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Re: 10-19-09
Bob Akmens
Over yankees/angels
Bob Akmens
Over yankees/angels
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Re: 10-19-09
Mike Lineback 10/19/09 236]
4* San Diego Chargers -3 -120 (1/2 pt buy @ the greek) | Monday, 8:30p ETThey say 3x is a charm. Let's hope so because we have bet against the Broncos the last two weeks. No doubt, they are playing solid football but they go down on Monday night. Just a bad situational spot for Denver. Similar to Jacksonville walking into Seattle last week and getting hammered. Plus, Denver have lost 5 of L6 to the Chargers. San Diego off a buy, after three tough games vs. Pitt, Miami & Baltimore??, and are under a lot of pressure to elevate their game, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Buy week gives them time to re-focus, prepare and get healthy. Love Rivers in big games and believe he will attack downfield with his big wideouts, in turn, stretching the field and keeping Denver's defense honest. Plus, the Chargers have edge on special teams (Sproles). Still not sold on Denver's offensive (few playmakers; not very explosive). Chargers have the more explosive offense, have home field and will be fired up to play their best game of season on Monday Night Football.
[962] 4* Philadlelphia Phillies -117 (@ the greek) | Wolf/Blanton | 8:07p ETLos Angeles start Wolf has arguably been their best starting pitcher this season. However, I'm just not sold on the lefty getting the job done in post-season, especially on the road in Citizens Bank Park. Crowd will be jacked!! Philadelphia have momentum, home field, not to mention, they are playing at a high level and just look more prepared to play in this series. They could easily be up 3-0 in this series. I like Blanton in a big game. He has great stuff, great movement on his pitches and has pitched well in his career vs. the Dodgers (6 innings, 5 hits, 1 run allowed in 6/6). Bottom line: Phillies have come to play and the Dodgers "laid back" Joe Torre/Manny Ramirez type baseball looks to be hurting their edge. Plus, Torre not on his game in this series, especially when it comes to handling his pitching staff (some questional moves??). Plus, it will beComment
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Re: 10-19-09
ohn Ryan’s NLCS 10* Titan w/5* MONSTER
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Oct 19 2009 8:05PM
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Philadelphia as they face the Dodgers for game 4 of the NLCS. No doubt Phillies have the upper hand in this series and have to love the position they find themselves in for this game and the series. Skipper Manual summed it up best after their horrific 2-1 loss in LA – “this team will bounce back just like they have all season”. That bounce was a 11-0 winner in game 3 and the Dodger bats save Manny are all but dead. When you are on a team that is down 2 games to 1 and know that they 2 pitchers that just dominated you will face you again if you are to have any chance at all makes it nearly impossible for that team to not admit defeat already. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 61-26 making 39.5 units since 2004. Play on any team when leading in a playoff series. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 67-26 making 39.2 units since 1997. Play on home teams that are strong offensive teams scoring >=5.0 runs/game facing a good NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA<=3.70 and after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games. Reinforcing the “defeated notion” mentioned above is this system that has produced a record of 53-17 making 32.4 units since 2004. Play against any team in a playoff game after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. One of the keys will be pitching to Manny with the bases empty as he has had success against Blanton batting 14 for 25 for a 560 average, but has struck out 4 times. Take the Phillies.
Ai Simulator 5* graded play OVER the posted total Phillies/Dodgers. AiS shows an 80% probability that 9 or more runs will be scored in this game. Like yesterday’s projections the Phillies have a 55% probability of scoring 8 runs on their own merit. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 150-84 since 2004. Play over with road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game facing an opponent with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season. The Dodgers bullpen has been great this year, but they have pitched the 2nd most innings this season in MLB. This will show up today in a big way and I fully expect Phillies to have control of the game before the bullpen is even called upon. Take the OVER.Comment
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Re: 10-19-09
Tom Freese 25-0-2 'MNF' 10* 'TOTAL' WINNER!
Guaranteed Pick: Tom Freese
Game: Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers Oct 19 2009 8:30PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Denver is 10-1 UNDER off a straight up win and they are 5-0-1 UNDER their last 6 October games. The Broncos are 8-0 UNDER off an ATS win and they are 4-0 UNDER vs. AFC teams. San Diego is 9-2 UNDER in Week 6 and they are 4-0-1 UNDER off a bye week. The Chargers are 4-0-1 UNDER off a loss and they are 6-2 UNDER at home vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* PLAY ON 'UNDER'Comment
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