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Re: 10-12-09
NSA
20* Jets -2
10* Jets UNDER 36.5
20* Philly
NSA
20* Jets -2
10* Jets UNDER 36.5
20* Philly
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Re: 10-12-09
Chris Jordans small pick for today..
Chris Jordan Monday's winners ...
100? MIAMI DOLPHINS - I tried extremely hard to find an argument for the Jets, and trust me, the reasonings were there. But it looks too easy.
The trends, the stats ... everything. It looks too easy. And if it were that easy, wouldn't the Jets be more than the opening 1-1/2-point favorite? Now the line has moved to a field goal, and it's not as if it's been wise money. Trust me, there's a ton of public money on this game, not to mention a slew of handicappers who couldn't pick their nose.
So here's where it made sense to switch to the Dolphins and depend on Tony Sparano's boys to get it done ...
First of all there's the unknown hatred these two teams share, more than the obvious AFC East rivalry thing. Miami linebacker Channing Crowder and Jets running back Leon Washington can't stand one another - literally - and Chowder has now included Mark Sanchez in his war of words.
Said Crowder: “With Florida State, I hated (Washington). I hate him now. If I see him out, I’m not going to talk to him. I’m not going to slap him, but I’m not going to be pleasant. ... Sanchez is probably the only person I haven’t cussed out, because he’s a rookie. He’ll get cussed out this week. ... It’s a rivalry. They don’t like us. We don’t like them."
Does that win ball games, no. But it sure can spark a dominating team effort, say, like the same one these Dolphins provided against the Colts on Monday Night Football a few weeks back.
The Jets are sure to turn to their running game tonight, and that can't be a good idea against the Np. 1 rushing defense in the league. Miami is giving up 61 yards per game, and that stifling stop unit is going to be at its best tonight, to force the Jets to use the league's 27th-ranked passing offense. We saw what happened when Mark Sanchez was under fire against the Saints last week, and I expect the Fins to be the exact same way and provide the exact same fire to shut down the Jets tonight.
I know the Dolphins are just 1-3 after last week's 38-10 blowout win of Buffalo, but let's take a closer look at their games.
They lost their season opener to Atlanta, a team that is 3-1 and whose only loss was in New England. Other than that loss, the high-flying Falcons have outscored their foes 92-37, an average final of 30.7-12.3.
Then there was the disappointing loss on Monday night to the Colts, who had just 15 minutes on offense, but have the benefit of having arguably the best quarterback in the game leading the charge. The Dolphins, easily, could have been in the win column and would have been 1-1 with momentum backing them for a trip to San Diego.
Instead, that disappointing setback sent the Fins cross country for a meeting with the Bolts on a short week ... why would they be motivated? Thus, a 23-13 loss.
But with plenty of time to prepare for the Bills, the Dolphins were dominating in a 38-10 win. And now, with about eight days to prepare for this one, I think there's going to be some surprise in what we'll see with this stifling defense, and quarterback Chad Henne, who is just as experienced as Sanchez at this point ... if not more.
Give me the underdog boys, I like the home team.Comment
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Re: 10-12-09
Marc Lawrence | NFL Side Mon, 10/12/09 - 8:35 PM
triple-dime bet 428 MIA 2.0 (-110) BetUS vs 427 NYJ
Analysis: Play On: Miami Dolphins (Game 428)
Note: When the Dolphins host their AFC East division rival Jets Monday night they will do so knowing Miami is 8-4 SU and ATS as a Monday night home dog, including 4-0 SU and ATS versus an opponent off a loss and 4-0 SU and ATS versus a .750 or less opponent. With Miami rushing the ball at 5.0 Yards Per Rush and New York allowing 4.2 Yards Per Rush, look for the Dolphins to improve to 9-2 ATS at home in games off a SU and ATS home win here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Miami.Comment
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Re: 10-12-09
randall the handle
WASHINGTON -½ +1.00 over New Jersey (REG) Pinnacle
This has nothing to do with the “due to win” angle, as that approach is about as ridiculous as the “must win” angle. Fact is, the Caps will be ready and raring to go after dropping its third straight in Detroit on Saturday. The Caps are the superior team, they’re at home, they’re playing much better defensively and even Jose Theodore was terrific on Saturday. Martin Brodeur and the Devils are 2-2, however, they beat Tampa Bay (barely) and followed that up by barely beating the Panthers as well. In fact, it took a last second tying goal to force OT against the Bolts and they scored a late goal to beat the Panthers. Now the Devils will take a huge step up in class against this offensive juggernaut and it’s also worth noting that Brodeur has not been sharp. He’s getting older and shakier every year and frankly, from what I’ve seen thus far, the Devils really don’t look that strong. Play: Washington -½ +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
NY RANGERS -1½ +1.79 over Toronto Pinnacle
Henrik Lundqvist vs Vesa Toskala. Need I say more? It’s almost not fair and there are so many other reasons to like the Rangers as well. For the first time in years the Blue Shirts have some offense and in fact, have scored the third most goals in the league early on. The Rangers have also won four in a row and that includes a win over Washington and a shutout over the Ducks yesterday. It’s early but let’s take a look at what Brian Burke, the over-hyped and way overrated new GM has put together. Two goons (Orr and Rosehill), four lines that can’t score, a weak defense and the biggest problem last season, goaltending, was not addressed either. He also signed the injured Phil Kessel to a huge contract and while that may turn out good, it could also turn out to be a major disaster. The Leafs have yet to win, there’s enormous pressure on them and after giving up three power-play goals and losing to Pittsburgh on Saturday, coach Ron Wilson said, “I’ve never done this before, but we’re going to practice shooting the puck down the ice because we don’t know how”. Wilson’s sarcasm and line changing cannot be sitting well with this fragile Leafs team and asking them to go into New York under these circumstances and pull at a win is a stretch at best. Play: NY Rangers -1½ +1.79 (Risking 2 units).Comment
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Re: 10-12-09
Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning - Monday October 12, 2009 7:35 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) MONEYLINE: Florida Panthers +115 (Play of the Day)
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Florida in the NHL as they play Tampa Bay set to start at 7:30 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 79-57 making 42.6 units since 2004. Play on road dogs of +100 to +150 against the money line after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games facing an opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. TB is just 15-40 against the money line (-22.4 Units) against poor power play killing teams with the opponent scoring on >17.5% of chances over the last 2 seasons. Take Florida.Comment
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Re: 10-12-09
Bob Balfe
Jets vs. Miami
The Jets lost last week in New Orleans, but their defense did excellent at stopping the best offense in the league. Marc Sanchez struggled for the first time in his career and its not going to get easier in a divisional game on the road in his first MNF appearance. The problem with the Jets is their injuries at the wide receiver position. New York just picked up Braylon Edwards from Cleveland, but I doubt he will be much of a factor without fully knowing the playbook. Miami does a good job offensively controlling the clock and I expect them to run the ball allot so that Chad Henne does not throw any dumb INT's that the Jets Defense scores on. If there is a defensive touchdown that team will indeed win this game and it will be the difference. The Jets have an excellent front seven and will make it hard for the Dolphins to run the ball and they will make it tough for Henne to set his feet and throw. Miami also has a great defense. I do not see Sanchez beating this team without all of his targets healthy. Look for both teams to run the ball in a chess match waiting for the big turnover created by the defense. Points will be tough to come by tonight. Take the Under.Comment
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Re: 10-12-09
Lenny Del Genio
20* AFC East Game of the Month
Jets vs. Miami
The Jets have just dominated this rivalry, from an ATS perspective, covering 23 of the last 31 and 14 of the last 17 here in Miami. It is clear that last year’s 11-5 campaign was an aberration as the Dolphins have signed just one free agent over the age of 30 during the Parcells era, meaning they are geared for the future, not the present. Jets HC Rex Ryan faced Miami twice during the past two seasons as DC of Baltimore, so no surprises from the Wild Cat. Miami QB Chad Henne was fortunate to face the Buffalo Bills in his first start last week, but now faces a much tougher secondary this week and does not have the WR to gain separation. Expect Henne to throw multiple interceptions in this game. Miami has covered just four of its previous 18 home games and has lost six straight ATS here to the Jets. Since 1992, the Dolphins are just 4-14 ATS coming off a win by 21 or more points. They are also 9-25 ATS after a game where they won the TO margin by three or better. Jets defense, which allows just 277 YPG, will be the difference here as Miami is 4-13 ATS at home vs. teams that allow 285 YPG or less.
NY Jets are our 20* AFC East Game of the Month.Comment
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