10-28-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Cleveland vs. Toronto

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this one is on the Cavaliers as they use the Raptors as their punching bag to erase memories of last nights defeat at home at the hands of the Celtics:

Shaquille O’Neal had 10 points - just two after halftime - and 10 rebounds for the Cavs, who have now lost three consecutive season openers.

Lebron James finished with 38 points, eight rebounds, four blocks and made four 3-pointers, but no other player on the team scored more than 12. I look for the rest of the "cast" to play with a much more concerted effort this evening after last nights poor showing.

The Cavs have won nine of their last 10 meetings with the Raptors. The only time they lost in that span - a 91-82 defeat Nov. 30, 2007, in Toronto - James sat out with a sprained left index finger.

The five-time All-Star is averaging 31.1 points on 52.5 % shooting in his last nine games against the Raptors.

On the other side of the court: After winning the Atlantic Division in 2006-07, and making a return trip to the playoffs the following year, Toronto had high hopes for last season but never got in sync and finished 33-49. Because of that the Raptors added guard Jarrett Jack and power forward Reggie Evans, and selected Southern California swingman DeMar DeRozan with the ninth pick of the draft, but Hedo Turkoglu is the most significant addition of them all.

This was all done in an attempt to keep Chris Bosh in Toronto as he becomes a free agent after this season.

Bottom line: Last night I said it would take time for Lebron and Shaq to "gel", and of course it still will; however I believe Lebron is going to take it upon himself to dictate the tempo of this game and look for the rest of the "supporting cast" to "up" the level of their collective games.

Toronto is going to be a "work in progress" for a while and I expect Cleveland to take advantage tonight; play on the CAVALIERS! *9*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
MLB Baseball
2 (**) NY Yankees Under 7.5

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
NHL Hockey
2 (**) NY Rangers -150
2 (**) Ottawa -135
2 (**) Calgary Over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Dave Malinsky 10/28

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OVER 191.5,MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -vs-Detroit Pistons

4* #711 DETROIT/MEMPHIS Over

The best value early in any sports season comes from teams that have had major changes that throw past data-bases completely out of play. That is what we are going to have on both sides of this equation, and the low Total set for this matchup shows how far behind we believe the oddsmakers are. The Pistons had a great chemistry for a lot of seasons, grinding down opponents with a patient half-court offense and that tenacious defense. Not anymore. It is a completely different mix now with the likes of Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva on board, and in leading the team in scoring in the pre-season we also see the potential of Rodney Stuckey beginning to show. This is a team that can attack offensively from every position except at C, and we expect a loose and aggressive approach under John Kuester. At the same time, the defensive chemistry is going to be a work in progress for most of the season, and the pieces simply may not fit together in that aspect of the game even when they have had the time to play together. Kuester already knows that it is difficult to have Gordon and Villanueva on the court at the same time because of their liabilities on that end, but it will also means plenty of scoring punch off of the bench. While Memphis lacks the history of Detroit, there are similarities in terms of how many new pieces are trying to come together going forward. Four of the five starters are in their first or second season in a Grizzly uniform, and while the individual talent is there to be able to attack and score in uptempo settings, the defense will have holes galore. They were 21st on our best set of defensive ratings LY, and we do not see any signs of improvement, particularly with Zach Randolph now ticketed for so many minutes. But with Mike Conley pushing the ball (5.7 assists per game after Lionel Hollins took over as coach, after just 3.0 previously), and having wing scorers in Randolph, Rudy Gay and O. J. Mayo, they can get out into the open court and make things happen. That will particularly be the case in the home opener against a vulnerable Detroit defense, and it creates an entirely different flow than what the oddsmakers are calling for.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Prezz ws game one blowout

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Analysis: 8* WS BEST BET BLOWOUT
(951) PHILADELPHIA (LEE) at (952) NY YANKEES (SABATHIA) 7:55 PM - ** World Series - Best of 7 - Game 1

The questions about which umpires would be chosen to grade the World Series this year have been answered. Crew chiefs Joe West, Dana DeMuth and Gerry Davis, will be joined by Brian Gorman, Jeff Nelson and Mike Everitt. This constitutes a split among whom we consider pitcher-friendly and hitter-friendly vests. Sabathia, has a winning record with each and every umpire on the World Series crew.
In past Fall Classics, its proven that teams don't win unless they can hit. While both the Yanks and the Phils can clearly do this, it is the pitching and bullpen that will dictate this year's winner. Game 1 falls right into this category, likely more, than any game on the 4-to-7 game slate. The Yankees bullpen is better than the Phils, and while it might not make a difference in Game 1, it could, and definitely will, in the series.

First, the forecast for Wednesday night's game offers an advantage to the pitchers. A 60 percent chance of rain with a brisk wind blowing in from left-center field assists both starting lefties, it also slows the running game, a key factor considering we fully expect a determined effort by Philadelphia to run on Yanks catcher Jorge Posada.

Wednesday night's matchup might pit the best offensive team in the American League against the best offensive team in the National League, but when evaluating which pitching staff figures to be better on Wednesday night, C.C. Sabathia and Mariano Rivera or Cliff Lee and Brad Lidge or , the umpiring crew, new Yankee Stadium, and the weather give New York the easy edge.

Both starters are fresh, and have a seasonal advantage due to the weather conditions. The wind blowing in from left-center means that all of the fly balls off of right-handed bats, and those off the bat of slugger Ryan Howard (he goes to left-center WHEN he can make contact against a good southpaw) will befall a quick death.

The umpires slated for Game 1 are the best of the best, and all have pitcher-friendly tendencies when organizations have their No. 1 on the mound.

The Phillies are the most efficient base-stealing team in the major leagues, and have been during their championship tenure. This year, the Phillies stole 119 bases and had only 28 caught stealing. The Yankees had 111 steals and an 80 percent success rate. The Phillies depend on the stolen base more than the Yanks and the probable wet conditions on Wednesday night take away some of the allure of backing the Phils.

The Yankees have been at their best versus good teams. New York is 61-34 against teams with a winning record and were 38-18 in the second half of this season against clubs that sported winning percentages of .501 or better.

New York's improved defense has been everything this year. It has covered up the less than stellar effectiveness of the backend of the rotation and has made their top side, even better. They are 33-8 after three straight games where they committed no errors this season. The Yankees are nearly unbeatable with a fresh bullpen, too, with a 61-28 record in a game after one or less relievers makes an appearance in the previous contest.

8* Play on the Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

randall the handle

Buffalo +1.04 over NEW JERSEY (REG) Pinnacle
The Sabres are playing too good to ignore as a pooch and it’s not a fluke either. They’re getting tremendous contributions from everywhere. Ryan Miller is at the top of his game and when he’s on he’s one of the best. The defense, led by veteran Craig Rivet and youngsters Chris Butler and Tyler Myers gives the Sabres one of the best groups of top-3 d-men in the league. Up front, the Sabres are balanced and they’re scoring plenty. Buffalo has played just eight games, the least in the league, thus, they’re rested, healthy, confident and hungry. Incidentally, they also have the best winning percentage in the league. The Devils were just 3-3 before they went on an impressive three-game winning streak that included wins at the Rangers and Penguins. However, they’ve won just once in four home games and that was a hard-fought 2-0 win over Carolina. The Devils scored an empty-netter in that one. Bottom line is they’re struggling miserably at home and will come into this contest minus two more key players in Paul Martin and Jay Pandolfo. The Devils are always tough but again, the Sabres are about as sweet a dog as any on the board and are most certainly worthy of a wager. Play: Buffalo +1.04 (Risking 2 units).

FLORIDA +1.14 over Ottawa (REG) Pinnacle
The Panthers are about the least recognizable team on ice, as nobody cares, not even the locals, whether the Panthers win, lose or even play. However, this is a very decent hockey team that is very capable of winning on almost any night with a slew of good young talent (Horton, Frolik, Kulimov, Weiss, and Olesz to name a few). They’re also experienced and well represented on the blue-line. Yeah, they’re 2-6 but they started the year in Europe by splitting two games with Chicago and its last four games came against the Flyers twice, the Sabres and the Penguins. They beat the Flyers in Florida 4-2 and they lost 3-2 in OT in Pittsburgh. Now they’ll take a step down in class when facing the Sens. Ottawa is playing tough, make no mistake about that. However, politics has come into play, as the Sens sent down its prized rookie, Erik Karlsson, because if a junior plays 10 games his contract kicks in and he also becomes a free agent a year earlier. Yes, it’s a business but this move cannot be sitting well with the rest of the team, as they’ve played their hearts out thus far and this is a bit of a slap in the face. The Sens may respond well but we’ll have to wait and see. Furthermore, it appears as though Brian Elliot will make his first start of the year in net while Pascal Leclaire recovers from the flu. In the best of circumstances the Sens would be in tough here but this is anything but that. Give the Panthers a great chance to pick up its third win of the year. Play: Florida +1.14 (Risking 2 units).

Toronto +1.80 over DALLAS (REG) Pinnacle
The Leafs finally got off the mattress with a very nice win in Anaheim. Toronto deserved the win, as they outplayed the Ducks in the final 50 minutes. Perhaps more important than that was the goaltending of rookie Jonas Gustavsson, who came up with some outstanding saves early in the game and the Leafs responded. That’s key, as the Leafs have been desperate for somebody to step it up in net for about five years. Despite losing two of its last three, Toronto has played extremely well over that stretch, as they deserved better against both Vancouver and the Rangers. Meanwhile, the Stars return home from a three-game trip to L.A, Anaheim and St. Louis. The Stars have performed a whole lot better on the road than at home where they have just one win in four tries. We get some good value on this guest, as Dallas is not in a favorable spot here, that being returning home from a trip and not playing well at home. The Leafs have strung together three strong games in a row and finally were able to savior the sweet taste of victory. Chances are good they’ll play another strong game tonight. Play: Toronto +1.80 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Evan Altemus

New York Knicks @ Miami Heat
Pick: 3 units: Under 208.5

New York was known for its high scoring and fast paced tempo last season, but they seem to be slowing things down much more. In addition, offenses are out of sync at the start of the season, so I expect it to be very difficult for these two teams to have a high enough shooting percentage to send this game over the total. Miami is not an up and down team as well, which makes it much harder for this game to go over the total. In addition, the Heat are playing at home, so they will look to control the tempo and play the game at a slower pace. Take the under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Freddy Wills Sportsbetcapping.com
Total Base props Game #1
Take Texeira -135 over Utley (1.5-Dime)
Rollins -125 over Damon (1-Dime)
Teixera again has the advantage based on how much he has seen Cliff Lee and a .391 average compared to Utley 0-3 vs. Sabathia and limited experience. Teixera started to turn the corner late in the Angels series while Utley remains ice cold. Sabathia dominates lefty's and Lee struggles vs. righties I'll take my chances with Teixera at -135.

Rollins -125 over Damon who has a .091 average against Lee. Rollins on the other hand a switch hitter should see the ball well coming out of Sabathias hands here on Wednesday. Rollins actually is 4-11 against Sabathia and should provide some pop in the lineup.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Executive MLB
200 Philly/NYY Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Lenny Del Genio

Philadelphia vs. Yankees

This is probably the Yankees series for the taking and the superb lefty vs. lefty matchup (Sabathia vs. Lee) in Game One works to their favor. They led all of MLB in most hitting categories vs. southpaws, going 36-18 while averaging 5.5 runs per game. In addition, they have gone 62-24 in their new stadium this year. Last year’s World Series aside, the Phillies typically do not perform well in Interleague Play, going 14-24 vs. the American League the past two seasons. They did manage to take two of three from the Yankees here in the Bronx earlier this season, but that was back in May when New York wasn’t playing nearly as well as they are now. This season alone, the Bombers are 69-25 as a favorite of -150 or more and Sabathia has a career 98-36 TSR in that same role himself. NY Yankees are our World Series Game One Winner.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Fairway Jay

20* Atl Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Street Rosenthal

*200 Charotte Bobcats +10
*200 Cleveland Cavaliers -6
*200 Houston Rockets +7

*200 New York Yankees -163

*200 Calgary Flames -182
*200 Minnesota Wild -140

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
Spurs -9.5 over Hornets

MLB Baseball
Yankees/Phillies Under 7.5 runs
Sabathia/Lee

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Marc Lawrence
Marc Lawrence | NBA Sides Wed, 10/28/09 - 7:05 PM Uq

double-dime bet 701 PHI 9.0 (-110) BetUS vs 702 ORL

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

Matt fargo
9* memphis +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 10-28-09

ATS

3 yankees