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Re: 10-24-09
Kelso:
100 unit South Carolina
15 unit Oklahoma State
5 unit Air Force
4 unit Nebraska
3 unit Boise State
Kelso:
100 unit South Carolina
15 unit Oklahoma State
5 unit Air Force
4 unit Nebraska
3 unit Boise State
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Re: 10-24-09
Computer Crushers
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
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SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
348 Alabama -13.5 3:30 EST
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
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PAC 10 CONFERENCE CRUSHER GAME OF THE YEAR
398 USC -21 8:00 EST
Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
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WAC CONFERENCE CRUSHER BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR
391 Fresno St -23.5 10:15 ESTComment
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Re: 10-24-09
Sam Clayton
25 dime - Oregon/Washington Under 55
With everybody trying to decide whether to lay the chalk with Oregon or back the home dog getting double digits, I'll exploit the best play in this game -- the under. The Ducks come off a bye week ready to attack the Huskies, although the status of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli is still up in the air. Oregon's offense was noticeably shaky after Masoli left the Ducks' last game against UCLA with a knee injury.
Backup Nate Costa was average at best, completing 9 of 17 passes for 82 yards, one touchdown and one interception, and the Ducks had to look elsewhere for scores. Luckily, the defensive and special teams units answered the call as Oregon returned both a kickoff and an interception to the house. I believe Masoli will play, but I question his effectiveness and ability to be a dual-threat with a banged up knee. And it's no secret that the Oregon offense has struggled mightily on the road this season, having only scored two offensive touchdowns away from Eugene. Rather than run the risk of getting into a shootout with a questionable Masoli, their strategy should be more about controlling the ball on the ground with LaMichael James and Kenjon Barner, and keeping Jake Locker off of the field as much as possible.
Washington will have their hands full on offense as Locker and Co. square off against an impressive Oregon defense that held Boise State to 19 points and UCLA to 10 (both efforts resulted in road wins). The Ducks also held Jahvid Best and the high-octane offense of Cal to a measly three points last month. I believe the intensity and physicality of today's game will be very, very similar to the USC/UW game earlier in the season. Hopefully, Oregon has studied film from that game and will build from the Trojans' mistakes. The battle for field position will be front and center and Oregon has to make Washington start their drives from within their own 20. Ducks head coach Chip Kelly saw what Locker did in shootouts against Notre Dame and Arizona and you have to believe he's been brewing up something special to contain the Huskie quarterback at all costs.
15 dime - Illinois +11
One of the biggest moneymakers this season has been fading Illinois. The once-promising, once Fightin' Illini had high expectations coming into this season and just like every other year the bar has been set too high, they've foundered. Ron Zook's boys (1-5, 0-4 Big Ten) are the most disappointing bunch in the entire conference and they haven't covered a single game all season (0-6 ATS). However, not once before today did I think that Vegas underestimated the Illini.
Ohio State was three touchdowns better than Illinois spread wise and in their last two home games, it was laughable that the Illini were only single digit dogs against Penn State (+8) and Michigan State (+4). They went on to lose by 18 and 10 respectively. Against Purdue though, I'm taking this bloated 11 point spread and running like hell. Both teams are horseshit, but the average bettor sees the Boilermakers' win last week over Ohio State and thinks "well, they should trounce Illinois." Not so fast. Purdue has just one more victory this season than the Illini and outside of the opening game against Toledo, they've been brutal as home favorites. As 12-point favorites versus Northern Illinois, Purdue lost 28-21 and two weeks later, they lost 27-21 against Northwestern as a touchdown favorite.
I've followed Illinois more than most and their record also isn't indicative of their extremely difficult schedule as four of six losses came against very solid teams (MIZZOU, OSU, MSU and PSU). Several Big Ten coaches still believe that the Illini are one of if not the most athletic team in the conference, but its their lack of execution that's killing them. The Boilermakers are far from a good defensive team and with dangerous weapons like Arrelious Benn and Jarred Fayson lining up for Illinois, anything can happen. Purdue should win this game, but after blowing their load last weekend against the Buckeyes, it's all about playing the undervalued, underappreciated pup.Comment
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Re: 10-24-09
Chris Jordan Saturday's winners ...
400? ARIZONA WILDCATS - Despite the line movement toward UCLA – two points from -9 since it opened – I can’t imagine anyone endorsing the Bruins, who look like an absolute mess after losing three straight. They’ve given up an average of 31 points in all three losses and come into this one with one of the most anemic offenses in the nation.
That can’t be any good since Arizona has revealed one of the nation’s best young quarterbacks in Nick Foles. He’s 17th in the nation in pass efficiency and 48th overall in total offense. Truth be known, the Wildcats have put together one of the best offenses in the Pac 10 thanks to Foles, whose numbers are astonishing if you as me (1,152 yards passing, Nine touchdowns, just two interceptions, and he’s completed 73.9 percent of his passes this season).
With Foley’s emergence, the Wildcats are as balanced as any other offense in college football, as their running game remains effective with three all-conference caliber rushers coming out of the backfield. That includes Nic Grigsby, who appears to be fully healthy; trust me when I tell you UCLA’s defense will have its hands full today with the 79th-ranked rushing offense. Remember, it’s the rushing game that sets up the passing game.
Bottom line is UCLA is terrible on offense and only slightly better on the other side of the ball. And with this game being played in Arizona, I can’t give the Bruins much of a chance to stop the bleeding.
Not when they’ve dropped four of their last five in conference play. They’re also mired in losing streaks of 2-6 as an underdog, 2-5 against winning teams and 0-4 in October.
And to go along with that 11-5 ATS stat I mentioned on the front end of this package, the Wildcats are on a 9-3 ATS run at home, while the home team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings and the favorite is on an 8-3 spread streak in this series.
100? DUKE BLUE DEVILS - This victory starts and ends with the turnover.
Duke, which is 3-3 on the year and has thoughts of playing in a bowl for the first time in 15 years, ranks 28th in the nation in turnover margin and the Terrapins are damn near the worst in the nation, ranking 118th. And gauging from Maryland coach Ralph Friedgen’s tirade about turnovers this past week, I’d have to say the Blue Devils are clearly at an advantage in this ACC clash.
Though its rushing game is non-existent, Duke has the eighth-best pass attack in the country and 28th-ranked scoring offense, which is putting up 31.83 points per game. Maryland can’t hang with that, and when the Terps look to play catch-up with their rather anemic offense, they’ll likely commit mistakes that will result in turnovers.
I know the Terps have pulled off two wins this season, but this is one of the worst defenses in the country in all facets of the game. They rank near the bottom of the ACC in scoring offense (22.9 points per game), scoring defense (33.7 ppg.), rushing offense (100.7 yards per game) and rushing defense (158.3 ypg), and are worst in the ACC with 20 turnovers.
Bottom line with the Devils is they’ve improved in every area imaginable on the gridiron under second-year coach David Cutliffe. This team seems better prepared for games, it executes much better, it’s putting up much better numbers than in the past and it really is the most formidable team and promising Blue Devils team to get to the postseason.
Thus, covering a five-point spread against one of the worst teams in the nation with a lame-duck coach shouldn’t be a problem. Lay the home chalk with the Blue Devils.Comment
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Re: 10-24-09
tony weston 10/24
SATURDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Oregon
10 Dime Iowa
5 Dime Angels-Yankees Over
Oregon at Washington
OREGON - Right now Oregon is playing better than any team in the Pac-10 and is on track to win the conference.
After a heartbreaking loss on the road at Boise State to start the season, losing 19-8 as a 3 1/2 point underdog, the Ducks have gone 5-0 SU and have covered in 4 straight coming into today’s game.
On this four-game stretch Oregon has beaten its opponents by an average of 26.5 points per game and now gets a shot at a Washington team that’s gone just 1-3 SU its last 4 games and has covered in just 2 of its last 4 games.
But where the real money has been made is when these two have faced each other.
Since 2004 the Ducks have gone a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS against the Huskies, beating them by an average of 24.8 points per game.
When these two played last year, the Ducks cruised to a 34-point victory, beating Washington 44-10 as a 14-point favorite.
Oregon will do it again and make it 6 in a row against the Huskies.
Iowa at Michigan State
IOWA - Who would’ve figured Iowa would be leading the Big Ten and be a perfect 7-0 SU more than midway through the season?
Well, here the Hawkeyes are, still undefeated.
Iowa has covered in 4 of its 6 lined games this season and travels to take on Michigan State and is installed as a slight 1 1/2 point underdog, depending on where you’re playing this. But it won’t matter because the Hawkeyes will get the outright win.
The Spartans come into this game just 4-3 SU and only 3-3 ATS so far this season and is coming off a non-cover last week at home against visiting Northwestern.
Recently, in this series the smart money has been on Iowa, which has gone 6-1 ATS its last 7 meetings against the Spartans, including covers in 3 straight games. Also, in this series the Underdog has gone 5-2 ATS the last 7 meetings, including each of the last two years where the Hawkeyes covered as a ’dog.
Iowa will do it again and get over on the Spartans in this one.
Yankees-Angels Total
OVER - The Total for tonight’s Game 6 of the ALCS is set at around 9 runs up from the last 2 games of this series. It won’t matter because that won’t be enough runs and I’m taking full advantage.
After staying Under the total in the first two games of the American League Championship Series, the teams played to a Push in Game 3, but combined for 9 runs. Then in Game 4 on Tuesday, the teams exploded for 11 runs, going well Over the 8 1/2 run total. In Game 5, the teams, once again, scored in bunches, putting up 13 runs, blowing well past the 8 1/2 run Total.
Including the last two games, these teams have seen the Over go 9-5-1 in their last 15 meetings this season. Going back a little further, the Over has gone 19-9-1 the last 29 meetings between these two and it has come in 5 straight times in which Yankees scheduled starter Andy Pettitte takes the mound at home against the Angels.
Consider, too, the Over has been the smart play when Anaheim scheduled starter Joe Saunders takes the mound.
The Over has come in 16 of Saunders’ last 22 starts and it is 8-3 his last 11 on the road. The Over is also on a 9-3-1 run when Saunders faces the AL East.
These two will score in bunches once again tonight and go well Over the TotalComment
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Re: 10-24-09
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
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3* on Miami -4.5(-110 at Betus)
The Hurricanes have BCS dreams this season and the team to pull it off. They won't be falling to Clemson at home this week, instead they'll pick up another impressive home win. Miami is 3-0 at home this season, beating the likes of Oklahoma, Georgia Tech and Florida A&M. They are outscoring those 3 teams 34.0 to 17.7 on the season. Clemson is 0-2 on the road this year with losses to Georgia Tech and Maryland. Clemson is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons. The Hurricanes are the superior team and they prove it on their home turf Saturday. Take Miami and lay the points
3* on UConn +7.5(-110 at Sportinteraction)
UConn players will be playing for Jasper Howard, who was stabbed and killed after their win over Louisville last Saturday. WVU may have the more talented team, but these Huskies players will not be denied this weekend as they put everything on the line in memory of Howard. Plus this UConn team is a lot better then they get credit for. They still run the football as well as anyone in the Big East, putting up 180 rushing yards/game including 200 yards/game on the road this season. The difference is that this team can actually move the ball through the air as well, averaging 193 passing yards/game and completing 62% of their attempts. This balanced offense will give WVU fits Saturday. WVU has played a very easy schedule to this point, with the lone exception being their 30-41 road loss at Auburn. They have beaten Liberty, East Carolina, Colorado, Marshall and Syracuse for their 5 wins this year. Starting QB Jarrett Brown is doubtful for WVU Saturday with a concussion, which only gives the Huskies an even better chance to win outright. UConn is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Take UConn and the points.
3* on Pittsburgh -6.5(-110 at Betus)
Pittsburgh will easily win by a touchdown Saturday at home against South Florida, and likely by double-digits. South Florida lost their last game to Cincinnat to fall to 5-1 on the season. The Bulls always tend to collapse in the second half after impressive runs to start the year, and we're predicting it happens again in 2009. The fact of the matter is that South Florida has not played anyone except for Cincinnati, and they got handled 17-34 at home in front of a National TV audience. Their starting QB, Matt Grothe, is out for the season and backup P.J. Daniels is clearly a far cry from Grothe. Pittsburgh is 6-1 this season and should be 7-0 if it wasn't for a second half meltdown at NC State earlier. The Panthers have learned from that loss, and they've reeled off 3 straight impressive wins over Louisville, Connecticut and Rutgers since. Pitt is 3-0 at home this season, allowing just 12.7 points/game. They are outscoring their opponents by 17.0 points/game at home. The Bulls are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.
4* on Tennessee/Alabama UNDER 43(-110 at Betus)
There's no question this is going to be a low-scoring SEC affair Saturday between two of the best defenses in the conference. We don't see either team topping the 21-point mark Saturday. Tennessee allows just 19.5 points/game and 110 rushing yards/contest, which is key because Alabama primarily runs the rock. The Crimson Tide are giving up only 11.6 points/game and 8.5 points/game at home. They give up just 2.3 yards/carry this season and 1.8 yards/carry at home. Tennessee's biggest strength is running the football as well. The Volunteers are 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Alabama is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. The UNDER is 31-11-1 in Crimson Tide last 43 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the UNDER 43 points here.
4* on Oklahoma State/Baylor OVER 53(-110 at Bookmaker)
This is a very low total for two high-scoring teams in Oklahoma State and Baylor. Oklahoma State is scoring 37.5 points/game while Baylor is putting up 27.0 points/game this season. We don't see either team being held below their season averages in this one. Baylor puts up 40.0 points/game at home this season. Oklahoma State has put up 34 and 45 points on Baylor in their last 2 meetings, respectively, and we feel they will get most of this OVER on their own. The Cowboys are 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Oklahoma State is 5-1 OVER in their last 6 games following a win. Take the OVER 53 points here.
4* on Nebraska -17(-110 at Betus)
Off an upset loss to Texas Tech, expect Nebraska to bounce back Saturday and demolish Iowa State at home. Nebraska is 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home meetings with Iowa State. The Huskers beat the Cylcones 35-7 last year on the road and 35-17 the previous year at home. Nebraska is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992. Take Nebraska and lay the points.
6* W id ow W ise guy 2 00 9 Big 12 G AME OF THE Y EAR on Missouri +13(-110 at Betus)
Fresh off their huge win in the Red River Rivalry, Texas is primed for a letdown after beating Oklahoma 16-13 last week. Missouri caught themselves looking ahead last week when they went into Stillwater and got handled by Oklahoma State 17-33. They threw for 325 yards in the loss, but 4 turnovers shows that their minds clearly weren't in that game. The Tigers return home 100% focused on knocking off a Top-3 team in the Longhorns this Saturday, and they have the playmakers on offense and the stoppers on defense to pull off the upset. Texas clearly is lacking playmakers on offense, and they never should have beaten Oklahoma last week if it wasn't for so many costly turnovers by the Sooners. QB Blaine Gabbert has been as good if not better than Colt McCoy this season, throwing for 1,620 yards and 12 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions. Missouri is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992. Texas is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. The Longhorns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take Missouri and the points.Comment
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Re: 10-24-09
SuperSportsGroup - 10/23 **NCAAF**
Make sure you check out our 9* Best Bet of the day on the MLB ALCS game 6 tonight!! Thanks for purchasing our picks and here are the plays for today
Central Michigan v. Bowling Green 12pm
PICK: Bowling Green +9.5 Game (9*) Best Bet of the day
Illinois v. Purdue 12pm
PICK: Illinois +6.5 1H (7*)
Oregon v. Washington 3:30pm
PICK: Oregon -10 Game (8**)
PICK: Oregon -6 1H (4*)
North Texas v. Troy 3:30pm
PICK: Troy -11 1H (7*)
Tennessee v. Alabama 3:30pm
PICK: Tennessee +15 Game (7*)
Texas A&M v. Texas Tech 7pm
PICK: OVER 67.5 Game (7*)Comment
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Re: 10-24-09
Hollywood Sports Big 12 goy
Game: Oklahoma at Kansas Oct 24 2009 3:30PM
Prediction: Kansas
Reason: At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas Jayhawks plus the points over the Oklahoma Sooners. Both of these clubs are coming off disappointing Big 12 losses. But the the Sooners suffered a double-whammy with both their third loss of the season while also receiving the news that their Heisman Trophy quarterback, Sam Bradford, will have season-ending shoulder surgery. We look for this Sooners' unit to be deflated and flat in this game as their BCS chances as well as any credible Big 12 Championship hopes are now gone. Oklahoma has been devastated with injuries all season with the latest being not only to Bradford again but also to starting left guard Brian Simmons. All these injuries are producing too much disruption to the internal cohesion of this team from week-to-week. At this point of the season, the Sooners' inexperienced offensive line is now even on shakier grounds and Oklahoma misses key offensive talent as targets for redshirt freshman Landry Jones. Jones has been solid but lets remember that he is still a first-year player going on the road into a hostile environment with a makeshift offensive line and lacking key offensive playmakers. Furthermore, where is the Oklahoma ground game? The Sooners rushed for -16 yards against Texas last week. For the season, the Sooners are just 54th in the nation in rushing offense with their 153.8 rushing YPG. Away from home, the Sooners average just 20.0 PPG. This is a struggling offense. And while the Jayhawks do not bring the country's best defense into this game, Kansas does hold their opponents to just 100.7 rushing YPG. If Kansas can keep the Sooners' rushing attack in check, there will be even more pressure on Jones to lead his team which is a dangerous proposition for any redshirt freshman on the road. Kansas allowed Colorado to score 34 points in their 34-30 loss. But it is likely that Kansas got caught on the road looking ahead to this game with the Sooners. Quarterback Todd Reesing threw two interceptions deep in the Jayhawks' own end which led to two Colorado touchdowns. Certainly the Buffaloes benefited with the insertion of QB Tyler Hansen into the starting lineup for the erratic Cody Hawkins (who is the coaches son). Kansas also installed three new starters in the defensive unit for this game. Despite these setbacks, Reesing almost rallied Kansas back for the victory. But at 5-1 and playing their first home game against Oklahoma since 2001, Kansas will have plenty of motivation to bounce back and play well to earn the win against the heralded Oklahoma program. Reesing may be the most underrated QB in the country and he has a crew of talented wide receivers as targets. He leads a Kansas offense that is 2nd in the country with their 502.3 YPG and 5th in the nation with their whopping 38.8 PPG average. Can this unit score against the strong Oklahoma defense that limits their opponents to just 9.7 PPG? Reesing passed for 342 yards last season against the Sooners while leading the Jayhawks to 31 points. And Reesing has thrown for more than 400 yards in his last two games. BYU's Max Hall threw for 329 passing yards against this Oklahoma defense earlier this season. Kansas really offers us value for this game. They are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games overall. They are 13-6 ATS in their last nineteen at home and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven coming off a loss. Oklahoma is 2-8 ATS in their last ten games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards. And the Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a 3.5 to 10 point favorite. Emotion plays such an important role in college football. Kansas' loss last week against Colorado makes this an even better situation for us as the Jayhawks will still be emotionally primed to upset Oklahoma while having the benefit of being able to play with "nothing to lose" so to speak after last week's setback. Defeating Oklahoma would automatically define their season as a success. Oklahoma seems destined to be deflated after losing the Red River Rivalry to Texas for their third loss of the season while adapting to all these injuries they face. The strong Kansas offense makes them very dangerous at home and the best QB on the field is a Jayhawk. 25 Star Big 12 Game of the Year on the Kansas Jayhawks plus the points over the Oklahoma Sooners.Comment
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