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Re: 10-17-09
Redzone- NC STATE
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Re: 10-17-09
Smooth44 plays
12:00PM EST
119 Iowa
120 Wisconsin
TOP PLAY – CFB GAME OF THE WEEK: WISCONSIN -2 -120
If you have been following my top 25 rankings then you know I love Iowa and have showed them tremendous respect so far. However, today they find themselves in a very difficult spot of traveling to Wisconsin, a team playing on revenge!! The Hawkeyes’ biggest weakness on defense is stopping the run and running the ball is what the Badgers do best!! The Badgers suffered their first loss last week to Ohio State, 31-13, despite holding the Buckeyes to just 184 yards of total offense and out-gaining them by almost 200 yards. It was special teams and a pick-6 that gave OSU the win but don’t expect the Badgers to gift wrap this one again this week!! The Badgers are 22-3 L25 at home and today they get revenge!! It is worth noting the Badgers fall into a strong system that supports a play on certain unranked home teams against ranked opponents.
PREDICTION: WISCONSIN 27 IOWA 16
12:20PM EST
129 Georgia
130 Vanderbilt
TOP PLAY: VANDERBILT +8
Lost in Vandy’s poor offense is a great defense that is only giving up 15 point per game!! Georgia proved again last week that they are simply not the elite team everyone expected at the start of the season despite losing many players to the NFL. Vandy lost to Army last week but Army caught the Commodores in a classic conference sandwich spot, off a big game against Ole Miss with Georgia on deck. And now Vandy catches Georgia in the perfect spot – 2nd game of a B2B road swing and still licking their wounds from that ass whoopin’ to Tennessee last week. Look for Vandy’s defense to get the job done again this week and to keep the Commodores in it to the end.
PREDICTION: GEORGIA 17 VANDERBILT 14
12:30PM EST
207 Mississippi St
208 Middle Tenn St
TOP PLAY: MIDDLETENNESSEESTATE +5
Shoot me now because MTSU has burnt me already this season but I like how this one sets up. MTSU has probably had the toughest schedule in the nation so far starting the season with 4 of 5 games ON THE ROAD – doesn’t even seem fair!! However, they return home for a huge game against an SEC opponent and with a week off to prepare!! Houston went ot Mississippi last week and beat the Dogs. In that game Houston proved just how weak the dog’s pass defense is. MSU defense has only recorded 9 sacks in 6 games, never a good situation when you can’t get to the QB. Additionally, this unit is giving up almost 15 yards per completion, never good when you are facing a pass-minded offense!! MTSU possesses the speed and talent to also expose the dog’s weakness again this week and with a week off to prepare I like their chances even more!! MTSU is tied for 7th nationally in creating turnovers and this bodes well against a mistake prone MSU offense!! MSU is a horrible 1-8 ATS off a home game and with Florida on deck come out flat and get caught looking ahead!!
PREDICTION: MIDDLETENNESSEESTATE 24 MISSISSIPPISTATE 23
3:30PM EST
153 Houston U
154 Tulane
TOP PLAY: TULANE +18 -120
So how do you follow up a huge road win against a bigger conference?? By falling flat on your faces on the road against a lessor opponent!! Houston went to Mississippi last week and shocked the MSU Bulldogs and now finds themselves on the road again for 3rd and final game of a B2B2B road swing – something that is not easy for kids at this level!! Houston is extremely over-rated despite being 4-1 and nationally ranked. Their defense is terrible and gives up more than 450 yards per game including almost 230 on the ground!! Tulane’s offense has struggled at times despite having experience and talent but the perfect remedy for any struggling unit is a horrible defense and that’s what they get today. Look for Tulane to stay competitive throughout and for Houston to still be feeling “too good” after their win last week. It is worth noting that Houston is just 3-8 ATS in their L11 road games!!
PREDICTION: HOUSTON 38 TULANE 27
4:00PM EST
167 ColoradoState
168 TCU
TOP PLAY: COLORADOSTATE +23 -120
I have played CSU a few times this season and mostly with success. This CSU team is very talented and playing with tremendous pride. Scheduling may very well be this team’s biggest challenge this year. The Rams are coming off a stretch that included BYU, Idaho and Utah B2B2B and now travels to TCU to face a ranked opponent – very tough for any time. However, this team is battle tested and they lost to BYU by 19 despite out-gaining them, lost to Idaho in the games closing moments despite out-gaining them, and last week they took Utah to the wire before losing by 7. CSU has a very good line and is very balanced on offense. Defensively, they are good enough to slow TCU down. And let’s not forget that CSU ranks 15th best in the nation for turnover margin while TCU has been very mistake-prone ranking 93rd in the nation in turnover margin!! And let’s not also forget that TCU has BYU on deck and may get caught looking ahead!! Look for CSU to stay comfortably inside the spread!!
PREDICTION: TCU 24 COLORADO STATE 17
7:00PM EST
187 Kansas
188 Colorado
TOP PLAY: COLORADO +10
At 5-0 Kansas is ranked #17 in the nation. However, this team has really benefited from an easy schedule so far and today finds themselves in a very dangerous spot – on the road against a battle tested team and with Oklahoma on deck!! Despite being 1-4 on the season Colorado is 3-1 ATS in lined games. Last week they did a terrific job against Texas, even lead 14-0 at one point, before special teams gave the game away!! Look for Colorado and Coach Hawkins to test a Kansas defense that hasn’t really faced any real threats to-date. The line is suspect given the fact that Kansas is ranked, beat the Buffs last year by 16 as a 14 point fave and with the Buffs as cellar dwellers. Look for Colorado to play inspired ball and to potentially shock this Kansas team, a team I maintain is over-rated!!
PREDICTION: KANSAS 28 COLORADO 26
8:00PM EST
193 Navy
194 SMU
TOP PLAY: SMU +8
STRONG OPINION: SMU MONEYLINE +245
Navy finds themselves in the unfamiliar role of playing the 2nd of a B2B road trip and kids at this level struggle in unfamiliar roles. SMU is coming off an impressive win over East Carolina and look for momentum to carry over to today!! Navy crushed SMU last year 34-7 as a 12 point fave and now this year is only laying 7/8 – WHY?? This line is suspect and I expect SMU to be ready to get revenge for that loss last year!! Look for SMU to stack the box to slow down the run – if they are successful they will force Navy to the air, something we all know navy is not accustomed to. SMU is one of the best this year at creating turnovers, 19 total including 11 picks. Navy hasn’t seen a QB like Bo Mitchell who is 16th in the nation in total offense, averaging over 280 yards per game!! His ability to throw and run will presents Navy with many matchup problems!!
PREDICTION: SMU 27 NAVY 24Comment
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Re: 10-17-09
Chris Jordans 3 picks for today
Chris Jordan Saturday's winners ...
200? MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE - The Blue Raiders are stepping out of conference for a quick cup of coffee with SEC-member Mississippi State, and there's something telling me Middle Tennessee State is the value with the point spread sitting this low. This is a team that started the season playing Clemson, Memphis and Maryland, and though this isn't a deadly SEC trio to boast about, it is decent competition for a mid-major team out of the Sun Belt Conference. And with the No. 1 passing offense from their league, and 21st in the entire nation, I'm betting the Raiders will pass all over the 78th-ranked pass defense. Mississippi State has lost three straight game - all at home, to LSU, Georgia Tech and Houston - and could get caught looking ahead to Florida next week. Perhaps that's why this line is so low. Whatever the case, I can't imagine the oddsmakers have the line where it is for any other reason except they're begging you to take the road chalk. So, I'm playing the home pup.
200? CENTRAL MICHIGAN - This is the biggest rivalry for the Chippewas, and since the seniors on this team are 3-0 so far against Western Michigan, I'm thinking CMU continues to play dominating football in MAC play. At 5-1, the Chipps haven't looked back since a season-opening loss at Arizona. That includes a win at Michigan State, and four wins thereafter by an average final of 43-10. Though the Broncos are coming in off a 58-26 whitewash of Toledo, they won't have what it takes to keep up with the spirited Chippewas, who become bowl eligible with a win today. I suspect CMU will use its power rushing game that ranks second in the conference, to blast through WMU's bleak defense that ranks 102nd against the run. And oh yes, then there's the situation revolving quarterback Dan LeFevour, who is supposed to be the next big thing out of the MAC. WMU has a tough signal caller in Tim Hiller, but CMU is just too good this season. Lay the chalk.
200? OHIO U. - Perfect spot for Ohio to do some serious damage. Mistake-prone Miami-Ohio contiues to shoot itself in the foot with silly mistakes, and now it must take on a rival team that has been getting it done behind a knack for prying the ball away from opponents. Coming into this game, the 4-2 Bobcats, who are 2-0 in MAC play, were tied for second in the nation with 19 forced turnovers, tied for third with 10 fumbles recovered and tied for eighth with 10 interceptions. Ohio also ranked 13th with a 1.17 average turnover margin per game. On the flipside, the 0-7 RedHawks have lost eight fumbles and a MAC-worst 14 interceptions. Miami-O has been shut out twice, its scoring offense ranks dead last in the nation (120th with 10.6 points per game), and its defense is horrendous in every facet of the game. This marks the Red Hawks' fifth road game in six games - since Sept. 12. This one is going to get ugly boys, as the Bobcats roll.Comment
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Re: 10-17-09
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Date: Saturday, October 17, 2009
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148 Alabama -17 7:45 ESTComment
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