10-17-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Spartan 3* BIG 12 GOY

OKLAHOMA ST. -7

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Norm Hitzges CFB Saturday 64-72 YTD
Double Plays
·Fresno –19.5 vs San Jose
·Ohio State –13 vs Purdue
·NC State +2 vs BC
Single Plays
·Temple –10 Army
·North Texas pk vs Florida Atlantic
·Ohio –14 vs Miami, OH
·Houston –16 vs Tulane
·Nebraska –11 vs Texas Tech
·TCU –22 vs Colorado State
·Northwestern +14.5 vs Michigan St.
·Colorado +10 vs Kansas
·Arkansas +26 vs Florida
·Idaho –8 vs Hawaii
·Pittsburgh –5.5 vs Rutgers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Michael Alexander for Saturday 10/17
These are Alexander's early games...1 is his Big XII Game of the Week:

Saturday, October 17, 2009
Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Oklahoma vs. Texas (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3/-113 Oklahoma PLAY TITLE: BIG-12 GAME OF THE WEEK
Rating: 3 Units
OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
Playing against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) with an excellent rushing D allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game is 45-16 ATS since 1992.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
NorthWestern vs. Michigan State (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 14/-107 NorthWestern Play Title: Play on Northwestern
Rating: 2 Units
Playing on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (NORTHWESTERN) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games is 99-42 ATS over the last 10 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 9-19 ATS in their last 28 home games
MICHIGAN ST is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Wyoming vs. Air Force (NCAAF) - 2:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 10.5/-109 Wyoming Play Title: Play on Wyoming
Rating: 2 Units
WYOMING is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 15-39 ATS (-27.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game since 1992.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Houston U vs. Tulane (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 17/-105 Tulane PLAY TITLE: CFB GAME OF THE MONTH
RATING: 4 UNITS
Playing against a road team (HOUSTON) who has been outrushed by their opponents by 1.25+ yards/carry on the season, after allowing 6 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games is 35-10 ATS since 1992
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after being outrushed by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech (NCAAF) - 6:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3/-106 Georgia Tech PLAY TITLE: ACC CASH PLAY
RATING: 3 UNITS
Playing against a road team (VIRGINIA TECH) after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game against opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games is 28-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH HC Johnson is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 in all games he has coached since 1992.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
South Carolina vs. Alabama (NCAAF) - 7:45 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -17.5/-103 Alabama PLAY TITLE: SEC POWER PLAY
Rating: 2 Units
Playing against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (S CAROLINA) who are off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival is 31-9 ATS since 1992
ALABAMA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Kansas vs. Colorado (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 10/-111 Colorado Play Title: Play on Colorado
Rating: 2 Units
Playing on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (COLORADO) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins is 77-34 ATS over the last 10 seasons
KANSAS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
KANSAS is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Navy vs. SMU (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-111 Navy Play Title: Play on Navy
Rating: 2 Units
NAVY is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
NAVY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Washington U vs. Arizona State (NCAAF) - 10:15 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -6.5/-107 Arizona State Play Title: Play on Arizona State
Rating: 2 Units
Playing on home favorites (ARIZONA ST) who are off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less is 57-24 ATS since 1992
WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

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10/16/2009
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[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Tim Trushel

20* Wisconsin
Reg/Maryland
Reg/Miami Oh.
Reg/Notre Dame
Reg/Colorado

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Black Widow

4* on Louisville +13.5(-110 at BetUs)

Connecticut is a team that should not be favored by double-digits against almost any Division-1 team. The Huskies win their games by playing sound defense and running the football, which isn't a formula for blowouts. UConn has played 5 games this season, and 4 of the Huskies' games have been decided by 8 points or less. The lone exception was a 52-10 home win over Rhode Island as a 34.5-point favorite. Louisville is coming off a huge win over a very good Southern Miss team, giving them confidence heading into Saturday's match-up with UConn. The previous week the Cardinals had Pittsburgh down at halftime before letting the Panthers off the hook. No matter how you put it, UConn is not 13 points better than Louisville. The last two meetings in this series were decided by 5 and 4 points, respectively with the Huskies winning both times. That places the revenge factor with Louisville in the upcoming 2009 meeting. The Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 October games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Louisville and the points.


4* on Arkansas +24.5(-105 at 5dimes)

Arkansas is getting their act together after blowout wins in back-to-back weeks. They beat Texas A&M 47-19 two weeks ago as a 2-point favorite and then followed that up with a 44-23 victory over Auburn as a 2-point underdog. Head coach Bobby Petrino has his team peaking at the right time with Florida up next. The Gators are in a letdown spot here after beating #4 LSU 13-3 last week. That was the biggest game left on their schedule, and when Florida lets up just a little bit Saturday it will be enough for Arkansas to sneak in and get the cover against this ridiculously huge spread. Arkansas is scoring 37.4 points/game and putting up 452 yards of total offense/game. They have already faced Alabama, so they won't be phased by a team the caliber of Florida. Arkansas is battle-tested and they are playing their best ball of the season right now which gives them a fighting chance. The Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Take Arkansas and the points.


4* on Kentucky +14(-110 at SIA)

Auburn finally lost their first game of the season, 23-44, to Arkansas last week. The Tigers are a bit overrated right now after their fast start, and they are not 14 points better than the Wildcats Saturday. Kentucky has faced 3 very tough games in a row, which has them battle-tested and ready to give Auburn a run for their money this weekend. The Wildcats lost to Florida 7-41, but they were down 31-0 at halftime and fought tough in the second half. They improved with their next game in a 20-38 loss to Alabama, but 4 turnovers did them in. The Wildcats lost 26-28 at South Carolina last week after a failed 2-point conversion at the end that would have tied it. So as you can see, Kentucky is improving with every game and they are primed to come out with their best effort of the season Saturday. Auburn has actually gotten worse with every game they've played this season, and their defense has given up 22 or more points in each of their last 5 games. For the season, the Tigers are allowing 27.2 points/game. We don't see Auburn getting enough stops on that end to keep Kentucky from covering this two-touchdown spread, let alone win the game. The Wildcats are scoring 34.0 points/game on the road this year. Auburn is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Kentucky is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992. Take Kentucky and the points.


5* Sooners/Longhorns ABC "T ot al" Mo ne y M a ker on OVER 51(-101 at 5dimes)

Fireworks will ensue Saturday in the Red River Rivalry as both offenses light it up once again. When you consider Oklahoma is scoring 35.0 points/game without their starting QB for half of it and Texas is putting up 47.2 points/game this season, you can see why the odds makers have set this Total well too low Saturday. Last year Texas won 45-35 for 80 combined points. Though 80 points are not expected again in this year's meeting, it wouldn't surprise us to see a similar final score in 2009. Oklahoma is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. The Longhorns are 16-5 OVER (+10.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game since 1992. After 80 combined points last year, all value is on the OVER Saturday especially with both starting QB's in Sam Bradford and Colt McCoy back leading their offenses. Take the OVER 51 points here.


6* 2 00 9 M ou n ta in W es t G AM E OF THE Y EA R on Air Force -10(-110 at SIA)

Air Force actually finds themselves sitting behind Wyoming in the standings right now. The Falcons are 3-3 after back-to-back heartbreaking losses against Navy and TCU. They lost both games by a field goal, so look for Air Force to come out very hungry Saturday at home against 4-2 Wyoming. The Cowboys have won 3 straight since losing to Colorado 0-24 on the road, and they are riding high right now. But Wyoming players are about to get knocked off their pedestal as Air Force hits them in the mouth with one of the best rushing attacks in the country. The Falcons are averaging 281 rushing yards/game this year. Air Force beat Wyoming 23-3 on the road last season behind 261 rushing yards from their offense, and 5 turnovers forced by their defense. The Falcons are forcing their opponents to cough up the ball again this year, forcing 20 turnovers in just 6 games. They have only turned the ball over 4 times for a +16 turnover margin. We always like teams like this that take care of the ball and win the turnover battle. Air Force is probably the best 3-3 team in the country, with their only losses coming by 7 points at Minnesota, 3 points against Navy and 3 points against a Top-25 TCU team last week. This team is certainly underrated right now, and that's why this line is so soft at just 10 points. Air Force is 13-0 ATS (+13.0 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. That's a PERFECT 25-0 ATS Angle in favor of the Falcons in a great spot at home Saturday. Take Air Force and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Teddy Covers

CFB 20* Big Ticket: Houston -17 (153)

CFB Virginia -3.5 (121)
CFB Baylor +1.5 (125)
CFB Wyoming +10.5 (137)
CFB New Mexico State +20.5 (169)
CFB SMU Over 56 -110 (194)
CFB Fresno State -19.5 (200)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and
PREFERENCES

11 MINNESOTA over *Penn State
Late Score Forecast:
MINNESOTA 24 - *Penn State 27

10 *IOWA STATE over Baylor
Late Score Forecast:
*IOWA STATE 27 - Baylor 14

10 CENTRAL MICHIGAN over
*W. Michigan
Late Score Forecast:
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 45-
*W. Michigan 28

10 WYOMING over *Air Force
Late Score Forecast:
WYOMING 21 - *Air Force 20

10 PHILADELPHIA over *Oakland
Late Score Forecast:
PHILADELPHIA 37 - *Oakland 10

[Chaseace]

Re: 10-17-09

Are you able to get John Ryan's plays on here?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Tim Trushel
20* Wisconsin
Reg/Maryland
Reg/Miami Oh.
Reg/Notre Dame
Reg/Colorado

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Teddy Covers
> 10/17/09 CFB Virginia -3.5 (121)
> 10/17/09 CFB Baylor +1.5 (125)
> 10/17/09 CFB Wyoming +10.5 (137)
> 10/17/09 CFB 20* Big Ticket: Houston -17 (153)
> 10/17/09 CFB New Mexico State +20.5 (169)
> 10/17/09 CFB SMU Over 56 -110 (194)
> 10/17/09 CFB Fresno State -19.5 (200)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-17-09

Purelock ( 5-1 ) :
Florida Atlantic