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Re: 10-22-09
Nick Parsons
10* UNC-3
PICK: North Carolina Your pick will be graded at: -3 Belmont EXPERT: Nick Parsons TITLE: 10* NCAAF GAME OF MONTH! *85% RUN! REASON FOR PICK: For a number of different reasons I feel we’re getting great value on the home side as it plays its first “Thursday Night” game in school history: If North Carolina can win its next two games, it would even its league record up at 2-2, and would be in a position to contend for the berth in the conference championship game that goes to the Coastal Division winner. QB T.J. Yates is throwing for about 161 yards a game and will be looking to exploit FSU’s horrible secondary. RB Ryan Houston is tied with Clemson’s C.J. Spiller for fifth place in touchdowns scored in the ACC with seven.
The defense has held four of its six opponents to under 100 yards rushing. DE Robert Quinn leads the Heels with seven sacks (second in the league).
Keep in mind that North Carolina is 4-2 SU its last six and 10-4 SU its last 14 at Kenan Stadium.
On the other side of the field: FSU is a team that can put points on the board, but is unable to stop teams putting points up on them, and is going through many off-field issues, not the least of which is their beleaguered head-coach, who most are hoping will retire at the end of this season.
Bobby Bowden’s Seminoles rank at the bottom or near the bottom in every single defensive category in the league!
Florida State is a poor 2-4 SU its last six overall and a below average 3-5-1 ATS its last nine on the road.
Bottom line: These teams have not played in five years and it’s a Thursday night/ESPN special which the Tar Heels have been pointing to as a chance to showcase their program under Butch Davis. I expect NORTH CAROLINA to put pressure on Seminoles QB Christian Ponder and move to 2-1 ATS at home this season as Florida State falls to 0-4 ATS its last four vs. conference opponents! *10*
Nick Parsons
10* UNC-3
PICK: North Carolina Your pick will be graded at: -3 Belmont EXPERT: Nick Parsons TITLE: 10* NCAAF GAME OF MONTH! *85% RUN! REASON FOR PICK: For a number of different reasons I feel we’re getting great value on the home side as it plays its first “Thursday Night” game in school history: If North Carolina can win its next two games, it would even its league record up at 2-2, and would be in a position to contend for the berth in the conference championship game that goes to the Coastal Division winner. QB T.J. Yates is throwing for about 161 yards a game and will be looking to exploit FSU’s horrible secondary. RB Ryan Houston is tied with Clemson’s C.J. Spiller for fifth place in touchdowns scored in the ACC with seven.
The defense has held four of its six opponents to under 100 yards rushing. DE Robert Quinn leads the Heels with seven sacks (second in the league).
Keep in mind that North Carolina is 4-2 SU its last six and 10-4 SU its last 14 at Kenan Stadium.
On the other side of the field: FSU is a team that can put points on the board, but is unable to stop teams putting points up on them, and is going through many off-field issues, not the least of which is their beleaguered head-coach, who most are hoping will retire at the end of this season.
Bobby Bowden’s Seminoles rank at the bottom or near the bottom in every single defensive category in the league!
Florida State is a poor 2-4 SU its last six overall and a below average 3-5-1 ATS its last nine on the road.
Bottom line: These teams have not played in five years and it’s a Thursday night/ESPN special which the Tar Heels have been pointing to as a chance to showcase their program under Butch Davis. I expect NORTH CAROLINA to put pressure on Seminoles QB Christian Ponder and move to 2-1 ATS at home this season as Florida State falls to 0-4 ATS its last four vs. conference opponents! *10*
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