10-5-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Stephen Nover
Monday's Winner 50-Dime Minnesota Vikings

WEEKEND RECAP - I went 3-2 on my Saturday college plays and 3-2 on Sunday in my NFL selections. However, I lost units because my top plays both lost.

Each of my free picks won with Arkansas easily beating Texas A&M on Saturday and the Saints covering against the Jets on Sunday.

The Titans failed to cover for the second week in a row. They were my top play each time. I also made the mistake of laying more than a field goal with the Redskins. I won my lone totals play, getting an easy over win on the Lions-Bears and cashed with the Dolphins, who easily defeated Buffalo.

But enough of that, there's no time to delay. Let's get to this top-rated play for Monday night.

50-Dime Minnesota Vikings - To really like a game strong you have to have multiple factors working. That's certainly the case in this matchup with Minnesota.

The Packers have a soft run defense. It was exposed last week by Steven Jackson even though Green Bay was keying on him. Jackson is excellent, but Adrian Peterson is the best. He's averaged 113 yards and 6.3 yards per carry in four games against the Packers.

Brett Favre will be getting all the attention, but Peterson is the guy the Packers have to stop. I don't see that happening. The Packers couldn't stop him before when he didn't have a respectable threat behind center. Now Peterson has this with Favre. The velocity and touch are still there for Favre. The important thing is he's committed just one turnovers. He's getting more in sync with his wide receivers. No one will be pumped more for this matchup than Favre.

On the other side of the ball, Aaron Rodgers has been breaking the pocket too fast because of offensive line breakdowns. The Packers are going to have problems stopping Minnesota up front.

Ryan Grant is strictly a straight-ahead runner with no moves or juke. The Vikings are the toughest team to run against in the NFC. Grant is going to get nothing, so the Vikings will be coming hard on Rodgers.

The Packers' offensive line has played miserable this season. Their best offensive lineman, left tackle Chad Clifton, won't play because of an ankle injury. The Packers are really going to struggle against Minnesota's pass rush. This is going to be magnified playing in the noisy Metrodome where opponents frequently jump offsides because they can't hear.

Daryn Colledge will be protecting Rodgers' blind side, taking Clifton's place at left tackle. Colledge is not a left tackle. This is a stop-gap measure that isn't going to work in this setting. Jared Allen, Kevin Williams and Pat Williams are going to easily control the line of scrimmage.

The Packers peaked in August. This is their first opponent that made the playoffs last season. The Packers' offensive line and defense, making the conversion to a 3-4, isn't ready for this opponent in this setting. The timing is wrong for Green Bay right now.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Seabass 50* packers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

frank patron 10000 unit nfl lock

frank patron
10000 unit nfl lock
minnesota vikings -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Whole world is on the Vikes tonight...LOL

[Chase Black]

Re: 10-5-09

Is Bobby Maxwell on the Vikes too???

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Is Bobby Maxwell on the Vikes too???

You could buy him and find out.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Chris Jordan Monday's winner ...
300? MINNESOTA - 24

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* Widow Wiseguy NFC North GAME OF THE YEAR on Minnesota Vikings -3(-110 Bodog) He got this line on 10/01/09

Brett Favre has been waiting for this game for nearly two years. He isn't about to let Aaron Rodgers and company spoil his party, especially with his Vikings' teammates having his back. He has won over the hearts of his teammates after leading Minnesota to a come-from-behind 27-24 win over San Franciso last week, scoring the game-winning touchdown with only 2 seconds remaining on a 33-yard strike to Greg Lewis. Favre has always shined on the biggest stage, and now he has a complete team to where he doesn't have to carry the load. Minnesota is scoring 29.3 points per game, and they've put up 27 or more points in every game this season. 27 points will be more than enough to beat the Packers and cover this small spread considering the Vikings' stingy defense is allowing just 19.0 points per contest. Teams are putting up an average of just 260 total yards per game on Minnesota. The home team has won 3 straight and 4 of the last 5 in this series. Words cannot describe how loud it's going to be in the Metrodome Monday, which will make life very tough for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' offense. The Vikings outgained the Packers 361-184 at home last year, and that was without a QB the caliber of Favre. They rushed for 220 yards in that win, including 192 coming from star RB Adrian Peterson. Favre doesn't even have to make many plays for the Vikings to win and cover with Peterson carrying the load, but you know he's going to have a couple big plays up his sleeves before this one is all said and done. The Vikings will not let up once they get off to a big early lead, either. Take Minnesota and lay the points in a BLOWOUT! (Take Minnesota all the way up to -4 as a 6* Play, -4.5 or higher is a 5* Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Bob Balfe
NFL Football
Packers/Vikings Under 45.5
Both QB's are down playing the significance of this game, but the media and fans will judge the Packers decision to let Favre go on the outcome of this game. Favre is a little bit of a head case and you clearly can tell by the way he speaks that he is bitter, but still loves the Packers Orginization. Will he try to do too much? Same goes for Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has yet to throw a pick all year, but he has been sacked more than anyone else this season. Minnesota is going to get after him and try to force mistakes that lead to turnovers. The Vikings will run Peterson as much as possible to try to wear down the Packers Defensive Line. Both defenses are outstanding and are being looked over because the talk is Favre vs Rodgers. I like Minnesota's Defense, but I also like how the Packers have the most takeaways in the league. Look for both QB's to come out with some jitters. Hopefully by the time they settle in the game will be on its way to a low scoing affair. Take the Under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

C-Star Sports

5000 Units Green Bay/Minnesota over The total
1000 Units Green bay Plus the points over Minnesota
NHL 50 units Columbus/Vancouver over the total

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Scott Rickenbach 10/5

Watch-n-Win ROUT 100% RUN!

NEW JERSEY DEVILS0 Goals (-125) over New York Rangers

While the Rangers are coming off of a solid home win over Ottawa on Saturday, the Devils got crushed 5-2 by the Flyers that same night. We love riding New Jersey in a bounce back spot like this. Look for goalie Martin Brodeur and the entire club to bounce back here. The Devils are 124-90 over the last three seasons when they’re coming off a loss that game by a multiple goal margin. As for the Rangers, note that goalie Henrik Lundqvist has long had a reputation for being much stronger on home ice than on the road. The Rangers, when on the road with a total of 5.5, have gone a money-losing 20-33 over the last three seasons. There is definitely line value in this spot with the Devils laying a short price at home. We know there is going to be some adjusting on the part of the Devils early this season as Jacques Lemaire is now behind the bench. However, we also know that the Rangers really don’t have much in the way of secondary scoring and – just as they are not as good as their 5-2 win over the Senators Saturday, the Devils certainly aren’t as bad as their 5-2 loss against the Flyers Saturday! This is where you get early season value is a spot like this. The Rangers are projected to be among the weaker teams in the East this season while, conversely, the Devils should make a big push this season with Brodeur back between the pipes and a new system in place under coach Lemaire – whose philosophy fits in perfectly with the Devils long-standing tradition of a defense-first style. After getting “lit up” in game one, we absolutely expect the Devils to bounce back with a strong effort. So many times a game can “snowball” on a team and after New Jersey didn’t score on an early two man advantage against the Flyers it seemed that Philly got a big boost from that point forward while the Devils all of the sudden lost confidence. The Devils did play well early and, after a ugly home loss, we expect them to sustain a strong effort for the full three periods in this one against a hated rival. Even though the Devils are without Patrik Elias, the Rangers are without Sean Avery and we like the depth of the Devils lines moreso than what the Rangers possess. For the Rangers there is a big dropoff in talent level after the top two lines. The Devils did lose their last match-up against the Rangers in their season series last season but they had previously taken three straight in this series by a combined score of 15 to 7. That is the type of dominance we expect from the hungry Devils tonight. Brodeur was 12-3-1 with a 1.98 GAA at home last season while the Rangers Lundqvist is 89-40-15 at home but just 54-44-19 on the road in his career. Note that this equates to just 54-63 on the road in terms of winning tickets for Lundqvist and the Rangers. The Devils are offering great “low odds” value at home here. Play New Jersey on the money line as a 6* Regular Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Karl Garrett 10/5

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Sunday comp play winner on the NY Giants.

Only game in town on Monday is this Green Bay-Minnesota showdown featuring Brett Favre against his former team.

We all know the back-story, and there is one thing I can tell you about this game, and that is, it is going to go OVER the total.

Let's start with the fact that 8 of the last 9 times these teams have played in the Twin Cities, they have gone OVER the posted price.

Let's continue with the fact that both teams have played HIGH in 2 of their 3 games thus far this season.

The Packers are still figuring out their new 3-4 defensive scheme, and chances the Vikes burn them a few times seem good to me.

Likewise, the Vikings defense has not been as stout as it was last season.

This game has OVER written all over it.
5? OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

jack burnet


30,000 DIME MONDAY NIGHT SPECIAL RELEASE


30,000 Dime - Green Bay +4.5 over Minnesota

Minnesota should have lost to San Francisco last week, plain and simple. The Vikings are 3-0 but not impressive to me. Who cares about Favre and this whole storyline, it's all bullshit. Kick the ball and play the game. Let's talk defense. Dom Capers is now the new defensive coordinator and his 3-4 scheme has made a difference in Green Bay.

After three games, the Packers are allowing less than 4 yards per rush and facing Adrian Peterson, who gashed them for 192 and 103 yards in the two meetings a season ago, will be the real test tonight.

The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Minnesota. The underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups. I'm not impressed with Minnesota and this should be a filed goal game either way. Expect the Packers to win this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

ats-3 greenbay+5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-5-09

Teddy June

0-4 Sat NCAA

1-1 Sun NFL

10* Minn. Vikings