10-11-09

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

Docs

5 Unit Play. #118 Take Under 41 in Atlanta @ San Francisco (Sunday 4:05 pm Fox) The 49ers have been one of the most surprising teams in the NFL, currently sitting a 3-1 and just a hail mary pass away from being 4-0. Much of the success of the 49ers can be attributed to a strong physical defense led by their head coach Mike Singletary. They have allowed just 13.5 points per game and held two of their opponents under 11 points. Atlanta will enter with a strong running game led by Michael Turner and that also bodes well for playing the under, since the clock will keep running for most of the game. I expect neither team to reach the 20s in scoring and we will not worry who comes out on top in this game by a field goal. Instead we will easily collect with the under. San Francisco 17, Atlanta 14.

4 Unit Play. #106 Take Carolina -3 ½ over Washington (Sunday 12 pm Fox) The Panthers have yet to win a game in 2009, but are coming off a much needed bye week and I expect them to right the ship this Sunday hosting the Redskins. The Redskins have played a very easy schedule thus far and are only 2-2 including a loss to the Detroit Lions. QB Delhomme has been terrible thus far, but I still think he has more ability then QB Campbell. Washington is just 1-4 ATS in their last six road games (1 tie) and failed to put away three of the worst teams in the league (St. Louis, Detroit, Tampa Bay) the last three weeks. The now face a minor step up in class, as the Panthers finally put it together and play a complete game for 60 minutes. Carolina 24, Washington 16.

4 Unit Play. #124 Take Seattle -1 over Jacksonville (Sunday 4:15 pm CBS) The Jaguars will make a long cross country flight to take on the Seahawks in the Pacific Northwest Sunday at Qwest Field in Seattle, WA. The Hawks have been in a bit of disarray again this season with the injury to QB Matt Hasselbeck and as of this writing he is questionable to play on Sunday. Either way, the Hawks will win and move to 2-3 on the 2009 season. Jacksonville has not traveled this far since 2005 and Qwest Field is one of the noisiest venues in the entire league. The Hawks put pressure on QB David Garrard and I am not sold on the Jags receivers with their ability to beat teams deep. Seattle wins in a match-up of similar team where home field is the major deciding factor. Seattle 27, Jacksonville 17. Note: Line my change on this game with QB Hasselbeck's status, we still recommend the pick.

4 Unit Play. #126 Take Over 46 in Indianapolis @ Tennessee (Sunday 8:20 pm NBC) One might figure that the Colts would be favored by more points in this game, but the Titans still warrant respect even though they enter this game at 0-4. Much of this is due to the fact that the Titans are not same team on defense with the loss of Albert Haynesworth. They are giving up 27 points per game and that does not bode well when playing the high-powered Indianapolis Colts led by All-Pro QB Peyton Manning. The Colts are averaging 26 ½ points and will enter this one at LP Field with an unblemished 4-0 record. This is a primetime game and I do not expect the Titans to get blown out and thus in order for them to keep pace, they must be able to match the scoring from Manning and company. They do and thus this one goes easily over the posted number. Indianapolis 27, Tennessee 24.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

Maddux
#402 - NFL - 3 units on St. Louis +10
#406 - NFL - 5 units on Carolina -4
#407 - NFL - 3 units on Tampa Bay +15.5
#424 - NFL - 4 units on Seattle -1
#426 - NFL - 3 units on Tennessee +3.5
#428 - NFL - 3 units on Miami +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK

Pick # 1 Cincinnati Bengals / Baltimore Ravens Under 42 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

EFF SCOTT SPORTS



5 UNIT PLAY (Total Of The Month)

Washington/ Carolina Under 37.5: Panthers have a 23.8 Offensive YPP (Yards Per Point), while the Skins YPP is 23.2. Just a recap for you, an average or good offensive YPP is 14 or below. Panther To's have given their opponents short field the last few weeks, but I feel the time off will have helped them correct some of the problems, which should me more time consuming possessions by them. The Skins offense is a mess and should have problems scoring vs the Fired up Panthers defense that has played pretty well thus far. The Skins defense is very solid this year so I really see scoring a problem on both sides. I see less than 30 points here.



4 UNIT PLAYS

SAN FRANCISCO -2.5 over Atlanta: The niners defense has been strong this year as they are 6th overall and 3rd vs the run. Falcons love to run the ball but are just 23rd in that department this year. Niners are 28th in total offense, but their offensive YPP is an amazing 10.4 and they will be taking on the 30th ranked defense. Niners are just too much for atlanta too handle here and should win this one by 7+.

Indy -4 over TENNESSEE: Titans 31st ranked passing defense will take on Peyton and his top ranked passing offense. Nuff Said. This one will be over early.



3 UNIT PLAYS

(Power Angle Play)

Minnesota -10 over ST LOUIS: The vikes are on letdown alert or this play would be rated higher. Teams only need to be at 50% these days to take care of the Rams, so the letdown shouldn't be a problem anyway. Vikes by at leat 2 TD's here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY-- PLay against a home dog that was shutout on the road last week. Angle is 22-9 since 1988.

Minnesota/ Houston Over 50: No running in this one as both teams are in the bottom 29 of that department,, while both offenses are 9th or better in passing. A shootout in the desert.



2 UNIT PLAYS

Dallas/ Kansas City Under 42.5

CAROLINA -3.5 over Washington

Giants/ Raiders Under 38.5



1 UNIT PLAYS

Cincinnati +9 over BALTIMORE

Pats/ Denver Under 41.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills - Sunday October 11, 2009 1:00 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 41.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)



Cleveland’s offense got a boost last week by making the change to Derek Anderson as the starting quarterback. He threw for 270 yards against the Bengals, and Jerome Harrison rushed for over 120 yards. The Braylon Edwards trade won’t affect them because he didn’t even have an impact on last week’s game. In addition, there were reports that he was disgruntled and not motivated to play. Meanwhile, Cleveland’s defense is still a problem. They have given up 23 points or more in every game this season, and they should have given up more points than they did last week. Buffalo’s offense will have no problem getting going in this game. The Bills only scored 17 combined points in their last 2 games, but that is because they were playing against stout defenses in Miami and New Orleans. Because of their recent offensive struggles, I expect Buffalo to open things up in this game. Sharp bettors jumped all over this line when it came out, increasing it by two points. Look for this game to easily fly over the total.

5 UNIT SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 10/11/09 - 1:00 PM u

double-dime bet 406 CAR -3.5 (-110) betus vs 405 WAS
Analysis:
Carolina -3.5

Have no doubts Tampa Bay† has no offense and no QB and Washington barely eaked out a win last week. Carolina HUNGRY for a win and off a bad loss at Dallas, they are well rested. Carolinas defense should show multiple blitz schemes against QB Campbell here and the run game of Carolina should prove difficult for Washibngtons defense, which is respectable. Remember schedule is key, Washington has played really no one, while Carolina has played better teams and really blew a Monday Night game at Dallas. Better QB (barely), better Running game, equal defense, better coach all in favor of Panthers in a MUST WIN SCENARIO..at home. In Washingtons last 12 games, they have had 1 cover!! Carolina by 10.

Play 2 Units..Top Play





Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 10/11/09 - 4:15 PM u

dime bet 419 NEP -3.0 (-110) betus vs 420 DEN
Analysis:
New England -3 to 3.5 max

Yes Denvers defense real deal on stats, but Cincy, Cleveland, Oakland not top contenders and Dallas cannot get out of their own way and moved chains against them all day long. Dallas had more yards and first downs last week in a loss. The Pats at home, against Denvers head coach who used to be a Patriot coach will have Bellichek wanting the win here big time, will be fo‹cused after big time win against Baltrimore where they did what they wanted on offense against a better defense. Brady getting better every week, offense starting to click and Denver attack on offense on the road is suspect here. Everyone thinks Denver will cover this and some think outright...beating a iffy Dallas team at home does little to boost the fact New England is getting it together and with Denver at 4-0, they have the Pats full attention.

Play 1 Unit on New England





Tony George | NFL Side Sun, 10/11/09 - 4:05 PM u

dime bet 417 ATL 2.5 (-110) betus vs 418 SFX
Analysis:
Atlanta +2.5

Have a sneaky feeeling here that Niners are good, but not that good. They… have beaten up some weak sisters here and not impressive wins as you look at the schedule. Atanta is well rested and a better team with a better QB. Wins over Seattle , Arizona and St. Louis not impressive for San Fran when looking at competition, I like Atlanta to win outright. Vegas oddsmakers beggin you to take San Fran here with this line under a fall number.

Play 1 Unit on Atlanta

Bonus 2 Team 6 point Teaser - Tease NY Giants down to -9.5 and tease Houston to +11.5 for a 1 Unit Bonus Teaser Play.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* Redskins/Panthers NFC "Side" Surefire on Carolina -3(-110 at bodog)

Carolina is coming off a bye and ready to get going. They are not going to give up on their season, sitting 0-3 right now. But when you look at who they've played it's pretty easy to see why the record is where it is. They have lost to the Eagles, Cowboys and Falcons, three teams with .500 records or better. Now they face easily their weakest competition of the season Sunday in the Washington Redskins. Washington is 2-2 but they are lucky to have two wins. The Redskins beat St. Louis 9-7 at home, a Rams' team that everyone else in the league is demolishing. They beat Tampa Bay 16-13 last week at home, another team that the rest of the league is crushing. They even had to come from behind to beat the Bucs. Carolina is still the better team here Sunday in spite of their record, and that will show on the scoreboard once this one goes final. Look for the Panthers to get back to running the football which is their strength, because Washington has not been good against the run. The Redskins have given up at least 100 yards rushing in all 4 games this season, allowing an average of 128 rushing yards/contest. This is also the same Washington team that allowed the Detroit Lions to end their 19-game losing streak a few weeks back. Carolina is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. They have gone away from what they do best, and over the bye week they have figured out that they need to get back to pounding the rock. Take Carolina and lay the points. (Recommend buying 1/2 point down to -3 after we got in on this line early in the week)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* Falcons/49ers NFC "Side" Surefire on San Francisco -2(-110 at bodog)

The 49ers are 2 seconds away from being 4-0 this season. They have one of the best defenses in the game, and it gives San Francisco a chance to win every contest. Atlanta is 2-1 this season, but in their only road game they looked terrible. The Falcons lost 10-26 at New England in their lone road contest, putting up just 257 yards of total offense in the loss. The Patriots put up 277 passing yards alone, and 168 more rushing to boot. This San Francisco defense is allowing just 13.2 points/game and 284 yards/game, coming off a shutout 35-0 win over the Rams last week behind 3 defensive touchdowns. The 49ers are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The 49ers are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The 49ers have won 7 of their last 9 regular season games since Mike Singletary took over. Take San Francisco and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Texans/Cardinals OVER 48(+100at 5dimes)

This is easily the best Total for your money Sunday. Yes, it's a lot of points, but not for Houston and Arizona. The Texans are scoring 34.0 points/game on the road and giving up 31.0 points/game on the road this year. Arizona is giving up 25.5 points/game at home. After a bye week, look for the Cardinals to get going offensively with a little extra practice time for Warner and his receivers to gel. Houston is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in dome games since 1992. The Texans are 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. These are two great offenses and two of the worst defenses in the league on display Sunday, making a high-scoring shootout inevitable. Take the OVER 48 points here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* Widow Wiseguy AFC North GAME OF THE YEAR on Cincinnati Bengals +9

Once again, the Bengals aren't getting any respect from the odds makers. Perhaps when they upset the Baltimore Ravens Sunday, they will start taking notice. Cincinnati should be 4-0 this season if it wasn't for a miracle by Denver in Week 1. Baltimore is a very good team, but they aren't 9 points better than the Bengals Sunday. Ravens' players were making all kinds of excuses after their 27-21 loss to the Patriots last week, and it just goes to show the character of some of their players. The Bengals have a complete team this season, which is what it takes to win in this league consistently. Their defense is giving up just 19.0 points/game. Offensively they have balance, rushing for 123 yards/game and passing for 196 yards/game. So far, the Bengals have not gotten the respect they deserve and players know it. They realize this is their chance to put their names back on the map as one of the top teams in the league, a claim they had a few years ago before Carson Palmer went down with a knee injury. But he's back and better than ever, improving with each game. Ochocinco has worked his way back to becoming one of the game's top receivers, catching two touchdown passes last week. The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bengals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5. The Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5. Take Cincinnati and the points.



4* Pats/Broncos AFC "Side" Surefire on New England -3(+105 bodog)

The Denver Broncos are the most overrated team in the league right now because of their 4-0 start. But the Patriots will put an end to the madness by going into Denver and coming out with a win. The Patriots are, by far, the more superior team here and it will show on the scoreboard. The Broncos have been great defensively, but they haven't played an offense like the Patriots. They have played the Browns, Raiders, Bengals who were rusty in Week 1, and the Cowboys who are clearly lacking offensive explosiveness without any proven wide receivers. The Patriots have Tom Brady, Wes Welker and Randy Moss. They cannot contain these three in four quarters. Not to mention the Patriots' defense is playing great this year. The Pats are giving up just 17.7 points/game this season and 287 yards/game and that's impressive considering they've played the likes of the Falcons, Ravens, Jets and Bills, a much tougher schedule than Denver has faced. New England boasts a 25-5 SU & 21-7 ATS record as road chalk of less than a TD in the Belichick era. Take the Patriots and lay the points. (Recommend buying 1/2 point down to -3 after locking this line in early in the week)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

CKO

10* CLEVELAND over *Buffalo

Late Score Forecast:

CLEVELAND 24 - *Buffalo 19

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

The Prez


Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers Oct 11 2009 4:05PM

PICK: under Your pick will be graded at: 41 Belmont EXPERT: The Prez TITLE: NFL EARLY LINE ALERT REPORT *8-0 NFL RUN* REASON FOR PICK:

6* NFL BIG GAME TOTAL

(417) ATLANTA at (418) SAN FRANCISCO 4:05 PM

Game day analysis wll be published shortly. Play the UNDER in this game now, the line will only move unfavorably as we approach Sunday's kick.

6* Play on the UNDER


8* PREZIDENTIAL CLUB PUNISHER
(413) CINCINNATI at (414) BALTIMORE 1:00 PM

Game day analysis wll be published shortly. Play the OVER in this game now, the line will only move unfavorably as we approach Sunday's kick.

8* Play on the OVER



Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals Oct 11 2009 4:15PM

PICK: over Your pick will be graded at: 49 Belmont EXPERT: The Prez TITLE: NFL EARLY LINE ALERT REPORT *8-0 NFL RUN* REASON FOR PICK:

PREZ' SUPREME COURT CLUB GOM
(421) HOUSTON at (422) ARIZONA 4:15 PM

Game day analysis wll be published shortly. Play the OVER in this game now, the line will only move unfavorably as we approach Sunday's kick.

10* Play on the OVER



New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Oct 11 2009 4:15PM

PICK: New England Patriots Your pick will be graded at: -3.5 WSEX EXPERT: The Prez TITLE: NFL EARLY LINE ALERT REPORT *8-0 NFL RUN* REASON FOR PICK:

8* PREZIDENTIAL CLUB PUNISHER
(419) NEW ENGLAND at (420) DENVER 4:15 PM

Game day analysis wll be published shortly. Play the Patriots in this game now, the line will only move unfavorably as we approach Sunday's kick.

8* Play on New England



Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans Oct 11 2009 8:20PM

PICK: Indianapolis Colts Your pick will be graded at: -3.5 Belmont EXPERT: The TITLE: NFL EARLY LINE ALERT REPORT *8-0 NFL RUN* REASON FOR PICK:


7* CHAIRMAN'S CLUB CRUSHER
(425) INDIANAPOLIS at (426) TENNESSEE 8:20 PM

Game day analysis wll be published shortly. Play the Colts in this game now, the line will only move unfavorably as we approach Sunday's kick.

7* Play on the Colts

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

FRANK PATRON
20000 UNIT NFL LOCK
OVER 50 POINTS HOUSTON AT ARIZONA

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-11-09

Trushel
cincy/reg
tenn/reg
seattle/20*