10-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Bobby Maxwell Wednesday's winner...

300-Unit College Midweek Cruiser - TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE

This game should certainly be entertaining as both teams are capable of putting up points and moving the ball. The problem I see with UTEP is the Miners just give up way too much yardage per game. And with Tulsa?s quick strike capability, this game could get out of hand just like last year?s 77-35 blowout.

Tulsa trailed 28-21 in last year?s game at home as a 20.5-point favorite, but turned on the jets and got the offense in gear and wound up with the 77-35 victory and a huge 791 total yards of offense. It was the most yards in a Division 1-A game last season.

And it doesn?t look like things have gotten much better for UTEP?s defense, as it gave up 486 yards in a 35-20 loss at Memphis as a 1.5-point road favorite on October 10. Another problem for the Miners is turnovers as they coughed it up three times in their loss to Memphis and fell to 2-6 SU in their last eight overall.

UTEP is giving up 46.7 points and 596 yards per game in its last three overall, while Tulsa has allowed just 13.7 and 270.7 in its last three.

Tulsa fought Boise State a week ago but fell 28-21, cashing as a nine-point home ?dog, but the Golden Hurricane thought they were winning that thing. They had a 14-8 advantage after the first quarter but managed just 88 yards rushing as the offense stalled. Remember, this team?s only losses this year are to Oklahoma and Boise State, both teams ranked in the Top 12 in the country when they faced off.

UTEP is on ATS slides of 2-5 overall, 3-7 at home and 3-11 on artificial turf. Meanwhile, Tulsa is on ATS runs of 4-1-1 overall and 3-0-1 as a chalk.

Play Tulsa to put up a lot of points and cover this number tonight!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

RAS

Tulsa/UTEP Over 58.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Savanah Sports

Todays Selections
MLB Baseball
2 (**) Philadephia Under 8.5

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
NHL Hockey
2 (**) Chicago Over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Bob Balfe

MLB Baseball
Phillies -135 over Dodgers
Hamels/Padilla

College Football
UTEP +7.5 over Tulsa
UTEP won a huge game a few weeks ago against Houston and then had a let down against Memphis the next week. The Miners had 15 days to prepare for this game which was circled on the calendar at the beginning of the season. Tulsa crushed UTEP last year after scoring the final 35 points in a blowout embarrassing the Miners. Last week Tulsa looked horrible against Boise in a huge game at home that they did not show up for. This line is set high based on last years result. Tulsa has a good defense, but on the road UTEP should keep this game close. Take the Miners.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Tony Weston WEDNESDAY'S PLAYS 15 Dime Tulsa
5 Dime Phillies

Tulsa at UTEP
TULSA - Last week at home against Boise State, Tulsa looked impressive in nearly pulling off the outright win as a 9-point underdog, losing 28-21 and covering.

So far this season TUlsa is 4-2 SU and 4-1-1 ATS, with the lone SU losses coming to Top 25 teams Oklahoma and the aforementioned Boise State Broncos.

Now the Golden Hurricane gets to do battle with a UTEP team that has had its share of struggles this year and will struggle once again against its Conference USA rival.

So far this season in six games UTEP has only managed two wins SU and ATS and going back to last season the Miners have gone just 2-5 their last 7 games ATS.

Consider, too, UTEP has gone just 3-7 its last 10 games ATS and is just 2-5 ATS its last 7 games coming off a bye week.

The Golden Hurricane, on the other hand, has covered in 8 of its last 9 games coming off a bye and has not lost ATS its last 5 games when installed as a favorite.

But most important is what these two have done against each other. Tulsa has covered in 5 of the last 7 meetings overall against UTEP and is 5-2 ATS the last 7 games in UTEP.

Tulsa will do it again tonight and cruise to an easy victory over the Miners.



Dodgers at Phillies
PHILLIES - The Philadelphia Phillies are an absolute mission right now and have demoralized the Los Angeles Dodgers and all of their fans.

Whether its cruising to an easy 11-0 win like in Game 3 or coming from behind to steal a game like in Game 4, the Phillies are doing everything right and will close out this series and move onto the World Series tonight.

So far the Phils have taken 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two, including 3 of 4 so far in this NLCS.

Including their wins in the NLCS, the Phillies have won 7 of their last 9 games overall and are 17-5 their last 22 playoff games. At home, Philadelphia has won 10 of its last 11 postseason affairs and is 10-1 its last 11 games when installed as a playoff favorite.

Overall, not just in the postseason, the Phillies have gone 33-12 their last 45 games when installed as a home favorite and the team is 35-16 its last its last 51 home games overall. Against the NL West, the team has taken 35 of its last 51.

The Dodgers, on the other hand, have had their share of struggles, especially against the Phils. Los Angeles has lost 25 of its last 35 meetings in Philadelphia and is just 1-5 its last 6 games against Phillies scheduled starter Cole Hamels.

Consider, too, the Dodgers have lost 4 of their last 5 playoff road games and are just 1-5 their last 6 games in the NLCS. The team has also failed to a win a game in 4 straight NLCS road games.

Things won’t get any better tonight as the Dodgers season comes to an end.

Take the Phillies in this one tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Steve Merril's 67% All-Sports run continues with a powerful MLB Best Bet for Wednesday night - Dodgers/Phillies - Game 5 (TBS) - 8 pm ET - Guaranteed Over/Under that will CASH IN BIG!
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under 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Street Rosenthal
*200 Tulsa -7

I am posting this pick early so you may take advantage of a lower line. It would take UTEP playing near perfect football to cover this spread. This means pefect redzone execution, no costly penalties, winning the turnover margin and stopping Tulsa's explosive offense. Tulsa is 4-2 ATS already this year and continues to be getting favorable lines. It will difficult for UTEP to cover this number even at home especially with Tulsa coming in off a loss. Here are a couple of the trends I have pointing to a Tulsa cover. UTEP is 3-13 ATS (-6.6 ppg) since October 20, 2001 at home after a loss on the road. If the line is less than 12 they UTEP is a sad 0-9. Take Tulsa for the cover on Wednesday night.

[Chaseace]

Re: 10-21-09

No john ryan or david chan today?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

From a friend of IWS

Thanks!

From Wunderdog:

Game: Tulsa at U T E P (Wednesday 10/21 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tulsa -8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Los Angeles Dodgers +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.6)

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 2 to win 1.2)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Doc's Sports

Baseball

3-Unit Play Take Philadelphia (1.5RL+150) over LA Dodgers (8:07p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

Scott Rickenbach’s



Players Adv NHL Wed 9* on Buff on Oct 21st
Scott Rickenbach’s NHL 9* (TOP PLAY) Buffalo Sabres Money Line (-) @ Florida @ 7:35 PM ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

Buffalo is 4-1-1 this season and coming off their first loss in regulation time this season. Florida is just 2-4 this season and they’re coming off of their first win in regulation time this season. This is offering huge value to the Sabres in this match-up because they’re on the road and laying a small price while also being perfectly position for a bounce back game. Buffalo’s forwards are healthy again and, with Thomas Vanek back they’ll be able to roll out the same four lines that produced solidly for them early this season. Even though they lost 4 to 2 to Atlanta on Saturday, the Sabres did finish up that game outshooting the Thrashers by a 41-15 margin. After getting down early, Buffalo certainly responded but the fact that they still came up short insures that they are still hungry here and they will carry momentum from Saturday’s effort right into Wednesday’s game. Keep in mind, the Sabres were playing the second of a back to back situation when they lost to Atlanta Saturday and they seemed to come out flat in that game. You certainly won’t see a repeat of that here.

Buffalo has been one of the league’s best so far this season in terms of generating shots on goal while also limiting their opponents’ shots on goal. They also will have Ryan Miller back in goal tonight and he’s off to a stellar start this season. Miller is 5-1 with a 1.65 GAA in his last six starts against Florida. He also has a 1.50 GAA in winning each of his last four starts. Also, the Sabres could take advantage of seeing Panthers back-up netminder Scott Clemmensen in this one. Or, if Florida does decide to go with their #1 netminder, note that Tomas Vokoun is off to a very rough start for the Panthers this season and he’s just 1-4-1 in six starts against Buffalo. While the Sabres are outshooting their opponents by 12 shots per game the Panthers are being outshot by about 11 shots per game. With the extra hunger the Sabres bring here (off of a home loss), as well as their improved health up front with the forwards, this one should quickly turn into a road rout! Play Buffalo on the money line as a 9* TOP PLAY selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

executive

200 philly

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

C-Star Sports

5000 Units Tulsa vs UTEP over the total
50 units Tulsa Minus the points over UTEP
50 Units Dodgers over Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

ROBERT FErRRINGO

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 L.A. Dodgers at Philadelphia

That's it for today. I'm sorry, but I don't see much value in these playoff lines at the moment. I admit that I have been missing out with the Yankees. However, right now I don't feel like most bettors are handicapping games as much as they are kind of guessing. With such a limited amount of games and matchups available things this time of year strike me as particularly "fluky". We win so much during the season because we play the systems. No systems remain here in these LCS series (I have already used them) so I'm lying in wait for the World Series.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-21-09

FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball



50* Play LA Dodgers (+125) over Philadelphia



Los Angeles has won 18 of the last 22 games coming off a one-run loss and they have also won 13 of the last 17 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Vicente Padilla has won 10 of the last 11 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.93.

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Wednesday NHL Plays


NHL Hockey

50* Play Boston (-230) over Nashville



50* Play Chicago (-170) over Vancouver