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Looking to build on their first win of the season last week, a blowout against UNLV, the Wolf Pack host the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs under the Friday night lights in Reno.
Following three sub-par performances to open the season, the Nevada Wolf Pack bounced back in a huge way for a 63-28 wipeout of UNLV last week. In that game Nevada rushed for a school record 559 and finished with 775 total yards.
Quarterback Colin Kaepernick, the reigning WAC offensive player of the year, rambled for 173 yards, completed 15-of-18 passes for 208 yards, tossed for one touchdown and had one TD reception. His resurgence mirrors that of his Nevada team.
After starting the season with a blowout loss at Notre Dame, the Wolf Pack lost to Colorado State because of a -5 in turnover margin, lost by 10 at home to a good Missouri team, and then beat up on the Rebels last week for their first win of the season. Nevada is certainly better than a 1-3 team but turnovers have killed them this season. The first three games saw the ‘Pack -8 in fumbles lost; they improved dramatically on that stat last week against UNLV and will need another +turnover night to put away La. Tech.
The Bulldogs of Louisiana Tech are 2-2 overall and 1-0 in the WAC). Last week the ‘Dogs took advantage of a road weary Hawaii team forcing three turnovers and zero rushing yards. Offensively, RB Daniel Porter did most of the damage against Hawaii, rushing for 160 yards and two touchdowns.
Nevada is now 17-3 ATS as a home favorite under head coach Chris Ault and should prosper again in this situation. It will be their third consecutive home game and they’ll get a team in Louisiana Tech that they should dominate much like they did a week ago against UNLV.
The Bulldogs will need to play solid defense and control the ball, eating up time on the clock if they want to shut down the Wolf Pack. If not, look for Nevada to air it out under the Friday night lights of Mackay Stadium and easily cover the 10-point chalk.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* Widow Wiseguy WAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Louisiana Tech +10.5(-102 5dimes)
LA Tech should not be a double-digit dog to a 1-3 Nevada team Friday. Yes, the Wolf Pack did pick up their first win of the season last week with a 63-28 trouncing of UNLV. But that game was 35-28 heading into the fourth quarter, much closer than the final score indicated. You can't forget that Nevada was shut out by Notre Dame 35-0 and lost at Colorado State 35-20. This team is not 10 points better than LA Tech, if they are better at all. Tech improved to 2-2 this season after losing to Auburn and Navy in their first two games with a 27-6 win over Hawaii. Their defense is the real deal, allowing just 22.0 points/game and 380 yards/game this season. Nevada his giving up 32.2 points/game and 429 total yards/game this year. Offensively, both teams are very equal with the Bulldogs putting up 25.5 points/game and Nevada 26.0 points/game. So the advantage in this game lies with LA Tech's defense and their ability to slow down this Nevada offense. This is also a revenge game for the Bulldogs, who lost to Nevada 35-31 last year. The Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. Nevada is getting way too much respect here following their blowout win last week, but the odds makers must have forgotten that this team is 1-3 on the season. Take LA Tech and the points.
MLB | Oct 09 '09 (9:35p)
Boston Red Sox vs LAA Angels Boston Red Sox
+104 at 5dimes
3* Game 2 ALDS SMASH (TBS) on Red Sox +104
I can't see the Red Sox going away quietly after getting shut out last night, especially with Beckett on the hill. Beckett is one of the best we've ever seen in October, going 7-2 with a 2.90 ERA in 13 career starts in the postseason. The Red Sox are 10-1 in Beckett's last 11 starts with 5 days of rest which tells me that he really thrives with a fresh arm. Take the Sox showing great value.
Stephen Nover Friday's Winners 10-Dime Nevada Wolfpack - Perfect so far this week with winners on Troy and Nebraska, I'm aiming to go 3-0 by cashing on Nevada.
The Wolf Pack have their swagger back after destroying archrival UNLV last Saturday at home, 63-38. Nevada rushed for a staggering 559 yards. That was without the WAC's leading rusher from a year ago, Vai Taua. He's expected to be ready for this matchup.
Louisiana Tech has had problems stopping the run giving up 301 yards rushing to Auburn and 290 to Navy.
Under Chris Ault, Nevada is at its best as a home favorite covering 16 of the past 19 times in that role. Louisiana Tech is 10-26 against the spread in its last 36 road contests. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 24 of their last 29 road games when getting points.
Nevada destroyed Louisiana Tech, 49-10, when it hosted them two years ago. The Bulldogs have lost in their last four meetings to Nevada by an average margin of 23.7 points.
Louisiana Tech can be tough in Ruston, but have proven weak on the road. The Bulldogs have been outscored 69-27 in two road games this season, losing both and failing to cover the spread in either one.
The Wolf Pack have tremendous balance with their ground attack and the passing of Chris Kaepernick, the WAC Offensive Player of the Year last season. Nevada is on a roll now after losing road games to Notre Dame and Colorado State and then playing Missouri to a near stand still at home.
Louisiana Tech is not good at playing from behind. The Bulldogs have only three touchdown passes in four games. Look for Nevada to record its second straight blowout victory.
Dominic Fazzini
Friday's play 10 Dime -- NEVADA (minus points vs. Louisiana Tech)
NEVADA
The Wolf Pack's offense came alive last week in a 63-28 pounding of in-state rival UNLV. Now Nevada gets to begin WAC play, hosting Louisiana Tech tonight.
The Wolf Pack gained 773 yards on offense, including 559 on the ground, despite turning the ball over four times and committing 15 penalties. Imagine what the team could have done if it had played a clean game.
Nevada has won four straight games against the Bulldogs, and are 3-1 against the spread in the process. When these teams meet, the favorite is 4-1 ATS, and the home team is also 4-1 ATS.
The Wolf Pack is 22-9 ATS in its last 31 home games, while the Bulldogs are 14-37-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.
Nevada is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games as a home favorite, and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a favorite of 10 1/2 points or greater. Louisiana Tech, meanwhile, is 5-22 ATS as a road underdog of 10 1/2 points or more.
While the Bulldogs had 449 total yards in their 27-6 home victory over Hawaii last week, I can't see them having enough offensive firepower to stay close to the Wolf Pack tonight, especially playing in Reno. Take Nevada to cover the points.
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