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Re: 10-15-09
GoodFella | CFB Side Thu, 10/15/09 - 7:45 PM
double-dime bet 106 South Florida 3.5 (-120) Bookmaker.com vs 105 Cincinnati
Analysis:
-I am personally buying the hook and playing it at +3.5 -120....I still do really like it at +3 as well, as I look for the outright win for South Florida Thursday Night, but for me I see value in laying -120 to get +3.5 for this particular game, and thats EXACTLY how I wagered the game for myself-
First off this is a payback game for South Florida, as they lost to Cincy 24-10 last season. This season, South Florida once again has one of the nation's top defenses, and it has been particularly tough on quarterbacks, holding them to two touchdowns while forcing seven interceptions. S. Florida defensive coordinator Joe Tresey spent the last two years as Cincy's defensive coordinator, so we have another Strong Edge IMO with him being VERY familiar with the Cincy ballclub and their tendencies. They will have their hands full with Cincy QB Tony Pike on Thursday Night. The Speed that South Florida has on defense, cannot be underestimated, and here are some #'s to back that up: South Florida ranks third in the nation in forced turnovers (16), fifth in scoring defense (9.4) and 10th iÐn total yards allowed (263.0), all very impressive numbers. Offensively, South Florida is led by freshman quarterback B.J. Daniels, who has started two games since senior Matt Grothe suffered a season-ending knee injury. Daniels has made an appearance in all five of South Florida's games, passing for 6 TD's, and only 2 INT's. Something to take nate of is this: Cincinnati has given up 33 points over its last two contests, & Bearcats opponents have held the ball for a nation-leading 36:08 per contest. I absolutely love South Florida in this SPOT tonight, as I have been very impressed with the young QB (Daniels) for South Florida, as he is very athletic and a legit dual threat who has made real good decisions so far. This once again is a NIGHT GAME on ESPN, in conference and a revenge game for South Florida, and the crowd will be in a frenzy, all edges for South Florida tonight. South Florida is 5-0 ATS L/5 as a underdog, and they are also 5-1 ATS L/6 games following a bye. South Florida is has alo reeled off 5 straight wins over "ranked" opponents. I really like South Florida tonight in this spot, and I look for the outright win, but will gladly take the points.
GoodFella | CFB Side Thu, 10/15/09 - 7:45 PM
double-dime bet 106 South Florida 3.5 (-120) Bookmaker.com vs 105 Cincinnati
Analysis:
-I am personally buying the hook and playing it at +3.5 -120....I still do really like it at +3 as well, as I look for the outright win for South Florida Thursday Night, but for me I see value in laying -120 to get +3.5 for this particular game, and thats EXACTLY how I wagered the game for myself-
First off this is a payback game for South Florida, as they lost to Cincy 24-10 last season. This season, South Florida once again has one of the nation's top defenses, and it has been particularly tough on quarterbacks, holding them to two touchdowns while forcing seven interceptions. S. Florida defensive coordinator Joe Tresey spent the last two years as Cincy's defensive coordinator, so we have another Strong Edge IMO with him being VERY familiar with the Cincy ballclub and their tendencies. They will have their hands full with Cincy QB Tony Pike on Thursday Night. The Speed that South Florida has on defense, cannot be underestimated, and here are some #'s to back that up: South Florida ranks third in the nation in forced turnovers (16), fifth in scoring defense (9.4) and 10th iÐn total yards allowed (263.0), all very impressive numbers. Offensively, South Florida is led by freshman quarterback B.J. Daniels, who has started two games since senior Matt Grothe suffered a season-ending knee injury. Daniels has made an appearance in all five of South Florida's games, passing for 6 TD's, and only 2 INT's. Something to take nate of is this: Cincinnati has given up 33 points over its last two contests, & Bearcats opponents have held the ball for a nation-leading 36:08 per contest. I absolutely love South Florida in this SPOT tonight, as I have been very impressed with the young QB (Daniels) for South Florida, as he is very athletic and a legit dual threat who has made real good decisions so far. This once again is a NIGHT GAME on ESPN, in conference and a revenge game for South Florida, and the crowd will be in a frenzy, all edges for South Florida tonight. South Florida is 5-0 ATS L/5 as a underdog, and they are also 5-1 ATS L/6 games following a bye. South Florida is has alo reeled off 5 straight wins over "ranked" opponents. I really like South Florida tonight in this spot, and I look for the outright win, but will gladly take the points.
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