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Ethan has absolutely dominated the football season in his handicapping career and finished last football season with his 8th winning season in a row, while his clients showed a profit in 17 out of the last 21 weeks (81%). This special package includes EVERY NFL & NCAA selection (including his totals selections 158-62 (71.8%) released by Ethan Law ALL season long. Overall Ethan has shown a profit in 128 of the 168 weeks (76.1%) over the last eight (8) seasons.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
3:30p Central Florida vs Rice
Take: Rice +10-110 in 16h
UCF (3-3) at RICE (0-7)
3:30 EST, Saturday, October 24
Verdict: UCF 28, Rice 24
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON RICE +10
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
3:30p Wake Forest vs Navy
Take: Wake Forest -1½-110 in 16h
WAKE FOREST (4-3) at NAVY (5-2)
3:30 EST, Saturday, October 24
Verdict: Wake Forest 34, Navy 21
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON WAKE FOREST +1.5
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
12:30p Colorado vs Kansas State
Take: Colorado +4½-110 in 13h
THE NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH
Colorado (2-4) at Kansas State (4-3)
12:30 EST, Saturday, October 24
Well I had both of these pegged in last week’s card so I feel as though we have a very good grasp on both of these teams going into this match-up. As I stated last week, Colorado (2-4 SU & 4-2 ATS) has a very pass oriented offense and what is perceived to be (on paper) a bad defense. They have averaged 27 points and 254 yards passing, but the defense has allowed 29 points per game allowed. They stared the season with junior quarterback Cody Hawkins (9 touchdowns, 9 interceptions) but he has been benched by his father, so sophomore quarterback Tyler Hansen (1 TD, 1 interception) will run the offense for the remainder of the season. Almost everybody remembers their national embarrassment 54-38 defeat in Toledo, getting 356 passing yards, but allowing 624 yards. They had a 35-24 loss at West Virginia allowing 405 yards (257 rushing). However, we did see some array of hope over the past two weeks, when Colorado’s defense held one of the most prolific offenses in the Nation in Texas (as they were actually leading this contest 14-10 at the half), but their offense finished with just 127 total yards with an incredible 20 penalties for 140 yards! This past weekend, they held yet another powerful Kansas offense to minus-7 yards rushing and hounded quarterback Kerry Meier. The secondary allowed 430 yards (most in the second half), but as stated above they continue to improve. Meanwhile, Kansas State (4-3 SU & 2-3 ATS) has been working on new things for Coach Bill Snyder. He has no quarterback experience with junior quarterback Carson Coffman (2 touchdowns, 4 interceptions), so similar to Kansas the head coach is trying out senior quarterback Grant Gregory (3 touchdowns, 1 interception). The offense averages more yards rushing than passing but does average a respectable 26 points per game. Significant to this is the fact that they are straight off a absolute killing of Texas A&M 62-14 with 424 yards.
I absolutely love this set-up, the line value and the fundamental match-up advantage for Colorado. The one weakness for the Buffalo’s is their secondary, but Kansas State is not a pass oriented offensive unit so they will be unable to exploit that weakness. As I stated last week, I am above all a “value bettor” and I see some incredible value in this line. When I analyze this Colorado team a few things come to mind. First, two of their losses were on the road to West Virginia and Texas, two very solid clubs and one of them being one of the very best in the nation. Their other loss came on the road to Toledo, which although inexcusable (it should be noted it was their first road game of the season) and this same club did put up 31 points at Purdue. Colorado lost the first game of the season (in a heated rivalry against Colorado State) and won their only other home game against Wyoming. Everybody seems to discuss the Kansas State Offense, but this is also a very poor defensive club one that is actually on par with Colorado’s. We cannot forget that just two weeks ago this Kansas State team allowed an incredible 739 total yards of offense. What is even scarier for Wildcat supporters is the fact that the Red Raiders “backup” quarterback was 33-for-41 and finished with touchdown passes of 52, 6, 4, 72, 28, 12 and 25 yards to five receivers. Did I mention Colorado was a pass happy offense as well. Although A&M only managed 14 points in the route they still managed 301 yards which was surprising for such an inexperienced team on the road. I again think that the switch at quarterback give’s the Buffalo’s something they have not seem much this season and that is “balance” on offense. Tyler Hansen has already rushed for a boatload of rushing yards in limited action last year. It should also be noted that Kansas State has Oklahoma on deck (the same situation Kansas was in last weekend) (a game that the players and coaches have been pointing to all season). The route of A&M has added about 2 points of value to this contest as well. Hmmm….this really does not get any better than this….Part II
Verdict: Kansas St 17, Colorado 31
PLAY 2* UNITS (3%) ON COLORADO +4.5
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
12:20p Arkansas vs Mississippi
Take: Mississippi -6-105 in 13h
Arkansas (3-3) at Ole Miss (4-2)
12:21 EST, Saturday, October 24
Verdict: Ole Miss 31, Arkansas 27
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON MISSISSIPPI -6
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
12:00p Central Michigan vs Bowling Green
Take: Bowling Green +9-105 in 12h
CENTRAL MICHIGAN (6-1) at BOWLING GREEN (3-4)
12:00 EST, Saturday, October 24
Verdict: Central Michigan 31, Bowling Green 34
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON BOWLING GREEN +8
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
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*****LATE BREAKING WAC GAME OF THE YEAR
366 Nevada -15.5 4:00 EST
3:30PM EST
355 Oklahoma
356 Kansas
TOP PLAY: KANSAS +8
Last week I went against Kansas in a classic “look ahead” spot and they lost outright to a horrible Colorado team and today they now play host to Oklahoma. The Sooners enter this game without the services of QB Bradford who went down again last week and is done for the season. After losing last week the Sooners are now 3-3 and any hopes of playing in a major Bowl game are gone. Look for this team to come out flat knowing their season is virtually over. Meanwhile, this is a different story for Kansas and a win here today puts them back on top their division and in contention for the Big 12 title game. Last season Kansas QB Reesing went to Norman and put up almost 350 yards and 2TDs and arguably against a MUCH BETTER defense. If Reesing’s line can give him time he should be just as effective today. It is worth noting the Sooners have failed to cover their L2 games after playing Texas and are just 1-4-1 ATS this year.
PREDICTION: KANSAS 27 OKLAHOMA 23
3:30PM EST
315 Clemson
316 MiamiFlorida
TOP PLAY: CLEMSON +5
We all know about Clemson’s struggles on the road as it is very well documented, however, this is a team that has thrived in the role of the dog going 17-5 ATS in their L22 overall!! After stomping Wake last week Clemson needs another win today to get back into the driver’s seat for the division title. The Canes have been a huge and pleasant surprise this year but they have not seen a defense quite like this all year. The Tigers are big, fast and aggressive. The only time the Canes faced a defense even similar to this was against Virginia Tech and they got stomped 31-7. Look for them to struggle again today and for Clemson to escape with a much needed win!! Clemson is an impressive 7-1 ATS L8 as a road dog and 8-1 ATS L9 as a dog of 3.5 to 10 overall. Meanwhile, the Canes are just 8-20-1 ATS L29 as a fave, just 9-20 ATS L29 conference games, and a horrible 1-9 ATS L10 as a 3.5 to 10 point fave!! One would think the Canes being at home would prove valuable in this one but being home hasn’t been “sweet” for Miami or good for bettors – the Canes are just 11-32 ATS in their 43 at home!!
PREDICTION: CLEMSON 20 MIAMI U. 13
3:30PM EST
349 Oregon
350 Washington U
TOP PLAY: WASHINGTON +10
This line opened at 7.5 and since has been steamed to its current line of 10 – and I ask WHY?? Oregon has dominated this series recently winning 5 straight and NONE by less than 20 points!! Additionally, during this 5 game stretch the line was never less than 12.5 in any of the meetings including last year when the Ducks won by 34 as a 14 point fave – so the question I ask is WHY DID ODDSMAKERS OPEN THIS LINE AT 7.5 KNOWING ALL OF THIS?? I will tell you why in 3 letters – U-S-C!! That’s right!! This is a huge look ahead game for the Ducks knowing they have the Trojans on deck in a game that should determine the PAC-10 champion!! Oregon is also playing the second game of a B2B road swing, the first time they have been in this situation all season, and kids at this level typically do not respond well in unfamiliar roles. The Huskies possess a great QB and legitimate NFL prospect in Jake Locker and he will be the difference maker. The Ducks rely heavily on the run but the Huskies have improved dramatically holding their L3 opponents to an average of 118 yards per game!! One thing is clear about the Huskies – they are on a mission to redeem themselves for last year’s 0-12 season, something they couldn’t control in light of all of the adversity they faced. I said the Huskies would knock off USC earlier this year, and they did, well today I am predicting they do it again!!
PREDICTION: WASHINGTON 28 OREGON 24
7:00PM EST
383 Iowa
384 Michigan State
TOP PLAY: IOWA +2 -120
Iowa opened as a 2.5 point fave and the line has been steamed the other way. There seems to be quite a bit of public and service love for MSU and I am not sure why. I went against Iowa last week but I refuse to do it today. Iowa showed me a lot in that game against Wisconsin and after trailing 10-0 early maintained their composure and methodically climbed back into it before their defense flat-out dominated the rest of the way!! For a team to show this much poise and composure on the road is the mark of a true champion!! I had Iowa ranked in the top 10 long before anyone else did and they will show us why again today!! Iowa is comfortable on the road and has proven they can win big games away from home. The 5-0 ATS L5 on the road when playing a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS L6 as a road dog. Meanwhile, MSU is just 2-5 ATS L7 home games, 1-5 ATS L6 against teams with winning records, and a perfect 0-4 ATS L4 at home as a fave of 3 points or less!! It is also worth noting Iowa is a comfortable 7-0 L7 before they play Indiana, proving they remain focused with no real threat on deck.
PREDICTION: IOWA 24 MICHIGAN STATE 13
8:00PM EST
397 OregonState
398 USC
TOP PLAY – CFB GAME OF THE WEEK: OREGONSTATE +21
Despite their 5-1 record USC lacks the experience and playmaking ability of past years and OSU presents them with many matchup problems. The Beavers do a great job of stretching the field, possess a solid ground attack, and an air attack lead by an experienced QB completing more than 68% of his passes and has thrown just 2 picks so far this season. The Beavers also have two great skill players in the Rodgers brothers and they can hurt you in so many ways!! Despite losing a ton of talent last season the USC defense continues to shut down opponents. Offensively, they have a balanced attack that relies heavily on the ground game and this plays right into OSU’s strengths!! OSU does a terrific job at stopping the run. Look for them to do a great job today and to put the pressure on QB Barkley knowing he has only thrown for 5 TDs and 3 picks this season. Oregon State is coming off a bye week and has been money in this spot going 11-2 ATS L13 including a perfect 7-0 ATS L7!! Meanwhile, USC is just 5-14 ATS on 6 days rest if their opponent has at least 1 more day of rest!! There are two games that are big games for USC and they are against Ohio State and Notre Dame. Last week USC went to South Bend and beat the Irish in a thriller. Earlier this year they went on the road to beat Ohio State and the following week suffered a major letdown by losing outright to Washington as a 20.5 point fave, same line as this one opened - coincidence?? We will see!! But I love the fact that USC has Oregon on deck and they could get caught looking ahead!!
PREDICTION: USC 24 OREGON STATE 23
346 Notre Dame -7.5 (-110) betus vs 345 Boston College
Analysis: Stan is Betting NOTRE DAME. Stan notes that while most people might expect a letdown for Notre Dame today after last weeks tough loss against USC Stan believes Notre Dame who have a letdown as they play with revenge as last year they were shutout by Boston College something that never happens to Notre Dame. Boston College will have problems stopping the Notre Dame passing game. Look for Notre Dame to finally† have a game that isn't close. Stan has Notre Dame winning by 14-17 points. TAKE NOTRE DAME as STAN'S TRIPLE DIME TV GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
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