10-6-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

FantasySportsGametime
Tuesday MLB Plays



MLB Baseball

50* Play Minnesota (-165) over Detroit (MLB PLAY)

Minnesota has won 19 of the last 25 games when playing on a Tuesday and the have also won 26 of the last 36 games when playing with a day off. Minnesota has won 16 of the last 20 overall games and Scott Baker has won 24 of the last 31 games as a favorite of -125 to -175.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

4 Unit Play. Take the Detroit Tigers +150 over the Minnesota Twins (Tuesday @ 5:05pm est).

Write-up to come shortly.

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

dave malinski




Top of the Ticket - Tigers/Twins
OVER 8.5 RUNS,MINNESOTA TWINS (Baker) -vs- Detroit Tigers (Porcello)

4* #932 MINNESOTA/DETROIT Over

This will be the 19th game played between the Twins and Tigers this season, and only three of the previous 18 have finished below the ?8? that we see posted for this Total. Of the 18 previous posted Totals, an ?8? was only used three times, all games involving Justin Verlander. Which takes us to the obvious question ? do Rick Porcello and Scott Baker merit this range, even with fresh bullpens? Our answer is no. Neither of these starters bring overpowering stuff, relying more on finesse than throwing the ball past hitters. That is an issue because there is a high degree of familiarity for both lineups ? each starter has made two of his last three starts against this opponent, which means that the bag of tricks has been played through. And it is not as though they have been dominating in those past encounters; if anything Baker has been downright weak, while Porcello has particularly struggled in the Metrodome. This is the fifth time around for Baker against the Tigers this season, and in the first four they got to him for 15 runs on 29 hits over 20 innings, a hefty 6.75 allowance. He has had particular long-term issues with the red-hot Magglio Ordonez (.462 with two home runs over 39 at-bats), as well as Carlos Guillen (.407 over 27 at-bats) and Curtis Granderson (four home runs in 45 at-bats). Meanwhile this will be Porcello?s third outing from this mound, where he has allowed nine runs (seven earned) in 10 innings, on 15 hits and a pair of home runs. And Porcello brings an added issue here ? while keeping his pitch counts low was a big part of why he maintained his physical levels through his rookie season, he worked a career-high 111 pitches against the Twins in his last outing. Baker can bring a similar issue ? his 194 innings is by far a career high, and those five innings that he worked against the Tigers on Thursday required 105 pitches, his highest PPI since the All Star break, and tied for his third high of the season. He was not sharp, but got away with it.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Tony Salinas
Tony's Diamond Highrollers
Tuesday, October 06, 2009
26*
Twins {S.Baker} (-175) over Tigers {R.Porcello}
5:07 PM -- Metrodome
Game is being played in a dome.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

ALATEX
MLB for TODAY
20* SUPERPLAY MINNESOTA UNDER 8.5 RUNS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.5 Detroit at Minnesota (5 p.m., Tuesday, Oct. 6)
1-Unit Play. Take #923 Minnesota (-165) over Detroit (5 p.m., Tuesday, Oct. 6)
0.5-Unit Play. FIVE-INNING LINE: Take 'Under' 4.5 Detroit at Minnesota (5 p.m., Tuesday, Oct. 6)

Ferringo

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Tim Trushel

Troy St./regular

[rhg111]

????????

hey malinski, what's the deal with all the ?--have you discovered
a new form of punctuation????????

[Mr. IWS]

Re: ????????

hey malinski, what's the deal with all the ?--have you discovered
a new form of punctuation????????

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Black Widow

6* Widow Wiseguy MTSU/Troy Sun Belt Side SLAUGHTER on Middle Tennessee State +7(-115 Bodog)

The Blue Raiders are ready to stand up to the Troy Trojans in the Sun Belt conference this season. MTSU is already 3-1 this season, beating Memphis, Maryland and North Texas. They have an explosive offense that is putting up 28.5 points/game, 407.2 yards/game and 274.8 passing yards/game. In fact, seven different receivers have caught touchdown passes from QB Dwight Dasher through just four games. This team has the balance that it takes to knock off the bully in the Sun Belt, which is the Trojans. Troy has won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5 against MTSU, so you know that Blue Raiders will be hungry for some revenge tonight. The Trojans are 2-2 this season, with their only wins against 1-3 Arkansas State and 2-3 UAB. Troy is only putting up 19.2 points/game on offense this season, so they are lacking the explosiveness it takes to cover a touchdown spread at home tonight against an improved MTSU team. The Blue Raiders have 16 starters back this season compared to Troy's 12, including 10 on offense. The Blue Raiders are 12-3 (80%) ATS in their last 15 games in October. The Blue Raiders are 5-1 (83%) ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. MTSU has the balanced offense it takes to give the Trojans' defense fits tonight, likely pulling off the upset. Take Middle Tennessee State and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Sam Clayton
8-2 this year with 30 dime selections, going for No. 9 today!**

30 dime - DET/MIN Under 8.5

While several people are calling for a offensive barrage today in the Terrordome on national television, I'm thinking otherwise given the drastic one-game playoff atmosphere, one that has historically sailed under the posted total. 'Twas the same case last season as the Twins and White Sox squared off -- the media hyped the over drastically, said we'd be in for a slugfest -- and Chicago prevailed 1-0 at Comiskey Park. Now, I know the teams and the site have changed, but I expect much of the same tonight in the Twin Cities.

In fact, since 1998, there have been four one-game playoffs and three went under the posted total. The lone over was posted in 2007 when Colorado beat San Diego 9-8 in 13 innings at Coors Field, where the ball just so happens to fly out of that park like a meteorite. Given the make-ups of these two teams and the pitching they'll be going up against, I love a low-scoring contest. Sinkerballer Rick Porcello faces a Minnesota lineup (sans Justin Morneau and Joe Crede) that doesn't have much power and Twins' righty Scott Baker squares off against a heavy right-handed hitting Detroit lineup. Not to mention, Detroit's best hitters are struggling, including Miguel Cabrera (1 for his last 15), whose love affair with booze and beating his wife have taken over his ability down the home stretch. Besides, as we've learned in years' past, the pressure has seemed to be on the hitters in sudden death games. I'm sure we'll see many timid swings and anxious approaches at the dish today just like we saw last season with Minnesota and Chicago.

Contrary to popular belief, Porcello has actually turned things up a notch down the stretch. The 20-year-old rookie is 1-0 with a 1.62 ERA his last two starts and against Minnesota this year, he's 1-2 with a solid 3.09 ERA. How's this for an important intangible: Porcello has started four times against the Twinkies this year and the under has cashed every single time. Baker on the other hand has been lights out since the All-Star break, compiling a 8-2 record with a 3.21 ERA over that span. If he mixes his breaking ball and change like I know he can, he'll have a great outing.

I really believe these two young pitchers will rise to the occasion tonight and keep runs off the board. I've capped this one out as a 4-2, 4-3 ballgame and I'd be really surprised to see anything different. This season, in the eight games in Minnesota between these two clubs, the under cashed five times. The 'Dome will be absolutely insane (just like it was last night for Monday Night Football) and I think it'll rattle many of the hitters. And if the ball gets to Matt Guerrier and Joe Nathan, we shouldn't have to sweat it out. It might not be the popular pick, but it's the right one.

Play the UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Ron Raymond

5* NHL BEST BET WINNER

Toronto Maple Leafs ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Frank Patron 10000 Unit College Winner

Frank Patron
10000 Unit College Winner
Troy Trojans -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-6-09

Tom Stryker's 100% Sun Belt Tuesday Night Super Play

#302 TROY (-) over Middle Tenn St at 8 PM EST
The Palladium Trophy has been resting comfortably in Troy, Alabama for the past three seasons and the Trojans would like to make sure it stays there another year. Troy has knocked off Middle Tennessee State by margins of 21-20, 45-7 and 31-17 in its last three meetings and, with a national ESPN2 audience watching, the Trojans goal is to win one more.
The Blue Raiders won't exactly be an easy out. Since dropping its season opener at Clemson, MTSU has posted wins and covers in its last three games against Memphis, Maryland and North Texas. The Blue Raiders last two victories against the Terrapins and Mean Green came on foreign soil too!
Ironically, Middle Tennessee's last two "W's" place the Blue Raiders in a rare play against situation. Since 1987, conference road teams coming off back-to-back straight up road wins are a soft 7-13 ATS provided their opponent checks in with momentum off a straight up victory. If our guest is battling with revenge, this system crashes to a disturbing 2-7 ATS! MTSU applies to the general situation and the tightener.
With a 23-12 SU and 22-11 ATS record in its last 35 games, Troy has been a reliable investment option. The Trojans have been outstanding in Sun Belt action too posting a sterling 17-3 SU and 15-5 ATS mark including a spotless 7-0 SU and ATS mark priced as an underdog or a favorite of -8 or less last.
Since the start of the 2001 season, Troy has been tough to beat in the friendly confines of Movie Gallery Veterans Stadium posting a powerful 35-5 SU record. Only Oklahoma, USC and Ohio State have better winning percentages than that! With a national audience watching, the Trojans won't disappoint. Take Troy. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.