                        Tennessee vs. Jacksonville

                        First and foremost, Jacksonville has virtually no home field advantage, yet they are being priced as if they do. The Jaguars really have trouble getting fans to the stadium, which has resulted in several blackouts locally of their games. In addition, Jacksonville does not desperately need this game after winning last week. However, Tennessee does need this game after a horrendous 0-3 start to the season. Their schedule has been tough though, playing early season games against the NY Jets, Houston, and Pittsburgh. They have been in a position to win all those games, and they have been leading at one point in all the games as well. The Titans have also dominated this series, winning four out of the last five meetings between these two teams, including covering against the spread in both games last year. Tennessee is still a quality team, despite their poor start, and I expect them to come out strong in this must win situation. Look for the Titans to get a dominant road win.

                        4 UNIT SELECTION TITANS.
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98649

                          #42
                          Re: 10-4-09

                          Chris Jordans 3 picks

                          300? NY GIANTS - The Giants are coming off their best performance on the ground since the Week 16 victory over the Panthers last season, so with the running game alive and the Chiefs' defense extremely vulnerable against the middle-of-the-field play, I don't believe Kansas City has anything capable of stopping New York. But it runs deeper than rushing the ball up the gut or sending Manningham or Smith down the sidelines ... I expect Kevin Boss to have a big game for the Giants, as Eli Manning will be able to dink and dunk off a Chiefs defense that allowed Eagles tight end Brent Celek 104 yards and a touchdown and Ravens tight end Todd Heap 74 yards and a touchdown. This is an effective team in the red zone, and since the Chiefs’ defense has given up seven touchdowns in eight red-zone trips by their opponents, I think Manning and company will have a field day.

                          300? INDIANAPOLIS COLTS - I was in attendance to watch the Colts run, throw and basically dissect Arizona's defense last week. And for as bad as Arizona looked, I must say the Colts were clicking nicely, whether it was draw plays, quick tosses or streaks downfield. Peyton Manning is queitly guiding his team effectively this season, and after two road games on primetime - two Mondays ago in Miami and last Sunday in Phoenix - a solid homecoming effort is in order for the home crowd. It's funny how everyone is talking about New England and Pittsburgh to represent the AFC, yet the Colts are 3-0. Lay the points with the AFC's best passing game here, as the Seahawks will have no chance to keep up with Seneca Wallace competing against Manning in Indianapolis.

                          300? S.F. 49ERS - Think defense ... think Chicago .. think Monsters of the Midway. Think Mike Singletary. Now think about this, San Francisco is ferocious on the front line and the Rams' only hope is with their rushing game. Too bad for them, cause when you look at the Niners' front seven, the names might not jump out at you, but it ranks fourth in the NFL in run defense and is one of only three teams yet to allow a rushing touchdown this season. This 3-4 alignment is wreaking havoc, and after seeing the Cardinals struggle last week in their Sunday night affair with the Colts, the Niners have to believe the NFC West is their's for the taking. And this isn't a front that will sit back and wait for Steven Jackson to arrive on the scene, the Niners' talented stop unit will be coming downhill at him, and will likley load the box. And there's so much of a physical approach the Rams can take to counter. I don't think it works. Lay this chalk too.
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98649

                            #43
                            Re: 10-4-09

                            SSG

                            Chicago v. Detroit 1pm
                            PICK: OVER 7.5 ev (7*)


                            KC v. Minnesota 2:10pm
                            PICK: OVER 9.5 -105 (8*) Best Bet


                            Cleveland v. Boston 1:35pm
                            PICK: OVER 10 -105 (7*)
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98649

                              #44
                              Re: 10-4-09

                              Cokin
                              Hat New Orl
                              Total SF Under
                              Window Colts
                              3 Pitt
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                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 98649

                                #45
                                Re: 10-4-09

                                Great Lakes

                                GOM
                                5* N.England -1'

                                Other plays:

                                4* Tenn -3
                                3* Dallas -2'
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